Suicide Squad box office prediction - Part 1

[Iceman]

Great weekday numbers and a solid start overseas. They really marketed this one very well.

 

[JOE]

The DCeU doesn't want the "Transformers" reputation of having their movies poorly received, yet still making a ton of money. Or do they? Money is all that matters I guess, finance the sequel and keep on trucking?

I have a feeling that once the DCeU comes out with a movie that's well received it's going to OBLITERATE the box office. This is all just build up!

 

[kguillou]

I don't think even the Transformers movies want that negative reputation but Michael Bay knows his audience. He knows that if he injects enough humor, TNA and action in his film, kids and teenagers will eat it up and generate box office.

 

[tek]

i glad people are enjoying the movie but even if it beat Avatar's box office it still wont make it a good film. It may give them the chance to correct it and give the characters another chance. as we know money dont equate to quality filmaking

 

[morningmimosa]

i glad people are enjoying the movie but even if it beat Avatar's box office it still wont make it a good film. It may give them the chance to correct it and give the characters another chance. as we know money dont equate to quality filmaking

You forgot to mention how watching Jared Leto is the worst thing that has ever happened to you.

 

[Angel0fDeath]

i glad people are enjoying the movie but even if it beat Avatar's box office it still wont make it a good film. It may give them the chance to correct it and give the characters another chance. as we know money dont equate to quality filmaking

The opinion of a bunch of bloggers does, though.

 

[Paladin-Hoss]

Except, contrary to their name, The Hollywood Reporter didn’t actually report anything about Hollywood. The trade pub quoted an anonymous insider who said “The movie’s got to do $750 million, $800 million to break even. If they get anywhere close to that, they’ll consider it a win.”
That’s not reporting. That’s passing along a throwaway line from someone who could very well being speaking directly out of their *******. Think a less successful Ace Ventura with a bigger coke habit. Who is this insider? What are his or her qualifications? How do they know the movie needs to make three-quarters of a billion dollars just to avoid Warners taking a loss?

http://www.pajiba.com/think_pieces/...t-need-to-make-800-million-to-break-even-.php

 

[Zero_Effect]

Exhibitor Relations ‏@ERCboxoffice

In Brazil and Korea, SUICIDE SQUAD has already surpassed the lifetime totals of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY.

SUICIDE SQUAD scored $15.7M & $15.3M overseas on Monday & Tuesday--$165M total. UK ($19M) BRZ ($15M) RUS ($14M) MEX ($13M)

 

[Erzengel]

http://www.pajiba.com/think_pieces/...t-need-to-make-800-million-to-break-even-.php

If every publication revealed who their sources were, they'd stop giving information.

 

[Paladin-Hoss]

^^ True. But the issue is how everyone automatically accept it as fact.
And everyone else who expressed any kind of doubt was automatically labelled as 'desperate fanboy'

IMO any kind of info from unnamed source should be taken with a grain of salt
especially with hyperbole claim such as the one mentioned in THR article

 

[Erzengel]

Yeah, but it's the Hollywood Reporter not the Enquirer.

 

[Zero_Effect]

Yeah, but it's the Hollywood Reporter not the Enquirer.

Whats the difference?

 

[Erzengel]

One has a reputation, one is more salacious?

 

[Paladin-Hoss]

Yeah, but it's the Hollywood Reporter not the Enquirer.

Unnamed source=unverified claims.

Doesn't matter if it's from Enquirer,THR or the Wall Street Journal.

It means 50-50 chance that it turns out to be true

 

[Micromind]

How can a movie Need 800 mil just to break even ?

Consider this, if Suicide Squad, whose initial Budget was reported to be 175 mil required even additional 75 mil for reshoots, the combined budget would become 250 mil. No way WB will give them more than that.

The using old rule of thumb, that is,

Two times the budget plus Marketing = Amount needed to break even.

2 X 250 mil + 150 mil (Marketing budget) = 650 mil.

I have assumed higher end costs for everything, still it is nowhere near 800 mil figure that HR is quoting.

