Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[Karelia]

RR did mention he lurks the SHH boards in an interview when he was promoting the Wolverine flick.

 

[Rock Sexton]

According to BOM, this past weekends actuals were a bit lower than the already low estimates.

Weekend = $18 million
Domestic total through Sunday = $89 million

It still hasn't reached $120 million WW.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekend&id=greenlantern.htm

Considering that the most they'll get out of international gross is 12-13%, it's even worse.

 

[Rock Sexton]

Ryan Reynolds posts here!

..... or the publicist he never knew he had ....

 

[merced]

After GL - it looks like it won't even hit 300 million WW - I don't see WB doing a solo Flash or WW film in the immediate future.

I am betting that JL is being eyed for 2014. Filming in 2013. IMO that's the only way you see GL on screen in the next several years.

WB has no choice but to use Batman to boost these characters.

There are issues, a JL film filming in 2013 can't use Superman as the Court's decision (on what WB can and can't use) comes down in late 2013.

But not a biggie. You don't really need Supes. Batman is the flagship character of DC and WB studios.

So you include, IMO, no more than 3 heroes other than Batman. To giive them adequate screen time.

I'm sure it will be a JL with Bats, Flash, GL and WW.

Say this version of GL really becomes a fav of the JL audience. Give him a solo. Or if it is Flash do the same.

As I said, I don't see WB doing a non-Bats solo comic film before it does a team JL film. We'll see.

 

[KalMart]

After GL - it looks like it won't even hit 300 million WW - I don't see WB doing a solo Flash or WW film in the immediate future.

I am betting that JL is being eyed for 2014. Filming in 2013. IMO that's the only way you see GL on screen in the next several years.

WB has no choice but to use Batman to boost these characters.

There are issues, a JL film filming in 2013 can't use Superman as the Court's decision (on what WB can and can't use) comes down in late 2013.

But not a biggie. You don't really need Supes. Batman is the flagship character of DC and WB studios.

So you include, IMO, no more than 3 heroes other than Batman. To giive them adequate screen time.

I'm sure it will be a JL with Bats, Flash, GL and WW.

Say this version of GL really becomes a fav of the JL audience. Give him a solo. Or if it is Flash do the same.

As I said, I don't see WB doing a non-Bats solo comic film before it does a team JL film. We'll see.

Batman: First Justice?

 

[Spider-Fan]

After GL - it looks like it won't even hit 300 million WW - I don't see WB doing a solo Flash or WW film in the immediate future.

I am betting that JL is being eyed for 2014. Filming in 2013. IMO that's the only way you see GL on screen in the next several years.

WB has no choice but to use Batman to boost these characters.

There are issues, a JL film filming in 2013 can't use Superman as the Court's decision (on what WB can and can't use) comes down in late 2013.

But not a biggie. You don't really need Supes. Batman is the flagship character of DC and WB studios.

So you include, IMO, no more than 3 heroes other than Batman. To giive them adequate screen time.

I'm sure it will be a JL with Bats, Flash, GL and WW. But, it would have to be released by summer 2013 before the decision.

Say this version of GL really becomes a fav of the JL audience. Give him a solo. Or if it is Flash do the same.

As I said, I don't see WB doing a non-Bats solo comic film before it does a team JL film. We'll see.

They could film it in 2012, and release it in 2013 and still use Superman.

 

[Karelia]

What if they wanted to do a JL sequel, though? They couldn't use Superman for it, could they?

I hope they do a JL film. Would love to see it. I'd say keep RR as Hal in it. If it does well, maybe try and do a GL2 after that.

 

[TheVileOne]

It's so funny because like everyone was so anticipating Reynolds playing Deadpool. We never saw it. And he ended up doing Green Lantern and it tanked. So where is the Deadpool movie? In development purgatory.

 

[merced]

They could film it in 2012, and release it in 2013 and still use Superman.

No they couldn't. They could film in 2012 but anything the Court rules in 2013 that doesn't belong to WB can't be used - after 2012 basically.

