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TMNT Box Office Predictions and Discussion

How much do you think TMNT will make in the US Box Office?

  • $0 - $50 million

  • $50 million - $100 million

  • $100 million - $150 million

  • $150 million - $200 million

  • more than $200 million


Results are only viewable after voting.
I think we're gonna hafta rely on the international box office...I seriously doubt TMNT is gon' break 100 mil in the US considering the competition in the coming weeks. And considering TMNTs global popularity, I'm sure it'll make bank in other territories.

Hopefully that'll satisfy the studios into making a sequel...IT HAS TOO! :csad:
 
I don't get why it has to have 100 million domestic to get the sequel. The film cost between 30-40 million to make. atleast half of that they will get back this weekend. it should have no issue getting its production cost plus a nice chunk of change but 100 million domestic with another big CGI film coming out 1 week after? It should have no issue making 100+ million worldwide but to expect that much domestically when its about to run into some heavy traffic is odd to me. Now it just kind of seems like TMNT is a failure if they make 70 million or 80 million domestically when those are good numbers for a film that cost so little to make. be a bit more realistic. that is a solid start for a film meant to restart a franchise. why set the bar so high on their fiirst attempt at rebuilding?
 
From SHH/CS!

The Warner Bros. animated feature film TMNT grossed an estimated $8.7 million its opening day according to ShowbizData, averaging $$2,798 in 3,110 theatres. That points to a weekend take somewhere between $25 and 27 million, roughly where the first Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles live action movie opened back in 1990.

The part in bold I love. Its giving people false hope. lol. 1990 was 17 yrs ago. You have to count inflation, people! $25 million bucks in 1990 is like saying 45-50 million today.

But, anyway, 25 mil isn't bad. The movie is already a hit.
 
$8 mil? Wow. Not bad, but not really good either. I say not really good because I saw a midnight showing at a Drafthouse, and it was PACKED. I had blockbuster in my head when I saw the line. :csad: I'm thinking it wil probably make $10-$12 mil Sat. then another $7-$8 mil Sunday.
 
watch the Saturday and Sunday numbers be freakishly huge.
 
I actually sent out a mass email to all my friends telling them to go see it.

Let's help TMNT prove the critics wrong!:woot:
 
Yeah I want it to open #1 mainly so the stupid critics who think people give a crap what they think will be shown once again they do not speak for normal people. I didn't see too many good reviews for it, which as someone said, was probably a good sign for all of us.

I want to see in the USA Today tomorrow "TMNT still raising shell, opens #1 17 years after first film did"
 
Box Office Mojo has the weekend estimate up:

TMNT # 1 with $ 25.45 million.
 
1990 - Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
Budget: $13.5 million
Opening weekend: $25.39 million (in 2,006 theatres)
Domestic Total: $135
Foreign: $66
Worldwide: $201 million

2007 - TMNT
Budget: $34 million
Opening weekend: $25.45 million (in 3,110 theatres)

Even though the numbers are not ground breaking, this is still good news, considering all the competition.

I am so glad it took the top spot during its opening weekend and I just hope it breaks the $100 million mark in the coming weeks, before other big movies start to take over the box office.
 
:(

Most of last week's new movies took terrible tumbles in their second weekend, the worst of them being Warner Bros.' computer animated TMNT, which dropped 62% and three places to fourth with $9.2 million over the weekend. In ten days, it's grossed $38.4 million compared to its production budget of $34 million.
 
Not surprised at the numbers.

There was little promotion and this is no longer the 80s.
 
Not surprised at the numbers.

There was little promotion and this is no longer the 80s.

Agreed at the first point...lack of promotion killed the movie.

Disagree on the 2nd point...by that rationale, Transformers should bomb (which we know it wont).

What surprises me the most is how low the international numbers are...I expected this movie to explode in other territories. :csad:
 
I dont want to say it,but it looks like TMNT might be a failure.If anything,advertisement was too late and the movie was released at a bad time.:csad:
 
As of Sunday, TMNT fell out of the Top 10 movies and is predicted to have made about $2 million. Domestically it has just about made $50 million in a month, give or take. Some sites, like Technodrome.com's forums, tacked on $16 million overseas thus far.

Even with a few million for advertising, the film hasn't bombed, but it remains to be seen if it's made enough to impress the WB, which was looking for $100 million (especially after 300, which was a monster hit).

I think all sides underestimated the fact that a good 50% of the audience would be people in their mid to late 20's or older who were fans of the originals, and would demand more from the film.

