You are correct in labeling the Tea Party as a "populist outrage" that is fuled by economic fear an discontent (and obviously a smidgen of paranoia), however that does nothing to dismiss it's irrelevance. After all Roosevelt's power came from similar feelings.
To compare the Tea Party to (almost nonexistent) calls for Americans siding with Hitler over FDR is an act of either severe ignorance or intentional intellectual dishonesty. (Of course it should be pointed out that the only difference between the policies of Hitler and FDR was on what race was deserving of Concentration Camps).
There is the crux of your entire position. I guarantee you the Tea Party will exists after a Republican comes into power.
Of course one does not have to part with roads (or even Social Security or Medicare) and still be in favor of moving from an income tax to the FairTax as the FairTax is revenue neutral.
Republicans in the D.C. area are very difference from Republicans in Georgia, Texas, Idaho and Wyoming.
You are pulling the 10-15% number out of your prostate.
Rasmussen has 30% of Americans associating themselves with the "Tea Party" label. The number becomes much higher when you include Americans who care about the same issues that drive the Tea Party: fixing the economy, stopping big government, ousting corruption, repealing Healthcare Reform, etc. etc.
I feel the tea party is going to eventually replace the republicans-or something else will. The GOP is disenfranchizing a large generation of voters due to their stances on social issues. The dems arent doing themselves with their handling of all things fiscal. Not to mention, both sides contradict themselves on a regular basis.
I wouldnt be surprised if the biggest reform to come from the great recession is a new power party. The tea party is a joke, at the moment, but the fact that a new party with pretty much zero substance can gain so much ground says something about the peoples outlook on the current way the government runs.
The GOP is not changing anytime soon. At least not for the next 10-20 years. Once the US is radically changed, as Excel points out, the GOP will need to look drastically different from either the Party Establishment in D.C. or the rabid Tea Party base. Neither is appealing to non-whites or much of the youth vote who will be the base voters in 20 years.
The GOP may change into a libertarian party, which seems more likely. But the current Republican Party is not going anywhere...the party of corporate America in its heart and intolerance of anything non-White Christian in its face.
And that is why it will have to change in the longrun. Or as Excel says, it will fade.
The GOP is not changing anytime soon. At least not for the next 10-20 years. Once the US is radically changed, as Excel points out, the GOP will need to look drastically different from either the Party Establishment in D.C. or the rabid Tea Party base. Neither is appealing to non-whites or much of the youth vote who will be the base voters in 20 years.
The GOP may change into a libertarian party, which seems more likely. But the current Republican Party is not going anywhere...the party of corporate America in its heart and intolerance of anything non-White Christian in its face.
And that is why it will have to change in the longrun. Or as Excel says, it will fade.
Reagan was for deregulating the Financial Industry as well as decreasing Federal oversight of corporate America. I agree he was big government, there is no denying that. As were all of his successors and probably every president since FDR. However, Reagan focused on blowing up the deficit on national defense to "beat the Commies" and prove we were the best...and it honestly worked (though I think Afghanistan had more to do with the fall of the Soviet Union, but still). He did not decrease the size of government, but he did set a legacy of government being hands off which led to things like Clinton's CTFC allowing commodities to be swapped and speculated upon, as well as the Clinton-Gingrich regiment repealing Glass-Steigal. It also gave credence to Bush's boneheaded ideas of tax cuts creating wealth for everyone and paying for themselves (as opposed to creating record deficits as they did under reagan and Bush '43).
True. But their strand of populism tends to do well in short spurts and then sputter out. Like the Jenkins, Huey Long, and Father Coughlin strands.
I was referring to Father Coughlin and his radio show that had millions of listeners every airing as he decried FDR as destroying the US and that if it is a choice between Stalin (who FDR was) or Hitler, he'd choose Hitler. He is really no different than Glenn Beck, hence my comparison. A fire breathing blowhard who says mostly amde up, nonsensical bull **** and has millions of viewers/listeners daily, as well as great rallies that nobody seems to remember.
