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Pirates 3, Spider-Man 3, Shrek The Third - What film will gross the most?

The Weekend Warrior



This Week's Predictions -

1. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry (Universal) - $38.5 million N/A

2. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros.) - $36.2 million -53%

3. Transformers (DreamWorks/Paramount) - $19.5 million -47%

4. Hairspray (New Line) - $17.6 million N/A

5. Ratatouille (Disney/Pixar) - $11.5 million -37%

6. Live Free or Die Hard (20th Century Fox) – $6.6 million -42%

7. License to Wed (Warner Bros.) – $4.7 million -35%

8. 1408 (Dimension) – $3.1 million -38%

9. Evan Almighty (Universal) - $2.7 million -45%

10. Knocked Up (Universal) - $2.5 million
 
Audiences engaged by 'Chuck and Larry'

Sandler's new comedy tops 'Hairspray' and 'Potter' with a cool $12.4 million at the box office Friday
By PAMELA MCCLINTOCKUniversal's Adam Sandler and Kevin James' laffer "I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry" won the Friday box office box office at an estimated $12.4 million in ticket sales, with New Line's musical "Hairspray" coming in No. 2 at an estimated $10.9 million. Holdover Warner Bros.'
"Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix" came in behind "Hairspray" with an estimated $10.3 million in Friday ticket sales, although the pic is expected to pick up its pace on Saturday, turning the weekend into an unexpectedly brisk race.

There's been buzz about whether the release of "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows," the final book in J.K. Rowling's blockbuster book series, would have an impact on "Phoenix" at the box office. Tome was released 12:01 a.m. Saturday.

DreamWorks-Paramount's "Transformers," in its third frame, took in an estimated $6 million on Friday, while Disney-Pixar's "Ratatouille" made an estimated $3.5 million.


http://www.variety.com/article/VR420001092.html?categoryid=13&cs=1
 
Chuck and Larry Pronounced #1 over Phoenix

In a very tight weekend race, the Adam Sandler-Kevin James comedy I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry took out the blockbuster sequel Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix, grossing an estimated $34.8 million to Potter's $32.2 million. The New LIne musical Hairspray, starring John "Grease" Travolta in drag, scored $27.8 million in 3,121 theatres, making it the top opening movie musical of all time, even though it was forced to settle for third place.

Despite abysmal reviews, I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry scored well with Adam Sandler's mostly male audience who decided to give him a chance, although it opened softer than most of Sandler's last few mainstream comedies with a per-theatre average of under $10 thousand. Produced for $85 million, it lost much of its potential female audience to the musical based on John Waters' '80s comedy, which did very well on Friday but lost a bit of business on Saturday, possibly due to the release of the latest and last "Harry Potter" novel, which hit bookstores on Friday night at midnight.

DreamWorks' Transformers dropped to #4 with $20.5 million, holding up well in its third weekend with only a 45% drop from last week. After three weeks in theatres, the Michael Bay blockbuster has grossed $263 million, making it the filmmaker's highest grossing movie to date.

Disney/Pixar's animated Ratatouille dropped two places to #5 with an additional $11 million to bring its running total to $165.6 million after four weekends, although it has a long way to go to attain the box office success of Pixar's previous offerings.

Also after four weekends, the Bruce Willis action sequel Live Free or Die Hard surpassed its $110 million production budget, adding another $7.3 million in sixth place to bring its total box office to $116.5 million.

At #7, the Warner Bros. rom-com License to Wed starring Robin Williams didn't do as well in its third weekend, dropping 49% to $3.8 million. It's grossed $38.7 million.

Dimension Films' Stephen King thriller 1408 took in another $2.6 million in 8th place to bring its total to $67.5 million,

Universal's two other comedies, Evan Almighty and Knocked Up, rounded out the Top 10 with $2.5 and $2.3 million respectively and cumulative totals of $93.5 and $142.7 million.

Danny Boyle's Sunshine opened in limited release, playing in ten theatres in select cities, where it scored $235 thousand, a respectable average of $23.5 k per location, and a solid start for its expansion into over 400 theatres next weekend.

