The Real Deal Oscar Predictions - Part 3

[kvz5]

Trent Reznor just tweeted this:

http://tumblr.com/xgq1ncebhk

 

[Doctor Jones]

Did he tweet the entire thing and about RDJ? I am not familiar with Twitter at all.

 

[Bunker]

 

[Doctor Jones]

Awwwwwwwwwwww

 

[CaptainCanada]

From a few days ago, a brief overview of the BP nominees.

 

[kvz5]

Did he tweet the entire thing and about RDJ? I am not familiar with Twitter at all.

No, he didn't. Somebody posted their pic on Tumblr (and those with Tumblr accounts were commenting) and he just re-tweeted the Tumblr link with their picture.

 

[Doctor Jones]

The Social Network one was the best.

 

[Doctor Jones]

No, he didn't. Somebody posted their pic on Tumblr (and those with Tumblr accounts were commenting) and he just re-tweeted the Tumblr link with their picture.

Ahhhh.

 

[Anita18]

Some Oscars trivia from the Oscars boards:

- Bale is the youngest living male acting winner. Portman is the 2nd youngest (youngest is Anna Paquin) living female acting winner.

Does that mean Heath would have been the youngest had he lived?

Wally still has the glasses on his head! But that's an adorable picture.

 

[Doctor Jones]

Yeah, Wally having the glasses on his head during his speech was pretty damn funny. It's a classic embarassing dad moment for his kids.

 

[antsman41]

Bale's suit is so slick. His inner Bateman approves...

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

As a fan of Christopher Nolan's work, am I messed up for thinking a sad Nolan in the background would've been hilarious?

 

[Raiden]

Against my better judgement I watched the oscars and it was terrible as usual but this time it was especially terrible. I love Anne Hathaway but she was a little too excited and James Franco didn't even try, he was beyond terrible. And there was not one surprise win.

I feel bad for Hathaway. She was clearly trying to salvage the ceremony despite being given bad materials and a co-host who had tuned out the show as it drags on. If she didn't show any energy or excitement, I think it would've been even worse than it had became.

Anyway, I won't be looking forward to next year when the Wiensteins buy another best picture award for yet another uninteresting period peice. I'm going to finally start looking at the Oscars as the joke that they are. And thats not because my two favorites of the year didn't win, it's because they made the least ambitious film win. I mean, I like Black Swan the least out of the nominees but atleast it was more interesting than The King's Speech.

I still remember how Weinsteins campaigned and helped made a mediocre movie Shakespeared in Love win the Best Picture over Saving Private Ryan. It stands as one of the worse BP winners ever.

 

[CelticPredator]

From that clip used in the Best Supporting Actor's nom, that clip alone was enough to say how well directed TKS was. That was an interesting shot. Period.

I still have to see it.

 

[Project862006]

http://perezhilton.com/2011-03-01-james-franco-mocks-the-critics-and-his-position-as-oscar-hose

 

[DACrowe]

Does that mean Heath would have been the youngest had he lived?


Wally still has the glasses on his head! But that's an adorable picture.

Um, I'm pretty sure Tatum O'Niel was also younger in her adolescence Oscar win than Portman as well.

 

[kvz5]

Does that mean Heath would have been the youngest had he lived?

Yes.

Um, I'm pretty sure Tatum O'Niel was also younger in her adolescence Oscar win than Portman as well.

I think what the trivia meant was their age right now. And not their age when they won.

Oscar Portraits of the winners (Wally is with Tom Hanks!):

http://www.oscars.org/photos/83aa/83rd-portraits.html

 

[redfirebird2008]

I wonder what they could possibly be talking about.

 

[danoyse]

I was so happy for Christian Bale. t:

 

[craigdbfan]

As a fan of Christopher Nolan's work, am I messed up for thinking a sad Nolan in the background would've been hilarious?

That would actually be pretty damn funny and very sad at the same time.

