Ant-Man Box Office Predictions - Part 1

[JKKS085]

The original release date was November 6th before Spectre took that spot and Disney decided to release Star Wars VII in December. Unfortunately there weren't many options left.
I think the main issue with both Marvel's release this year is that they all came after big breakouts (overseas for Furious 7 & worldwide for Jurassic World) that dried the market up. Ant-Man is doing pretty good all things considered in a crowded month, especially with strong holdovers attracting families (IO, JW, Minions fortunately not that strong for the last one). Now here's hoping it's going to manage another decent drop next week end against MI:RN.

 

[kedrell]

It could have done Thor2 numbers. I'd say that's about the limit for s first start but it could have if all the stars had aligned for it. But it had some bumps along the way and so it probably won't make it there but it still can possibly make Cap1 or Thor1 numbers which was good enough to start them off toward each having a billion dollar franchise.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Given the glut of "family" fare in theaters now -- Jurassic World, Minions, Pixels, Inside Out -- it's a bit amazing to me that Ant-Man is doing as well as it is.

 

[Docker2.0]

Given the glut of "family" fare in theaters now -- Jurassic World, Minions, Pixels, Inside Out -- it's a bit amazing to me that Ant-Man is doing as well as it is.

Bah! Why are we listening to you? You're just some old guy!


















See what I did there?

 

[kedrell]

I'm really starting to hate Universal. Bad enough that they are holding the distribution rights to Hulk hostage but sucking all the oxygen out of the room this year(especially when it doesn't make any sense as to why ) is annoying as hell.

 

[Docker2.0]

I always thought Universal was an extension of Disney. I guess because Universal Studios is a part of Disney World. Guess I was wrong huh?

 

[GL's Light]

Nah, good for Universal for their resurgence.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Bah! Why are we listening to you? You're just some old guy!

See what I did there?

Yup. Now got offa my lawn! t:

 

[DJ_KiDDvIcIOUs]

I always thought Universal was an extension of Disney. I guess because Universal Studios is a part of Disney World. Guess I was wrong huh?

Uh, not sure where you got that from but Universal Studios is not part of Disney World. They are direct competitors and have been as far as I've known

 

[Docker2.0]

Uh, not sure where you got that from but Universal Studios is not part of Disney World. They are direct competitors and have been as far as I've known

I could have sworn I just said that.


But is Universal Studios part of Disney World or is it just a name that Disney uses for one of their places?

 

[LucDisfilm19]

Deadline also seems to think Ant-Man might finish its worldwide total with $500M WW. I don't think it's out of the realm just yet. Here's the link to where they say it for proof: http://deadline.com/2015/07/pixels-paper-towns-southpaw-trainwreck-ant-man-box-office-1201484974/.

 

[Raiden]

Good to see Ant-Man retaining its #1 spot for the second week, even though they only beat a movie like Pixels by about 4 million. I hope that even after MI5 comes out, Ant-Man will perform well on a week-to-week basis to make over 150 mil domestically.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

I still however believe Ant-Man will pass $450M worldwide, enough to push the entire Marvel Cinematic Universe past $9 billion worldwide.

 

[GL's Light]

Good to see Ant-Man retaining its #1 spot for the second week, even though they only beat a movie like Pixels by about 4 million.

It beat Pixels by about three-quarters of a million this weekend.

 

[Raiden]

It beat Pixels by about three-quarters of a million this weekend.

I must have misread the box office figures then. My bad.

 

[Kirk Langstrom]

Given the glut of "family" fare in theaters now -- Jurassic World, Minions, Pixels, Inside Out -- it's a bit amazing to me that Ant-Man is doing as well as it is.

Same here. Confirms the clout that Marvel brand name has....

 

[VictorDomashev]

Ant-Man beat Pixels ? On top of that it is #1 two weeks in a row ? Some faith in the American Movie Going Audience is restored here. Enjoy your Netflix career Adam Sandler. The real test will be of course the success or failure of a certain movie coming out in two weeks

 

[GL's Light]

From Deadline Hollywood:

With a further $35.4M in 48 overseas territories (61% of the footprint) Ant-Man now has an offshore colony of $120.4M. The 2nd session for the little insect with big powers had new openings in Germany and Spain, along with Scandinavia, Austria, Hungary, the Netherlands, India and Vietnam. In holds, UK audiences especially had their antennae tuned to Paul Rudd and his shrinking turn in the Disney/Marvel title. The territory leads international with $14.7M to date. A-M was the No. 2 movie in its sophomore outing, coming behind cousin Inside Out which just opened in the market this frame.

Latin America is also strong with Mexico ($10.5M) and Brazil ($8.4M) placing No. 2 and 4 in the rankings thus far. Across the Asia-Pacific region, Ant-Man is expected to be No. 1 in all markets except Russia, dropping just 17% in Taiwan and 31% in Hong Kong, and surpassing the 11-day cume of Guardians Of The Galaxy in both territories. In new openings, Vietnam brought Ant-Man the 7th biggest debut weekend of all time. The Peyton Reed-helmed film notably still has Italy (August 12), Korea (September 3), Japan (September 19) and China yet to conquer (unconfirmed reports put China on September 18).

 

[Vincanws]

China BO
Ant-Man: $65-75,000,000 ?

 

[SomeOldGuy]

China BO
Ant-Man: $65-75,000,000 ?

Maybe more. Before Ant-Man came out I looked at the costume and thought that it looked like about a million other costume-and-helmet Chinese and Japanese superheroes and wondered if that would be a plus. Based on early results from Taiwan and HK it looks like its caught on.

But...we're still waiting on a China release date...

 

[JtheDreamer]

Still playing at the IMAX theaters here around the Phoenix area.

 

[Mysteryman]

Even though it wasn't filmed in IMAX,MI:RN was later converted to IMAX .
So, expect to lose at least some of those screens next weekend .

 

[Flint Marko]

Lol at everyone last weekend claiming that the results were "such a disappointment".

 

[Dark Raven]

So is it doing better than CA: TFA so far?

 

[NotSoLongAgo]

I could have sworn I just said that.


But is Universal Studios part of Disney World or is it just a name that Disney uses for one of their places?

It's called Hollywood studios not universal.

Glad to see Marvel's "first flop" doing so well