We'll see, but I doubt it. I know every Tea Partier claims that they were opposing Bush and his big government policies during his tenure, but yet I never once heard them speak out other than in isolated Ron Paul-esque libertarian camps. The reason is most of the Tea Partiers were not outraged at Bush and don't want to appear hypocritical. But once they get rid of who they have as irrational a hatred of as the anti-war Bush protestors had of him being behind 9/11 (and yet are conspiciously silent during Obama's escalation of the Afghan War). Once Obama is gone, they will not be marching on Washington.
So you say, but most of our programs would be unaffordable under the Fair Tax. But when you think most of them shouldn't exist that should not be a big deal.
I know. But they aren't the runs who run the party and the government when they're in power. You say that it will change, but it hasn't. It's the same people with the same views of 10-20 years ago in D.C. and they may pay lip service to the base and Tea party....but they ignore them when in power. And I doubt that will change as the proteges in D.C. still think the same way. The ones who run the government.
I thought that poll were for those who agree with what the TEa Party Stands for or what they talk about (fiscal discipline). I'm pretty sure not 1 in 3 people in this country have gone to Tea party rallies and held up those signs. Or go to meetings once a week to talk about how much they hate Obama. I think 10-15 percent is more likely. If it was really 1/3 of the US, then 1 out of every 2 white people would be a Tea Partier (as they're almost entirely white) and that just does not seem likely.
Again I just do not believe that figure is accurate.
And of course they will change. As I said, a mere 40 years ago, under Richard Nixon's leadership, the Republicans were the progressives. The Republicans did not become what you see today until Reagan took leadership. If they get a strong Libertarian leader who has a progressive social platform and a message of personal freedom who takes power, you will see a complete shift in the party values (just as you did when Reagan took power). The sheep will follow whoever can win.
By the same merit, you can see early hints of a change to the Democratic Party. The Blue Dog movement, while not as vocal as the Tea Party are just as prevelant. You can see the early signs of a change of values within the Democratic Party. I would not be suprised at all, if in ten to twenty years (maybe sooner if Barry O. loses his re-election campaign) you feel the same way as I do, Crowe. A man whose party has changed and left him behind.
Reagan did set a legacy regarding small government by demonstrating that (with the success of his rhetoric) most Americans want the government he described (his rhetoric was totally libertarian in nature), as such I believe everyone will find that a national libertarian Republican candidate (that is given the same attention that a Mitt Romney got) would be tremendously successful.
And while we have benefited from Clinton's repeal of Glass-Steigal, it was his reinvestment into the Community Reinvestment Act that caused our crisis by pumping the banking institutions full of bad loans.
But if the nation keeps getting worse due to big government policies, it is only natural that a small government group would only increase in intensity. As long as there is a Glenn Beck painting the narrative, the Tea Party will continue. The reason Beck is more effective than Father Coughlin is that Beck is a good person.
Coughlin is different than Beck by being a raging anti-Semite and a proud Progressive. You are completely wrong on your take of Beck as painting him guilty of "mostly made up, nonsensical ********".
gain, people forgot how little excitement there was in the GOP in 2006 - or his approval ratings in the low 20 (meaning that more than just Democrats opposed him). The Tea Parties started as a response to TARP anyway. Again, if we accept that Beck is the most important voice in the Tea Party movement (which I believe whole heartedly), then it is his credibility that matters. Beck opposed Bush before 2008, he opposed Obama today and it is Beck that routinely stresses the lack of importance of political party and the necessity of judgement based on action.
Most of the programs we have right now would be affordable under the FairTax. Now obviously, as you mention, I want a dramatic cut to those programs - but such a cut isn't of necessity for the FairTax plan but out of being the right thing to do.
That's why it's important to clean out Washington. We need new blood, not proteges.
