Apocalypse X-Men: Apocalypse Box Office Prediction Thread

[Sithborg]

I think they will use Reynolds/Deadpool a fair amount in the marketing leading up to Apoc, they would be crazy not to.

They won't because he isn't even in the movie. Marvel didn't exactly use Robert Downey Jr in their marketing for Thor and Captain America. Now, they will probably use the "from the studio that brought you Deadpool" tagline, but that will be the extent of it.

And, can we hold off on the "Singer holding the franchise back" talk until after Apocalypse. X3 did as well as it did due to the goodwill Singer built up for it. And it is has taken 3 films after the devastating combo of X3 and Origins to build that good will back up. And while I have no doubt that Deadpool will be a more successful movie, we need to see how Apocalypse does first before drawing conclusions.

 

[BeholdMe]

I don't think it's embarrassing if Deadpool does better than Apocalypse they draw to a different audience and it was a good movie regardless. This movie doing better won't make Apocalypse any less interesting and I'm sure the movie will still sell well it's not going to flop so it not selling as much as Deadpool is no big thing at all. People shouldn't always pit movies against each other, if you like it you like it if you don't you don't. I liked Deadpool and I'm certain I'll like Apocalypse as well. Ready for that 2nd trailer and for us to be closer to it being released so the marketing will kick in full force because right now it's doing well.

 

[2kt09]

And, can we hold off on the "Singer holding the franchise back" talk until after Apocalypse. X3 did as well as it did due to the goodwill Singer built up for it. And it is has taken 3 films after the devastating combo of X3 and Origins to build that good will back up. And while I have no doubt that Deadpool will be a more successful movie, we need to see how Apocalypse does first before drawing conclusions.

You're overthinking a snide platitude.

 

[MarvelU]

DeadPool is killing the box office and I don't think X-Men will be able to match the numbers. Although with the superbowl ad and FOX's X-Men universe having some good word of mouth in recent years, then Apocalypse could potentially do more than DOFP.

 

[Sithborg]

Of course, not many movies can out do what Deadpool is doing, so there is really no shame in Apocalypse not doing the same numbers.

 

[BeholdMe]

DeadPool is killing the box office and I don't think X-Men will be able to match the numbers. Although with the superbowl ad and FOX's X-Men universe having some good word of mouth in recent years, then Apocalypse could potentially do more than DOFP.

Ok so what it dosent do as much dosent mean the movie is a flop.

Of course, not many movies can out do what Deadpool is doing, so there is really no shame in Apocalypse not doing the same numbers.

Exactly this

 

[Eddie]

Anything below DoFP would be a tremendous disappointment for Fox. They'll probably rethink the X-Men franchise regardless, though, thanks to Deadpool. Unless Apocalypse does, say, Iron Man 3 money it isn't making more profit than Deadpool.

 

[GuestStar2004]

Anything below DoFP would be a tremendous disappointment for Fox. They'll probably rethink the X-Men franchise regardless, though, thanks to Deadpool. Unless Apocalypse does, say, Iron Man 3 money it isn't making more profit than Deadpool.

Really there is nothing to rethink, as you say if apocalypse makes less then dofp then yeah something is most certainly wrong but if it makes more then its on the up which is good.

deadpool is deapool, there isnt anything to think about really, it was a surprise hit that fox will milk but obviously he wont become the new wolverine of the main x-men team world due to his R rating nd like marvel with the MCU fox wont suddenly stop making certain movies just because they make less then another characters movies

 

[Tilapia]

Anything below DoFP would be a tremendous disappointment for Fox. They'll probably rethink the X-Men franchise regardless, though, thanks to Deadpool. Unless Apocalypse does, say, Iron Man 3 money it isn't making more profit than Deadpool.

I would say a sequel opportunity with Sinister is done if this thing doesn't gross at least DoFP money domestic. I expect it to outgross Deadpool if the reviews are just as good. I have doubts that Singer can top DoFP however. Seemed like that was the ceiling for him... sadly. But if it's as good, it will gross more domestically and globally.

 

[Eddie]

Really there is nothing to rethink, as you say if apocalypse makes less then dofp then yeah something is most certainly wrong but if it makes more then its on the up which is good.

deadpool is deapool, there isnt anything to think about really, it was a surprise hit that fox will milk but obviously he wont become the new wolverine of the x-men world due to his R rating and like marvel with the MCU fox wont suddenly stop making certain movies just because they make less then another characters movies

Studios do that all the time. There have been loads of movies that "made money, but not enough money". That's why we never got Hellboy 3. That's why Pacific Rim 2 may not happen. Studios care about profits. Franchises that bring in more money generally end up as higher priorities.

 

[marvelrobbins]

there is absoletly no chance of Apocalypse outgrossing DOFP domesticly.

Deadpool's success already probally means Apocalypse is the dark knight rises of X-Men
films.ending of bryan Singer's vision for X-Men.

A full X-Men reboot that can fit with deadpool's world could happen after apocalypse and old man logan wolverine film.

 

[CaptainCanada]

there is absoletly no chance of Apocalypse outgrossing DOFP domesticly.

Because...why? It has more measurable buzz at this point than DOFP had.

 

[2kt09]

When your budget is relatively low for a movie with a high enough interest,
the profit margin gradually becomes insane.
Take Chronicle, for example, it made 12x the money it took to make.

