You have lots of info, but you seem to pick and choose what to bring into consideration. You base how this will do on each person's worst project? Bravo. Michael Bay has directed ARMAGEDDON, THE ISLAND, THE ROCK, BAD BOYS and BAD BOYS II. Each a commercial success, none of which can truly be considered a bad movie. Each with solid to fantastic acting, story, etc. I consider him a fairly young director. He's an action director. But he's a damned good one.
John Rogers is not a wunderkind, but he's a solid writer, and his CATWOMAN script actually wasn't that bad. What was awful...was what happened when everyone ELSE got ahold of the CATWOMAN script (allegedly something like 8 or 9 ghostwriters). Trust me. I read about nine drafts of CATWOMAN from 1993 on, and Rogers came the closest, as far as I'm concerned, to anything that might conceiveably work. He's also written AMERICAN OUTLAWS and THE CORE, which weren't brilliant, but weren't terrible, either.
Alex Kurtzman and Roberto Orci have the following to their credit: MI: 3, THE LEGEND OF ZORRO, THE ISLAND, ALIAS, HERCULES. Hardly a track record to simply dismiss.
Don Murphy is hardly the only producer on this film, and he hasn't only produced LXG, he's also been involved in NATURAL BORN KILLERS, FROM HELL, and APT PUPIL. And he produced the original TRANSFORMERS: THE MOVIE. You're also apparently forgetting about a fellow named Spielberg (we know his track record) and I believe a fellow named DeSanto is involved (we know his track record, too).