Winter 2006 - Box Office Predictions

[Cinemaman]

The time has come. The winter begins.

November

* Casino Royale

* Flushed Away

* Happy Feet

December

* Blood Diamond

* Eragon

* Charlotte's Web

* Night at the Museum

* Rocky Balboa


My Forecast

Casino Royale
Opening Day: $15m
Opening Weekend: $43m
Domestic: $154m
Foreign: $266m
Worldwide: $411m

Flushed Away
Opening Day: $11m
Opening Weekend: $22m
Domestic: $74m
Foreign: $62m
Worldwide: $136m

Happy Feet
Opening Day: $18m
Opening Weekend: $55m
Domestic: $178m
Foreign: $189m
Worldwide: $366m

Blood Diamond
Opening Day: $9m
Opening Weekend: $20m
Domestic: $77m
Foreign: $85m
Worldwide: $162m

Eragon
Opening Day: $13m
Opening Weekend: $37m
Domestic: $102m
Foreign: $88m
Worldwide: $190m

Charlotte's Web
Opening Day: $14m
Opening Weekend: $26m
Domestic: $79m
Foreign: $84m
Worldwide: $163m

Night at the Museum
Opening Day: $19m
Opening Weekend: $60m
Domestic: $188m
Foreign: $224m
Worldwide: $412m

Rocky Balboa
Opening Day: $7m
Opening Weekend: $16m
Domestic: $49m
Foreign: $32m
Worldwide: $81m

 

[Bruce_Wayne29]

Rocky Balboa.

 

[The Chairman]

Though quality-wise it probably will be hit or miss at best, Rocky Balboa.

 

[Excel]

-Blood Diamond not a wide release-will do 70-100 million
-casino royales gonna do well. great marketing and awareness- 47/160
-charlottes web-all star cast abd type of film thatlls do well over christmas-23/140
-eragon-enormous lack of marketing+dragons....-35/110 AT BEST
-flush away-opens next weekend.....16/54
-happy feet-most potential-large scale kids flick and only one for over a month. 42/230 -WILL BE THE HOLIDYA CHAMP
-night at museum-good cast good date good marketing-solid hit. 39/180
-rocky-whys this here cinema? come on! - 22/84

 

[tzarinna]

FTW: Night At The Museum.

 

[kytrigger]

Either Casino Royale or Happy Feet.

 

[Max J Power]

Casino Royale. I think people will want to see James Bond more than fantasy or Sylvester Stallone.

 

[Obsidian]

-Blood Diamond not a wide release-will do 70-100 million
-casino royales gonna do well. great marketing and awareness- 47/160
-charlottes web-all star cast abd type of film thatlls do well over christmas-23/140
-eragon-enormous lack of marketing+dragons....-35/110 AT BEST
-flush away-opens next weekend.....16/54
-happy feet-most potential-large scale kids flick and only one for over a month. 42/230 -WILL BE THE HOLIDYA CHAMP
-night at museum-good cast good date good marketing-solid hit. 39/180
-rocky-whys this here cinema? come on! - 22/84

Actually, "Blood Diamond" is getting a wide release, so I think it'll do fairly well...around the same box office that Last Samurai got

Eragon looks horrible and there hasn't been much talk about this movie, so it's safe to say that it won't do well (not near any of HP or LOTR success)

Casino Royale, Happy Feet, Night at Museum will do pretty well given the marketing and all the hype surrounding the first two....

 

[xwolverine2]

i voted casino royale only because it will be the best

 

[blind_fury]

Happy Feet

childrens movie + penguins = box office gold

 

[Speedball]

It was either Eragon or Casino Royale.
Saw a new trailer for Eragon last night that played with Harry Potter on ABC, Looks amazing.

 

[BloodyWolverine]

It will come down to 3 and they are.
Eragon.
Happy Feet .
Casino Royale.

 

[BloodyWolverine]

I think Eragon will get mor epress like Star Wars closer to december. It is not November yet. You will see Eragon and december released films more as teh holidyas turn around. Plus Eragon has a book fan base. I t will make more then 107 million i think but i do agree it won't be any Rings numbers or anything.

 

[tzarinna]

The reason for my choice of Night at the Museum is that seniors will see this in droves due to Mickey Rooney and Dick Van Dyke,that's the draw. They'll go during to the day to a matinee and some homes have their little outings. It's a good wholesome flick. Happy Feet could very well top it,but this film will be a good draw for that particular clientele.

 

[lordofthenerds]

Casino Royale. Although Eragon may give it a run for its money.

 

[CAH]

Casino Royale will probably be out of most theaters by Winter time anyways, depending on what type of theater you go to. (my local theater doesn't keep a movie very long, good or bad)

So, I say either Eragon or Night at the Museum.


CR will be fall's biggest hit.


CAH

 

[*xmenfan*]

Casino Royale

 

[Clerk]

In a perfect world, Rocky 6 will smash records.

In the world of today, A Night at the Museum will rule.