Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[Raiden]

Theres no stopping the Disney machine Mickey Mouse gets what Mickey Mouse wants.

Unfortunately, Disney's lawyers took a good look at the agreement between Marvel and Fox, but it is too ironclad and downright impossible to get the rights back unless Fox is willing to sell them back to Marvel, which they won't.

 

[The Morningstar]

Isn't there a clause in the contract where if Fox keep making toxic movies, Disney can get them back due to damage to the comic brand that Disney owns or something like that?

 

[Raiden]

Isn't there a clause in the contract where if Fox keep making toxic movies, Disney can get them back due to damage to the comic brand that Disney owns or something like that?

If they did, Marvel should've gotten X-Men back after X3 and Wolverine.

 

[MadVillainy]

I think they'll still make a Flash movie, but that's about it.

At best put on hold for the foreseeable future.

Pretty much. They might push ahead with Flash, but i really, really doubt it.

 

[EML420]

Unfortunately, Disney's lawyers took a good look at the agreement between Marvel and Fox, but it is too ironclad and downright impossible to get the rights back unless Fox is willing to sell them back to Marvel, which they won't.

Wait really I was going to ask about that but Disney is Disney a Billion dollar company with what I imagine a army. Of lawyers who are top notch who was the middle man for this deal lol sounds like the Godfather and Johny Fontaine.

 

[Boom]

My brother is going to be pissed if this kills any chance at a Flash film.

 

[The Morningstar]

If they did, Marvel should've gotten X-Men back after X3 and Wolverine.

Disney didn't own Marvel then though did it?

Maybe it is true, and that's why Fox have pulled their thumb out of their ass.

 

[The Morningstar]

My brother is going to be pissed if this kills any chance at a Flash film.

I'm pissed about it. I wanted a Flash and Captain Marvel film more than another Superman film.

 

[Poni_Boy]

Disney didn't own Marvel then though did it?

Maybe it is true, and that's why Fox have pulled their thumb out of their ass.

Bingo. Disney would never cut Fox a hella huge paycheck for Marvel characters. That's not Disney's MO. They let their subsidiary studios sink or swim on their own financially, but what they DO bring to the table is their world class legal team.

Fox knows full well that if Disney's lawyers scrutinized the hell out of their Marvel charcter contracts they would find plenty of loop holes. Hence their rush to get the X-Men, Daredevil, and FF films rebooted and well received

 

[EML420]

Bingo. Disney would never cut Fox a hella huge paycheck for Marvel characters. That's not Disney's MO. They let their subsidiary studios sink or swim on their own financially, but what they DO bring to the table is their world class legal team.

Fox knows full well that if Disney's lawyers scrutinized the hell out of their Marvel charcter contracts they would find plenty of loop holes. Hence their rush to get the X-Men, Daredevil, and FF films rebooted and well received

But how would Disney define a movie has "bad" I mean that sounds like way to slippery of a loope hole for Fox.

 

[Sith Scotti]

X-Men dropped 55% in week 2, not 60%

Actually 56 percent so if Green Lantern drops the same percentage its going to be considered bad wom but X Men First Class was amazing wom


Budgets and hype have nothing to do with 2nd week drop off . Thor only dropped 34 percent . X Men 56 Percent so THor has better wom . Now lets see what Lantern does . Im expecting a big drop off next week but if has less of a drop off than X Men than we agree it was better liked than X Men . Budgeting & Marketing aside...

 

[Raiden]

Bingo. Disney would never cut Fox a hella huge paycheck for Marvel characters. That's not Disney's MO. They let their subsidiary studios sink or swim on their own financially, but what they DO bring to the table is their world class legal team.

Fox knows full well that if Disney's lawyers scrutinized the hell out of their Marvel charcter contracts they would find plenty of loop holes. Hence their rush to get the X-Men, Daredevil, and FF films rebooted and well received

If what you said is true, then we might be treated to better Marvel movies from Fox in the future.

 

[Chewy]

Actually 56 percent so if Green Lantern drops the same percentage its going to be considered bad wom but X Men First Class was amazing wom


Budgets and hype have nothing to do with 2nd week drop off . Thor only dropped 34 percent . X Men 56 Percent so THor has better wom . Now lets see what Lantern does . Im expecting a big drop off next week but if has less of a drop off than X Men than we agree it was better liked than X Men . Budgeting & Marketing aside...

