Snikt! Wolverine's Box Office Predictions

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Fox are usually cheap bastards so I'd guess 120mil at best.

 

[Illuminata]

I can see Fox using the flu and pirating as an excuse if this movie opens up less than expected and I'll call bulls**t on it.

That's why they leaked it themselves to they could save face to their investors and the public. They knew they had no chance of getting the Box Office once Star Trek begin gaining buzz and receiving very positive reviews from early screenings. The whole "leak" sitaution was nothing but an industry con.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

That's why they leaked it themselves to they could save face to their investors and the public. They knew they had no chance of getting the Box Office once Star Trek begin gaining buzz and receiving very positive reviews from early screenings. The whole "leak" sitaution was nothing but an industry con.

Fun theory but I don't buy it. I just don't see a studio leaking their big summer tentpole.

 

[Nivek]

I'm guessing the Titanic part of your post was meant as a joke.

Actually, the whole response was a joke.

I never said I was a predictor of Box office, personally I think Box Office is a lousy judge of a films quality, it's more a sign of popularity.

 

[DarthAlani]

I'm seeing the film tonight hope its good.

 

[Illuminata]

Fun theory but I don't buy it. I just don't see a studio leaking their big summer tentpole.

Considering how 'middle school' this studio behaves, anything is possible. I feel this is the only theory that makes sense. No one was apprehended and no one's even in court over this fiasco.

They knew they are not going to recoup the money they expected so to avoid 'the egg on their faces' scenario with their investors (and also to protect the franchise); The best thing would be to shoot themselves in the foot (secretly) so that Marvel and other investors won't cause any trouble for them.

In these days of recession and financial issues, Studios along with big businesses are pulling such adolescent stunts.

 

[Timstuff]

I'm predicting a 60 million opening, and it'll be pretty much forgotten when Star Trek opens. It'll gross about 90-100 million total in the US, plus an additional 50 million world wide. With a budget of $150 million, it'll barely break even in terms of gross, but I think Fox will actually take a loss on it in terms of profits. The movie sucks, and the only way it could make a hearty profit for Fox would be if it had no competition and news of its suckage weren't so widespread.

 

[night0205]

wow

 

[The Lizard]

I'm thinking $125 - $130 mil. Somewhat less than Incredible Hulk numbers.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

^And I'm hoping you are correct.

 

[Electrix]

I'm predicting a 60 million opening, and it'll be pretty much forgotten when Star Trek opens. It'll gross about 90-100 million total in the US, plus an additional 50 million world wide. With a budget of $150 million, it'll barely break even in terms of gross, but I think Fox will actually take a loss on it in terms of profits.

Your estimates are way off. It's heading for nearly 90 million this weekend, never mind total US gross. Your hate is clouding your judgement big time.

 

[Electrix]

'Wolverine' starts strong at midnight

Fox appears to have a good jump on the weekend opening for its Hugh Jackman starrer "X-Men Origins: Wolverine," which registered at least $4.5 million in midnight Thursday performances in the U.S. and Canada.

The studio was still culling through preliminary data Friday afternoon, and the witching-hour's tally may run as high as $5 million when finalized. Though hardly a record, that should offer some comfort to anyone at Fox still worrying whether the pricey tentpole will be hampered by lost business from a pirated copy of an early version of the film that's been circulated widely over the Internet.

Studio execs suggested they will be happy with a domestic haul anywhere north of $70 million through Sunday. Prerelease tracking seemed to indicate an opening of $80 million-plus.

"Wolverine" also launches in 101 international territories this weekend – the first frame in the summer boxoffice season.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/hr/content_display/news/e3i06056b3e43453484a7412fae6db5f1d3

 

[[A]]

I think this movie is dumb enough to be a huge HIT

 

[Electrix]

As long as this does big enough numbers to green light Magneto and/or First Class i'm happy.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Your estimates are way off. It's heading for nearly 90 million this weekend, never mind total US gross. Your hate is clouding your judgement big time.

True but the legs are going to kill it afterwards. The wam-bam boxoffice game never pays off in the end. Sure it's going to start huge but it's going to drop off like nobody's bussiness and end with less than alot of people thought. I'm not talking about the critics when I say this...I don't think that the average moviegoer is going to care for this movie very much.

Heres how I see the numbers:

Friday:41.5mil

Sat: 29.1mil-30%

Sun:19.5mil-34%

Total:90.1mil.

99percent of the comicbook movies that have had legs had critical support behind them.

 

[Spider-Fan]

I see this making less than TIH also. It's not reviewing well, the leak will keep some people from going, and I think it is going to get bad WOM.

 

[Lightning Strykez!]

I'm holding on to my $80 million opening for now. However, I sincerely believe it will be dead by this time next week. Star Trek is really tracking well now, and it's gotten enough reviews to officially rate at Rottentomatoes.com. It's at 100% fresh for now with nearly 2 dozen reviews.

Whatever legs this film has now will be cut off by Trek and other films forthcoming.

 

[Spider-Fan]

I've been eying Star Trek for a while. I think it will be the Summer's best film, and I am not even a huge Star Trek fan

I definately think it kills Wolverine next week. The 80 prediction is probably fair, given the strong opening for X3 in 2006, but if it gets an FF2 level opening...oh boy. Don't think it will be that bad, but if it does...really bad for FOX, cause it will have no legs just like FF2.

 

[Theweepeople]

Fox are usually cheap bastards so I'd guess 120mil at best.

Most websites have the budget set at 120mil but, I've seen a few that speculate it to be around 150mil possibly because of marketing fees. Fox marketed the hell out of this movie so I won't be surprised if the budget is 30 to 50million greater. It will be interesting to see what budget numbers Boxofficemojo.com and thenumbers.com post for the movie.

 

[DW4]

I think a lot of people are underestimating this film. I can easily see it over 110 million this weekend.

 

[night0205]

Considering opening night was only 5M...I doubt 110M.

 

[danoyse]

Considering opening night was only 5M...I doubt 110M.

Those are the midnight showings. It's been reported that's a pretty good start.

 

[def28]

Boxofficejunkie is reporting an estimated 35.5 mil for Friday. Dont know much about the site, does it usually have correct info?

 

[EnDz0n3]

Considering opening night was only 5M...I doubt 110M.

Danoyse what were you saying about the loudest people over at that other thread? LOL j/k

 

[night0205]

5M isn't bad...but 110M is amazing!