Last year, four new movies entered the Top 10 with Disney's Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest holding its ground at #1, and it's looking good that this weekend's Top 10 gross will surpass that one.
 
:wow: Harry Potter!!

Domestic: $207,541,000 37.1%
+ Foreign: $351,300,000 62.9%
= Worldwide: $558,841,000
 
The Weekend Warrior
The last weekend in July is a busy one with four new movies opening in wide release and two limited releases expanding wider. Of the four new movies, there's one that's extremely high profile, one that's being pushed heavily and two that are being dumped into the weekend with very little fanfare in a way that makes you wonder why their distributors hate them so much. (In typical fashion, After Dark Films has moved their long-delayed horror film Skinwalkers back to August at the last minute, so that's one less dumper this weekend.)

Obviously, the most anticipated movie of the weekend is 20th Century Fox's The Simpsons Movie, which brings the popular TV cartoon family to the big screen. With the animated television show's eighteen years of popularity and success under its belt, you can expect a huge audience of fans going to theatres to laugh as a group, though it's going to appeal more to guys than women. That's fine because the fanbase is fairly diehard, the kind that would rush out to see it opening weekend knowing that there's other movies to see in the next few weeks. With what could be an opening weekend upwards of $45 million, look for this to set a new opening record for a traditional animation film which is currently held by Disney's The Lion King.

Women who might not have much interest in a television cartoons turned into movies will have another option in the new Catherine Zeta-Jones "romantidramedy" No Reservations, based on the German movie Mostly Martha, and it should have enough buzz from sneak previews and from the general popularity of Zeta-Jones to open decently though it'll have a hard time getting past the high-profile blockbusters. Chances are that it'll have to settle for fifth place, especially if New Line's Hairspray gets the expected legs from opening weekend word-of-mouth.

This Week's Predictions -

1. The Simpsons Movie (20th Century Fox) - $48.5 million

2. Hairspray (New Line) - $16.0 million -42%

3. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros.) - $15.7 million -51%

4. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry (Universal) - $15.4 million -55%

5. No Reservations (Warner Bros.) - $12.5 million N/A

6. Transformers (DreamWorks/Paramount) - $10.8 million -47%

7. Ratatouille (Disney/Pixar) - $6.5 million -41%

8. Live Free or Die Hard (20th Century Fox) – $4.0 million -44%

9. Who's Your Caddy? (MGM/Dimension) - $2.6 million N/A

10. Sunshine (Fox Searchlight) - $2.2 million 956%

11. I Know Who Killed Me (Sony/TriStar) - $2.1 million N/A
 
Is Simpsons the best rated movie by the critics this Summer among the bigger released movies? 88% out of 117 reviews.

Very impressive. :up:
 
Woohoo! Big First Day for The Simpsons Movie

The Friday estimates are in, and 20th Century Fox's The Simsons Movie exploded out of the gate with an estimated $29.4 million from 3,922 theaters.

2. I KNOW PRONOUNCE YOU CHUCK & LARRY 6,075,000
3. HAIRSPRAY NEW LINE 5,112,000
4. HARRY POTTER AND THE ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WARNER BROS. 4,979,000
5. NO RESERVATIONS WARNER BROS. 4,005,000
6. TRANSFORMERS 3,171,000
7. RATATOUILLE 2,187,000
 
Congrats to The Simpson's Movie, it definitely deserves a huge opening and total gross as it was possibly the best film of the summer.
 
Simpsons Movie Draws in $168M Worldwide

20th Century Fox's The Simpsons Movie exceeded expectations, earning an estimated $71.85 million from 3,922 theaters domestically to dominate the weekend box office. The animated-comedy, which cost about $75 million to make, marks the big screen debut of the characters from the long running series. The series' 19th season will premiere in the fall. The studio had expected the movie to open in the $40 million range. Internationally, The Simpsons Movie earned $96 million from 71 markets.

Last weekend's champ, I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry, dipped 44% with $19.1 million. The Universal comedy, starring Adam Sandler, Kevin James and Jessica Biel, has collected $71.6 million and was produced for $85 million.