 

[Homer J. Fong]

Okay, I haven't posted here since the show, so I may as well do this:

Best Picture
I said: The King's Speech
Winner: The King's Speech
If it wasn't a lock before this point (and it wasn't, The Social Network had a great chance), it sure was when the final Best Picture-nominees-of-2010 montage was set to the titular, climactic King's speech. I loved Steven Spielberg's intro, saying that the film that wins will join the company of Casablanca and Gone with the Wind, and the nine films that don't will join the company of Citizen Kane and Raging Bull. As great as The King's Speech is, and it is great, I can't help but think that in 20 years, or however long it may take, we'll be talking about The Social Network losing to it the way we talk about Raging Bull losing to Ordinary People or Citizen Kane losing to How Green Was My Valley.

Animated Feature
I said: Toy Story 3
Winner: Toy Story 3
One of these was nominated for Best Picture, too. The other two were not. Kind of hilarious that the Academy insists on still having an Animated Feature category when that happens.

Documentary Feature
I said: Inside Job
Winner: Inside Job
It would have been great to see Exit Through the Gift Shop win, if just to see if Banksy - or Justin Timberlake as Banksy - come up, but I don't think it was never a real possibility.

Foreign Language Film
I said (just to say something: Outside the Law
Winner: In a Better World

Actor
I said: Colin Firth, The King's Speech (as did everyone else)
Winner: Colin Firth, The King's Speech
I loved his, "I think my career just peaked" remark.

Actress
I said: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Winner: Natalie Portman, Black Swan

Supporting Actor
I said: Christian Bale, The Fighter
Winner: Christian Bale, The Fighter

Supporting Actress
I said: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Winner: Melissa Leo, The Fighter

Director
I said: David Fincher, The Social Network
Winner: Tom Hooper, The King's Speech

Original Screenplay
I said: The King's Speech, David Seidler
Winner: The King's Speech, David Seidler

Adapted Screenplay
I said: The Social Network, Aaron Sorkin (Good as they are, the other nominees here were basically filler.)
Winner: The Social Network, Aaron Sorkin

Cinematography
I said: True Grit, Roger Deakins
Winner: Inception, Wally Pfister

Film Editing
I said: The Social Network, Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall
Winner: The Social Network, Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall

Art Direction
I said: Alice in Wonderland, Robert Stromberg (production designer), Karen O'Hara (set decorator)
Winner: Alice in Wonderland, Robert Stromberg (production designer), Karen O'Hara (set decorator)
Woo!

Costume Design
I said: The Tempest, Sandy Powell
Winner: Alice in Wonderland, Colleen Atwood
Woo!

Original Score
I said: The King's Speech, Alexandre Desplat
Winner: The Social Network, Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
I expected The King's Speech or, if not that, Inception to win before this, I thought TSN's score would be too unconventional to win this, so I was happily surprised, because it's certainly my favorite score of the year.

Original Song
I said: "If I Rise" from 127 Hours, music by A.R. Rahman, lyrics by Dido and Rollo Armstrong
Winner: "We Belong Together" from Toy Story 3, by Randy Newman
Randy Newman had one of the more entertaining speeches of the night.

Sound Mixing
Inception

Sound Editing
Inception

Visual Effects
Inception
Robert Downey Jr. and Jude Law were easily the best presenters of the night, really funny. Bodes well for Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows.

Makeup
I said: The Wolf Man
Winner: The Wolf Man
This is all relative to the category, but think of this: The Wolf Man won an Oscar, True Grit did not.

Live Action Short
I said: "Wish 143"
Winner: "God of Love"
This guy's speech was really good, too. (I want to say Lucas Matheny?)

Animated Short
I said: "The Lost Thing"
Winner: "Day & Night"

Documentary Short
I said: "Strangers No More"
Winner: "Strangers No More"

I correctly predicted 15 of the 24 winners, but that doesn't mean there were 9 surprises; in fact, there was only one, The Social Network winning Best Original Score. But that predictability doesn't much bother me; so many people complain that there should be more surprises, because that makes for better television, but that confuses the Academy's voting with the show itself, and those are two different things. The Academy and its branches will vote for whatever they vote for, and the producers of the telecast will try to make the best show they can around that. There shouldn't be unexpected choices just for the sake of having upsets; they should just vote for what they believe to be the best in the given category. And I think for the most part that's what happens. This year, as in every year, I agreed with some of those choices, and I disagreed with some of those choices.