And this is Suicide Squad movie, not a Star Wars or LOTR movie, why would it cost so much ?

 

[CaptainWagner]

Yeah, after what happened with BvS, Warner Brothers would have to be actively trying to fail to get a budget that high for this movie.

 

[Blitzkrieg]

How can a movie Need 800 mil just to break even ?

Consider this, if Suicide Squad, whose initial Budget was reported to be 175 mil required even additional 75 mil for reshoots, the combined budget would become 250 mil. No way WB will give them more than that.

The using old rule of thumb, that is,

Two times the budget plus Marketing = Amount needed to break even.

2 X 250 mil + 150 mil (Marketing budget) = 650 mil.

I have assumed higher end costs for everything, still it is nowhere near 800 mil figure that HR is quoting.

And this is Suicide Squad movie, not a Star Wars or LOTR movie, why would it cost so much ?

Bro even then you are way off with the re-shoots budget, iirc it was reported to be 22 million.

 

[DeadStroke]

Yeah, after what happened with BvS, Warner Brothers would have to be actively trying to fail to get a budget that high for this movie.

They decided to cut a lot of Joker screen time and didn't put out the best version of BvS. So maybe.

 

[Micromind]

Yeah, after what happened with BvS, Warner Brothers would have to be actively trying to fail to get a budget that high for this movie.

Most of the shooting took place on streets.

 

[Paladin-Hoss]

How can a movie Need 800 mil just to break even ?

Consider this, if Suicide Squad, whose initial Budget was reported to be 175 mil required even additional 75 mil for reshoots, the combined budget would become 250 mil. No way WB will give them more than that.

The using old rule of thumb, that is,

Two times the budget plus Marketing = Amount needed to break even.

2 X 250 mil + 150 mil (Marketing budget) = 650 mil.

I have assumed higher end costs for everything, still it is nowhere near 800 mil figure that HR is quoting.

And this is Suicide Squad movie, not a Star Wars or LOTR movie, why would it cost so much ?

Pretty much what you said.
But the fact is that some here adamanly trying to convince others that what THR said is fact.

'Wow...weekend numbers for SS looks good!'
'Pfff..don't celebrate yet, movie needs 750-800 to break even!'

'Damn...the early week numbers looks promising! even up by 9%!'
'Pfft...don't mean anything. Need 750-800 to break even!'

'Hey guys...i just got back from finally seeing the movie! flawed, but i really like it!'
'Pffft...need 750-800 to make even, don't you know anything by now?'

 

[ManWithNoName18]

9.7 million Wednesday

 

[brandeezy89]

I can't believe the amount of negativity in the BO prediction thread, let alone the general thread.

After news about SS breaking August record people started saying "Just wait till 2 weekend it'll drop like a rock it's like BvS again Deja Vu!!" Like people aren't allowed to celebrate an amazing OW of SS in the SS thread. Then there're some people just repeating the same chorus over and over and OVER "WB has left money on the table, WB are panic, execs are losing sleep" etc. I can't speak for everyone but personally I want them to straightout say "WB/ DC sucks" then get the hell out of this thread rather than being passive aggressive like that.

What until some negative news pops up and the people who never post on this board will come flying in. Notice how certain posters disappeared after Monday and Tuesday's numbers?

 

[Micromind]

What until some negative news pops up and the people who never post on this board will come flying in. Notice how certain posters disappeared after Monday and Tuesday's numbers?

This happened a lot on BvS boards, people that I never knew existed showed up started negativity and soon regular posters were outnumbered, never experienced anything like that.

 

[Wildcard]

This happened a lot on BvS boards, people that I never knew existed showed up started negativity and soon regular posters were outnumbered, never experienced anything like that.

Yeah, I know what you mean, I was there and it was crazy. But unlike here, they didn't vanish so it just made the BvS forum a breeding ground for nonsense.

 

[idiot09]

According to Deadline,175 million is the budget INCLUDING the reshoots.