Close in third was Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix, which added $17.1 million in its third weekend for a domestic total of $241.8 million. The franchise has become the second-highest ever worldwide, trailing only the 22 James Bond films. Warner Bros.' five "Harry Potter" movies have combined taken in an estimated $4.24 billion in worldwide ticket sales.

New Line's Hairspray dropped a spot to fourth with $15.6 million, bringing the musical's total to $59.3 million in two weeks.

Newcomer No Reservations, starring Catherine Zeta-Jones, Aaron Eckhart and Abigail Breslin, rounded out the top five with $11.8 million from 2,425 theaters.

Transformers continued to do well in sixth with $11.5 million for a total of $284.6 million after four weeks. Likewise, Ratatouille added $47.2 million for a sum of $179.7 million after five weeks. Live Free or Die Hard earned $5.4 million in its fifth week, bringing its total to $125.1 million.
 
The Weekend Warrior: August 3 - 5

This Week's Predictions -

1. The Bourne Ultimatum (Universal) - $56.8 million N/A

2. The Simpsons Movie (20th Century Fox) - $35.8 million -52%

3. Underdog (Walt Disney) - $13.2 million N/A

4. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry (Universal) - $10.5 million -45%

5. Hairspray (New Line) - $10.0 million -38%

6. Hot Rod (Paramount/SNL Films) - $9.7 million N/A

7. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros.) - $9.4 million -47%

8. No Reservations (Warner Bros.) - $7.0 million -40%

9. Transformers (DreamWorks/Paramount) - $6.2 million -47%

10. Bratz (Lionsgate) - $5.5 million N/A
 
TF seems to be slowing up domestically even with it's low drops each week. It looks to surpass Pirates but not enough steam to top Shrek or Spider-Man.
 
Just thinking about it, isn't the topic of this thread semi-officially been deteremined?

While Shrek the Third hasn't opened yet in like 4 smaller markets, I think the unofficial results for the May movies is.

Domestically
1. Spider-Man 3
2. Shrek the Third
3. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

Worldwide
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
2. Spider-Man 3
3. Shrek the Third
 
Just thinking about it, isn't the topic of this thread semi-officially been deteremined?

While Shrek the Third hasn't opened yet in like 4 smaller markets, I think the unofficial results for the May movies is.

Domestically
1. Spider-Man 3
2. Shrek the Third
3. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

Worldwide
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
2. Spider-Man 3
3. Shrek the Third


HP5 may come back and overtake Shrek 3 WW though. HP5 is already over $701 million WW. Shrek 3 is at $718 million WW.
 
New "Bourne" set to lead weekend box office

Jason Bourne, the amnesiac political assassin, should find himself in familiar territory atop the North American box office this weekend with "The Bourne Ultimatum," the third film in the spy saga.

Although Hollywood also is fielding three other wide releases and two more modest platform launches, "Bourne" should outrun the competition and force the previous weekend's chart-topper, "The Simpsons Movie," into second place.

Universal Pictures' "Ultimatum," which takes the globe-trotting Bourne (Matt Damon) to Tangier and New York, looks poised to hit the high-$50 million range, possibly even pushing into $60 million territory.

The first film in the series, "The Bourne Identity," opened to $27.1 million in 2002. "The Bourne Supremacy" bowed to $52.5 million three summers ago. Both "Supremacy" and "Ultimatum" were directed by Paul Greengrass.

20th Century Fox's "Simpsons," which bowed last weekend to a resounding $74 million, will likely follow with a haul in the $33 million-$37 million range. The animated movie is expected to cross the century mark Friday.

In a bid for the family audience, Walt Disney Pictures is unleashing "Underdog," a live-action version of the 1960s cartoon series about a canine superhero. It should open in the $11 million-$14 million range.

Paramount's "Hot Rod," in which breakout "Saturday Night Live" star Andy Samberg makes his big-screen debut as an Evel Knievel wannabe, is expected to race off with about $7 million-$10 million.

And then there's "Bratz: The Movie," a live-action tween comedy based on the popular doll line. Handicappers will be surprised if the Lionsgate release rises much higher than the $5 million mark in its first weekend.
 
