BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 1

[lukebrodyg]

I think JW means that SW will be even bigger than people imagine but I'm not sure what it means for BvS.

I disagree. Dinosaurs have a much broader appeal than Star Wars, in spite of the continued 30+ year popularity.

BVS will likely fall somewhere between $150-180 million OW in my opinion.

 

[dalonewolf]

Jurassic Park is a cult favorite though, as is the Star Wars franchise. And people know that this isnt Nolan. So I dont think you can just say "Batman sells". Because this isnt some super popular franchise, and the movie is tied more closely with MOS than it is with the characters themselves.

Dude superman pulled 112 o.w by himself and 668mil ww after that horrible superman returns there no reason to think that batman and superman will only bring in a few million more than man of steel
This movie will double man of steels over seas numbers easily which will be 750mil o.s
And will easily add another 120-150 domestic 450 dom is the floor for this film and 600 foreign will be the floor for foreign no way this movie groom anything less
The hype alone promises a billion

 

[Mrs. Wayne]

So is batman
But I think Batman is bigger he's the main reason why I know this movie will open up to 190+ but most likely 200+

190+ is very likely.

 

[dalonewolf]

190+ is very likely.

Nothing less I promise you that

 

[antoineflemming]

I disagree. Dinosaurs have a much broader appeal than Star Wars, in spite of the continued 30+ year popularity.

BVS will likely fall somewhere between $150-180 million OW in my opinion.

It's not that "dinosaurs" have a broader appeal. It's not about just dinosaurs. It's Jurassic Park. Any other dinosaur film wouldnt do what Jurassic World just did. Star Wars is definitely more popular than Jurassic Park. That's why I, while thinking BvS will make a billion+/-, am not overly optimistic about BvS making more than, say, Avengers or F7, or even IM3. Because MOS did well, but that doesnt mean everyone will come back for the sequel or that Batman fans will universally show up or that it'll draw in all the Nolan fans. Now, Justice League, on the other hand - I think that film could match or exceed Avengers.

I have no doubt that BvS will have a huge OW, but that's just OW. I'm not saying BvS wont do better than what I think it'll do, but I'm not gonna bank on it doing more than $1.1 bil. That's an optimistic outlook that doesnt assume the best case scenario.

 

[eddyg]

Is never good to predict box office because Jurassic World just showed us that it can be unpredictable. Congrats to universal for having this massive hit. Some people believe that DC and Marvel should be afraid of this success because it shows that there is sign of fatigue. But Ill just say that CBM is not going anywhere any time soon in my opinion and that people will still go to the movies to watch them. AOU still made over one billion and I do believe Batman v Superman title alone will attract people especially if they really start marketing this really well as we get closer to the release date. They also have a great release date with, in my opinion, no real competition for atleast the first two weeks. If word of mouth is good and people really like the move and enjoy it than in my opinion it will defiantly make its one billion. Will it brake any records? that is still to be seen.

 

[antoineflemming]

A nostalgia trip movie certainly doesn't spell doom for CBMs. If this were some movie that wasnt connected to Jurassic Park, then I'd say that it shows that films that aren't CBMs or revivals of old, cult classic franchises can do extremely well and thrive.

 

[The Shape]

BVS will likely fall somewhere between $150-180 million OW in my opinion.

I'm confident in saying that there is a 0% chance BvS opens with anything less than $190 million domestic.

Furthermore, I think the box office performances of Furious 7 and now Jurassic World solidify that BvS will definitely have a shot at the opening weekend record.

 

[Silliminite]

Is never good to predict box office because Jurassic World just showed us that it can be unpredictable. Congrats to universal for having this massive hit. Some people believe that DC and Marvel should be afraid of this success because it shows that there is sign of fatigue. But Ill just say that CBM is not going anywhere any time soon in my opinion and that people will still go to the movies to watch them. AOU still made over one billion and I do believe Batman v Superman title alone will attract people especially if they really start marketing this really well as we get closer to the release date. They also have a great release date with, in my opinion, no real competition for atleast the first two weeks. If word of mouth is good and people really like the move and enjoy it than in my opinion it will defiantly make its one billion. Will it brake any records? that is still to be seen.

Well said.

