Apocalypse X-Men: Apocalypse Box Office Prediction Thread

[8ulk]

0,95-1,1 bil WW.

300-350 mil US (100-125 mil OW)
650-750 mil OS

China will even out any potential loses from the rest of OS which i dont think Apocalypse will have anyways. (provided movie quality ofc which i will take for granted due to the late comic book films track record)

 

[DarthSkywalker]

I have a hard time believing that the new movie is going to see a huge resurgence in the Domestic Box Office.

 

[Tehmeh]

For DOFP, I guessed 700+. Now that we have established my predictions never being wrong, I voted for 600+, under 700.

Two big comic book movies in the spring before X-men, and the world can only handle so much before this bubble starts to burst. It probably won't quite "burst", but I expect diminishing returns. Foreign markets may still disagree, but let's see how it goes.

It will still make a profit though, I'm sure of that. And if the movie is very good, I'm of course hoping a huge success.

 

[Sithborg]

The market was able to handle 3 movies in a much shorter timespan last year. They are much more spread out next year, so I wouldn't worry about it. I'm not expecting huge increases in sales, but it will do well.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

It will do fine thanks to the expanding WW markets. I wonder about the domestic numbers though.

 

[kevork89]

I think the domestic market will rise. And the international will more too. DoFP was very well received by pretty much everyone. Apocalypse is looking fantastic and the scale is bigger. I think high 800s maybe even low 900s.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

I think the domestic market will rise. And the international will more too. DoFP was very well received by pretty much everyone. Apocalypse is looking fantastic and the scale is bigger. I think high 800s maybe even low 900s.

And yet its domestic haul wasn't all that good.

 

[kevork89]

And yet its domestic haul wasn't all that good.

Yeah I know. I meant more after. Not many people saw DoFP in theatre but most people got around to it. Or on DVD/BluRay/itunes etc. So that will factor in to how Apocalypse does. I think more people will go see it now after how well DoFP was received.

 

[CB Fan]

Domestically I think we're gonna see better numbers. The big scale and new colorful costumes are gonna intrigue people especially those who grew up on X:Evolution and the 90s series. Singer just has to bring it with the action cause that's the one thing his movies lack, imo. The fact that after five movies a new theme is being explored should help as well as the whole mutants vs humans thing has been played out at this point.

 

[x-er]

They'd need to market JLaw, Evan Peters and some of the teenagers more heavily. Fassbender's good too and Psylocke is having a very positive response.

 

[CaptainCanada]

Two big comic book movies in the spring before X-men, and the world can only handle so much before this bubble starts to burst. It probably won't quite "burst", but I expect diminishing returns.

Guardians of the Galaxy was the last of the four notable superhero films released last year, but it made the most of any of them.

 

[Tehmeh]

Guardians of the Galaxy was the last of the four notable superhero films released last year, but it made the most of any of them.

True, but it wasn't a sequel or a reboot, it had that freshness going for it.

The next 2-3 years will probably give us some indication about these movies. I can't see this "handful of 200 million dollar superhero movies" trend lasting very long anymore.

That said, every good movie deserves every bit of success they get, regardless of their genre. Often even more, because it was a shame that "Edge of Tomorrow", for example, didn't do well. Perhaps one of the most clever popcorn movies I've seen in years.

 

[GuestStar2004]

Domestically I think we're gonna see better numbers. The big scale and new colorful costumes are gonna intrigue people especially those who grew up on X:Evolution and the 90s series. Singer just has to bring it with the action cause that's the one thing his movies lack, imo. The fact that after five movies a new theme is being explored should help as well as the whole mutants vs humans thing has been played out at this point.

if what singer,kinberg and the cast say about the epic scale is true then we should see alot of city destruction and more powerful mutant powers so Like DOFP i think there will be enough new and different elements in this movie to stand out from the rest to intrigue people

 

[psylockolussus]

Without the original cast (including Hugh Jackman)... lets see if this cast can keep the momentum going!

 

[Sun_Down]

I think DOFP largely wiped the bad taste of out people's mouths, so I'm optimistic. Good marketing re: Apocalypse and the new mutants should excite some weary fans. Add that to the fact that Singer's X-Men films have been successful both critically and financially, and I think we're looking at a high floor, lower ceiling box office.