Thor dropped 47%

Are you pulling these numbers out of a hat?

 

[The Morningstar]

I imagine both a critical and financial failure. Toxic, in other words.

Disney own the comics now, I don't think they'd be too happen if Fox or Sony started putting out toxic movies featuring character Disney own. Because it could have a knock on effect with the comics themselves.

Fox and Sony know this, and i imagine they know that Disney could get those rights back if push came to shove. So I think we'll be seeing some better quality movies, to keep the big house of mouse happy.

 

[Poni_Boy]

But how would Disney define a movie has "bad" I mean that sounds like way to slippery of a loope hole for Fox.

Ed Zachery! When speaking in regards to legal loopholes, EVERYTHING is objective. It's up to the lawyers to define those terms. It's a pretty scary situation for Fox/Sony, especially considering Disney has the best legal team in the entertainment industry.

 

[FreeRadical]

If what you said is true, then we might be treated to better Marvel movies from Fox in the future.

It's kind of already started with First Class. Hope Daredevil and the Fantastic Four reboots are good.

 

[Sith Scotti]

Thor dropped 47%

Are you pulling these numbers out of a hat?

I stand corrected It made about 34 million I mixed money and percentage still far better wom than X Men

I am really hoping Lantern has a smaller drop off than Xmen

 

[Raiden]

Ed Zachery! When speaking in regards to legal loopholes, EVERYTHING is objective. It's up to the lawyers to define those terms. It's a pretty scary situation for Fox/Sony, especially considering Disney has the best legal team in the entertainment industry.

Yeah, Disney's lawyers were able to convince the High Courts to grant exemplary status for Disney characters, and not allowed them to become public domain after a fixed number of years (from what I've read). Neither Sony nor Fox would want to challenge Disney in the court if they can help it.

 

[Chewy]

I stand corrected It made about 34 million I mixed money and percentage still far better wom than X Men

I am really hoping Lantern has a smaller drop off than Xmen

But why would it?

Thor faced two 20M openers on its second weekend. X-Men faced one 30M opener on its second weekend. GL faces a probable 70M+ opener.

 

[EML420]

Yeah, Disney's lawyers were able to convince the High Courts to grant exemplary status for Disney characters, and not allowed them to become public domain after a fixed number of years (from what I've read). Neither Sony nor Fox would want to challenge Disney in the court if they can help it.

Oh my God thats amazing no sarcasm or anything that blows me away.
But back on topic seems like the bad reviews are preparing people for a terrible film and thats the mind set they go in with. But when they see it they realize its not has bad has the critics made it out to be so in a sense. I feel like if this film got great reviews people would be saying its not that great but the bad reviews make the movie seem better.

 

[Silver Surfer]

Green Lantern's estimated attendance was even lower than Daredevil and Ghost Rider.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3190&p=.htm

WOW. A movie with a 200 mil budget and a 150 mil campaign drew less attendance than freakin' Ghost Rider, GHOST RIDER!!

GL is the biggest train wreck in comic book movie history, more than even Batman & Robin, at least that movie was able to make more than it's price tag.

 

[Cain]

I'm pissed about it.

So am I. I feel the same about Wonder Woman and Aquaman as well.

I will say this though. While I enjoyed GL for what it was. There was just too much wasted potential in it. So that shows me they're not even putting the right care into really mining the creative potential of these properties. Which ironically would make them more bank in return as Nolan proved. They did the same thing with the Hex movie and now this.

I rather they stop making DC adaptations altogether than watch the cinematic potential of these great characters not be exploited in a disappointing film. Besides Greg Berlanti who was a major creative player here was going to spearhead the Flash movie in terms of script. I rather that guy not write anything at all when it comes to these movies.

 

[S.A.A.D.]

The guy (Brandon Gray) who wrote that has had it out for Green Lantern even before it was released so don't take what he said about the attendance record at face value. People still do attempt to push their agenda after all, even if it's a bad agenda.

He also has nothing to make use of so he can verify that it had a lower attendance record than Ghost Rider and Daredevil. If he can't prove it then he should "shut it".

 

[JP]

Erm, Box office Mojo is a professional and reliable website. Wow.

 

[Silver Surfer]

All entertainment websites, like ew, ign, rt quote Boxoffice Mojo as the medium for Box Office numbers. It is accurate, no matter how much you would like it not to be.