Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

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I SEE SPIDEY said:
Depending on how it does today I wouldn't be surprised if GL had a Hulk like drop. I'm almost there anyway.
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It did 3.75M Thursday. I don't think it can pass either Hulk movie or either Fantastic Four movie at this point. The one that is closest among those is TIH, which has a 4M lead over GL heading into the second weekend.
 
So not even Ryan Reynolds can save this at the box office? That's honestly why I have zero interest in this movie...despite all the negative criticism I've been reading on the web.

Ryan Reynolds is a tad bit overrated and he's never really starred in a great movie (to my knowledge). Once he was casted, I pretty much had a good idea the direction this movie was heading. Seems Batman and Superman are the only two properties DC Comics is willing to take serious (well, I thoroughly enjoyed Watchmen which is grossly underrated).

Note to Hollywood...Ryan Reynolds is just a nice body and pretty smile, but his talent is best suited for straight to DVD releases.
 
Marvin,

WB tends not to micromanage. Just look at the output from Eastwood, Nolan, Snyder, and Ritche.

But, and as a fan of the studio, there's been a slight disturbing trend at WB in the last two years. Clash of the Titans, Terminator Salvation, and now Green Lantern are victims of the studios butting in. WB didn't use to do that a few years ago. That's why it has gotten the reputation of being one of the best if not the best studio for director's. They're very director friendly over there.

But, I can't deny the troubling signs in the last two years, especially with those three films I've mention.
 
J.Howlett said:
Marvin,

WB tends not to micromanage. Just look at the output from Eastwood, Nolan, Snyder, and Ritche.

But, and as a fan of the studio, there's been a slight disturbing trend at WB in the last two years. Clash of the Titans, Terminator Salvation, and now Green Lantern are victims of the studios butting in. WB didn't use to do that a few years ago. That's why it has gotten the reputation of being one of the best if not the best studio for director's. They're very director friendly over there.

But, I can't deny the troubling signs in the last two years, especially with those three films I've mention.
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what is the cause of this shift?
 
true, but I was referring to the Marvel level of having a creative producer associated with the brand ala fiege.
 
Mysteryman,

That's what I want to know. It can't just be with Jeff Robinov taking over. He's been there a while.

I honestly wish I knew because the original Terminator Salvation and Clash of the Titans edits, if you've read up on them, were superior to what we got and you can see glimpses of it in each film...just as you can with Lantern. With those two films, you can feel something was off right from the get go. With Lantern, it took about 50 minutes in before you started to really feel the choppiness of it.
 
Chewy said:
It did 3.75M Thursday. I don't think it can pass either Hulk movie or either Fantastic Four movie at this point. The one that is closest among those is TIH, which has a 4M lead over GL heading into the second weekend.
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Predictions about the net is that it's headed for minimum 65% drop but could see 70%!!!!

Under $20m weekend for sure it seems, regardless of how Cars2 does.
 
Cain said:
I could say the same about Thor or the X-Men (I don't like the X movies but some have been fairly popular & quite well received). At the end of the day there is potential in the concept. No concept is too "questionable" if it's handled correctly. For christs sake look at Batman & Robin and The Dark Knight both based around the SAME general concept. Yet clearly one was much more successful at projecting that concept based on it's execution than the other. If executed right GL could've been MAJOR. This is why people made Star Wars comparisons cause it has THAT type of potential. However in the end the execution was not what it should've been to say the least and now WB is facing the consequences of that decision making.
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Ok..let's re -examine that statement for a second...and try not to analyze the concepts as comic fans...but as one of the average moviegoers.

X-men--super powered freaks who can shoot laser and one of them a Clint Eastwood type guy with metal claws.

Thor---- A viking with big hammer

batman---scary guy dressed like Dracula

Now...green lantern... i know if you're at least familiar with GL concepts, you'll be excited thinking Aliens! green lantern corps!

If you're an average joe, you'll probably think: green lantern--- a guy with a magic ring...and that's it.That's all they gonna remember from this 'GL concept'. All those things about GL that we--comic fans- thinks are cool, like Aliens with magic ring...and the oath...oh god, the GL oath...all f those are just gonna seems like hokey crap to the average people.

And of course...this is all just my opinion.
 
Power Rings = Wonder Twins


Unless of course it is de Precious............ My PreeAAAAciOuSSSSSS!
 
J.Howlett said:
Marvin,

WB tends not to micromanage. Just look at the output from Eastwood, Nolan, Snyder, and Ritche.

