Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[EliteF50]

I love how people are sweeping the fact under the rug, the fact that the movie has only been out for two days or three days.

Two or three days doesn't equal three months let alone two months.

Not to mention that it hasn't even released in the rest of the world yet.

 

[Rock Sexton]

Not to mention that it hasn't even released in the rest of the world yet.

The reviews have though .... and so have the results from here in the states. It's not like it's a universally themed property.

 

[Chewy]

Not to mention that it hasn't even released in the rest of the world yet.

It made half of what Thor and X-Men opened to in the UK; it made a fifth of what Thor and X-Men opened to in South Korea. These can't be viewed as anything but alarming signs.

 

[Sith Scotti]

It's not going to have amazing legs.

Of course its not going to have amazing legs . Xmen First Classs - supposedly another beloved marvel film dropped nearly 60 percent in week 2 ..... If GL does that we see that as sign of the end of dc films... But its ok for Xmen to have bad legs because it s not made by wb

 

[The Morningstar]

Where else is it left to open anyway? Can't be massive markets?

 

[Poni_Boy]

Not to mention that it hasn't even released in the rest of the world yet.

Show me a film that's profit increased exponentially over a period of 8 weeks (the standard theatrical release profit area) and I'll admit that GL has a chance in hell to make it's money back

 

[jmc]

Not to mention that it hasn't even released in the rest of the world yet.

Oh come on, you think the rest of the fans around the world haven't already seen the reaction to this movie? This isn't 1989, it's 2011, word spreads in minuets these days, globally.

 

[MadVillainy]

So Ive been out of the loop for some hours...I know GL made 52 mill. Is that good?

 

[jmc]

Where else is it left to open anyway? Can't be massive markets?

There's plenty, most of Europe, Australia, Sth America, Asia.

 

[jmc]

So Ive been out of the loop for some hours...I know GL made 52 mill. Is that good?

Relative to the $200 million budget and $150 million marketing. Nope.

 

[Chewy]

Of course its not going to have amazing legs . Xmen First Classs - supposedly another beloved marvel film dropped nearly 60 percent in week 2 ..... If GL does that we see that as sign of the end of dc films... But its ok for Xmen to have bad legs because it s not made by wb

X-Men dropped 55% in week 2, not 60%

 

[Chewy]

Where else is it left to open anyway? Can't be massive markets?

Almost every major market except for the UK and Russia.

 

[The Morningstar]

Of course its not going to have amazing legs . Xmen First Classs - supposedly another beloved marvel film dropped nearly 60 percent in week 2 ..... If GL does that we see that as sign of the end of dc films... But its ok for Xmen to have bad legs because it s not made by wb

No one is making excuses for First Class. It is a box office disappointment, no doubt.

But, Green Lantern is just on a whole new level. It had the benefit of 3D screens, First Class didn't. It had the benefit of one of, if not THE biggest marketing blitz ever. It had the benefit of a production budget that dwarfed First Class.

Fact is, Green Lantern needed to do gangbusters, it needed to do Iron Man numbers, minimum. It won't. It might not even make HALF of what Iron Man did. So it's failure is more shocking and down right embrassing than First Class.

 

[Raiden]

Of course its not going to have amazing legs . Xmen First Classs - supposedly another beloved marvel film dropped nearly 60 percent in week 2 ..... If GL does that we see that as sign of the end of dc films... But its ok for Xmen to have bad legs because it s not made by wb

If FC crashed & burned, there'll may be a greater chance for Marvel to get the X-Men rights back, so to me it's a win-win situation. Of course, the reality is that Marvel will never get the rights back because Fox won't ever give them up.

 

[jmc]

The only way Marvel gets Xmen back is if big papa Disney writes Fox a big fat payout cheque.

 

[MadVillainy]

Relative to the $200 million budget and $150 million marketing. Nope.

So...the hopes of non Bats/Supes movies are shattered?

 

[Chewy]

If FC crashed & burned, there'll may be a greater chance for Marvel to get the X-Men rights back, so to me it's a win-win situation. Of course, the reality is that Marvel will never get the rights back because Fox won't ever give them up.

Marvel will never get the X-Men rights back. Or the Spider-Man rights.

They should buy the Fantastic Four rights back, asap, though. I want to see Doom in an Avengers movie

 

[JP]

Of course its not going to have amazing legs . Xmen First Classs - supposedly another beloved marvel film dropped nearly 60 percent in week 2 ..... If GL does that we see that as sign of the end of dc films... But its ok for Xmen to have bad legs because it s not made by wb

It has nothing to do with WB/Fox/DC/Marvel. If you're going to compare 2 films you have to properly compare them.

Green Lantern had a massive marketing push. First Class didn't. Green Lantern is in 3D, First Class isn't.

Looking at the reported budgets from the studios, Green Lantern cost $200 million, First Class cost $135 million.

You really can't just say "well, this did this, and that did that, they're the same!". There are many many different things that have to be considered.

 

[Chewy]

So...the hopes of non Bats/Supes movies are shattered?

I think they'll still make a Flash movie, but that's about it.

 

[dario2739]

No one is making excuses for First Class. It is a box office disappointment, no doubt.

But, Green Lantern is just on a whole new level. It had the benefit of 3D screens, First Class didn't. It had the benefit of one of, if not THE biggest marketing blitz ever. It had the benefit of a production budget that dwarfed First Class.

Fact is, Green Lantern needed to do gangbusters, it needed to do Iron Man numbers, minimum. It won't. It might not even make HALF of what Iron Man did. So it's failure is more shocking and down right embrassing than First Class.

Speaking as a UK resident - I disagree... GL hasn't had a massive marketing campaign compared to First Class... both were equally promoted over here i'd say!
I had hoped for better figures for GL though, because the film is actually pretty damn good!

 

[EML420]

The only way Marvel gets Xmen back is if big papa Disney writes Fox a big fat payout cheque.

Theres no stopping the Disney machine Mickey Mouse gets what Mickey Mouse wants.

 

[jmc]

So...the hopes of non Bats/Supes movies are shattered?

At best put on hold for the foreseeable future.

 

[akfj]

So...the hopes of non Bats/Supes movies are shattered?

Not necessarily, but if WB attempts another non-Superman and non-Batman DC movie they will have to be much smarter creatively and a lot more careful economically.

 

[The Morningstar]

So...the hopes of non Bats/Supes movies are shattered?

Pretty much. They might push ahead with Flash, but i really, really doubt it.

Marvel will never get the X-Men rights back. Or the Spider-Man rights.

They should buy the Fantastic Four rights back, asap, though. I want to see Doom in an Avengers movie

YES! I couldn't care less about X-Men or Spidey. I want to see the F4 as part of the Marvel movieverse.

Imagine Stark flying over to the Baxter building to have a chat with Reed about quantum physics and parralell dimensions? And like you say... DOOM!

 

[JP]

Theres no stopping the Disney machine Mickey Mouse gets what Mickey Mouse wants.

And I can tell you Mickey Mouse doesn't care about X-Men. At least not at the moment, and probably not for a long time.