The Force Awakens Early Star Wars 7 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Oh....I was talking about DC/Marvel stuff, but like both. Just wondered.

There isn't an issue between us. I've had a good time on here talking to you guys.

Do I find this convo to be uncomfortable? Yeah because it's nothing but a dick measuring contest between unrelated properties and I don't have a dick. What's going to happen at the box office is what's going to happen.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

The best thing about box office threads is when posters who haven't ever followed a movie, decide they know what the numbers are going to be.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

The best thing about box office threads is when posters who haven't ever followed a movie, decide they know what the numbers are going to be.

Yeah that's like me stepping into a Deadpool thread and saying...anything really. I really have zero interest in that film, it's not even interesting enough for me to predict.

Just so it doesn't look like I'm just picking on Fox, I don't care about Thor 3, GOTG 2 (Darth is going to be mad at me for that one) or Shazam either. Some things I don't give a **** about.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Yeah that's like me stepping into a Deadpool thread and saying...anything really. I really have zero interest in that film, it's not even interesting enough for me to predict.

Just so it doesn't look like I'm just picking on Fox, I don't care about Thor 3, GOTG 2 (Darth is going to be mad at me for that one) or Shazam.

Why would I be mad about you not caring about GotG2? It is not like you mentioned Star Wars.

But you better be hyped for Sherlock as Dr Strange. t:

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Why would I be mad about you not caring about GotG2? It is not like you mentioned Star Wars.

But you better be hyped for Sherlock as Dr Strange. t:

I think Doctor Strange is going to be awesome. Love Benedict Cumberbatch, love his costume. I'm super excited for that film.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

I think Doctor Strange is going to be awesome. Love Benedict Cumberbatch, love his costume. I'm super excited for that film.

 

[Drizzle]

"Dear JJ Abrams, it is on."

I'm just kidding, I haven't read any statements from him.

He'll probably just shrug and say, "I'll get the title back when Avatar 2 comes out."

For reference, this was sent to James Cameron by George Lucas when Titanic passed Star Wars as the top grossing film of all time back in 1998:

 

[Kahran Ramsus]

Well, yeah. Some people are trying to have an honest discussion on IMDb but they're drowned out by others who just want to pick fights and slam the movie.

Hence, why I never go to the IMDB forums. IMDB is truly a wretched hive of scum and villainy.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Hence, why I never go to the IMDB forums. IMDB is truly a wretched hive of scum and villainy.

The place is totally overrun by mean and hateful people. And lets be honest people, if you are a huge *****e online then you are *****e in real life. They have done studies and that as much.

 

[spiderman2]

I don't think anyone thinks it will. I don't think it'll get to Avengers #s, but if it's super well received, maybe. I didn't like the original trailers much, but like what I've seen lately (at TFAs shows t: ).

I think it will do avenger numbers maybe slightly better

 

[spiderman2]

I think Doctor Strange is going to be awesome. Love Benedict Cumberbatch, love his costume. I'm super excited for that film.

He does look like doctor strange that is for sure.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

All I will say that I'm sure it won't do as well as TFA, outside of that I'm not going to predict Rogue One box office.

 

[spiderman2]

JW made an additional $150 million after 18 days. It's possible but we'd have to see.

So if star wars does the same it would end at 908m USA but most likely it has better legs.

Fandango did a poll about the most anticipated movie for 2016.

1. Star Wars Rogue One
2. Finding Dory
3. Batman vs. Superman

I just feel there isn't that type of buzz for it.

If BvS does 1.5 billion it should be grateful. I discussed this in another thread if it doesn't even make 1 billion, I don't think that's a success.

If it dosnt do 1 billion that would be like a flop.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

A flop is a movie that doesn't make money for the studio, it's a movie that loses money. Fantastic Four, Tomorrowland and Pan are flops. People throw out that word without knowing what it means.

 

[spiderman2]

Not sure I agree on this. 1B is a LOT of money for a movie to make. I would expect it to up MoS by a substantial margin, but the only Marvel movies that pulled in over 1B were the Avengers movies and IM3 (which I didn't hate, but thought GotG was much better). IM3 was certainly pulled up by the Avengers. BvS doesn't really have that going for it. Of the DC movies, only TDK, hit 1B.

