The Amazing Spider-Man 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 5

[thomass]

Oh it's cute, you actually think you have me. Just sooo adorable.

Err no, not really. Why so serious.

 

[JKKS085]

Actuals are in (7,823/10,010). Since its third week end it keeps on dropping like Spider-Man 3 on the we + 3% or so. This should mean another 50%+ drop for next week end (or right around 50%).

 

[thomass]

I think most studios wouldn't care about the reviews if it made decent money. See Transformers, Pirates.

However, this should have probably followed the Nolan formula and not taken a dip from it's predecessor especially for a movie costing more.

It's not a very good sign for a franchise which was the standard for CBMs to possibly come in 4th behind Cap, X-Men and possibly GotG.

Not to bothered to be honest. This franchise needs a rest and the next seemingly being Garfield's last, I would be happy for it to happen after that. If budget goes up and profits go down then it could conceivably happen? Obviously hoping ts a good one at the same. I don't ask for much.

 

[Erzengel]

Actuals are in (7,823/10,010). Since its third week end it keeps on dropping like Spider-Man 3 on the we + 3% or so. This should mean another 50%+ drop for next week end (or right around 50%).

I've been following it against TWS. It got a bit of a bump with the holiday yesterday but they are $40 million behind TWS now $39. Since the comparable days are becoming less and less, it's looking at about $205 domestic.

 

[spiderman2]

I've been following it against TWS. It got a bit of a bump with the holiday yesterday but they are $40 million behind TWS now $39. Since the comparable days are becoming less and less, it's looking at about $205 domestic.

Man who could image that the movie could make 57 less then asm1 in usa when asm1 had the reboot and the orgin and had more compation then this movie. I know that we had Godzilla and xmen this year but that is no avengers dark knight hype like asm1 went up agest.

 

[Wildcard]

Wow, don't things to seriously bud.

They have made enough to make another, mission accomplished. Well if you have liked the first two so far anyway.

Um, no, they haven't made "enough" money to make another one. Anyone who knows anything about business knows that spending $500 million on a movie in all & getting less than $700 million worldwide isn't profitable.

I must be in the Twilight Zone...

 

[Iceman]

Man who could image that the movie could make 57 less then asm1 in usa when asm1 had the reboot and the orgin and had more compation then this movie. I know that we had Godzilla and xmen this year but that is no avengers dark knight hype like asm1 went up agest.

Yeah, TASM really didn't do that badly for a reboot after such a short amount of time with strong competition. This film should have kicked on to at least $900m.

 

[thomass]

Um, no, they haven't made "enough" money to make another one. Anyone who knows anything about business knows that spending $500 million on a movie in all & getting less than $700 million worldwide isn't profitable.

I must be in the Twilight Zone...

I think you are taking what I said wrong. I didn't mean making enough the money from this film to directly fund the next. But it making enough to justify giving another one a go.

 

[spiderman2]

Yeah, TASM really didn't do that badly for a reboot after such a short amount of time with strong competition. This film should have kicked on to at least $900m.

Yeah for a reboot and a reboot that was to much like spider man 1 it did really good this movie not so much. This movie could end up with like usa 205 outside 510 or something for 715 ww. If this movie had to deal with has strong competition has asm1 the movie could have been even worse like a usa 185 outside 470 so something like 655 ww or something.

 

[spiderman2]

ASM3 if it dosnt get delayed is going to have lot of compaction like asm1 had has the next xmen, and batman vs superman and captian America 2 comes out then to in 2016 so really if it comes out around then and makes the same has asm2 that would be a win. If asm2 had came out around those 3 movies the movie would probly end up even worse of like 150 usa outside 450 for 600 ww or something so things are not looking good for asm3 inless they delay it or something.

 

[Em Dee]

ASM 3 is in a good spot because I think all the huge movies come out in April/May 2016. This is slated for June 16th which is a pretty good spot imo.

 

[spiderman2]

ASM 3 is in a good spot because I think all the huge movies come out in April/May 2016. This is slated for June 16th which is a pretty good spot imo.

Maybe asm3 is june 10 and may 6 is captian America 3 and batman vs superman but you know ether captian America 3 or batman vs super man is going to get movied. That is just over a month between those movies and then may 27 so only about 2 weeks before you have xmen and alice in wonder land 2 one of those could end up getting movied to and then a week after asm2 on june 17 you have finding doring can never underestimate Disney and that same day you also have how to train your dragion 3 witch could maybe change dates to. 2016 is just so loaded its crazy!

http://www.movieinsider.com/movies/-/2016/

 

[Wildcard]

I think you are taking what I said wrong. I didn't mean making enough the money from this film to directly fund the next. But it making enough to justify giving another one a go.

And you'd still be wrong because the numbers don't support either of those notions.

