Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[Gamma Burst]

Dammit! You beat me to it!

I'll give you another opportunity.

What if the DVD/BR numbers are bad?What will they say?

 

[jmc]

Someone will point to merchandise.

I seriously heard someone say they thought merchandising could help save this film, even comparing it to the merchandising revenue that Cars 2 will get.

 

[solidsnake86]

^do people even care for half the figures they came out with when those characters appeared in a blink and you'll miss it scene. At this point the movie is a box office failure. They'll probably end up losing money on the merchandise as I can see more then half those figures on the shelves in years to come.

 

[Gamma Burst]

It has to be A LOT of merchandise.

 

[jmc]

If no-one is watching the film who's buying the effing merchandise? This films a dud, first I was depressed, then I got pissed, now I'm just laughing at it. It's a monumental failure the likes of which no-one anticipated. In many ways it's funny that IM was the main reason for this film being made yet the results couldn't be further from each other.

 

[solidsnake86]

Have you had a chance to watch it yet JMC? or has it not come out yet in australia

 

[EliteF50]

I liked it.

 

[jmc]

Have you had a chance to watch it yet JMC? or has it not come out yet in australia

It has not come out yet but I may or may not have seen it already. *walks away whistling innocently*

 

[KalMart]

Someone will point to merchandise.

How's it (merchandise) doing now? The movie's been out for weeks...anyone seen a lot of kids with toy power rings and GL masks/figured?

I have a feeling that Spiderman merchadise is still outselling Gl stuff, and there hasn't been a movie in years.

 

[EML420]

Right after me and my little brother saw GL my mom bought him the mask and Ring toy set he loves it lol. But every time she goes to the store to buy him a GL shirt they are all sold out. But man box office for this movie is just so surreal.

 

[Pfeiffer-Pfan]

Everyone had a big... MEH... reaction to this character.

It'll be interesting to see how the DVD/Blu-ray and animated series do this fall.

WB put waaaay too much faith in Green Lantern. Everything about it reeks of ''please please like this movie... Harry Potter is ending, we need a money maker and were ****ed''

 

[DaveMoral]

The animated series will do well. Spectacular even. Of that I have no doubt. It's Bruce Timm. Has he ever really missed? The kiddies will love it, and the merch associated with it will do bonkers(if it ever hits the shelves, how long ago did Young Justice premiere? I have yet to see a YJ figure on the shelves).

 

[Donut]

I guess the WB is not the only studio out there to allow the people in charge to step in & ruin a movie like Green Lantern. They need to strip that right away from all of the people in charge & just leave all of the future directors alone

 

[Pfeiffer-Pfan]

The animated series will do well. Spectacular even. Of that I have no doubt. It's Bruce Timm. Has he ever really missed? The kiddies will love it, and the merch associated with it will do bonkers(if it ever hits the shelves, how long ago did Young Justice premiere? I have yet to see a YJ figure on the shelves).

The response so far has been less than enthusiastic... and Bruce Timm isn't always a sure winner. Anything can happen.

It's 50/50 at the moment... be interesting to see how they market it post movie failure.

 

[DaveMoral]

The response so far has been less than enthusiastic... and Bruce Timm isn't always a sure winner. Anything can happen.

It's 50/50 at the moment... be interesting to see how they market it post movie failure.

The response from who though? A few posters on this website? A few adult commentators on a couple blogs?

That means pretty much nothing. I'm talking about kids. Kids are going to go bananas for that show provided Cartoon Network has their act together. The way they've been dealing with Young Justice has butchered that show. So much time between new episodes hasn't done it justice. My kid loved the show, but his interest didn't keep because there wasn't a consistent airing of new episodes.

GL:TAS needs to have an unhampered run of the first season. Probably on the same night as The Clone Wars. As a lead-in.

 

[Silver Surfer]

The response from who though? A few posters on this website? A few adult commentators on a couple blogs?

That means pretty much nothing. I'm talking about kids. Kids are going to go bananas for that show provided Cartoon Network has their act together. The way they've been dealing with Young Justice has butchered that show. So much time between new episodes hasn't done it justice. My kid loved the show, but his interest didn't keep because there wasn't a consistent airing of new episodes.

GL:TAS needs to have an unhampered run of the first season. Probably on the same night as The Clone Wars. As a lead-in.

I believe Thundercats already have that spot locked in.

 

[Pfeiffer-Pfan]

The response from who though? A few posters on this website? A few adult commentators on a couple blogs?

That means pretty much nothing. I'm talking about kids. Kids are going to go bananas for that show provided Cartoon Network has their act together. The way they've been dealing with Young Justice has butchered that show. So much time between new episodes hasn't done it justice. My kid loved the show, but his interest didn't keep because there wasn't a consistent airing of new episodes.

GL:TAS needs to have an unhampered run of the first season. Probably on the same night as The Clone Wars. As a lead-in.

GL:TAS will be apart of the DC Nation block on Cartoon Network... with no doubt Young Justice as a lead in. Theres no hope in hell its will get Clone Wars attention...

Also the movies reaction is a HUGE indicator as to the publics response to the character... Green Lantern is a sad story fading fast.

We can throw excuses of kids and merchandise at the situation... but the fact still stands that it is 50/50.

So unless you can give me rock solid evidence that kids are ''going bananas'' for Green Lantern... never mind GL:TAS... then its a moot point.

 

[CaptainCraig]

Green Lantern is losing 1,200 screens this weekend, it's 4th in release. That is huge.

For comparison of 4th weekend screen lost:
Thor lost 600
XM:FC lost 750

Theaters are dumping this turkey as fast as they can.

Puts into question if the film will hit $115m domestic at this point. It'll keep having screens dumped in large amounts I predict.

 

[Pfeiffer-Pfan]

Who needs screens when we have merchandise and upcoming cartoons...?

 

[merced]

Green Lantern is losing 1,200 screens this weekend, it's 4th in release. That is huge.

For comparison of 4th weekend screen lost:
Thor lost 600
XM:FC lost 750

Theaters are dumping this turkey as fast as they can.

Puts into question if the film will hit $115m domestic at this point. It'll keep having screens dumped in large amounts I predict.

I just saw this at MOJO. 38% drop. Above the expected drop for the 4th week.

It's sort of like SR. There is a small independent theatre near us and they dropped SR 3 weeks out. Fastest they'd ever dropped a film. I couldn't believe it. They brought Devil Wears Prada in it's place.

Hard to predict this weekend with such a drop. Maybe 3 or 4 million Friday through Sunday? Too high?

 

[Chewy]

Around 3M I'd say.

 

[Energist]

At this point, I think it would have been a decidedly more strategic move had Warner Brothers debuted the Green Lantern animated series about a year out ahead of the movie. If the animated series takes off with youngsters like some fans are predicting it will, then I think that would have certainly helped the film's performance at the box office, even if the quality remained exactly the same.

As it stands, however, the film could very well have the exact opposite effect on the animated series, and actually lose it some viewers at its offset.

 

[merced]

Thursday's GL numner: 958,000.

 

[samsnee]

This movie was doomed from the first Entertainment Weekly cover that showed the costume. Sometimes, when a turd looks like a turd, it turns out it really is a turd.

 

[The Sage]

First reveal of the costume looked pretty good.