2012: A Monster Year? (box office predictions) - Part 3

[Doctor Jones]

My second short film followup was about incest. Oh man, how that came to be, the disastrous production, and the aftermath is one huge funny story within itself.

My third short film was Office Bond, you can find it on youtube under if you search "Office Bond Mathis". This is more of what I like to write about. t:

What I like to do is base it around a key decision in a person's life which a character has to may an important decision that may affect him or her in the long run.

Oh, God.

See, that's a good angle to go with for a short film. That can say a lot in a very short amount of time.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

They liked that I took the risk, and that it was different, but the short film was rushed, I didn't use actual actors (and paid the price), and I dealt with faulty equipment also.

Yeah, not the best experience for a followup. The professors didn't like it, but they liked my last one so 2 out of 3 isn't bad when most of them couldn't get them to like one short film. Syracuse film professors are so harsh they made some students cry.

 

[Doctor Jones]

They liked that I took the risk, and that it was different, but the short film was rushed, I didn't use actual actors (and paid the price), and I dealt with faulty equipment also.

Yeah, not the best experience for a followup. The professors didn't like it, but they liked my last one so 2 out of 3 isn't bad when most of them couldn't get them to like one short film. Syracuse film professors are so harsh they made some students cry.

Yeah, I would suggest to not do anything like that again. Especially if you want to differentiate yourself as all film students do, but ironically, they flal into that trap where they do anyway. But you learned. That's what film school is about. We can afford to make mistakes.

Constructive criticism is always a good thing too. Though I wouldn't say making them cry is a good thing. It should be critical, but also helpful and encouraging.

But anyway, back to box office.

 

[Call Me Darkman]

if you're looking at a poorly-run studio this year -- it's Paramount.

They're lucky to be getting a percentage and screen credit for The Avengers.

Don't do most films flop and studios rely on blockbusters? Some studios will have a hot streak and have an amazing year but for the most part half of what any studio releases sink.

The main issue with Warner Bros. is that they make too many random movies. 6 months into the year and they have released Journey 2, Project X, and Dark Shadows. They're basically throwing pencils to the roof and hoping that one of them sticks in.

Sony, by comparison, is a lot more calculated. 21 Jump Street and The Vow are low-budget with low risk and give their demographic exactly what they want. Plus, their financial success helps the bottom line that might be affected by the mistakes of their two big summer blockbusters: Men in Black 3 and the upcoming Amazing Spider-Man. That is, of course, assuming Amazing Spider-Man is a disappointed at the box office. Chances are it won't be. And if it's a success, it will justify their risky and political Death of Bin Laden film being released during Oscar season.

 

[Liam_H]

To be fair Journey 2 and Project X were quite successful.

 

[MadVillainy]

and I don't really see how theyre "random movies"

 

[danoyse]

If it's the Bale version then I would consider it.

Be careful what you wish for.

[YT]iaNQ0vnLtDY[/YT]

Shockingly, the box office on this movie was not good.

My best friend and I had the biggest crush on him, so we saw this in the theater twice. Both times, we were the only people in the theater.

But it wound up becoming a cult hit on video, so there's hope for Rock of Ages.

 

[Call Me Darkman]

and I don't really see how theyre "random movies"

A sequel to a movie no one cared about and an adaptation of a TV show no one under 40 has ever heard of. Yeah, that's random. Only Project X makes any sense... and considering its low-budget, it made a good profit.

 

[DACrowe]

Be careful what you wish for.

[YT]iaNQ0vnLtDY[/YT]

Shockingly, the box office on this movie was not good.

My best friend and I had the biggest crush on him, so we saw this in the theater twice. Both times, we were the only people in the theater.

But it wound up becoming a cult hit on video, so there's hope for Rock of Ages.

I think Newsies had a great premise and story, but the direction was just off. The Menken music was beautiful and fit the period nicely, but Ortega went on to direct the High School Musical movies on the Disney Channel and it shows. He is so ham-fisted with his direction and doesn't know when enough is enough. DJ has a problem with people randomly bursting into singing and dancing? The movie has numbers that work like that from what I recall (King of New York, the Anne Margaret stuff), but a lot of it is stuff like in this scene where Christian Bale is having a raw song about his emotional yearning and then breaks into interpretive dance moves out of "Stomp!" It's stuff like that that just made it a big cornball of a movie.

Even so, I have all sorts of nostalgic love for it.

Fun fact, it got buried its OW by Ferngully in the family market. Also big that month? Basic Instinct. Yes, I just looked that up, because i wanted to see why it bombed so bad.

 

[rayc1971]

To be fair Journey 2 and Project X were quite successful.

right both those movies made more than people thought they would.

 

[Evil Twin]

A sequel to a movie no one cared about and an adaptation of a TV show no one under 40 has ever heard of. Yeah, that's random. Only Project X makes any sense... and considering its low-budget, it made a good profit.

A sequel to a profitable kids movie, a Burton/Depp blockbuster, and a low budget comedy produced by Todd Philips, aren't exactly head scratching decisions. Heck, Dark Shadows might be a disappointment, but it's no Battleship or John Carter. WB will likely loose some money on Dark Shadows, but their slate for the year is probably profitable overall.

TDKR and The Hobbit will ensure that WB is going to have a good year and if they can find some more hits in the late summer/fall, Gangster Squad, Argo, The Campaign, and The Apparition have potential, and if The Great Gatsby is a hit, they could end up the year as the #1 studio. Heck, TDKR and The Hobbit make it a likelihood by themselves.

If nothing else, they're actually getting films in theaters. Unlike Paramount.

 

[terry78]

There is a shockingly large amount of R rated blockbusters this summer compared to previous years, i just noticed.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

They're making a comeback.

 

[MadVillainy]

Hopefully that means the R rated blockbuster projects that were stalled (and that I was looking forward too) will start being looked at again

 

[terry78]

I pretty much expected Abe Lincoln and The Watch to both get PG-13's before even seeing any trailers, but hey.

 

[Iceman]

Glad to see Piranha 3DD is being well received.

 

[Project862006]

The Los Angeles Times reports that The Amazing Spider-Man is more likely to hit the $150 million mark during its first six days of release, although Sony Pictures have declined to comment on these claims.

 

[Call Me Darkman]

Wouldn't surprise me. Since Disney now owns Marvel, ads for Amazing Spider-Man have been non-stop during the NBA Playoffs and Finals. The movie has gotten LOTS of exposure this past month or so.

 

[CConn]

Why would Disney be promoting TASM?

 

[Iceman]

Sony owns the Spider-man rights & made TASM. Although I'm sure they will do a good job of marketing it from now till release.

 

[EML420]

Ive wondering what do most of you folks have ASM doing its first week(end) because if that estimate of 150 mill is true that will sound like a great start.

 

[Raiden]

Why would Disney be promoting TASM?

Disney & Marvel will make some profits off ASM's success thanks to the licensing deal they have with the movie rights of Spider-Man, but it makes no sense why Disney would be promoting ASM out of their pocketbook. All those ads are probaby funded by Sony, not Disney.

 

[rayc1971]

The Los Angeles Times reports that The Amazing Spider-Man is more likely to hit the $150 million mark during its first six days of release, although Sony Pictures have declined to comment on these claims.

if thats true than it has a good shot at 300mill domestic good enough for the first outing.

 

[chaseter]

It won't make 300. Once TDKR comes out...it's over. So in the first two weeks, it will likely see around 200. Then TDKR comes out and that's over. I still stick with around 250-275. I really don't think it will hit 300 domestic.

 

[Superhero 101]

i am expecting TASM make around 250-300 Domestically and maybe 400-500 in foreign markets