Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[EML420]

Thanks for the numbers but thats brutal I can only wonder what this upcoming week box office will look like.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

What did GL make this weekend? Any one got the numbers and I would have loved it if Stewart was used but it would have made just has many people angry that they didnt use Hal.

It only would have pissed off nerds and racists.

As for the boxoffice:

The movie has only made 103.6mil, it had a nearly a 64% drop for the 3day weekend and a 56% drop for the 4day hollyday weekend, it only did 6.6mil for the 3day and 7.9mil for the four day....Wow are those numbers awful. Transformers obviously hurt it but the word of mouth must be brutal.

 

[CaptainCraig]

Nothing changed from the 4-day estimates.
GL pulled in $7.9m for a current domestic take of $103.6m and worldwide of $136.9m.

I honestly think best case is that with two new openers this weekend that GL could be leap frogged by a current release and place #10 this upcoming weekend. I could see it out of the Top 10 altogether though, that wouldn't surprise me if it happened.

Being a short week GL may find itself at $105m by Thursday and if lucky pull in another $3m for the 7/8-7/10 weekend. Still short of $110m domestic.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

^All of the explaining that all of us are doing just points to one fact, this movie is a disaster boxoffice wise. This couldn't have gone worse for WB.

 

[dark_b]

i am no BO expert but even i see that GL is a disaster at the BO. a 360 Reynolds naked dolly shot could make more money then GL

 

[Snare]

You are talking about worldwide numbers and those are not outstanding. They are basically average numbers. Domestically they barely made their budget back if they did. And that's what studios look at. Yes sir!!

I hate that you outrank me on SHH!

Yeah, because American B.O is worth more than other countires..

 

[KalMart]

Yeah, because American B.O is worth more than other countires..

Jealous?

 

[superion]

Yeah, because American B.O is worth more than other countires..

Actually it is. Movie studios get more of the money from the US box office than foreign. The theaters keep something like 60% of the gross overseas while in the US it is reversed and the split is 60-40 in favor of the studio.

 

[merced]

Yeah, because American B.O is worth more than other countires..

It's true the studio keeps a bigger percentage of the US BO. Around 55% - 60%. Overseas numbers are lower due to additional distribution and other costs.

GL will not make it's money back from the worldwide box. It's not alone - SR didn't makes it's money back either.

 

[Energist]

It only would have pissed off nerds and racists.

And we all know the large majority of the former group would have gone to see the movie anyway. Like that Simpsons episode with the new Galaxy Wars movie or whatever it was supposedly called: "Worst. Galaxy Wars. Ever. I will only see it four more times. Today."

The quote is something to that effect, anyway.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

i am no BO expert but even i see that GL is a disaster at the BO. a 360 Reynolds naked dolly shot could make more money then GL

I'd go see that 3 times!

And we all know the large majority of the former group would have gone to see the movie anyway. Like that Simpsons episode with the new Galaxy Wars movie or whatever it was supposedly called: "Worst. Galaxy Wars. Ever. I will only see it four more times. Today."

The quote is something to that effect, anyway.

lol I remember that episode being dead on about it's criticism of Lucus's films and the nerd community at large.

GL will not make it's money back from the worldwide box. It's not alone - SR didn't makes it's money back either.

SR is not a valid comparasion though because it made 391mil worldwide and this film is not going to come anywhere near those numbers with 5 years of ticket price inflation and expensive 3D tickets.

I'm no SR defender (I disliked the film quite a bit) but it was far from a bomb like GL is. It was a big disappointment considering expectations and budget but it wasn't a bomb. And it made 200mil domestically (which shows how popular Superman is. Even with a bad movie he still got a movie to 200mil total) something that no comicbook movie this year has done.

Superman Returns main problem, sequel wise, was that half of it's audience didn't care for the film and it was expected to make something bordering on Spider-Man numbers because the character was sooo well known.

 

[Rock Sexton]

Actually it is. Movie studios get more of the money from the US box office than foreign. The theaters keep something like 60% of the gross overseas while in the US it is reversed and the split is 60-40 in favor of the studio.

Ya, but that 40% has to pay for foreign advertising, prints, taxes, insurance, translations, etc ..... so the total ends up more like 15%.

 

[Docker2.0]

Yeah, because American B.O is worth more than other countires..