The internet is of vital important here as well. The Libertarian platform is the one that has benefited the most from the internet. Considering the 20th Century was essentially a century of increasing statism and the demise of capitalism in America, most Americans have only been introduced to statist ideas. In order to be introduced to be exposed to libertarian politics one needed to be in a crazy libertarian family or have the luck of crossing paths with a man like Murray Rothbard or Leonard Read. Outside of F.A. Hayek's book (or more accurately it's condensed Readers Digest version), Henry Hazlitt's New York Times Column (which ended in the 50's or 60's I believe) and Atlas Shrugged are really the only libertarian writings that were ever placed in the mainstream.
Now, thanks to the internet, anyone can find essays by Karl Hess or Rothbard or Mises. South Park is one of the most successful cartoons of all time. Libertarianism is becoming mainstream.
Whether one has attended a Tea Party is unnecessary to be a supporter of the Tea Party, just as one does not need to attend a Barack Obama rally to be a Barack Obama supporter.
Reagan did set a legacy regarding small government by demonstrating that (with the success of his rhetoric) most Americans want the government he described (his rhetoric was totally libertarian in nature), as such I believe everyone will find that a national libertarian Republican candidate (that is given the same attention that a Mitt Romney got) would be tremendously successful.
And while we have benefited from Clinton's repeal of Glass-Steigal, it was his reinvestment into the Community Reinvestment Act that caused our crisis by pumping the banking institutions full of bad loans.
But if the nation keeps getting worse due to big government policies, it is only natural that a small government group would only increase in intensity. As long as there is a Glenn Beck painting the narrative, the Tea Party will continue. The reason Beck is more effective than Father Coughlin is that Beck is a good person.
Coughlin is different than Beck by being a raging anti-Semite and a proud Progressive. You are completely wrong on your take of Beck as painting him guilty of "mostly made up, nonsensical ********".
gain, people forgot how little excitement there was in the GOP in 2006 - or his approval ratings in the low 20 (meaning that more than just Democrats opposed him). The Tea Parties started as a response to TARP anyway. Again, if we accept that Beck is the most important voice in the Tea Party movement (which I believe whole heartedly), then it is his credibility that matters. Beck opposed Bush before 2008, he opposed Obama today and it is Beck that routinely stresses the lack of importance of political party and the necessity of judgement based on action.
Most of the programs we have right now would be affordable under the FairTax. Now obviously, as you mention, I want a dramatic cut to those programs - but such a cut isn't of necessity for the FairTax plan but out of being the right thing to do.
That's why it's important to clean out Washington. We need new blood, not proteges.
The internet is of vital important here as well. The Libertarian platform is the one that has benefited the most from the internet. Considering the 20th Century was essentially a century of increasing statism and the demise of capitalism in America, most Americans have only been introduced to statist ideas. In order to be introduced to be exposed to libertarian politics one needed to be in a crazy libertarian family or have the luck of crossing paths with a man like Murray Rothbard or Leonard Read. Outside of F.A. Hayek's book (or more accurately it's condensed Readers Digest version), Henry Hazlitt's New York Times Column (which ended in the 50's or 60's I believe) and Atlas Shrugged are really the only libertarian writings that were ever placed in the mainstream.
Now, thanks to the internet, anyone can find essays by Karl Hess or Rothbard or Mises. South Park is one of the most successful cartoons of all time. Libertarianism is becoming mainstream.
Whether one has attended a Tea Party is unnecessary to be a supporter of the Tea Party, just as one does not need to attend a Barack Obama rally to be a Barack Obama supporter.
I agree that the Tea Party Movement won't reshape the Republican Party. I think a likely scenario is the libertarian movement reshaping the Republican party. I think a lot of this younger generation that was inspired by Obama has already found themselves disillusioned and that will only increase as the effects of Obama's spending becomes more apparent on their wallets as they enter the job force, have families to provide for, etc. I think you'll see a rejection fo big government and a lot of them will lean towards the Republican party, but shape it in their own image. A party that rejects big government and embraces individual liberty.
Whoever thought it was a good idea to allow the current POTUS to play second fiddle to a former POTUS should no longer have a job in politics.
Today's meeting was an embarrassment for Obama.