Around the World Roundup: 'Simpsons' Super in Debut
by Conor Bresnan
August 2, 2007


The global appeal for The Simpsons Movie unveiled itself over the weekend as the cartoon opened to $96.9 million from 71 markets. It was by far the largest opening ever for an American comedy and even topped the final tally of Wedding Crashers. The Simpsons's 18-year history on television equated to huge awareness and a built-in audience.

Reflecting The Simpsons' massive box office across Europe, the picture faced off with Transformers' opening in the United Kingdom and handily beat the robo-spectacle by 56 percent with a fantastic $27.5 million versus $17.6 million. In France, Simpsons again went head-to-head with Transformers and won. Despite playing on 156 fewer screens, it nabbed $9.5 million from 716 screens compared to Transformers' $6.7 million. In Germany, Simpsons posted a phenomenal $14.2 million from 754 screens, which was bigger than Spider-Man 3's opening earlier this year. Simpsons also excelled in Sweden ($1.8 million from 120 screens), Belgium ($1.8 million from 136) and Spain ($7.2 million from 672).

As great as Europe was for The Simpsons, Latin America fared even better. In Argentina, the comedy notched recorded a smashing $2.3 million from 182 screens, which almost doubled Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix and topped Shrek the Third to become the year's biggest opening. It followed suit in Chile with a $1.3 million start from 43 screens, which was also the year's best, topping Spider-Man 3. Simpsons was excellent in Venezuela as well, tabulating $755,389 from 97 screens.

The only region where The Simpsons didn't translate was Asia. In the Philippines, it settled for third place (beneath Ratatouille and local hit Ouija) with a meager $397,170 from 50 screens. In Malaysia, its $165,531 from 25 screens was even worse and couldn't beat Transformers in its fifth weekend. It was in Singapore, though, with a top-ranked $558,672 from 33 screens.

Overall, The Simpsons Movie blew away expectations as its $96.9 million weekend was achieved without including previews or extra days (like Spider-Man 3 or Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End) and it did not include several major markets like Italy (Sept. 14), Russia (Aug. 16), Japan (March 22) and Mexico (Aug. 1) among several others. This weekend in addition to Mexico, it opens in Denmark, India and Poland.


Daniel Radcliffe in Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix

Tumbling 51 percent to second place, Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix grossed $50 million from 59 territories for a $454 million total. The fantasy sequel had one opening, Poland, where it took in less than half of what Shrek the Third did a few weeks ago, making a still impressive $1.8 million from 174 prints. Potter's largest gross came from Germany. Down only 39 percent, it took in $6.3 million for a three-week tally of $46.2 million. In the U.K., though, it dove 57 percent with the arrival of The Simpsons and Transformers, earning $5.8 million for a $76.6 million total. It also fell hard in Japan, off 67 percent from its opening (which included previews) to $5.7 million for a $31.9 million total.

Transformers ranked third with $44.5 million from 47 markets, lifting its total to $249.5 million as it continued to stun in Asia while seeing solid openings across Europe. In addition to France and the U.K.'s openings, it added $1.8 million from 74 screens in Hong Kong, a debut that was considerably lower than Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix. Hong Kong wasn't nearly as receptive to the morphing robots as China, where the picture has already grossed a stellar $31 million. The 'bots transfixed Malaysia as well, reclaiming the top spot against Harry Potter and The Simpsons's debut with $210,338. Its $4.9 million total there is already the year's highest gross. Meanwhile, Transformers added to its already record American take in South Korea, making $1.5 million in its fifth weekend for a $48.2 million total.

Maintaining its solid campaign, Live Free or Die Hard hauled in $10.1 million over the weekend for a $177 million total, ranking fourth. In its second frame in South Korea, it was down 46 percent to $3.1 million for a $16.7 million total. Die Hard 4.0, as the action sequel's known internationally, debuts in Croatia, the Dominican Republic and Slovenia this weekend.