I'm confident in saying that there is a 0% chance BvS opens with anything less than $190 million domestic.

Furthermore, I think the box office performances of Furious 7 and now Jurassic World solidify that BvS will definitely have a shot at the opening weekend record.

Wow, that's a very bold statement. Is it just a gut feeling, or do you have your reasons? The reason I doubt it'll go that high is because the only 2 superhero films to have hit that mark have had films build up to them. BvS only has MoS, and even there I'm not sure if the GA will make the connection.

In any case, if BvS does hit the 190 million mark, I'll be ecstatic. There's no stopping the DCCU from there on out.

 

[The Shape]

Wow, that's a very bold statement. Is it just a gut feeling, or do you have your reasons? The reason I doubt it'll go that high is because the only 2 superhero films to have hit that mark have had films build up to them. BvS only has MoS, and even there I'm not sure if the GA will make the connection.

In any case, if BvS does hit the 190 million mark, I'll be ecstatic. There's no stopping the DCCU from there on out.

I have my reasons, and there are more legitimate reasons that point to potential for BvS to be a box office mammoth than there reasons that suggest otherwise.

Despite what someone people claim or believe, there are no determinate factors that a film must have in order to either be an immense box office success. People will claim that a film must have several films of build-up to reach an Avengers-level opening, a film must have a 90%+ critical consensus, a film won't be huge if it follows a film with mixed reviews, etc. -- but in reality, the box office climate varies with every big blockbuster release and there are many other factors people that come into play which people often fail to acknowledge.

Even though BvS is still roughly 9 months from release, everything seems to be aligning perfectly for it thus far. When the marketing onslaught truly begins in a few months, the hype and anticipation will only skyrocket further and public awareness will be between 90% and 100%.

The best box office experts (who do this for a living) were off in their predictions for Jurassic World by $80mil-$90mil...the week of the film's release. Therefore, some of you will have to excuse me for believing that you are severely underestimating BvS's box office potential roughly 9 months before the film is to be released and before WB's marketing strategy truly even launches or tracking data exists.

 

[Val_Zod]

Well said.



Wow, that's a very bold statement. Is it just a gut feeling, or do you have your reasons? The reason I doubt it'll go that high is because the only 2 superhero films to have hit that mark have had films build up to them. BvS only has MoS, and even there I'm not sure if the GA will make the connection.

In any case, if BvS does hit the 190 million mark, I'll be ecstatic. There's no stopping the DCCU from there on out.

Build up with films that needed to push the said heroes into the mainstream. Batman and Superman will be more comparable to say a JW, as representing cultural icons meeting in a film for the first time. Batman and Superman don't need real build at this point. Another thing to point is BvS will be the first big blockbuster released after Star Wars, which is 3 months apart. So its going to take advantage of people growing hungry for a big blockbuster. And what better blockbuster to sate your hunger than one that features Batman fighting Superman, and marking WW first theatrical appearance. I see this breaking Hunger Games March record handily.

 

[Silliminite]

^ Okay, I see. Thanks for explaining.

I guess time, like always, will tell.

 

[antoineflemming]

I have my reasons, and there are more legitimate reasons that point to potential for BvS to be a box office mammoth than there reasons that suggest otherwise.

Despite what someone people claim or believe, there are no determinate factors that a film must have in order to either be an immense box office success. People will claim that a film must have several films of build-up to reach an Avengers-level opening, a film must have a 90%+ critical consensus, a film won't be huge if it follows a film with mixed reviews, etc. -- but in reality, the box office climate varies with every big blockbuster release and there are many other factors people that come into play which people often fail to acknowledge.

Even though BvS is still roughly 9 months from release, everything seems to be aligning perfectly for it thus far. When the marketing onslaught truly begins in a few months, the hype and anticipation will only skyrocket further and public awareness will be between 90% and 100%.

The best box office experts (who do this for a living) were off in their predictions for Jurassic World by $80mil-$90mil...the week of the film's release. Therefore, some of you will have to excuse me for believing that you are severely underestimating BvS's box office potential roughly 9 months before the film is to be released and before WB's marketing strategy truly even launches or tracking data exists.

