Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[Red Mask]

Green Lantern actually went down ever so slightly on friday??? Jeez this movie's failure never ceases to amaze me.

I guess a Green Lantern really can't fly. t:

 

[KalMart]

I'm pretty sure enough people saw it to help build Snyder's resume.



Sucker Punch did earn its budget back. That's better than what GL is achieving now. No, I wouldn't recommend the film, but it received mixed reviews. Hell, even lesbians couldn't agree if it was great or bad.

They say you're only as good as your last film. Except Snyder has proven his comicbook chops with Watchmen and 300. Unless he blows it during the production, he's doing this film. Snyder hasn't fallen as low as M. Night Shyamalan.

That makes it worth it.

 

[Dark Knight]

Captain America is tracking at $55 million opening weekend according to Boxoffice.com

Then it's squeezed between Potter 7 and Cowboys and Aliens. Plus people will still be seeing Transformers. Not looking good for Cap, especially internationally overseas.

Plus the general public are getting tired of superhero films this summer, hence the lack of a superhero film being a blockbuster this summer at the box office, despite Thor and First Class being allegedly considered "good" films.

GL was supposedly tracking at 58-60 million and look how that turned out? 53-55 million sounds about right for Cap it's opening weekend. Then I think it's all down hill from there for Cap at the box office.

 

[jmc]

To be fair though GL's reviews probably lessened the opening box office. I can not for the life of me imagine the reviews for CA (or the film for that matter) being as bad as GL so it's hard to see that being a factor in it's opening box office, Potter is the biggest factor for CA. I can seriously see Potter coming out ahead of CA in it's opening week, even if Potter drops like 60% the second week it'll still be making $50-60 million which is a big chunk of coin.

 

[Rock Sexton]

Actually, even though I really like the movies Marvel has put out, they really are ****ing cheap. They have a reputation of lowballing their actors while demanding that they appear in a LOT of movies. It's why they almost lost Samuel L. Jackson, lost Terrance Howard, lost Emily Blunt, and why it took so long to cast Captain America.

Also, I think Paramount had a lot to do with the promotion of Marvel's movies (hence the Super Bowl ads).

Shows how much you know. Paramount notoriously cheap on promotion.

 

[EliteF50]

Sucker Punch was awesome and I can't wait for Superman. Zack Snyder for life!

Just wanted to throw that out there...

 

[superion]

Green Lantern actually went down ever so slightly on friday??? Jeez this movie's failure never ceases to amaze me.

That's because two more movies (Horrible Bosses and Zoo Keeper) opened on Friday pushing Green Lantern further down and taking more screens from Green Lantern.

Sucker Punch did not make its budget back. Snyder's film was another money loser. Not as bad as Green Lantern but still a money loser. Snyder hasn't had a hit since 300. His last three films Sucker Punch, the Owl Movie and Watchmen all lost money.

 

[dnno1]

Then it's squeezed between Potter 7 and Cowboys and Aliens. Plus people will still be seeing Transformers. Not looking good for Cap, especially internationally overseas.

Plus the general public are getting tired of superhero films this summer, hence the lack of a superhero film being a blockbuster this summer at the box office, despite Thor and First Class being allegedly considered "good" films.

GL was supposedly tracking at 58-60 million and look how that turned out? 53-55 million sounds about right for Cap it's opening weekend. Then I think it's all down hill from there for Cap at the box office.

A week before my post Cap was tracking at $45 million opening weekend. I think the mistake that was made was that they over-saturated the market with comic book films this year (There were more than 4 this year) and they had to go up with some very popular franchises that were in sequels. Green Lantern could have been successful (but barely) if they had made the film for $150 million. Unfortunately they didn't.

 

[The Morningstar]

Cap will do well in the US. It's inevitable.

 

[DaveMoral]

^In the US? Definitely. Name recognition? Check. Red White n Blue? Check. Patriotism? Check. WWII? Check. A guy wrapped in an American flag beating the snot out of super Nazis? Check.

Not sure how great Cap will do overseas if we are simply judging by political opinions and the word "America" being in the movie's title. Are there any markets were Cap won't even be because of that?

 

[chamber-music]

Actually, even though I really like the movies Marvel has put out, they really are ****ing cheap. They have a reputation of lowballing their actors while demanding that they appear in a LOT of movies. It's why they almost lost Samuel L. Jackson, lost Terrance Howard, lost Emily Blunt, and why it took so long to cast Captain America.

Also, I think Paramount had a lot to do with the promotion of Marvel's movies (hence the Super Bowl ads).

Emily Blunt was undercontact with Fox to do the Jack Black Gullivers Travels movie thats why she couldn't play Black Widow.

 

[The Morningstar]

I don't think Marvel is cheap, I just think they are more cautious with their money and realise that throwing heaps of cash at a project will not inherently get results.

 

[Rock Sexton]

Then it's squeezed between Potter 7 and Cowboys and Aliens. Plus people will still be seeing Transformers. Not looking good for Cap, especially internationally overseas.

Plus the general public are getting tired of superhero films this summer, hence the lack of a superhero film being a blockbuster this summer at the box office, despite Thor and First Class being allegedly considered "good" films.