 

[JKKS085]

ASM 3 is in a good spot because I think all the huge movies come out in April/May 2016. This is slated for June 16th which is a pretty good spot imo.

You seriously think that coming after Captain America 3, Batman v Superman and X-Men Apocalypse and just before 2 animated juggernauts is a good spot ?
I mean, if TASM faced competition in the form of Avengers and TDKR in 2012 I don't know what to think about the 2016 competition.

 

[thomass]

And you'd still be wrong because the numbers don't support either of those notions.

So its your belief a third film will not be made?

 

[spiderman2]

2016 is just loaded I don't know if there is a good time in 2016 in less they do like October or something because even in December 2016 you have avatar 2. 2016 you could have like 8 movies make a billion or more no joke.

 

[Liam_H]

6/24/16 is completely empty. Its the weekend right before the July 4th one. Its a good spot if somebody wants to move out of the crowded May. Even ASM3 could move up and take this spot, does Sony really think Angry Birds is gonna be that big of a hit.

The weekend before Memorial is also vacant. These spots will definitely fill eventually.

 

[Wildcard]

So its your belief a third film will not be made?

I'm not saying it won't be made, just that the numbers for TASM 2 are abysmal. Sony doesn't have smart people at the helm of projects, so we'll definitely get a part three that will probably be just as over-budgeted as the second film.

 

[Wildcard]

2016 is just loaded I don't know if there is a good time in 2016 in less they do like October or something because even in December 2016 you have avatar 2. 2016 you could have like 8 movies make a billion or more no joke.

Nah, only two at maximum will make a billion, those being Superman/Batman & Captain America 3. There's no way eight films are going to make a billion dollars in the SAME year. You make it seem as if its some easy feat.

 

[spiderman2]

6/24/16 is completely empty. Its the weekend right before the July 4th one. Its a good spot if somebody wants to move out of the crowded May. Even ASM3 could move up and take this spot, does Sony really think Angry Birds is gonna be that big of a hit.

The weekend before Memorial is also vacant. These spots will definitely fill eventually.

Maybe but even then you have ice age 5 like 3 weeks latter and they make a good amont of money and with how to train your dragion 3 and finding doring on june 17 so only a week before that and one of those could maybe be movied. I just don't see any way that the movie is not going to be relies close to at least some what 2 big movies in a close time prieod.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

You seriously think that coming after Captain America 3, Batman v Superman and X-Men Apocalypse and just before 2 animated juggernauts is a good spot ?
I mean, if TASM faced competition in the form of Avengers and TDKR in 2012 I don't know what to think about the 2016 competition.

Yeah, I think it has a horrible release date.

 

[thomass]

I'm not saying it won't be made, just that the numbers for TASM 2 are abysmal. Sony doesn't have smart people at the helm of projects, so we'll definitely get a part three that will probably be just as over-budgeted as the second film.

So the numbers may indeed justify the making of a third film to the powers that be at Sony regardless of whether you think they do or not.

I'm not debating how bad the numbers are, maybe because I like the film you automatically feel the need to tell me they 'abysmal' but really as long as a third is made to conclude Garfield's role, I'm not that bothered.

 

[spiderman2]

Nah, only two at maximum will make a billion, those being Superman/Batman & Captain America 3. There's no way eight films are going to make a billion dollars in the SAME year. You make it seem as if its some easy feat.

I don't think you relies how many big movies are in 2016 but at the same time having so many big movies close together could cost sever movies from making has much has they could. I think in 2011 or something there was like 5 movies that made a billion. You have pirats 5 it dosnt have a date yet but they all make a lot of money. Batman vs superman is just about a gurite to make a billion or more has it is the first time with batman and super man on the big screen together and you have captaion America 3 witch is coming off cap 2 and avengers 2. You also have xmen and you have alice in wonder land the first one made just a little over a billion. Finding doring how to train you dragion, ice age 5 plant of the appes, avatar 2, star wars sping off and asm2 so that is like 12 big movies even if say half make a billion that would be 6 and even if they don't all make a billion they all have a great changes of making at least 700 million.

 

[Kahran Ramsus]

In normal circumstances, I think Sony would shelve the third installment. But things are complicated by the fact they don't own this IP. They have to make it, whether the numbers justify it or not. Otherwise they will permanently lose the rights to the character if they can't get a film out in a number of years (said to be five).

If this was WB and this was the Batman franchise performing like this, things would be different.

 

[spiderman2]

In normal circumstances, I think Sony would shelve the third installment. But things are complicated by the fact they don't own this IP. They have to make it, whether the numbers justify it or not. Otherwise they will permanently lose the rights to the character if they can't get a film out in a number of years (said to be five).

If this was WB and this was the Batman franchise performing like this, things would be different.

With the 5year thing and with it being 2 years form asm2 to asm3 should they take more time and have it be 4 years form asm2 to asm3 so like a 2018 relisitc date for asm3?