The show itself was not, despite what almost every TV critic, film critic, and hyperbolic, snarky-just-to-be-snarky person who's discussed it on the internet says, the worst Oscars ever. It also wasn't the best Oscars ever. I thought it was an enjoyable show. I thought James Franco and Anne Hathaway were really fun hosts, especially Anne Hathaway. James Franco brought the laid-back, "Is he stoned or that just the way he is?" thing, Anne Hathaway brought the exuberant, trying-hard-but-actually-funny-so-it's-not-annoying thing (I particularly liked her multiple shoutouts to the producers' attempt to "youthenize" the show this year - "Why thank you, James, you're looking very appealing to a younger demographic yourself!" - and her angry take on "On My Own" directed at Hugh Jackman/Hugh Jackass).

Some more notes:
-The producers tried to make this show a tribute to not only the history of film, but the history of the Academy Awards. It didn't quite work. I wish it had been a bit more focused; for instance, I had no idea where Tom Hanks was going when he started talking about Gone with the Wind and Titanic early in the show.
-Boy, this really became The Kirk Douglas Show for a while! It's pretty obvious that you don't bring Kirk Douglas on, for the second award of the night, if you want to keep things moving, so no one should be surprised, but it was somewhat awkward. It was also somewhat funny, and so was Justin Timberlake poking fun at it with his own, "You know..."
-I liked Cate Blanchett's quiet, "That's gross," after the Wolf Man clip.
-The Oscars almost always begin with a sketch poking gentle fun at the Best Picture nominees, but this was an especially clever one, with "Hathco" (as she referred to them in one commercial) entering Alec Baldwin's mind for hosting tips.

To end this on a positive note, I really loved the opening and closing Best Picture montages. Maybe I'm just this easy, but watching those just reminded me that 2010 was an outstanding year in film. It was also a terrible year in film - that's the way it goes, every year has a lot of great work and a lot of lousy work - but I was exhilarated being reminded of Black Swan, True Grit, Toy Story 3, The Social Network, of the experience of seeing them, and I'm glad the Academy recognized such a diverse slate of films, in winners and in nominees.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

^ I agree with the last part. 2010 was pretty great, especially the last 3 months.

 

[04nbod]

Here are some interesting facts...

http://www.slashfilm.com/infographics-analyzing-2011-academy-awards/

Problem with those stats is that Queen Amidala and Padme were also trending worldwide when Natalie won They only tracked Natalie Portman when many people where using the name of her most famous character. Same with Christian to a lesser extent, people where tweeting 'Of course he won, he's the goddamn Batman'

 

[Lencho01]

Problem with those stats is that Queen Amidala and Padme were also trending worldwide when Natalie won They only tracked Natalie Portman when many people where using the name of her most famous character. Same with Christian to a lesser extent, people where tweeting 'Of course he won, he's the goddamn Batman'

 

[lime]

I’m interested that this year the academy made huge step in to the future.

1) For second year on a row, the Art Direction goes for a big scale CG created 3D environment. That shows that the Academy starts to take notice that a new era is coming.
2) The Cinematography went to a cinematographer with more modern and hip style instead of the classic Oscar cinematography (True Grit).
3) And the biggest one is that the Music went to the extremely fresh, modern and completely new score of The Social Network instead for the more classic Oscar music (King’s Speech).

All of those factors show that the academy finally started to get that there is new era to movies, and more fresh and new ideas must be considered.

On a side note: Great news for all the monsters movie fans that Wolfman got an Oscar. You might not like the movie (I didn’t) but it’s good to see that despite the fact that the movie wasn’t good; the makeup that was quite amazing deserved the award and took it.

This year Oscar made big steps. Yeah, if TSN had won the Best Picture it would be the biggest step, but we started with something. Can’t wait for next year’s awards.