So they could have a film that they couldn't release because it violated copyright laws.

You really don't need Superman in JL anyway. Batman is the big guy now and it makes for a less cluttered canvas.

 

[merced]

What if they wanted to do a JL sequel, though? They couldn't use Superman for it, could they?

I hope they do a JL film. Would love to see it. I'd say keep RR as Hal in it. If it does well, maybe try and do a GL2 after that.

No. "Superman" will not be WB's after 2012. Sequels couldn't use him but even the first JL which won't come before 2014 can't.

It'll be a new JL. Supermn doesn't need to be in it to make it work but Batman does.

 

[KalMart]

Could they just use a guy in blue armor that flies and call him Man Of Steel?

 

[Weadazoid]

What if they wanted to do a JL sequel, though? They couldn't use Superman for it, could they?

I hope they do a JL film. Would love to see it. I'd say keep RR as Hal in it. If it does well, maybe try and do a GL2 after that.

Well according to Nolan, no chance of cross polinization in Solo films under his helm / Godfathering films .... idiotic IMO but so be it. No cross overs


a JLU would stand alone, Bale would not be Batman and in all likelyhood Cavil would not be Superman... in a JLU movie



Best hope to not confuse the audience..... Teen JLU.... in otherwords Smallville the Movie.

 

[merced]

Batman: First Justice?

Exactly!

You could even leverage off of MOS.

A devastating threat confronts Earth. The Man of Steel (the film will be OK if it uses that term and not Supeman) has been missing for a year and is presumed dead at Luthor's hands. Batman can't handle the threat himself. In desperation he gathers up several meta-humans and they rise up as the JL to save the Earth.

 

[KalMart]

Exactly!

You could even leverage off of MOS.

A devastating threat confronts Earth. The Man of Steel (the film will be OK if it uses that term and not Supeman) has been missing for a year and is presumed dead at Luthor's hands. Batman can't handle the threat himself. In desperation he gathers up several meta-humans and they rise up as the JL to save the Earth.

I think they should try it out in animation first.

 

[Weadazoid]

Exactly!

You could even leverage off of MOS.

A devastating threat confronts Earth. The Man of Steel (the film will be OK if it uses that term and not Supeman) has been missing for a year and is presumed dead at Luthor's hands. Batman can't handle the threat himself. In desperation he gathers up several meta-humans and they rise up as the JL to save the Earth.

Dude.... Nolan already went on record and said no to this...


the JL is far far away right now, even if the Avengers is 600 mill domesitic box office smash...


If the JLU does get a movie, it will exist in it's 'own world' no cross over actors either.... they aint signed to deals like Marvel actors

 

[merced]

Could they just use a guy in blue armor that flies and call him Man Of Steel?

We won't know till the Court rules in 2013. Course we won't really know till 2020 cause the case is definitely going to the SCOTUS and that will take up to a decade to resolve. In the interim the betting is all things Superman will be put on hold/frozen.

 

[DaveMoral]

No. "Superman" will not be WB's after 2012. Sequels couldn't use him but even the first JL which won't come before 2014 can't.

It'll be a new JL. Supermn doesn't need to be in it to make it work but Batman does.

I have a feeling that WB/DC and the S&S family will hammer out a deal. S&S would be idiots to divorce Superman from the mythos that is basically inseparable from him and WB isn't going to really be so stupid as to let that happen.

Supes ain't going anywhere.

 

[KalMart]

I have a feeling that WB/DC and the S&S family will hammer out a deal. S&S would be idiots to divorce Superman from the mythos that is basically inseparable from him and WB isn't going to really be so stupid as to let that happen.

Supes ain't going anywhere.

The heirs' Lawyer...and now part Superman owner...may have something to say about that.

 

[EliteF50]

You know for a fact?

Haha, alright, not for a fact, but I'd bet my left testicle that RR would return for a sequel.

 

[Poni_Boy]

Haha, alright, not for a fact, but I'd bet my left testicle that RR would return for a sequel.