A scene from Ratatouille

Placing fifth, Ratatouille earned $10 million from 20 territories for a $50.9 million total. In Japan, the animated comedy delivered a robust $4.1 million from 553 screens, but elsewhere it didn't pack much punch, including South Korea (a decent $2 million start from 262 screens), Peru ($284,881 from 36 screens) and the Philippines ($597,285 from 60). Holdovers were better such as Mexico where it dropped 21 percent in its fourth weekend to $1.1 million for a $14.2 million total.

Just missing out on the Top Five, but still impressing was May 18, a South Korean drama. It led a crowded market that included the openings of Ratatouille and Evan Almighty with $9.6 million from 549 screens. It was by far the biggest opening of the year for a local picture but well shy of the recent American blockbuster starts.

Knocked Up, which added $3 million over the weekend from four countries, had a nice opening in Russia ($1.9 million from 274 screens). It's the comedy's first foreign language success, which is good news as more than 80 percent of its $13 million overall tally thus far has come from English-speaking Australia.

Meanwhile, I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry and No Reservations entered the international market for the first time with mediocre results. Chuck and Larry's three-territory debut amounted to just $868,928, even with star Adam Sandler scoring his best opening yet in The Netherlands ($370,673 from 57 screens, which is nothing to brag about). It was moderate in Greece ($156,225) and Taiwan ($342,029) as well. No Reservations had a similar start in Mexico, grossing just $751,088 from 249 screens, ranking fourth. Among similar movies, the debut was a smidgen better than Music and Lyrics from earlier this year.
 
1. BOURNE ULTIMATUM, THE UNIVERSAL 3,660 23,671,000 6,467 n/a 23,671,000
2. SIMPSONS MOVIE, THE 20TH CENTURY FOX 3,926 7,876,000 2,006 -73% 110,827,787
3. UNDERDOG BVI 3,013 4,123,000 1,368 n/a 4,123,000
4. I KNOW PRONOUNCE YOU CHUCK & LARRY UNIVERSAL 3,289 3,197,000 972 -47% 84,362,000
5. HAIRSPRAY NEW LINE 3,115 3,043,000 977 -40% 72,660,287
6. HARRY POTTER AND THE ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WARNER BROS. 3,125 2,647,000 847 -47% 254,106,000
7. NO RESERVATIONS WARNER BROS. 2,425 2,100,000 866 -48% 19,689,357
8. HOT ROD PARAMOUNT 2,607 1,954,000 750 n/a 1,954,000
9. BRATZ LIONS GATE 1,509 1,725,000 1,143 n/a 1,725,000
10. TRANSFORMERS PARAMOUNT 2,419 1,587,000 656 -50% 291,819,134


http://showbizdata.com/dailybox.cfm
 
Simpsons surely looks like to have a huge drop. But then again, it's been the summer of big opening weekends and big second weekend drops. But I'm a little surprised Simpsons is doing that after all the positive reviews
 
Bourne did good. Simpsons had a huge drop. Bratz and Hot Rod bombed. Surprised Underdog came in at 3.
 
Bourne Ultimatum Breaks August Box Office Record!

Universal Pictures' The Bourne Ultimatum broke the August record for an opening weekend with an estimated $70.2 million from 3,660 theaters for an average of $19,175. The third installment surpassed the $67.4 million opening by Rush Hour 2 the same weekend in 2001. By comparison, The Bourne Identity opened with $27.1 million in June of 2002, and The Bourne Supremacy debuted with $52.5 million in July of 2004. Those two films went on to gross nearly $485 million worldwide combined. "Ultimatum" was again directed by "Supremacy" helmer Paul Greengrass, and stars Matt Damon, Julia Stiles, Joan Allen, David Strathairn, Paddy Considine and Edgar Ramirez.

Despite dropping 65.4% in tickets sales, Fox's The Simpsons Movie added another $25.6 million in second place for a two-week total of $128.6 million domestically. The big screen debut cost about $75 million to make.

Walt Disney Pictures' big screen Underdog adaptation landed in third with an estimated $12 million from 3,013 theaters. The movie features the voices of Jason Lee and Amy Adams and stars Peter Dinklage and Patrick Warburton.

Universal's I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry dropped two spots to fourth, making $10.5 million in its third weekend for a sum of $91.7 million. The comedy was made for about $85 million.

