Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[akfj]

well people keep brining up GL's budget and including some made up marketing number. Xmens production budget was 160 add in w/e marketing they spent they prolly didnt make much either. 123million domestic is not very good.

The budget is actually $135 million with tax breaks.

 

[bullets]

Regardless of the final numbers, I will be angry in 5 years if there is no GL sequel or follow up after getting Fantastic Four 2, Ghost Rider 2, a Daredevil Reboot and Elektra, and a Superman Reboot all on the heels of box office disappointments.

"I Know Right"

I'm all for a GL2 but alas it wasn't meant to be.

 

[Raiden]

The budget is actually $135 million with tax breaks.

But the marketing pushes the total budget to about 300 million, and this is one of the reasons why GL is not looking good to recoup its budget right now.

 

[Poni_Boy]

But the marketing pushes the total budget to about 300 million, and this is one of the reasons why GL is not looking good to recoup its budget right now.

I think he meant the XFC budget, but I may be wrong (that's how I read it)

Anyone who claims the GL budget is below $200 mil is out of their mind lol

 

[SuperAl]

how do you know how much the marketing costed, just cuz u read it online doesnt make it true, they only spent like a month marketing the film.

either way i hope they give it a sequel, keep the cast intact, possibly switch up the director. Maybe get jon favreau since hes off Iron Man now or someone who is familiar with using a lot of effects, believe it or not i think Snyder wouldve been a good option for this type of movie but hes on Man of Steel. i also hope they considering using a physical costume, the suit looked amazing on the close up shots but a lot of the wide shots looked weird. maybe part physical part cgi?

 

[KalMart]

how do you know how much the marketing costed, just cuz u read it online doesnt make it true, they only spent like a month marketing the film.

Less time can often cost you more money....as it did with the effects. Overtime, weekends, extra staff, subcontracting, etc.

 

[akfj]

But the marketing pushes the total budget to about 300 million, and this is one of the reasons why GL is not looking good to recoup its budget right now.

I was referring to X-Men: First Class. Sorry, I should have clarified.

 

[kedrell]

Wrong. Opening weekend: $55,101,604 on 3,641 screens (Fox estimate $50 mil). Current gross: $123,396,394 (Dom) $287,989,236 (WW). Production Budget: $160 million

And that wasn't with the use of any 3D revenue, you arguably you can say X-Men: First Class had more asses in seats than Thor or Green Lantern.

You can say that about GL and it's not really argueable at all. It's cold hard fact. XMFC put more butts in the seats.

But with Thor? No way is it possible it put more butts in the seats, domestic or OS. Even if you strip away Thor's 3-D advantage, it still will likely have made $75-100M more WW than XMFC.

 

[CaptainCraig]

The early number for GL's Wednesday is $3.9m, a 22% drop.

 

[Denny67]

Most of Latin America does not get GL until their opening day on June 30, Japan in July 22, Germany August 4th, Portugal July 28th, Sweden July 8th, France August 3rd, so on and so on. There is still a lot of money on the table, DVD sales, an merchandising deals. GL is not going to lose money as it is not just about domestic box office numbers. There will be a sequel.

 

[moviedoors]

Most of Latin America does not get GL until their opening day on June 30, Japan in July 22, Germany August 4th, Portugal July 28th, Sweden July 8th, France August 3rd, so on and so on. There is still a lot of money on the table, DVD sales, an merchandising deals. GL is not going to lose money as it is not just about domestic box office numbers. There will be a sequel.

I certainly don't think it's going to be a flop, but I'm not convinced we're going to be getting a sequel just yet.

 

[Delete]

Most of Latin America does not get GL until their opening day on June 30, Japan in July 22, Germany August 4th, Portugal July 28th, Sweden July 8th, France August 3rd, so on and so on. There is still a lot of money on the table, DVD sales, an merchandising deals. GL is not going to lose money as it is not just about domestic box office numbers. There will be a sequel.

are you still holding out hope for that Superman Returns sequel?

 

[Ita-KalEl]

The early number for GL's Wednesday is $3.9m, a 22% drop.

Simply terrible...

 

[jj9126]

Most of Latin America does not get GL until their opening day on June 30, Japan in July 22, Germany August 4th, Portugal July 28th, Sweden July 8th, France August 3rd, so on and so on.

Sure, but numbers in the territories where it has opened (United Kingdom and Asia) have mirrored America's ambivalence.

While I suppose it's possible that the film could have an amazing resurgence in Slovenia or something, that's probably not going to be enough to move the franchise forward.

Green Lantern's opening weekend is already affecting other films in development at Warner Brothers budget-wise. A friend of mine is involved in a production that was already hit this week.

