2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

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Box Office Mojo's Holiday forecast:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3748&p=.htm

 

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International top ten 1-3 November

1. Thor: The Dark World $109,4 million
2. Gravity $27 million
3. Sole A Catinelle $25,1 million
4. Turbo $12,2 million
5. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 $11,5 million
6. Stalingrad $11 million
7. Captain Phillips $9,8 million
8. Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa $6 million
9. Hotel Transylvania $5,6 million
10. Ender's Game $4,8 million

 

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Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Despicable Me 2 $914,5 million
3. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
4. Monsters University $743,3 million
5. Man of Steel $662,8 million
6. The Croods $587,2 million
7. World War Z $540 million
8. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
9. Gravity $475,8 million
10. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
11. The Wolverine $413,6 million
12. Pacific Rim $407,6 million
13. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
14. Now You See Me $351,7 million
15. The Hangover Part III $351 million
16. The Great Gatsby $348,8 million
17. The Smurfs 2 $346 million
18. Thor: The Dark World $337,1 million
19. The Conjuring $316,7 million
20. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
21. Oblivion $286,2 million
22. Elysium $284,3 million
23. Turbo $273,5 million
24. We're the Millers $266 million
25. Epic $260,8 million

 

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International top ten 8-10 November

1. Thor: The Dark World $94 million
2. Gravity $26,3 million
3. Escape Plan $15,5 million
4. Sole A Catinelle $14,8 million
5. Fack ju Göhte $9,2 million
6. Captain Phillips $7,7 million
7. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 $7,7 million
8. Turbo $5 million
9. Ender's Game $4 million
10. Planes $3,9 million

 

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International Box Office: ‘Hunger Games’ Catches Fire In Brazil

By MIKE FLEMING JR | Saturday November 16, 2013 @ 10:11am PSTTags: Box Office, Brazil, Lionsgate, The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
http://www-deadline-com.vimg.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/hunge__131116180935.jpgIf the rest of the world is as receptive to The Hunger Games: Catching Fire as moviegoers in Brazil, then the guys at Lionsgate are going to need a bigger boat for all that cash. Estimates are that next weekend’s domestic gross could be $160 million for the sequel in North America. Yesterday, Brazil was the first market to kick off the global theatrical release of the sequel at 962 screens. The film grossed $2.4 million its first day, and that number is more than triple the opening day gross of the first film. The Hunger Games had a first day gross of $737,000. Yesterday started a long holiday weekend in Brazil, so we will keep you posted on the final tally, which comes one week before the film’s big day and date opening November 22 in the US and 64 other territories that include Canada, UK, Australia, Germany, Spain, China, South Korea, Russia, Mexico, Scandinavia, and The Netherlands. France, Belgium, and Italy open the following week with Japan opening on December 27th.
The film has been premiering aboard, and its Hollywood preem happens Monday night. Since the high tide raises all boats when it comes to box office, these signs are something everyone can be excited about, with the possible exception of Carl Icahn.

 

[MrMaooz]

Who at Paramount, let alone anyone in general, would think that WWZ would gross more than STID.

 

[:eek:]

Who at Paramount, let alone anyone in general, would think that WWZ would gross more than STID.

With the zombie craze in recent years, plus the star power of Brad Pitt, and the fact that Star Trek never been huge outside America, I'm really not that surprsed.

 

[mclay18]

I'm both surprised and unsurprised The Best Man Holiday is doing so well. I'm surprised since decade-long follow-ups don't fare well at all (especially the 14 year gap) -- unless it's a proven name or brand. On the other hand, it's a good case of how home video, basic cable airings, and rental sales can really make a follow-up to an underperforming predecessor viable.

It's not my cup of tea, but it's enjoyable enough.

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Despicable Me 2 $916,1 million
3. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
4. Monsters University $743,4 million
5. Man of Steel $662,8 million
6. The Croods $587,2 million
7. World War Z $540 million
8. Gravity $516 million
9. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
10. Thor: The Dark World $480,1 million
11. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
12. The Wolverine $414,8 million
13. Pacific Rim $407,6 million
14. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
15. Now You See Me $351,7 million
16. The Hangover Part III $351 million
17. The Great Gatsby $348,8 million
18. The Smurfs 2 $346,6 million
19. The Conjuring $316,7 million
20. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
21. Oblivion $286,2 million
22. Elysium $285 million
23. Turbo $277,6 million
24. We're the Millers $266,3 million
25. Epic $260,8 million

 

[rashad]

I'm both surprised and unsurprised The Best Man Holiday is doing so well. I'm surprised since decade-long follow-ups don't fare well at all (especially the 14 year gap) -- unless it's a proven name or brand. On the other hand, it's a good case of how home video, basic cable airings, and rental sales can really make a follow-up to an underperforming predecessor viable.