Well then excuse some of us for "believing that you are severely [overestimating] BvS's box office potential roughly 9 months before the film is to be released and before WB's marketing strategy truly even launches or tracking data exists".

I just don't want to be like those Marvel fans who were claiming that AOU was going to make $2 billion.

 

[TheFlamingCoco]

"It's not that "dinosaurs" have a broader appeal. It's not about just dinosaurs. It's Jurassic Park. Any other dinosaur film wouldnt do what Jurassic World just did. Star Wars is definitely more popular than Jurassic Park. That's why I, while thinking BvS will make a billion+/-, am not overly optimistic about BvS making more than, say, Avengers or F7, or even IM3. Because MOS did well, but that doesnt mean everyone will come back for the sequel or that Batman fans will universally show up or that it'll draw in all the Nolan fans. Now, Justice League, on the other hand - I think that film could match or exceed Avengers.

I have no doubt that BvS will have a huge OW, but that's just OW. I'm not saying BvS wont do better than what I think it'll do, but I'm not gonna bank on it doing more than $1.1 bil. That's an optimistic outlook that doesnt assume the best case scenario."

The thing in here is all the variables. Fans of Superman will come. Fans of Batman will come. Fans of the Nolan trilogy would probably be at least curious about it. Fans of superhero movies in general will come.

Combine that with the GA, and I feel like this should get back at least 800 million. I do think that if this movie is universally loved, it will usurp MOS in popularity the way the TDK sequels did Begins.

 

[The Shape]

Well then excuse some of us for "believing that you are severely [overestimating] BvS's box office potential roughly 9 months before the film is to be released and before WB's marketing strategy truly even launches or tracking data exists".

I just don't want to be like those Marvel fans who were claiming that AOU was going to make $2 billion.

You're excused.

And don't get me wrong. I'm not decisively proclaiming that BvS will undoubtedly be the biggest movie of all time. Rather, I'm aware of the potential it has to be a big grosser (especially in terms of its opening weekend) and the recent releases of Furious 7 and JW seem to bode well for BvS's box office potential.

The way things are shaping up, I think a lot would have to go wrong for the film over the next 9 months for it to have a less than stellar opening weekend (bad press, creative disputes, leaking online weeks early, horrendous reviews, etc).

 

[Nemeres]

Even if I don't like the film, I'd love to see my boy Superman's name in a list of top OWs. Just a few years ago, even something like the June record seemed impossible. But I just cannot imagine it reaching 200 when AOU didn't, much less getting the record. I don't see what it has that would take it that far. Batman and 3D are its best shot, but Avengers had more assets, more stars, more built-up interest. The JW and Furious 7 numbers, as well as AOU's "underperformance", might make a better case for the alternatives to superhero films than for BVS.

 

[DlAMONDZ]

I'm confident in saying that there is a 0% chance BvS opens with anything less than $190 million domestic.

Real

I underestimated WB's marketing push for MOS. They managed to get a Superman reboot to an 100+ opening.(I had it making a little over 90) If the marketing is the same or better for BvS, a 190+ opening is definitely possible

 

[mithravishnu]

I guess nobody really wanted to see Batman in 3d for the first time

 

[GreenKToo]

I liken BvS to the first avengers. A group of heroes together for the first time. This happens to be the first and imo, the best ones. It has the potential to break records, but time will tell if it can.

 

[antoineflemming]

I don't think BvS will break records. Justice League might break records though. I think BvS will pave the way for JL to break records.

 

[Pickleweasel]

I don't think BvS will break records. Justice League might break records though. I think BvS will pave the way for JL to break records.

It should fairly easily beat March and Easter weekend records

 

[antoineflemming]

It should fairly easily beat March and Easter weekend records

Oh, yeah. Wasn't even thinking about those.

 

[CommanderConnor]

Considering there aren't any films to rival BvS for all of April, I reckon it will make $1.2billion in total at the box office

 

[DlAMONDZ]

Worldwide numbers are kind hard considering Batman and Superman haven't exactly killed it oversees

BB and TDK made more domestically than oversees and MOS made like 45% of it's money domestically

 

[Marvin]

Would be pretty sad if BvS does end up surpassing these current numbers but falling short of the Star Wars one. WB's luck in a nutshell imo.