If everything goes well, I expect JL could be something approaching the Avengers.

TDKR made a billion 2 and also it did it with out 3d. Batman vs superman is going to be in 3d right? So that means higher ticket prices.

 

[spiderman2]

It really is. There is no bigger fanbase than Star Wars. Not Marvel. Not DC. Not Tolkien. Not Star Trek. Not James Bond. Not Harry Potter. Nothing.

Yeah I mean a movie people hated in episode 1 made like 950m and that was with out 3d and in 1999 a time when movies didn't really do much more then like 900m. I would say the closet would be harry potter and LOTR when it comes to the fanbase.

 

[spiderman2]

A flop is a movie that doesn't make money for the studio, it's a movie that loses money. Fantastic Four, Tomorrowland and Pan are flops. People throw out that word without knowing what it means.

Ok sure but if a movie with both superman and batman makes less money then a batman movie did in knight and rises and with 3d to witch knight and rises didn't have that would be consider a big dissapontment.

 

[spiderman2]

Yep, it's still ahead of Jurassic World's 3rd week weekday numbers by a good bit and that's after already making Avatar money in only 2 weeks. If it only holds as well as Jurassic World from here on out, it will still have $150 million the tank domestically.

When you say it is still ahead of Jurassic world 3erd week weekday number like how much ahead are we talking about?

 

[flickchick85]

I think Doctor Strange is going to be awesome. Love Benedict Cumberbatch, love his costume. I'm super excited for that film.

I recently realized the Doctor Strange is now my most anticipated CBM of this year, and don't even know when that happened. Probably around the time they cast Chiwetel Ejiofor and Queen Tilda.

When you say it is still ahead of Jurassic world 3erd week weekday number like how much ahead are we talking about?

A few hundred thousand. JW made $7.47 million on its equivalent Tuesday.

 

[spiderman2]

I recently realized the Doctor Strange is now my most anticipated CBM of this year, and don't even know when that happened. Probably around the time they cast Chiwetel Ejiofor and Queen Tilda.


A few hundred thousand. JW made $7.47 million on its equivalent Tuesday.

Oh what are the odds that this movie can make more after day 18 then Jurassic world did then? Are we looking at not much higher then the 150 USA that Jurassic world did?

 

[DKDetective]

A few hundred thousand. JW made $7.47 million on its equivalent Tuesday.

Yeah, but both Monday and I believe the Wednesday estimates have been a couple million higher. TFA just didn't get a bargain Tuesday bump like JW.

 

[flickchick85]

Yeah, but both Monday and I believe the Wednesday estimates have been a couple million higher. TFA just didn't get a bargain Tuesday bump like JW.

This is also true.

Oh what are the odds that this movie can make more after day 18 then Jurassic world did then? Are we looking at not much higher then the 150 USA that Jurassic world did?

Those daily differences add up, so I'd say it will have a noticeably stronger run as the days go on.

 

[spiderman2]

Yeah, but both Monday and I believe the Wednesday estimates have been a couple million higher. TFA just didn't get a bargain Tuesday bump like JW.

Want so 3erd week day Monday and wesday for TFA where a few million higher then JW?

 

[spiderman2]

This is also true.


Those daily differences add up, so I'd say it will have a noticeably stronger run as the days go on.

Yeah I guess slowly but surely that addes up. I mean if it was just 300000 a day that would be like 2.1 million more in a week.

 

[InCali]

There isn't an issue between us. I've had a good time on here talking to you guys.

Do I find this convo to be uncomfortable? Yeah because it's nothing but a dick measuring contest between unrelated properties and I don't have a dick. What's going to happen at the box office is what's going to happen.

I didn't think so. My post was just a tad earlier than yours and I didn't know whether your quick reply was referring to me.

I haaate measurement contests for a couple of reasons. The first is that I did measuring and analyzing for a lot longer (no pun intended) than I'd like to admit. Secondly, I've been told that I have little or no balls. Little I can deal with, but none is just blatantly untrue.