Snikt! Wolverine's Box Office Predictions

[craigdbfan]

Looks like Wolverine will be doing good (financially wise at least) this opening weekend. It made $34.75M opening day.

Steve Mason says:

Wolverine has mauled the competition with a massive $34.75M opening day (including $5M or so in Thursday midnight sales). That could translate to a 3-day of $86.8M, getting Hollywood’s most lucrative season off to a spectacular start.

 

[Heretic]

Im sure it will debut high...but I would not be surprised if the bad word of mouth hurts it.

Although there isnt much competition this week.

Its over by next weekend though.

 

[craigdbfan]

Star Trek is going to break Wolverine's legs with a baseball bat next weekend pretty much.

I can't really see this movies legs lasting much after Star Trek and then Terminator: Salvation to finish the job.

 

[echostation]

it will have already recouped it's budget, made well over 150 million so that sucky ass Fox can then churn out more mediocrity...

Hopefully that wont' be the case and that Fox hires good talented filmmakers, cast and crew for the rest of their comic book films but I don't see that happening... hell this film had a massively talented cast and crew but it turned out to be quite a turd... it will be difficult to tell exactly who to blame this on as a result... the director, the producer or the execs? any ideas mafisos...

 

[superion]

Gavin Hood is supposed to be a pretty good director. Sometimes good directors make bad movies such as Ang Lee's Hulk and Rami's Spider-man 3. I expected better from both of them and they are probably the most disappointing Marvel movies based on the quality of the filmmakers.

I never expected much from Bret Ratner or Mark Steven Johnson.

 

[Milkman95]

Yeah, it will pull in about $90 Million this weekend, but will drop fast with possibly the biggest hit of the summer being released next weekend.

It should finish somewhere around $200 Million domestic.....

 

[FaT_tONle]

Weekends like this will assure at least one sequel/follow up/spinoff. 120 million may even be enough. This was not a 150 million dollar budget film.

Yeah, it will pull in about $90 Million this weekend, but will drop fast with possibly the biggest hit of the summer being released next weekend.

It should finish somewhere around $200 Million domestic.....

No way... with bad legs it won't even do 30 million next weekend.

 

[Angamb]

double post.

 

[Angamb]

Really, How can some people expect Fox to do better movies next time, when they has done Fantastic 4, Elektra, then X-men 3, then F4 and Silver Surfer, then Dragonball, now Wolverine this way??

Do you really really think they'll change??

Guys, be realistic.

 

[venom892]

Don't forget Alien vs. predator 1 and 2.

 

[Angamb]

mmm, ok, two more tittles.

They DON'T care about high quality movies.

the sad thing is that they will do more x-men films like this....

 

[YJ1]

the sad thing is that they will do more x-men films like this....

Sad for some fanboys but happy for a lot of movie fans. Personally, this particular fanboy enjoyed the movie very much but I've never had problems differentiating between the movie world and the Marvel Universe. To me, this film topped X3 & X1 and delivered the goods. I'm glad it's doing well. Despite some of this bitter fanboy reaction, word of mouth is going to be quite strong from regular folk. It already has been.

 

[Nivek]

Gavin Hood is supposed to be a pretty good director.
I never expected much from Bret Ratner or Mark Steven Johnson.

Honestly, the direction on this film was so generic, either of those hack directors could have done this film. I don't know what else Gavin Hood had done before this, but I have no interest to seek out his other films.

I'm still curious about box office, but I agree it won't have legs against Star Trek and Terminator Salvation.

 

[danoyse]

I don't know what else Gavin Hood had done before this, but I have no interest to seek out his other films.

He won an Oscar for directing Tsotsi. Amazing film.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

So the movie did 35mil on friday according to boxoffice mojo. I don't see it making 90mil this weekend as I see it droping pretty hard today. I actually expected a bigger number than 35mil. Personally I think that it will be lucky to get X2 numbers for the weekend but I admit that I could be wrong.

 

[Blade X]

Yeah, it will pull in about $90 Million this weekend, but will drop fast with possibly the biggest hit of the summer being released next weekend.

It should finish somewhere around $200 Million domestic.....

While I definitely think STAR TREK will do well at the box office, I don't think it's going to do as well as many people are predicting it will do. After all, when was the last time a STAR TREK movie did tremendously well at the box office?