In any case, I'm getting real tired of 200 million dollar movies are only successful if they're in the billion dollar club
and, in the case specifically mentioned, the 3rd highest grossing cbm of all time/10th highest grossing movie of all time.

 

[Sithborg]

Why is it impossible for Apocalypse to do better than DOFP? The goodwill is there. Deadpool only helped it.

 

[GuestStar2004]

If those twitter reports are true then X-Men: Apocalypse is already getting more twitter buzz then DOFP did so i don't see why it would make less then DOFP and if it makes more then DOFP... what can fox complain about?

 

[Eddie]

Apocalypse may be a huge hit, but never go by social media tracking, especially this early. Early social media tracking had Fantastic Four as a huge hit and Inside Out as Pixar's worst performance in years.

 

[GuestStar2004]

Apocalypse may be a huge hit, but never go by social media tracking, especially this early. Early social media tracking had Fantastic Four as a huge hit and Inside Out as Pixar's worst performance in years.

The less said about the 9% Rotten Tomato F4 the better but when it comes to inside out... it made $856.8 mil and if thats their worst performance in years then lucky them

 

[CaptainCanada]

Apocalypse may be a huge hit, but never go by social media tracking, especially this early. Early social media tracking had Fantastic Four as a huge hit and Inside Out as Pixar's worst performance in years.

Nobody thought Fan4stic was going to be a huge hit anywhere near the time it actually came out. It's certainly true that Apocalypse may not be able to close the deal, but to flat-out state that it could never outgross DOFP is completely unsupported by the only evidence we have at this point.

 

[Johnny-Oh]

I'd be laughing even more hard if it crosses all the X-men films. Damn tho. Singer has held back the franchise in terms of its potential and even with Apocalypse it just came a little too late.

If it outgrosses the X-Men films it means it would also outgross most superhero movies that aren't Spider-Man(Raimi), Batman or Avengers and it would do it without China or 3D AND being a Rated R film, so yeah if it's embarrassing for anyone it's not just for Fox...

PS: Not sure what Singer has anything to do with this, FC wasn't directed by him and that's the lowest grossing X-Men film(Deadpool outgrossed it on the first week).

 

[Eddie]

The less said about the 9% Rotten Tomato F4 the better but when it comes to inside out... it made $856.8 mil and if thats their worst performance in years then lucky them

You're misreading the bit about Inside Out. Early social media tracking said it'd flop. The early tracking last summer was just really bad.

@CaptainCanada Fant4stic actually wasn't tracking THAT horribly just before release. Tracking is inaccurate. I'm not saying that means Apocalypse will flop (it obviously goes both ways, as Deadpool far exceeded tracking). I'm just cautioning against relying on social media tracking. Tracking has arguably been less accurate since they tried paying attention to Twitter and Facebook.

 

[kasjan]

Right now, I think it's safe to say that the Super-Bowl spot and Deadpool are doing more favors for marketing than the Days of Future Past Empire covers you're lamenting.

Deadpool does nothing for X-Men Apocalypse.
There isn't even word about shared continuity in Deadpool movie.

And we had more than just Empire covers at this moment in Februrary 2014.
Official photo of Logan costume, can't we get for confirmation for Jean this time? Hype would be higher.
We got character's bust photos.
Official site was updated with info about each character.

If they want to earn more than earlier, marketing should be bigger.

 

[marvelrobbins]

If it outgrosses the X-Men films it means it would also outgross most superhero movies that aren't Spider-Man(Raimi), Batman or Avengers and it would do it without China or 3D AND being a Rated R film, so yeah if it's embarrassing for anyone it's not just for Fox...

PS: Not sure what Singer has anything to do with this, FC wasn't directed by him and that's the lowest grossing X-Men film(Deadpool outgrossed it on the first week).

Singer devolped story for fc and was hands on producer for it.

 

[BeholdMe]

there is absoletly no chance of Apocalypse outgrossing DOFP domesticly.

Deadpool's success already probally means Apocalypse is the dark knight rises of X-Men
films.ending of bryan Singer's vision for X-Men.

A full X-Men reboot that can fit with deadpool's world could happen after apocalypse and old man logan wolverine film.

There is indeed a chance. I completely disagree with you. People are really making something out of nothing with this whole Deadpool thing and thinking this movie will fail. It won't there is much buzz about this movie so it will do fine.

 

[Tilapia]

Wolverine isn't the draw anymore. People don't realize that. The character hurt X3 more than it helped, hogging all the screen time and ruining the quality of the story, then Origins. DoFP capitalized on cool set pieces and the ensemble of original actors/characters plus the FC... not because Wolverine was in there. The Wolverine didn't do amazing either.

The only thing that is going to screw this up is if its a terrible film. The sex appeal is there with the new actors they've brought in on the Horseman side, plus the return of some classic characters. And people realize Apocalypse is the biggest villain. Frankly, I'd be stunned if this doesn't do at least 250 domestic, but I'm expecting 280-330 depending on the quality.

 

[Bruce Malone]

I'm not sure I see this making more or at least much more than DOFP. DOFP really sold itself upon being the fare-well to the original cast/reunion of sorts.

I don't feel like the audience has the same attachment to the first class x-men as they did the original trilogy cast?

So this also being a farewell doesn't seem as impactful.