But, and as a fan of the studio, there's been a slight disturbing trend at WB in the last two years. Clash of the Titans, Terminator Salvation, and now Green Lantern are victims of the studios butting in. WB didn't use to do that a few years ago. That's why it has gotten the reputation of being one of the best if not the best studio for director's. They're very director friendly over there.

But, I can't deny the troubling signs in the last two years, especially with those three films I've mention.
Click to expand...

That's why I asked earlier if there have been any 'director's cuts' of WB movies recently (Watchmen, as someone pointed out).
 
KalMart said:
That's why I asked earlier if there have been any 'director's cuts' of WB movies recently (Watchmen, as someone pointed out).
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Director's Cuts are dependent on the director, not the studio. Snyder films so much extra footage that he knows won't make it into his films' theatrical releases. Campbell, on the other hand, does not. Green Lantern is a special circumstance because they DID film footage that wasn't used; but that footage never got the effects treatment. Which would mean WB has to fork over extra cash to finish those effects.
 
^Except for Sucker Punch. His extended cut, which I've seen, was going to be the theatrical cut but he was under contract to deliver a PG-13 rating. And because of the "love scene" between Baby Doll and High Roller, the MPAA gave it an R.

Having seen the "love scene", the MPAA are stupid. Even with the extra bits of violence, Sucker Punch extended cut is still PG-13 movie. There's nothing R about that film in its long form.
 
J.Howlett said:
^Except for Sucker Punch. His extended cut, which I've seen, was going to be the theatrical cut but he was under contract to deliver a PG-13 rating. And because of the "love scene" between Baby Doll and High Roller, the MPAA gave it an R.

Having seen the "love scene", the MPAA are stupid. Even with the extra bits of violence, Sucker Punch extended cut is still PG-13 movie. There's nothing R about that film in its long form.
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There was also the time constraint. WB wanted him to cut the film down by at least 10 minutes before it was released.
 
Poni_Boy said:
Director's Cuts are dependent on the director, not the studio.
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Yeah, I know...which is why I asked since WB has a certain reputation of being 'director-friendly'. You'd think if that were the case...the majority of movies coming out ARE the director's cuts, so there's no real incentive for the director to want another version released. In GL's case, as discussed earlier, there were apparently issues with effects not being finished which forced certain shots not to be present....whether a director wants it or not.
 
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KalMart said:
Yeah, I know...which is why I asked since WB has a certain reputation of being 'director-friendly'. You'd think if that were the case...the majority of movies coming out ARE the director's cuts, so there's no real incentive for et director to want another version released. In GL's case, as discussed earlier, there were apparently issues with effects not being finished which forced certain shots not to be present....whether a director wants it or not.
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Circle gets the square
 
The other thing about 'director's cut' is that there might be quite a few movies out there that the directors would like to go back and recut here and there....but if they don't own the movies, they might never get access to it again after it's been mastered and released/distributed. Even if the owning studio would be okay with the idea, the offline edit may be long gone, with the editor/post house on another show, same with the sound designers, and so on.

The unfortunate thing is that some folks out there kinda' don't quite get that an 'extended' or 'director's' cut isn't quite something that you just press a few buttons, and get mastered/released on DVD through the same studio, lickety-split. If it's not consciously prepared during the main edit for theatrical, it might be a considerable cost to go back and unarchive the raw footage and make offline transcodes if you didn't take it off of HDCAM/Telecine, dig out an older edit session and relink, etc.. And then, if you wanted it all to look and sound good, they'd have to go through a whole new color-correct and sound mix, even for a straight-to-DVD release....if they wanted to do it right, and not have it look like some fan-edit just rearranging and inserting things.

Just as we've discussed unused, unfinished effects shots likely staying unfinished unless the studio pays for them to be finished...the same could apply to an earlier version of the edit, if they wanted to go back now and make another version. There's no guarantee that whatever editor/post house did it still have the sessions and footage in their systems/drives. So then it can come down to if it's all even worth it to whoever would want it.
 
jmc said:
Yikes, Bad Teacher is tracking better? :wow: Man, the percentage drop for this could be freakin' massive.
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People seem to dig comedies just a litle more than superheroes. "Bridesmaids" also topped "Thor".
 
Chewy said:
On Thor's third weekend.
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Either way, GL will be fighting with Super 8 for either third or fourth place at the BO this weekend. The predictions keep slipping down. First it was $23, then $20 and now $18. Sad :(
 
rogue trooper said:
Monday, right;). Still, quite before its third weekend.
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I just meant that it was not on Thor's second weekend. Which makes it an irrelevant comparison point when discussing Bad Teacher potentially outgrossing GL this weekend.
 
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