The Force Awakens Early Star Wars 7 Box Office Prediction Thread

[InCali]

Sadly that's regular old 2D my friend. Plus an extra $1.50 for booking fee. so about $16.25 in US currency. There were 6 sessions prior, 12.25am was the earliest 2D sessions. I ain't watching this in 3D.

wha....wha????



Cinemark XD 3D showing on an 86' screen with Atmos sound. Early bird showing at 9:00am on Friday......$12.50. It's a nice theater with good picture and sound (dual Barco 4K projectors), but not quite on par with IMAX.

Of course the good seats are already gone.

I hope parking is free for you......

EDIT: Cinemark 2D, early bird digital, reserved seating (very comfortable high back seats and a larger than normal screen).......$7.50 (seniors and children under $5.00) and, no, I don't work for Cinemark; though I've reviewed a couple of their theaters on my website. This theater is at

http://www.cloudvistas.com/movie-th...the-cinemark-xd-theater-howard-hughes-center/

and some good seats are still available for some showings in 2D.....and prolly 3D too, but I haven't checked.

This theater complex has like 40 showings on Friday and a lot of them (including DBOX showings) are sold out. Crazy....just crazy....

 

[InCali]

I'm thinking it's almost a given that it's going to gross over $1.5 billion worldwide.

If the general consensus is that it's a great movie, though, I really do think this will become the biggest money-making film ever.

That, IMO, is a slam dunk.

 

[JOE]

This movie has the, "I'm going to go see it again" factor. Your basic fundamentals for box office legs.

 

[InCali]

This movie has the, "I'm going to go see it again" factor. Your basic fundamentals for box office legs.

Along with a killer (ie Avatarlike, including Chipmunks) time corridor. I suspect people will be rethinking the Dec - Feb release dates.

 

[Sevprince]

Good luck to the Force Awakens. May the force be with you. Break them all even my precious HP record.
http://www.the-numbers.com/news/210140830-Eight-Records-Star-Wars-Needs-to-Break

 

[Dragon_316ca]

Disney will quietly open STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS in an estimated 3,900+ theaters next weekend...

https://***********/ERCboxoffice/status/675043839573405700

Isn't that number kinda low?

 

[Sevprince]

I think that is just estimate. Actual would be higher I assume.

 

[Snow Queen]

Considering "quietly", are we sure that isn't a joke?

 

[InCali]

Considering "quietly", are we sure that isn't a joke?

Well, since they originally were talking 4500, that "relatively" quiet and over 200 less than JW. Frankly, that doesn't sound quite right to me......

 

[Greens]

Avatar "only" opened in 3,452 theaters.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Time of the year matters. Also, what makes a difference is number of screens and number of showings. TFA is opening around the clock in a lot of places.

 

[Jedi-Spirit]

So with a week to go, the predictions from reliable outlets range from 180-240 million, something has to give...Only two movies outside of summer season openings have cracked the top 10, those being the first two hunger games...each opened on about 4150 screens...

 

[InCali]

Avatar "only" opened in 3,452 theaters.

There is a very, very small chance that we are going to see Avatarlike legs for virtually ANY movie anytime soon. EVERYTHING has to click for something like that to happen. It's like catching 3 or 4 lightning bolts in a bottle.

In any case, my jaw will be scraping the floor for the next year if TFA pulls off anything close to a 10x multiplier. That would just be whack.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Star Wars won't need those kind of legs, because the opening will be much larger.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

It's not getting a 10x multiplier.

That would result in over 2 billion domestic, lol.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

It's not getting a 10x multiplier.

That would result in over 2 billion domestic, lol.

But imagine if it did.

 

[jmc]

wha....wha????

You want to know the crazy thing? 2 years ago the Australia dollar was worth the same as the US dollar, so I was paying the equivalent of $19-$20 USD for regular 2D theatre tickets.

 

[Octoberist]

There is a very, very small chance that we are going to see Avatarlike legs for virtually ANY movie anytime soon. EVERYTHING has to click for something like that to happen. It's like catching 3 or 4 lightning bolts in a bottle.

In any case, my jaw will be scraping the floor for the next year if TFA pulls off anything close to a 10x multiplier. That would just be whack.

I think Avatar was an anomaly that no one can explain. Even for the folks who liked it probably wonder why it made so much money. Let's face it, no one really talks about it anymore. It's like it existed in a vacuum that imploded in 2009-2010..and that was it.

I think there are factors..3D was being pushed (and now ti's passe)....it open just when Marvel was barely setting their movies up....it was colorful and fantastical..

 

[Sithborg]

You want to know the crazy thing? 2 years ago the Australia dollar was worth the same as the US dollar, so I was paying the equivalent of $19-$20 USD for regular 2D theatre tickets.

Damn Australia tax.

 

[InCali]

Star Wars won't need those kind of legs, because the opening will be much larger.

It's not getting a 10x multiplier.

That would result in over 2 billion domestic, lol.

I completely get that. My statement that SWTFA wouldn't get a 10x multiplier was in response to the comment that Avatar opened with fewer screens. Avatar may have opened to fewer screens, but its week 2 drop was like 1%. Word got out about it and people were going nuts. If TFA is really, really good, we still wouldn't see anything like that because it looks as if it'll open to over 200M DOM (if there was just a 1% drop 2nd week for TFA, consider my mind boggled....). My earlier prediction was based on 4500 screens (which is what I read). If it's lower, I'll have to downgrade that.

 

[Sida]

Around 2 billions.

 

[InCali]

So now I'm reading that SW will only open to about 3900 screens. That would mean that in order to hit about 210M, it would need to garner about 53K per screen. That's about 10% more than JW (which opened to almost 400 more screens). I think that's possible as it's playing around the clock on opening weekend, but I can't see it doing much more than that. Originally I said maybe 230M, but don't think that's going to happen. In order to hit that mark, it would have to have a per screen average of about 10% in excess of JW ($58K per screen) and I don't see that happening.

Everyone should also know that I am notoriously bad at predicting this sort of thing.

 

[Mysteryman]

Whats the weather forecast like in the United States next weekend?
Any storms expected?

 

[Sithborg]

Winter has taken a holiday.

 

[OtherwiseKnownAs]

Whats the weather forecast like in the United States next weekend?
Any storms expected?

I can't speak for the entirety of the US, but where I'm from it's been unseasonably warm, when there would've been at least one snowfall by now.