It's not my cup of tea, but it's enjoyable enough.

The Best Man made $34.5M on a $9M budget. The sequel has made $32.5M on just a $17M budget. A roaring success and a follow-up is already in the works. http://www.comingsoon.net/news/movienews.php?id=111548

 

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International top ten 15-17 November

1. Thor: The Dark World $52,5 million
2. Gravity $19,4 million
3. The Counselor $11,6 million
4. Escape Plan $10,8 million
5. Fack ju Göhte $10,5 million
6. Captain Phillips $8,2 million
7. Chingu 2 (Friend 2) $7,7 million
8. Carrie $7,6 million
9. Sole A Catinelle $6,5 million
10. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $5,3 million

 

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Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Despicable Me 2 $916,5 million
3. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
4. Monsters University $743,5 million
5. Man of Steel $662,8 million
6. The Croods $587,2 million
7. Gravity $577,2 million
8. Thor: The Dark World $550,3 million
9. World War Z $540 million
10. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
11. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
12. The Wolverine $414,8 million
13. Pacific Rim $407,6 million
14. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
15. Now You See Me $351,7 million
16. The Hangover Part III $351 million
17. The Great Gatsby $348,8 million
18. The Smurfs 2 $347 million
19. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $317 million
20. The Conjuring $316,7 million
21. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
22. Oblivion $286,2 million
23. Elysium $285,7 million
24. Turbo $280,2 million
25. We're the Millers $269 million

 

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International top ten 22-24 November

1. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $146,1 million
2. Gravity $45,7 million
3. Thor: The Dark World $24,8 million
4. Fack ju Göhte $8 million
5. Captain Phillips $7 million
6. The Counselor $5,4 million
7. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 $4,1 million
8. Me, Myself and Mum $4 million
9. Chingu 2 (Friend 2) $3,4 million
10. Sole A Catinelle $3,2 million

 

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Forbes Lists 2013's Big Box-Office Bombs

By Garth Franklin Thursday November 28th 2013 12:48PM
Forbes magazine have announced what they consider the year's biggest box-office duds. It's an interesting list, comparing a group of mostly low-mid budget studio pictures and their worldwide box-office performance.
At the top of the list was the Julian Assange-themed "The Fifth Estate" starring Benedict Cumberbatch. Despite being budgeted at $28 million and scoring better reviews than the other films on this list, the film pulled in a mere $6 million worldwide (making back only 21% of its budget).
Sylvester Stallone's "Bullet to the Head" came in second with just $9 million worldwide box-office from a $25 million budget (36%). In third was the Liam Hemsworth thriller "Paranoia" with a $13.5 million box-office haul from a $35 million budget (39%).
Next on the list were Jason Statham vehicle "Parker" ($17M box-office, $35M budget, 49%), the Crowe/Wahlberg thriller "Broken City" ($19M box-office, $35M budget, 54%), the dancing competition drama "Battle of the Year" ($11M box-office, $20M budget, 55%), the Ethan Hawke/Vanessa Hudgens car thriller "Getaway" ($10.5M box-office, $18M budget, 58%), and the Tyler Perry produced comedy "Peeples" ($9M box-office, $15M budget, 60%).
The only big budget film to make the list was "R.I.P.D.," the $130 million budget supernatural cop action comedy which made just $78 million worldwide (60%). Rounding out the top ten was the ensemble comedy "The Big Wedding" ($22M box-office, $35M budget, 63%).
Some major domestic flops managed to escape getting on the list thanks to global box-office receipts which often doubled and sometimes tripled or even quadrupled the domestic haul, pushing all into profit even if it was by the slimmest of margins in some cases.
Films that earned that honor include: "The Lone Ranger," "A Good Day to Die Hard," "Turbo," "Jack the Giant Slayer," "The Internship," "The Mortal Instruments: City of Bones," "Runner Runner," "Kick Ass 2," "The Last Stand," "Escape Plan," and "Jobs".
Source: NME

 