Still, strong DVD sales could push it over the hump, as they did for AUSTIN POWERS (which only did moderately in theatres but made monster money on VHS, spawning two megahit sequals) and THE PUNISHER.
 
http://movies.yahoo.com/mv/boxoffice/;_ylt=Aqv1BNKT1DL_aUsIQfWWaS9fVXcA

Yahoo.com notes that as of 4/13-15, TMNT placed at #15 with $2.2 million dollars, and has made $50.8 million domestically. Some theatres are still playing it so it likely will make about another million next week and then drop off, likely finishing at $51-52 million domestically.

Best guesses at international box office sales is still within the $15 million range, but I've seen nothing official.

This is about half of what WB really wanted domestically. Kevin Monroe has discussed a sequal but it remains to be seen if it'll be greenlit. WB likely wants to see some DVD & merch sales figures first.

EDIT: http://www.hollywoodchicago.com/2007/04/acting-without-actors-tmnt-director.html

This Hollywood Chicago interview with Monroe claims that TMNT made over $70 million overseas. That sounds rather astounding given that it didn't do as well here. Anyone can confirm? They claim $71.3 million "worldwide", which may mean that is TMNT's total that INCLUDES the U.S.' $50.8 million, which would put the international tally at some $21 million or so.
 
Wow, I really overestimated the BO intake for this. Hopefully it does well enough on DVD to warrant a 2nd movie.
 
Wow, I really overestimated the BO intake for this. Hopefully it does well enough on DVD to warrant a 2nd movie.

It likely will sell moderately on DVD.

A few theatres in Brooklyn are still playing TMNT, but only for maybe 2-3 shows a day, so this weekend will likely be the last one for the movie, and as I guessed, add maybe another million.

I voted for the $50-100 million range and as TMNT is on track to make more than $50 million domestically (it already has, technically), I was right. It is probably less than the WB wanted, so a sequal may be waiting in the wings.

A shame, because with a better plot, a sequal could so knock the last 3 Turtle films out of the park.
 
I thought TMNT problem was promotion, when TMNT finished number one you didn't see ads screaming TMNT is the number one movie until that Wedsday night or Thursday. So I hope TMNT DVD sales will aid Warner Bros decision on green lighting a sequel or atleast another movie studio want to take the rights off Warner Bros hands. I might piss fans off in the other boards if the Hulk, FF and the Punisher are in line for sequels then Mirage and Warner Bros should be in talks for a part two.
 
I think the release day was a big issue. It was released on a crowded weekend and followed up a week after by running into even more higher profile films. Kind of like Superman Returns last year when it ran into that Pirates of the Carribean brick wall a week after its release. Big difference being that TMNT was cheap to make and turned a profit more quickly
 
Yahoo isn't listing TMNT on their box office grosses anymore (it was already out of the Top 12 last week), but considering it still is hanging on in a few theatres it likely will finish with a $51-$52 million domestic gross, with another $20 million or so internationally as previously stated. The DVD's should add another few million into the coffers, and merchandise figures I haven't looked at yet. Overall I think the film was moderately successful, but certainly not a blockbuster showing. One could say that a moderate success for a franchise that is 20 years old and hadn't been in the theatres for 14 years isn't bad, considering how hostile the box office can be. True, there's been a TV show on the airwaves for the past 4 years, but this film had no connection to it aside for characters, and was more in the canon of the first 3 films.

Promotion, or the lack of it after the initial weekend, was a big issue. Promotion costs money and WB may have been hesitant to spend extra past the first weekend, likely figuring TMNT would lose to MEET THE ROBINSONS anyway. While the TV incarnation, as of 2005 had made $1 billion in merch sales, 4kids noted that the TV property was losing steam as of 2006. 4Kids, naturally, is connected to the WB.

Another problem, I felt, is that I think the writers of the film and some of the execs behind them underestimated the fact that at least half of the audience to the film, if not a slight majority, would probably be older fans of the show, and not the 3-12 crowd (although there were plenty of kids at every viewing or line I went to). While the film was more serious than the last two Turtle films, the actual main plot was very video-gamey and if it had a stronger one, playing up the turmoil more as well as Karai for a loose adaptation of CITY AT WAR, it might have won over more of the older crowd and stuck around better. I enjoyed the film but felt that all the pieces to a 3-4 star film were trapped behind that main plot with stone warriors, immortals, and random monsters. The director had his roots in video games, and it showed. If he gets the chance for a sequal, hopefully he can improve on the flaws of his first.

GHOST RIDER, a film with a harsher rating and a franchise arguably more obscure than the TMNT were, grossed double what they did domestically. 300, a gorey R adaptation of a comic, has surpassed $200 million domestic. It is about time that execs stopped conforming to stereotypes of what "kids want" that has them attach on fluffy, needless details.
 
It wasn't kids seeing 300.

It was all the teens and young adults blogging on myspace.
 

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