Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[dark_b]

first i dont think Tron toys are selling crazy like Cars.

second Cars made a lot of money . i just dont see how those toys could help.

third even if they get back their money then...........so what? is it our problem if they lose money?

 

[jj9126]

I think Green Lantern has a better chance than Superman Returns because even though Superman Returns is the stronger film, it really wasn't all that franchiseable.

However, Superman is Superman and The Green Lantern remains a character that probably wasn't popular or accessible enough to warrant a solo, big-budget franchise picture to begin with.

 

[Rock Sexton]

I agree, if a sequel is made, it's going to be more for the reasons why there is Cars 2 and Disney is prepping up Tron 3, they see franchise potential over the success of their predecessor films.


I think Green Lantern has a better chance than Superman Returns because even though Superman Returns is the stronger film, it really wasn't all that franchiseable. Many people saw Superman as a homewrecker, you really can't turn the supporting cast into merchandise, all you could really do was sell a very flawed Superman.

Green Lantern on the other hand has all sorts of action figures, a better video game, a hero that isn't as flawed as someone who has a bastard child being raised by another man, etc. He's easier to market to those little bastards we call children.

Huh? Man of Steel will not be a sequel to Superman Returns.

Trying to say Green Lantern is more franchise-able than the most recognized superhero on Earth is not quite objective.

 

[HaloCod27]

I really don't think Green Lantern is that marketable of a character. Sure, he'll sell some Dorito bags with his face on it, but I doubt come October 31 kids will be begging to go as Green Lantern.

 

[hippie_hunter]

Huh? Man of Steel will not be a sequel to Superman Returns.

Trying to say Green Lantern is more franchise-able than the most recognized superhero on Earth is not quite objective.

I'm not saying that Green Lantern is more franchise-able than Superman, just that Green Lantern is more franchise-able than a particular version of Superman.

If done properly, Superman blows Green Lantern away in various marketing potential. I think that Man of Steel will provide a very franchise-able version Superman.

 

[hippie_hunter]

first i dont think Tron toys are selling crazy like Cars.

second Cars made a lot of money . i just dont see how those toys could help.

third even if they get back their money then...........so what? is it our problem if they lose money?

The main reason why Cars 2 is being made is because it is one of Disney's hottest properties despite being one of Pixar's lowest grossing films. If the Cars IP acted like the Cars movie, I doubt we'd be seeing a sequel.

Cars in the box office acted a lot like Superman Returns, it just didn't deliver what Pixar is usually capable of. Just like how a Superman film should bring in a lot more money than what Superman Returns brought in. However, Cars is a merchandising bonanza. Superman Returns on the other hand, just can't deliver a lot of merchandise.

 

[hippie_hunter]

At least there is finally some good news for Green Lantern's underperforming box office:

“The mid-weeks will tell us where the film will go and if we move forward with a sequel,”

http://blogs.wsj.com/speakeasy/2011...-day-weekend-box-office/?mod=google_news_blog

Last weekend's No. 1 film, Warner Bros.' "Green Lantern," has performed well midweek in the high $4 million range and is poised for a second weekend of around $20 million. This latest entry in the summer's superhero wars should have captured around $90 million in North American green by the end of the weekend.

http://abcnews.go.com/Entertainment/wireStory?id=13914026

 

[Denny67]

are you still holding out hope for that Superman Returns sequel?

No more than I was a G.I. Joe, Ghost Rider, or Wolverine sequel… oh wait.

 

[Paladin-Hoss]

So it's a certified bomb then..sigh...

It's still boggles my mind that DC decided to go ahead with GL. To me, GL is one of those thing that may have look great on paper ( comics), but absolutely questionable to bring on the big screen.

 

[jj9126]

No more than I was a G.I. Joe, Ghost Rider, or Wolverine sequel… oh wait.

Ghost Rider is only getting a bargain-basement sequel to hold the rights. GL will be lucky to make about 15-20 million more than Ghost Rider (without adjusting for inflation) at over double the cost.

Wolverine, while awful, made over 370M worldwide, certainly enough to justify a sequel. I don't think it was ever in question.