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Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Despicable Me 2 $918,3 million
3. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
4. Monsters University $743,5 million
5. Man of Steel $662,8 million
6. Gravity $615,4 million
7. Thor: The Dark World $591,6 million
8. The Croods $587,2 million
9. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $576,2 million
10. World War Z $540 million
11. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
12. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
13. The Wolverine $414,8 million
14. Pacific Rim $407,6 million
15. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
16. Now You See Me $351,7 million
17. The Hangover Part III $351 million
18. The Great Gatsby $348,8 million
19. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
20. The Conjuring $316,7 million
21. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
22. Oblivion $286,2 million
23. Elysium $286,1 million
24. Turbo $281,9 million
25. We're the Millers $269,2 million

 

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International top ten 29 November - 1 December

1. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $90 million
2. Gravity $26,5 million
3. Frozen $16,7 million
4. The White Storm $12,9 million
5. Thor: The Dark World $12,2 million
6. Captain Phillips $6,7 million
7. The Counselor $5,7 million
8. Bullett Raja $5,5 million
9. Fack ju Göhte $5 million
10. Carrie $3,7 million

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Despicable Me 2 $918,6 million
3. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
4. Monsters University $743,5 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $674,5 million
6. Man of Steel $662,8 million
7. Gravity $631,6 million
8. Thor: The Dark World $610,8 million
9. The Croods $587,2 million
10. World War Z $540 million
11. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
12. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
13. The Wolverine $414,8 million
14. Pacific Rim $407,6 million
15. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
16. Now You See Me $351,7 million
17. The Hangover Part III $351 million
18. The Great Gatsby $348,8 million
19. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
20. The Conjuring $316,7 million
21. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
22. Oblivion $286,2 million
23. Elysium $286,1 million
24. Turbo $281,9 million
25. We're the Millers $269,2 million

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Despicable Me 2 $918,8 million
3. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
4. Monsters University $743,6 million
5. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $731,7 million
6. Man of Steel $662,8 million
7. Gravity $642,3 million
8. Thor: The Dark World $620,3 million
9. The Croods $587,2 million
10. World War Z $540 million
11. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
12. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
13. The Wolverine $414,8 million
14. Pacific Rim $407,6 million
15. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
16. Now You See Me $351,7 million
17. The Hangover Part III $351 million
18. The Great Gatsby $348,8 million
19. The Smurfs 2 $347,6 million
20. The Conjuring $316,7 million
21. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
22. Oblivion $286,2 million
23. Elysium $286,1 million
24. Turbo $282,3 million
25. We're the Millers $269,2 million

 

[Iceman]

Can't wait for the top 25 worldwide list at the end of 2015.

 

[:eek:]

International top ten 13-15 December

1. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $135,4 million
2. Frozen $31,5 million
3. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $20,9 million
4. Firestorm $15 million
5. Gravity $8,7 million
6. Lupin Sansei VS Meitentei Conan $4,6 million
7. No Man's Land $4,5 million
8. About Time $4,3 million
9. Way Back Home $4,2 million
10. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 $3,9 million

 

[:eek:]

Top 25 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1215,4 million
2. Despicable Me 2 $918,5 million
3. Fast & Furious 6 $788,7 million
4. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $767,6 million
5. Monsters University $743,6 million
6. Man of Steel $662,8 million
7. Gravity $652,4 million
8. Thor: The Dark World $627,4 million
9. The Croods $587,2 million
10. World War Z $540 million
11. Oz The Great and Powerful $493,3 million
12. Star Trek Into Darkness $467,4 million
13. The Wolverine $414,8 million
14. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $411,7 million
15. Pacific Rim $407,6 million
16. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $375,7 million
17. Frozen $351,9 million
18. Now You See Me $351,7 million
19. The Hangover Part III $351 million
20. The Great Gatsby $348,8 million
21. The Smurfs 2 $347,5 million
22. The Conjuring $316,7 million
23. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
24. Oblivion $286,2 million
25. Elysium $286,1 million

 

[Raiden]

Thor is almost catching up to MOS on WW box office? That's impressive.

 

[jacobed]

Not really, Thor is quite big overseas and has that Avengers advantage

 

[:eek:]

International top ten 20-22 December

1. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug $97,4 million
2. Frozen $35,1 million
3. Personal Tailor $24 million
4. Anchorman: The Legend Continues $13,4 million
5. Walking with Dinosaurs $13 million
6. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire $11 million
6. The Attorney $11 million
8. Firestorm $6,7 million
9. Gravity $4,1 million
10. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 $3,3 million
10. About Time $3,3 million

 

[kedrell]

Thor is almost catching up to MOS on WW box office? That's impressive.

And it's already the more profitable of the two given it's production budget is $55M less.