BOX-OFFICE potential in the Multiverse of Madness

[Webfoot Hero]

 

[psylockolussus]

wow $trange $ma$h!

 

[HammerDown]

Weekend BO numbers coming in for DS:MOM and extra data for comparison.

Thursday Previews
Spider-Man: NWH - 50M
Doctor Strange: MOM - 36M
Avengers: AOU - 27.6M
———//———
Friday (* Thursday Previews Included)
Spider-Man: NWH - 121M
Doctor Strange: MOM - “90M”
Avengers: AOU - 84M

Saturday
Spider-Man: NWH - 73M
Doctor Strange: MOM - “58M”
Avengers: AOU - 56M

Sunday
Spider-Man: NWH - 64M
Avengers: AOU - 50M
Doctor Strange: MOM - “42M”

Opening Weekend
Spider-Man: NWH - 260M
Avengers: AOU - 191M
Doctor Strange: MOM - “190M”

 

[Prison Mike]

I was hoping the movie would cross that $200M mark opening weekend but $190M is still great.

 

[Iceman]

$190m is massive! There’s going to be serious demand for the next Avengers type film if DS/SW can pull in numbers like this.

 

[Mysteryman]

$190m is massive! There’s going to be serious demand for the next Avengers type film if DS/SW can pull in numbers like this.

Especially, when you consider that the lowest estimates were around, 140 million.
Can you imagine?
That would have been, UGLY!

 

[Mysteryman]

Deadline is now reporting that it will be an estimated 190-194 million..
Worldwide total is 400 million.
That's almost the entire box-office haul for Eternals!

 

[HammerDown]

190M OW is truly incredible.
For a DS sequel nonetheless and even one with lukewarm critical reception, it just goes to show that the MCU’s popularity has kept on growing and that people are eager to come back to theatres and consume some of their favorite media.

This BO result has actually blind sided me, since I wasn’t expecting this do to these kind of numbers, I thought maybe around 150M or so but 190 is very surprising and very impressive. We are talking at an initial Avengers level BO result and I say this because I do think the number will fall considerably moving forward.

Regardless, this opening’s amazing results aren’t just because of 2 relatively popular MCU characters but also and in big part, because of the multiversal connections and long rumored surprising cameos that where announced which did attract a lot of people similarly to what SM:NWH did.

In the end of the day this great BO result goes to show that despite a few bumps in the roads, the MCU is still very much alive and can bring in record setting numbers for some of their franchises, which should really blow the BO doors away with the next Avengers level event.

 

[OroroGambitFan]

I think after a massive opening weekend (it will hit $200M easily), it's going to have a hefty second weekend drop even without much competition. It doesn't have the NWH word of mouth and multiverse novelty, but neither is it in Eternals territory. Probably a final multiplier closer to Avengers: Age of Ultron.

It's not just the scarier aspects that will hurt it with conservative families, the movie is all over the place plot-wise and the cameos are becoming gimmicky. If Marvel Studios doesn't learn certain lessons, people are going to tune out and look for something fresher. Remember how Pixar used to be the gold standard for feature animation in North America? Marvel is going to hit that plateau with CBM releases and limited streaming series tie-ins.

Yawn!! Here we go again people prematurely predicting the end of Marvel yet the facts are not indicative of any of that dribble, might be more wishful thinking for some. Even Eternals was one of only 9 movies the entire year last year to gross over 400 million. Not a success by Marvel standard but being the 9th highest grossing movie of the year makes it a success comparatively speaking for 2021!

all this talk of mixed reactions hurting the box office and a B+ Cinema score— I’m saying it won’t matter and this is heading toward 1 Billion but time will tell for us all in a short time who is right and who was wrong. If I’m wrong it won’t be the first nor last time, but I’m willing to be ur left pinky toe I’m right!!

 

[InCali]

Some people will likely make a big deal if doesn't make $1 billion but without noting it didn't open in China, Russia, and the Middle East. Those are some pretty decent-sized markets to lose in a still recovering theater market after all the COVID restrictions.

Exactly my point. If you are using the amount of money made as a gauge of popularity, it's best to compare apples to apples; and in this case, it can be done because all you have to do is get a pretty good gauge on what the missing markets would have brought. It's also the reason you can't compare Star Wars (ANH), for example, to Avengers:EG or Gone with the Wind.

If you are using $$$ just to compare $$$, then it doesn't matter who did or didn't show the movie.

 

[Gothamsknight]

This is insane!

 

[InCali]

Latest reports I have are that it's on its way to between 194-197M. Disney reported 57.5M on Saturday, which, as others have noted here, is probably a little bit on the low side. That's Avengers level territory. OS numbers are just as strong and the first WEEKEND WW is expected to be around 450M. Those are eye popping numbers.

 

[Mysteryman]

Tiny Revision.
Deadline now estimates the worldwide total for Dr Strange to be $450 million dollars

 

[InCali]

This is insane!

I had it pegged at about 185M, but think when all is said and done, I'll have come in a little bit on the low side.

 

[InCali]

Tiny Revision.
Deadline now estimates the worldwide total for Dr Strange to be $450 million dollars

Gotcha by about 30 seconds.

 

[Mysteryman]

You know who is over the moon right now?
Taika Waititi.
BRING ON THE THUNDER!
With of course, all of the Love & Might of Jane Foster.

 

[Mysteryman]

Gotcha by about 30 seconds.

Yeah, I saw that.
My first thought was "BEAT ME TO IT!"!

 

[JKKS085]

450M opening. Needs a 2.22 multiplier to reach 1B. Would be very surprised if it doesn’t get there (barring any unforeseen issue with the pandemic or state of international affairs). Even with some expected frontloading it should have enough juice to get there, especially because it’s gonna have very few competition for several weeks.

 

[kguillou]

I’m happy for Raimi, he had to have had trepidations about doing this project after Spiderman 3 but with this being a big success hopefully that means he’s here to stay for more MCU projects.

 

[InCali]

So, I think the 185M DOM OW number being widely thrown out there is low and here's why.....

As we sit here now, the movie has grossed about 148M with a Saturday take of 58M. The drop off you see on Sundays is generally in the 20-25% range maybe a little higher (Sonic) or maybe lower (NWH). If you figure 25% drop off from Saturday, the number would be 43.5M for Sunday. That would put it at just over 191M. 20% would put it at about 195M. In order for it to hit the 185M number, the Sunday drop would have to be in the range of 37% and I just don't see that happening. It's possible, but seems unlikely.

 

[Web-Head]

Box Office: ‘Doctor Strange 2’ Flies to Stunning $185M Opening – The Hollywood Reporter

 

[Iceman]

Wonder how L&T will do compared for these numbers.

 

[InCali]

Wonder how L&T will do compared for these numbers.

Yeah....me too. Hard to say. I'd guess a little bit lower, but they may have some surprises for us. I think it would help some, if the events of this movie were to play into L&T, but don't know if that's happening. This seems like something that might do well to stand on its own.

 

[legendkillin]

Wonder how L&T will do compared for these numbers.

4th of July weekend in US so it will probably do well. Thor is a much different tone too since it sells him as fun and comedy. It will do well money wise and general audience sees the GOTG in the trailer too and remember he left with them. It will do well BO wise.

 

[InCali]

4th of July weekend in US so it will probably do well. Thor is a much different tone too since it sells him as fun and comedy. It will do well money wise and general audience sees the GOTG in the trailer too and remember he left with them. It will do well BO wise.

That sounds reasonable. My guess is that it may well have better legs, but might open a little bit lower OW.