 

[Cain]

It's making less and less money every day. It's a bomb. In 6 to 8 years time we'll probably see a Green Lantern reboot with a script by David Goyer.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

It's making less and less money every day. It's a bomb. In 6 to 8 years time we'll probably see a Green Lantern reboot with a script by David Goyer.

I am not looking forward to his meditations and ruminations on F E A R again.

 

[Rock Sexton]

It's making less and less money every day. It's a bomb. In 6 to 8 years time we'll probably see a Green Lantern reboot with a script by David Goyer.

 

[KalMart]

I'm still sticking to my original prediction from before the movie opened of around $145M domestic...but admittedly, that's looking overly optimistic these days.

 

[Energist]

Regardless of the final numbers, I will be angry in 5 years if there is no GL sequel or follow up after getting Fantastic Four 2, Ghost Rider 2, a Daredevil Reboot and Elektra, and a Superman Reboot all on the heels of box office disappointments.

Eh, the original Daredevil did pretty well financially actually, so I can see why Elektra was greenlit. And it's not like the Daredevil reboot is hot on the heels of the original like Hulk or Punisher: War Zone. It's been eight years since the original film debuted; six since Elektra, and the reboot is still in the very early developmental stages. I wouldn't expect it to get released until 2013, at the earliest.

So if Green Lantern gets a sequel or reboot within five years, consider yourself lucky.

 

[Tony Stark]

It's making less and less money every day. It's a bomb. In 6 to 8 years time we'll probably see a Green Lantern reboot with a script by David Goyer.

Just remember Goyer wrote the script for Blade Trinity, and was an executive producer on Ghost Rider. Not everything he does turns to gold.

 

[LadyVader]

Sure, but numbers in the territories where it has opened (United Kingdom and Asia) have mirrored America's ambivalence.

While I suppose it's possible that the film could have an amazing resurgence in Slovenia or something, that's probably not going to be enough to move the franchise forward.

Green Lantern's opening weekend is already affecting other films in development at Warner Brothers budget-wise. A friend of mine is involved in a production that was already hit this week.

Romania, don't forget Romania!
Release date: July 29th. Woo-hoo, can't wait!

 

[Cain]

Just remember Goyer wrote the script for Blade Trinity, and was an executive producer on Ghost Rider. Not everything he does turns to gold.

It was a joke. I've buried the guy too much on the Batman boards years ago to ever bother wasting time re-explaining why I think he's a hack. It just seems to be the only solution WB has with failed DC properties since Batman. It's like they have a glass box with the words "David Goyer Reboot" on it ready to be broken when they get beyond restless.

 

[KalMart]

It was a joke. I've buried the guy too much on the Batman boards years ago to ever bother wasting time re-explaining why I think he's a hack. It just seems to be the only solution WB has with failed DC properties since Batman. It's like they have a glass box with the words "David Goyer Reboot" on it ready to be broken when they get beyond restless.

David Goyer Hot Sauce?



When something lacks flavor...reach for the....

 

[hippie_hunter]

I certainly don't think it's going to be a flop, but I'm not convinced we're going to be getting a sequel just yet.

I agree, if a sequel is made, it's going to be more for the reasons why there is Cars 2 and Disney is prepping up Tron 3, they see franchise potential over the success of their predecessor films.

are you still holding out hope for that Superman Returns sequel?

I think Green Lantern has a better chance than Superman Returns because even though Superman Returns is the stronger film, it really wasn't all that franchiseable. Many people saw Superman as a homewrecker, you really can't turn the supporting cast into merchandise, all you could really do was sell a very flawed Superman.

Green Lantern on the other hand has all sorts of action figures, a better video game, a hero that isn't as flawed as someone who has a bastard child being raised by another man, etc. He's easier to market to those little bastards we call children.

 

[KalMart]

I agree, if a sequel is made, it's going to be more for the reasons why there is Cars 2 and Disney is prepping up Tron 3, they see franchise potential over the success of their predecessor films.

I think Green Lantern has a better chance than Superman Returns because even though Superman Returns is the stronger film, it really wasn't all that franchiseable. Many people saw Superman as a homewrecker, you really can't turn the supporting cast into merchandise, all you could really do was sell a very flawed Superman.

Green Lantern on the other hand has all sorts of action figures, a better video game, a hero that isn't as flawed as someone who has a bastard child being raised by another man, etc. He's easier to market to those little bastards we call children.

Those toys/mugs/t-shirts better sell like hotcakes, then. Go WalMart go!

Then of course, you'll be making another movie to address that...so instead of a richer, deeper, whatever film...we might be getting even more of a two-hour toy commercial disguised as a film. But hey, as long as there's a sequel, right?