SAUspartan
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$2.4 million Tuesday, bringing domestic up to around $188.3 million.
Nice!!!!
$2.4 million Tuesday, bringing domestic up to around $188.3 million.
$1,552,700 Wednesday, down 35%. Domestic now at $189,909,554.
That 700 million WW prediction was inflated like I thought, but if it manages to crawl to 600M that would still be amazing (Japan still has to open, right?).
What was The Wolverine's Japan Box Office take?
Japan won't be that huge. the entire for TW DOFP and XA were around 7 million
My prediction is around $650 M worldwide and $220 M domestic. I would love for it to pass X3 and DoFP domestically though, even if I doubt it is going to happen.
Lol ?
700M is a lock. Go to boxofficemojo and do some research. I believe it even has potential to reach 750m.
My prediction is 725-755 and I will quote every god damn Disney fan message here when it ends.
On OS side Logan BO has been like:
WK 1 (24-26/2): 159M
WK 2 (3-5/3): 69M (-57%)
WK 3 (10-12/3): 31M (-55)
Weekdays of Week 1 (27/2-2/3): 56.272M
Weekdays of Week 2 (6-9/3): 24.143M (-57%)
And the 9-day period from 13 to 21/3 it made 15.47M. This is obviously because there's a huge 350M OW WW, so I think the drop from now on will be quite softer. I optimistically project a 3 x 15.47 = 46M left in the OS markets except Japan. Since Deadpool made 18M there, I'll be optimistic again and project a 15M total for Logan. Son in the end Logan's OS BO is
346 + 46 + 15 = 407M.
On Domestic side:
WK 1 (3-5/3): 88M
WK 2 (10-12/3): 38M (-57%)
WK 3 (17-19/3): 18M (-53%)
Weekdays of week 1 (6-9/3): 26.4M
Weekdays of week 2 (13-16/3): 13.6M (-48%)
Weekdays of week 3 (20-23/3) (estimated): 6.9M (-49%)
Since its 1st and 2nd WK were also OW of Kong and Beauty and the (Box Office) Beast and there isn't any large competition soon, I optimistically project that Logan will drop 45% per week in weekend and 40% in weekdays until the WK April 14-16 (when FF8 drops), which is when I'l project a 55% drop. So:
As of 25/3: 191.3M (estimated)
24-26/3 9.8M Total 201.1M
27-30/3 4.1M Total 205.2M
31/3-2/4 5.4M Total 210.6M
3-6/4 2.5M Total 213.1M
7-9/4 3.0M Total 216.1M
10-13/4 1.5M Total 217.6M
14-16/4 1.3M Total 218.9M
The rest of its run: 2.6 for total 221.5M.
So in my (already quite generous projection) Logan is heading for 407M OS and 221.5M domestic for 628.5M WW. So can you please elaborate your project because I'm curious how you allocate the your locked 700M WW BO into domestic share/ OS share?
I don't believe there's any Disney fan message here (where're they???) And in case Logan does reach 725M WW can you please group all those quotes into one post? I do believe that posting continuous posts like you did above is counted as spam here. If you want to add something and your post is the latest post in the thread you can just edit your old post.
You're wrong on so many levels. For these kind of predictions you have to use a penalized regression method like weighted ridge regression, or lasso or elastic.net.
We'll see. Anyone wanna bet?
Your generous projection predicts $628.5M WW and $221.5M Domestic.
I can bet $1k that it will surpass both of them.
Logan is going to break 700 million, 100%. You guys are bad at maths or what? The question is will it pass DOFP? In ticket sales, it will definetely surpass DOFP but in gross, it's still in the air.
It's about where Doctor Strange was after two weeks, and while the critical acclaim will help it's BO total, the R rating will offset that somewhat. 650 is probably safe.
We'll see. Anyone wanna bet?
Shouldn't the bet be against your original offer with Samuron (and others) about a 100% 700 million?
Though 20th Century Fox’s Logan was third on Thursday with $1.4M, Wolverine’s running cume stands at $191.3M with $200M within its grasp this weekend.
There's too much difference between your generous projection and 700 million.
So if I bet $1k for 700m you should bet $2k. If you win you get $1k, if I win I get $2k. If it's OK for you, I'm in for $700m.
Oh I'm never as confident that it will made under 620M as you are confident that it'll make over 700M. I think 620M is a good target but it might develop strong late leg and crawl to 650M. I was referring to your original bet that you think it will 100% lock for 700M. THAT I'm certain will be near impossible.