Dude don't blame me because it's the sexy thing to do. Blame the machine.

 

[Spider-Fan]

Yeah, because American B.O is worth more than other countires..

Actually, it is. Theaters make more money off tickets in the US than WW, because the deal with theaters gives them a larger percentage of each ticket sold. So in effect...yes it does.

 

[Ita-KalEl]

The top selling books at DC are Batman, GL, Flash and JL.

Superman is way back selling less than 30,000/month.

It's why the reboot will see Superman dropped to just 2 titles and Batman and GL increased to 5 or 6.

So DC sees where the popularity is based on sales of it's comic, toys and t-shirts.

Given this, I'd think there is a way for Flash and GL to be big film franchises. Bigger than Supes if not as big as Bats.

Hope someone is annalyzing the DC numbers and sales figures.

I don't exclude that WB/DC is ready to jump out from Superman franchise, but IMO there are good chances that it will not happen.
Your and Kalmart's theory has a weak point: if Superman is a dead horse, a franchise without any future, and they are making a movie only because they have been forced by a judge, why they are putting in it all he resources to make it a blockbuster?

Because they want to leave their beloved franchise with a "bang"? Do they want to "make love" for the last time with their love before losing it?
Come on...it's clear that they hope/want that the success of MOS can be the reason to start a deal with Siegels. They'll have to do it, if they want a sequel.

If your theory of "Superman sucks","Nobody is interested in it anymore" were true, they would make a low budget movie with zero chance of being a success.

 

[The Sage]

One more time...move the Superman debate to the Superman section.

 

[KalMart]

I don't exclude that WB/DC is ready to jump out from Superman franchise, but IMO there are good chances that it will not happen.
Your and Kalmart's theory has a weak point: if Superman is a dead horse, a franchise without any future, and they are making a movie only because they have been forced by a judge, why they are putting in it all he resources to make it a blockbuster?

Because they want to leave their beloved franchise with a "bang"? Do they want to "make love" for the last time with their love before losing it?

Yes....to the tune of one last payday.


And just like WB in a few years...it's time to move on from Superman now.

 

[Kirk Langstrom]

And how strongly do those shows still resonate with moviegoers these days?


Did Iron Man need a live-action TV show?

They are both cult favorites, especially Wonder Woman...

No Iron Man didnt, but GL seems to need all the help it can get.

 

[KalMart]

They are both cult favorites, especially Wonder Woman...

So make a cult movie.

No Iron Man didnt, but GL seems to need all the help it can get.

Might be too late.

 

[DaveMoral]

You know, I don't see the appeal of John Stewart over Hal Jordan other than a few people coming up on Justice League/Unlimited rather than Super Friends/Super Powers. I got into Batman from getting Super Powers toys and I remember specifically playing with Hal Jordan action figures back then because he was part of the Super Powers line. He was definitely on some episodes of Super Friends. In addition, most DC animated anything with a Green Lantern has had Hal Jordan. The Batman(those episodes were excellent too). Batman: The Brave and the Bold(though they favor Guy Gardner for some reason). Young Justice. The New Frontier. First Flight. Emerald Knights.

I don't think the weakness of this film was Hal Jordan in any way shape or form. It was the script and the marketing flubs. They had the potential for lightning in a bottle and the flubbed it up big time. And I really enjoyed the movie.

 

[mace1]

John stewart was in a young justice ep.

 

[mace1]

Originally Posted by EML420
What did GL make this weekend? Any one got the numbers and I would have loved it if Stewart was used but it would have made just has many people angry that they didnt use Hal.

It only would have pissed off nerds and racists.

True.

 

[Ita-KalEl]

One more time...move the Superman debate to the Superman section.

Sorry chief.

 

[mace1]

Because I liked him I do wish they would have used Stewart, provided the script was way better than what we ultimately got.

And it's a fact because of the cartoon that most normal people were more familar with Stewart than Jordan and as was said, from a business prospective it would have been smarter to use Jordan. But the studios think that the general public is racist so...

True.

 

[Showtime]

Yeah, because American B.O is worth more than other countires..

Well, it actually is in almost all cases. It's been discussed here before.

Say everything is equal, a movie makes 200 million domestic and 200 million overseas. The studio retains a higher percentage of the domestic than the overseas, thus you could say American box office is worth more.