2012: A Monster Year? (box office predictions) - Part 2

[DoomsdayApex]

Superman may be one of the most well known, but popularity wise it's been Spider-Man vs. Batman for decades. I say both are about equal with each having their ups and downs which unsurprisingly correspond with how their last movie was received.

Popularity-wise, yeah, it's been Batman and Spiderman dominating the rankings for awhile now. Raimi's and Nolan's films have only increased their popularity in the last decade.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

Slightly off-topic:

http://www.firstshowing.net/2012/check-this-out-ten-summer-blockbusters-get-indie-movie-posters/

 

[Marvin]

Also, one other thing to consider. The hype on the Internet when the TDKR dropped was huge. Even more importantly, when you talk to friends or co-workers or whoever, there was an awareness of the movie. Only fan-sites like this seem to be responding to the trailer and even now it's kind of minimal.

No one ever said ASM would be the phenomenon TDKR is. And how do you know only fan sites like ours are responding? It only been out a few hours on top of that.

seems like said film has everyone looking for any excuse.

 

[Boom]

Just came back from the midnight premiere of The Avengers. It was a full house, and the audience was very receptive.

 

[Infinity9999x]

Yeah, the Avengers was great. And I think it's going to be big. In terms of how big we'll see, but it'll definitely do well.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

Saturday can't get here fast enough.

 

[Bruce Malone]

I know the imax showings are almost all sold out in my area. I honestly think 3-d is becoming redundant at this point i feel more people are willing to see imax films than 3d at this point as they should.

 

[Ultimatehero]

I see the legs on this film being beyond stable. It's going to shatter records. The crowd love it. It was sold out. Everyone who left basically said it was the best film they've ever seen, even those who haven't seen a MARVEL film before. We're looking at 'THE DARK KNIGHT' reborn here folks, just with what a true spectacle should and can be while TDK showed us how blockbusters can also be serious films. The success of these two combined? There's nothing that can't be done in Hollywood now. And trust me, there was plenty that couldn't be done in Hollywood before. I just see a golden age ahead of us.

As said - records will be SMASHED.

 

[dark_b]

I know the imax showings are almost all sold out in my area. I honestly think 3-d is becoming redundant at this point i feel more people are willing to see imax films than 3d at this point as they should.

half my friends arereading 3D reviews. they go online and find out if its post converted. and the other half who i watch movies dont care anymore about 3D. beacause of the bad 3D from 2010 and 2011. so we all watched Avengers in 2D.

i dont know how much money will avengers make . but it will be a lot. i dont remember when was the last time people had so much fun in the theater with an action movie. i guess IM 2008. i dont think this is a spoiler. but everyone...... literally everyone talked about the hulk

 

[Iceman]

I think I may have to revert to my original outlandish egg-to-face-invitingly large prediction of over $500m domestic for Avengers. It would need to challenge the opening weekend record and somehow still maintain a 3 multiplier. The reactions seem so positive everywhere that I can't see this dropping as harshly as most of the other crazy openers against the limited competition it has.

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

$18.7 M midnight.

 

[terry78]

Good show.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

$18.7 M midnight.

I figured The Avengers wouldn't break it. Deathly Hallows Pt. 2 is not gonna be topped yet.

The Hobbit and/or Avatar 2 might have a shot.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

$18.7 M midnight.

That's a perfectly fine number and slightly larger than TDK, although TDK didn't have 3D in addition to Imax ticket prices. So it sold less tickets but that's not a big deal. I still don't understand why anyone thought that it would break the midnight record.

It should do over 150mil for the weekend. I still don't see it breaking Potter's record but it's not impossible. At this point I'll give it a 50/50 shot. If I had to predict though, I'd say between 158 and 163mil is where it should come in.

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

I figured The Avengers wouldn't break it. Deathly Hallows Pt. 2 is not gonna be topped yet.

The Hobbit and/or Avatar 2 might have a shot.

The Dark Knight Rises has a chance.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

The Dark Knight Rises has a chance.

And the last Twilight movie.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

The Dark Knight Rises has a chance.

Judging the reactions from the crowd regarding the trailer, and the successes of TDK. Yeah, I think TDKR probably has a shot.

And the last Twilight movie.

Unfortunately, yes.

 

[Drizzle]

I don't think Dark Shadows stands a chance against Avengers next weekend. Hopefully Avengers can beat Battleship in two weeks, because that movie looks like full blown diarrhea.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

That's a perfectly fine number and slightly larger than TDK, although TDK didn't have 3D in addition to Imax ticket prices. So it sold less tickets but that's not a big deal. I still don't understand why anyone thought that it would break the midnight record.

It should do over 150mil for the weekend. I still don't see it breaking Potter's record but it's not impossible. At this point I'll give it a 50/50 shot. If I had to predict though, I'd say between 158 and 163mil is where it should come in.

but TDK came out on a non-school night. That boosted its midnight shows.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

but TDK came out on a non-school night. That boosted its midnight shows.

Trust me, that's not what boosted TDK at midnight.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

I don't think Dark Shadows stands a chance against Avengers next weekend. Hopefully Avengers can beat Battleship in two weeks, because that movie looks like full blown diarrhea.

Avengers will undoubtedly beat Battleship. That much is certain now, but MIB3 might be a different story.

 

[rashad]

MIB3 is definitely a wildcard.

 

[Iceman]

I figured The Avengers wouldn't break it. Deathly Hallows Pt. 2 is not gonna be topped yet.

The Hobbit and/or Avatar 2 might have a shot.

I can't really see The Hobbit breaking it. It just doesn't strike me as 'midnighty' as the other films. I'd probably say similar for Avatar 2. Not that they won't beat most of those films in final gross. They just have broader family friendly appeal & maybe less weight on tween trendiness.

 

[Selim844]

I figured The Avengers wouldn't break it. Deathly Hallows Pt. 2 is not gonna be topped yet.

The Hobbit and/or Avatar 2 might have a shot.

I don't see those two being huge opening weekend movies. They're +400m, but not +125m OW movies in my eyes.

Avengers will come close, I'm saying 163m. TDKR will break it with 177m. If it doesn't, I don't see what will, since nothing extraordinary, box office wise, comes out in 2013..

 

[Iceman]

Internationally, THE AVENGERS powered up $22.9M yesterday, for a whopping total of $304M. (Exhibitor Relations)