I'll take that bet t:

 

[EliteF50]

 

[Willi Berg]

‘Green Lantern’ Sequel: Tepid Box Office, Big Plans Create a Tough Call (Analysis)

11:37 PM 6/27/2011 by Kim Masters

As doubters abound, Warner Brothers weighs the pros and cons and still expresses confidence in the special powers of a future franchise.

That’s the question Warner Bros. faces in the wake of the less-than-stellar worldwide roll-out of the superhero tentpole. The studio appears to be grappling with the challenging decision. While a top studio source told THR on Sunday that Warners was proceeding with plans for a follow-up film, a studio spokesman said Monday that no decision has been reached.

The situation illuminates a dilemma facing Hollywood studios so intent on launching lucrative franchises that generate multiple revenue streams, including from sources other than box office, that they might find it difficult to accept the cold reality of disappointing ticket sales. And the issue arises at a delicate time for Warners. Its new studio head Jeff Robinov is basking in the glow of The Hangover Part II ($527 million worldwide and counting) but is hungry to launch a new franchise based on its DC Comics properties to replace the Harry Potter cash cow ending this summer.

Observers note there are many factors that will determine whether the studio ultimately goes forward with a Green Lantern sequel. Most significantly, Warners must determine what kind of total gross would justify another film, particularly if a follow-up can be done for less money.

Green Lantern had a budget well in excess of $200 million, according to industry sources, as well as an outsized marketing spend estimated at $100 million domestic and $75 million foreign. A source with ties to the studio says it is reasonable to assume that Warners has spent well over $400 million on the film--not unusual for a summer tentpole—making profitability a steep uphill climb.

Though the film is still rolling out overseas, current numbers suggest that Green Lantern could top out at $260 million or $270 million in worldwide gross. (Its cume through Sunday was $118.4 million; it has grossed $89 million domestically and $29.4 million overseas.) Green Lantern's weak foreign showing is especially problematic, considering that more than ever, international box office often drives tentpoles.

Though Warners had high hopes for the film starring Ryan Reynolds and directed by Martin Campbell, Lantern not only failed to ignite at the box office but was also rejected by critics, earning a mere 26% approval rating on Rotten Tomatoes—not that reviews are crucial to the success of movies based on toys and comic books.

Some observers outside the studio say a Green Lantern sequel would be a misstep, one which Warners probably will not end up making.

“I don’t see how they actually move ahead, even if they are dying to launch some non-Batman, non-Superman DC [Comics] heroes,” an executive at a rival studio said.

On the other hand, Warners’ deep marketing spend has familiarized worldwide audiences with the character. And studio franchises are not just about box office any more. Disney’s Cars, one of Pixar’s lowest-grossing and least-embraced films, launched a $1 billion global licensing juggernaut that paved the way for the just-released sequel. Similarly, Warners is planning an aggressive roll-out of Green Lantern merchandise, with more than 100 global licensees, an animated series, games and theme park rides. A Lantern sequel could feed all of those revenue streams.

Plus, a talent rep associated with the film argues that the studio has learned from the first movie and could correct the tone of a sequel, hire a director with more CG experience and/or mandate a lower budget.

A script for a sequel was being developed with writer Michael Goldenberg even before the film opened as a matter of routine. And though Reynolds is said to be willing to reprise the role, several industry sources expressed doubt that another excursion would be a good move for him. “It’s not like he doesn’t have career choices,” the rival executive said. “He has no need to do it.”

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/green-lantern-sequel-tepid-box-206002

 

[Poni_Boy]

Umm... did The Hollywood Reporter just renege their own report?

Yesterday: Studio insider says GL sequel is a go

Today: Studio spokesperson says GL sequel is undecided

 

[Willi Berg]

^Sounds like it's WB is giving them mixed messages lol

 

[Poni_Boy]

^Sounds like it's WB is giving them mixed messages lol

Sounds like they were talking out of their ass yesterday and WB spanked em for it