GL was supposedly tracking at 58-60 million and look how that turned out? 53-55 million sounds about right for Cap it's opening weekend. Then I think it's all down hill from there for Cap at the box office.

LOL .....

 

[chamber-music]

Marvel had to be tight on the purse strings before Disney brought them because effectively they were an independent film studio. They got loans and investments to fund Iron Man and Hulk.

When Disney took over they continued to allow Marvel Studios to act as a semi-independent film company like they do with Pixar. Marvel has a buinesss model and Disney has continued to allow them to follow it as its a profitable one for them.

DC have always had WB a major film studio behind it. The problem with that though is WB is much more hands on in the film side of things and that DC comics is not a priority for WB. With Marvel Studios all their focus is on the Comic book movie product its why the studio exists.

DC Entertainment doesn't exactly seem to be the same thing.

 

[TheVileOne]

Samuel L. Jackson is a big name but he's not exactly a top draw. Nor is Mickey Rourke.

I mean right after Iron Man 2, Rourke was back to doing DTV B-movie trash. You ever hear of a movie called Passion Play? I rest my case.

 

[biolumen]

According to Deadline's Sunday AM update, GL is out of the top 10. In fact, they have Woody Allen's 'Midnight In Paris' doing better than GL despite being in it's 9th week of release.

http://www.deadline.com/2011/07/tra...t-to-hit-zookeeper-talks-to-target-audiences/

BoM still has GL in 9th place for the weekend, but I'm not sure if their studio estimate's are as up-to-date as Deadline's latest update.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2011&wknd=27&p=.htm

Whatever the case, GL will not even reach $120 million domestic.

 

[KalMart]

There's still merchandise.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

We need Dnno to point out the ever present silver lining amidst the blackness.

 

[merced]

According to Deadline's Sunday AM update, GL is out of the top 10. In fact, they have Woody Allen's 'Midnight In Paris' doing better than GL despite being in it's 9th week of release.

http://www.deadline.com/2011/07/tra...t-to-hit-zookeeper-talks-to-target-audiences/

BoM still has GL in 9th place for the weekend, but I'm not sure if their studio estimate's are as up-to-date as Deadline's latest update.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2011&wknd=27&p=.htm

Whatever the case, GL will not even reach $120 million domestic.

They could pull a Superman Returns.

When it became clear SR would stall out at 198 million or so, WB had the movie re-leased in a bunch of dollar theatres. The movie count went up almost 400 weeko week.

SR crawled to 200 million and once it hit that number it basically disappeared from theatres. ure the following week it was dropped from the dollar theatres. BTW, SR has the dubious distinction among 200 million dollar films to be the one that took the longest to reach the 200 million dollar mark.

Maybe WB will try to push GL to 120 million?

 

[Tacit Ronin]

By that logic, M. Night Shyamalan could direct Man of Steel.

Shyamalan directed Unbreakable. I haven't seen a finer superhero film.

 

[KalMart]

Shyamalan directed Unbreakable. I haven't seen a finer superhero film.

That wasn't that good (a superhero who can't even choke a guy to death within ten minutes, and whose weakness is...water? ), and he's been one-upping himself in the awful department with every successive film afterwards.

He shouldn't be allowed anywhere near ANY film from now on...comic-based or otherwise.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

That wasn't that good (a superhero who can't even choke a guy to death within ten minutes, and whose weakness is...water? ), and he's been one-upping himself in the awful department with every successive film afterwards.

He shouldn't be allowed anywhere near ANY film from now on...comic-based or otherwise.

It's a shame. He is like a once noble King turned tyrant. What happened to the man who was gonna be the true successor to Hitchcock?

 

[KalMart]

It's a shame. He is like a once noble King turned tyrant. What happened to the man who was gonna be the true successor to Hitchcock?

He blew his load with his first film, and didn't have any other tricks up his sleeve.

He's also an arrogant prick to work with. That works for a few people out there, somehow...but not for him.

 

[Docker2.0]

That's because two more movies (Horrible Bosses and Zoo Keeper) opened on Friday pushing Green Lantern further down and taking more screens from Green Lantern.

Sucker Punch did not make its budget back. Snyder's film was another money loser. Not as bad as Green Lantern but still a money loser. Snyder hasn't had a hit since 300. His last three films Sucker Punch, the Owl Movie and Watchmen all lost money.

You are correct sir! Movie cost $82M to make, only made $36M Dom and $53M in the foreign, in which half or possibly more than that goes to the theaters. WB only made possibly $62M of the money, if that. Why do I bring these numbers up you ask? Because I have complete faith in Zach Snider. I didn't like Watchmen nor have I seen Sucker Punch which looked like a movie gumbo(you know, just throw action and chicks in with no plot and Bam! you have Sucker Punch and Transformers 2!)but I liked 300 and Dawn of the Dead. I honestly believe he's going to knock MOS out of the park. I think Geoff was to involved with GL and that's what really messed it up. I'm really hoping Bruce Timm is given a chance to make a DC property, like a GL or Flash, because he gets the characters and the animated movies are great.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

Just because Timm does well with animation doesn't mean he can do live action.