New Line's Hairspray rounded out the top five with $9.33 million and has collected $78.9 million after three weeks.

Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix earned $9.29 million to bring its total to $260.8 million after four weeks.

No Reservations dropped 43.9% its second weekend, making $6.6 million for a total of $24.2 million.

Transformers is nearing the $300 million mark, adding $5.95 million this weekend and bringing its total to $296.3 million after five weeks.

Newcomers Hot Rod and Bratz were mostly ignored by moviegoers, only taking in $5 million and $4.3 million, respectively.
 
'Superbad' Has Super Haul of $31 Million

"Superbad" was super good at the box office, proving that a no-name cast could hold its own amid A-list summer blockbusters.

The teen comedy from Sony, the misadventures of two high school buddies trying to score booze, took in $31.2 million to debut as the weekend's No. 1 movie, according to studio estimates Sunday.

"Superbad" knocked off the previous weekend's top flick, New Line's "Rush Hour 3," which slipped to second place with $21.8 million, raising its total to $88.2 million.

The Warner Bros. sci-fi tale "The Invasion," starring Nicole Kidman and Daniel Craig in an update of "Invasion of the Body Snatchers," opened a weak No. 5 with $6 million.

"Superbad" maintains the pattern of producer Judd Apatow's earlier hits, "Knocked Up" and "The 40-Year-Old Virgin," which he directed. Apatow and his collaborators, including "Knocked Up" star and "Superbad" co-writer and co-star Seth Rogen, have a knack for packaging crude, R-rated humor with clever, authentic dialogue far smarter than what's normally seen in summer comedies.

Shot on a modest $20 million budget, "Superbad" had a slightly better debut than "Knocked Up," which opened in June with $30.7 million and went on become a $100 million hit.

"I think a genuinely funny movie always has a shot at doing well, because so few movies are really funny," Apatow told The Associated Press as he headed to the "Knocked Up" premiere Sunday at the Edinburgh International Film Festival in Scotland.

"Superbad," co-written by Rogen and his high school best friend Evan Goldberg, stars Jonah Hill and Michael Cera as pals on a quest for alcohol to impress the foxy host of a party. Rogen co-stars as an inept cop who ends up carousing with the teens, while Christopher Mintz-Plasse proves a scene-stealer as Hill and Cera's super-geeky friend.

Though centering on high schoolers, "Superbad" drew in older crowds, with 40 percent of the audience over 30, said Rory Bruer, head of distribution for Sony.

"The Apatow comedy machine itself is a brand now, and it's a brand that has created movies that appeal to older audiences who now follow whatever he does, even in the teen genre, which is very unusual," said Paul Dergarabedian, president of box-office tracker Media By Numbers.

Overall Hollywood revenues rose with the top 12 movies taking in $110.5 million, up 21 percent from the same weekend last year, when "Snakes on a Plane" opened at No. 1 with $15.2 million. Movie attendance is running 5 percent ahead of last summer's, according to Media By Numbers.

The Weinstein Co. release "The Last Legion," featuring Ben Kingsley in an action tale set in ancient Rome, tanked with just $2.6 million, finishing at No. 12.

In narrower release, MGM's comedy "Death at a Funeral," a tale of outrageous goings-on at a British patriarch's farewell, opened solidly with $1.3 million.

Warner Independent's "The 11th Hour," a global-crisis documentary on ecological issues co-written, co-produced and narrated by Leonardo DiCaprio, debuted well in four theaters with $56,000.

Estimated ticket sales for Friday through Sunday at U.S. and Canadian theaters, according to Media By Numbers LLC. Final figures will be released Monday.

1. "Superbad," $31.2 million.

2. "Rush Hour 3," $21.8 million.

3. "The Bourne Ultimatum," $19 million.

4. "The Simpsons Movie," $6.7 million.

5. "The Invasion," $6 million.

6. "Stardust," $5.2 million.

7. "Hairspray," $4.3 million.

8. "Underdog," $3.6 million.

9. "Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix," $3.54 million.

10. "I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry," $3.5 million.

___
 

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