It won't sniff a billion, but I think $700M+ is safe, with some upside towards $800M.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

And yet its domestic haul wasn't all that good.

Under 250 million just should not have happened and yet it did. I'm leery of predicting a domestic increase. Fox's somewhat lazy marketing campaigns do not help matters. I don't think the film is going to touch a billion because I don't think the north american numbers will be good enough and I don't think the international increase will be good enough either.

 

[CaptainCanada]

Under 250 million just should not have happened and yet it did. I'm leery of predicting a domestic increase. Fox's somewhat lazy marketing campaigns do not help matters.

The box office was depressed last year. DOFP did only slightly less well than The Winter Soldier did, and it markedly improved on First Class. Moreover, it was very well-received, and more people will probably catch up on it before the next one comes out.

 

[BeholdMe]

I'm thinking a billion this go around, DOFP was a huge boost and if Singer brings it with the action I see a billion being easy.

 

[RLAAMJR.]

I'm thinking a billion this go around, DOFP was a huge boost and if Singer brings it with the action I see a billion being easy.

I agree.

 

[Phoenix_Flare]

Well thanks to social media; Facebook, Twitter, Instagram a lot of these movies see a huge increase in tickets sales. I personally shared some stuff from this movie on my Facebook & ppl have been responding to it. There are a lot of Storm Psylocke fans out there who are stoked for this movie. I'm hoping that it does Avengers 1 box office #s...better promo wouldn't hurt. A shame that we can't get merchandise that would greatly help as well.

 

[Jekecy]

I'd be very surprised if it doesn't cross 250 million, or even 300. While the last 2 X-Men films have only done modest, they were coming off huge crowd fatigue and only have just now built up goodwill again towards the series.

Sequels tend to play off very well riding off a critically acclaimed crowd pleaser. If this is marketed as an action-packed blockbuster (which DOFP surprisingly wasn't), then I don't see why crowds wouldn't rush in droves for this one.

 

[psylockolussus]

Well thanks to social media; Facebook, Twitter, Instagram a lot of these movies see a huge increase in tickets sales.

You mean ticket price?

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Where is this big action coming from? When has Singer ever delivered Snyder or TWS level action?

The box office was depressed last year. DOFP did only slightly less well than The Winter Soldier did, and it markedly improved on First Class. Moreover, it was very well-received, and more people will probably catch up on it before the next one comes out.

TWS wasn't a time travel epic, that revolved around two separate teams of X-Men. This was their Avengers, and it barely made half of what the Avengers did. On the flip side, does anyone really thing BvS and Civil War don't at least sniff a billion?

 

[Lord]

But TWS had built a lot of trust from moviegoears due to how popular the Marvel Studios films had been. X-Men on the other hand was a dying brand and still hasn't fully recovered, as you still have some passionate fans wanting the brand to go back to marvel. Being a time travel epic doesn't help things either, that can actualy make the plot more confusing for the general audience, so it's amazing it did so well.

I think it will make 700-900 million if it's criticaly acclaimed once again, if it's generaly disliked, i fear the X-Men franchise may crumble the same way Amazing Spider-Man did.

 

[kevork89]

Where is this big action coming from? When has Singer ever delivered Snyder or TWS level action?

Everyone involved with the project has said how much more intense and full on the action will be this time. They've all said this is the most action packed X-Men made.

TWS wasn't a time travel epic, that revolved around two separate teams of X-Men. This was their Avengers, and it barely made half of what the Avengers did. On the flip side, does anyone really thing BvS and Civil War don't at least sniff a billion?

I would say if anything Apocalypse is more their Avengers. Fox and co new DoFP had a lot going against it. And with that they still made the most money an X-Men movie has made. Right now things are looking really good with the brand as well as expanding their universe with Deadpool, Gambit, another Wolverine and New Mutants spin off. Truthfully I don't think X-Men will crack a billion. But anything in the 700s-900s is fantastic and I think it's very much a possibility. I believe that Apocalypse can hit 300million domestic and 500-600million worldwide.