 

[Blade X]

Sad for some fanboys but happy for a lot of movie fans. Personally, this particular fanboy enjoyed the movie very much but I've never had problems differentiating between the movie world and the Marvel Universe. To me, this film topped X3 & X1 and delivered the goods. I'm glad it's doing well. Despite some of this bitter fanboy reaction, word of mouth is going to be quite strong from regular folk. It already has been.

While I enjoyed this movie, I'm happy for it doing well for a completely different reason. The success of this movie (so far) has pretty much disproves the myth that illegal bootlegs hurts the box office performance of a movie. Hollywood now can't use that tired excuse to explain why any crappy movies they make flop at the box office.

 

[TheComicbookKid]

While I definitely think STAR TREK will do well at the box office, I don't think it's going to do as well as many people are predicting it will do. After all, when was the last time a STAR TREK movie did tremendously well at the box office?

QFT. I'm not sure where people are getting this idea that Trek is going to obleterate Wolverine.

Wolverine is just going to plummet on its own.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I'm still mataining that ST will open with less than Wolverine but actually have legs and do well overall.

I'm predicting a little over 200mil for it.

The point is I think that StarTrek will actually be well received in a Batman Begins kind of way, while Wolverine will make tons of money but most won't care about it and it will have terrible legs.

 

[Anita18]

Gavin Hood is supposed to be a pretty good director. Sometimes good directors make bad movies such as Ang Lee's Hulk and Rami's Spider-man 3. I expected better from both of them and they are probably the most disappointing Marvel movies based on the quality of the filmmakers.

I never expected much from Bret Ratner or Mark Steven Johnson.

At least Ang Lee TRIED to do something with Hulk.

While I enjoyed this movie, I'm happy for it doing well for a completely different reason. The success of this movie (so far) has pretty much disproves the myth that illegal bootlegs hurts the box office performance of a movie. Hollywood now can't use that tired excuse to explain why any crappy movies they make flop at the box office.

True. If the leak was going to hurt, it was going to hurt the opening weekend. And it doesn't really seem like it did. WOM will be a bigger factor in the coming days/weeks.

 

[danoyse]

I loved Wolverine, but I think Star Trek is going to flatten it next weekend. It looks amazing, it's getting great reviews so far, and it seems a lot of people are pumped for it (including me).

May is insane - there's also Terminator and Night at the Museum 2, Angels & Demons, and the new Pixar movie. They're just going to be cannibalizing each other the next few weeks.

 

[Anita18]

May is insane - there's also Terminator and Night at the Museum 2, Angels & Demons, and the new Pixar movie. They're just going to be cannibalizing each other the next few weeks.

I've read theories that's been adding to the front-loadedness of films nowadays, and it makes sense. I mean, usually people liked going to the movies on holidays, so gunning for July 4 or Memorial Day weekend was the thing to do. But now movie openings can be events in themselves. (Gosh knows July 18 and May 4 are nothing special, and TDK/SM3 broke the records respectively.)

Now instead of lots of films opening over holidays, they try to spread them out as best as possible. With so many big films coming out over the summer, each film basically gets ONE weekend to get as much money as it can before the next one comes along.

Unless the next one is crap, but anyway.

 

[DW4]

It already made 35 million on a Friday, and movies will always make more on Saturday than little less on Sunday. Strong possibility of getting past 100 million and even with Star Trek coming out next weekend this film will still make 30 million next weekend. If Fast and Furious can make over 140, this film can do much better.


Wait did someone say Star Trek will be the biggest hit of the summer? Transformers 2 will blow that movie out of the ballpark. No movie will make more than T2 this year.

 

[danoyse]

True. If the leak was going to hurt, it was going to hurt the opening weekend. And it doesn't really seem like it did. WOM will be a bigger factor in the coming days/weeks.

We got to our seats last night and the theater was less than half-full, and I all I could think was...my god, they really did all download it!

Then I realized it was only 7:00 and the movie wasn't starting for another half-hour. It was full by the time it started. Big line waiting to go in when we were leaving, too.

 

[Chewy]

It already made 35 million on a Friday, and movies will always make more on Saturday than little less on Sunday. Strong possibility of getting past 100 million and even with Star Trek coming out next weekend this film will still make 30 million next weekend. If Fast and Furious can make over 140, this film can do much better.

Not true