I will agree that there's zero explanation for GI Joe 2 other than "crazy".

 

[Cain]

So it's a certified bomb then..sigh...

It's still boggles my mind that DC decided to go ahead with GL. To me, GL is one of those thing that may have look great on paper ( comics), but absolutely questionable to bring on the big screen.

I could say the same about Thor or the X-Men (I don't like the X movies but some have been fairly popular & quite well received). At the end of the day there is potential in the concept. No concept is too "questionable" if it's handled correctly. For christs sake look at Batman & Robin and The Dark Knight both based around the SAME general concept. Yet clearly one was much more successful at projecting that concept based on it's execution than the other. If executed right GL could've been MAJOR. This is why people made Star Wars comparisons cause it has THAT type of potential. However in the end the execution was not what it should've been to say the least and now WB is facing the consequences of that decision making.

 

[Liam_H]

So it's a certified bomb then..sigh...

It's still boggles my mind that DC decided to go ahead with GL. To me, GL is one of those thing that may have look great on paper ( comics), but absolutely questionable to bring on the big screen.

Almost any comic book property has questionable elements that will look bad on screen. I don't know if anyone else agrees but the idea of green lantern is not really that silly. The corps are basically space cops and their rings are their guns. I find this to be such an interesting premise.
The idea of it being 'green' as their power was poorly explained in the movie. The intro they had at the start of the movie should've been removed and explained to Jordan when he first goes to Oa.

WB marketed this movie completely wrong from the beginning (the teaser in November) by not taking the material seriously. The first impression to the GA should've fully embraced the sci-fi roots. They were making it seem like a cheesy comedy as if this was the Jack Black version that was once considered. The bad CG made it even more laughable. If you don't present the material in a manner that makes it seem like its taking itself seriously then why would anyone watching do so.

 

[GreenKToo]

Just my opinion, but GL was waay to busy for an introduction/origin film..
The things we saw in GL should have been saved for a sequel.

 

[Karelia]

Me want sequel.

 

[Silver Surfer]

Forecast for next weekend according to Box office Mojo

The Forecast, June 24-26
1. Cars 2 - $59 million
2. Bad Teacher - $22.5 million
3. Green Lantern - $18.5 million
4. Super 8 - $12.5 million
5. Mr. Popper's Penguins - $11 million

 

[Dreadstar]

W@W! Bad teacher will defeat green lantern!! LMFAO

WHy does WB STINK when it comes to super hero movies?

Maybe its the old guys in suits at WB that are totally clueless as to their super hero characters.

 

[Rev]

That Box Office mojo forecast is very old. The current results are on the site and show Green Lantern ahead slightly in the #2 spot.

 

[Lighthouse]

That Box Office mojo forecast is very old. The current results are on the site and show Green Lantern ahead slightly in the #2 spot.

Link?

EDIT: Nevermind. Found it.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I'm giving GL a 66% drop but personally I wouldn't be surprised if it dropped harder than that.

 

[Diamondhead]

all I know is that it deserves to make money
I've seen it and for a first Green lantern movie it's pretty good and i'd like to see more

 

[Gamma Burst]

Both boxofficemojo and boxoffice predict it will make around 18M this weekend, falling to the 3rd spot.
Yeah, It is a flop.

 

[Silver Surfer]

So chances are GL will be third this weekend and when TF3 comes it will be fourth? DAMNNNNNN!

Heck with the legs super 8 has, I won`t be surprised if GL ends up in 5th place 10 days from now.

 

[jmc]

Yikes, Bad Teacher is tracking better? Man, the percentage drop for this could be freakin' massive.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Depending on how it does today I wouldn't be surprised if GL had a Hulk like drop. I'm almost there anyway.

 

[Marvin]

It's interesting to see these boards go from WB makes the best superhero films to thinking they make the worst.

WB doesn't micromanage like Marvel so if anything, it's on a creative team basis. Sometimes even on a project basis(no matter what the circumstances BB would never perform as good as ironman).

The superman team is wildcard.