"300" Box Office Prediction Thread

[blind_fury]

opening weekend = 35 million

*******

final domestic gross = 80 million

final overseas gross = 95 million

 

[Nivek]

If there is a god, it should beat what Ghost Rider did, but as GR shows, box office take is not a sign of quality. I heard more positive word of mouth about this film anyway.

 

[War Party]

40 to 50 million sounds right to me. There will be midnight showings, so that may help.

 

[blind_fury]

Only ten R-rated movies have made over 40 million opening weekend.

Seven of those ten were sequels and summer releases.

 

[Cinemaman]

Opening Weekend: $37m

Domestic: $93m

Foreign: $68m

Worldwide: $161m

 

[War Party]

I can't believe this movie is coming out next week. I just ordered my tickets for the midnight showing, so it should be a great time.

 

[Kasady]

I think this movie will do very well. Word of mouth and reviews will give it good longevity. I'll say 36 million opening, but I think it will continue to make good money until the end of April. So I really can't guess to the end gross.

 

[true316]

I think this movie will do really well. It's getting a good marketing push it seems (everytime I turn on the t.v. they have a tv spot). The early reviews have been good so I think it will have a good opening weekend and good overall run. I'm guessing in the $30-40 million range for the opening weekend.

 

[The Riddler]

i'll say $32 million opening.

 

[jnpoe]

I gonna be extremely optimistic and say

Worldwide : 300 Millions

 

[Darth Elektra]

Im looking forward to seeing how much this makes this weekend and weeks to come.

 

[Mr. Socko]

I say 20-30 Mill the first weekend. I doubt it'll do the same weekend gross as GR did, remember this is R-rated.

 

[RagingTempest]

52 million maybe!!!

 

[WorthyStevens]

300 is going to be astronomical, at least where the college crowd is concerned.

 

[Man_of_Steel]

I have a feeling this film is going to be big. Everywhere I go, people are excited to see it. It probably won't make anything less than $20 million its opening weekend.

 

[Shifty]

Coming Soon!'s Weekend Warrior predicts $38.2 million

Mostly because there is no new competition.

 

[Darth Elektra]

Awsome, That would be a great opening!

 

[Shifty]

TOP 20 OPENING WEEKEND RATED R
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/mpaa.htm?page=R&p=.htm

Rank	Title (click to view)	Studio	Opening*	% of Total	Theaters	Average	Total Gross^	Date**
1 	The Matrix Reloaded 	WB 	$91,774,413 	32.6% 	3,603 	$25,471 	$281,576,461 	5/15/03
2 	Passion of the Christ 	NM 	$83,848,082 	22.6% 	3,043 	$27,554 	$370,274,604 	2/25/04
3 	Hannibal 	MGM 	$58,003,121 	35.1% 	3,230 	$17,957 	$165,092,268 	2/9/01
4 	8 Mile 	Uni. 	$51,240,555 	43.9% 	2,470 	$20,745 	$116,750,901 	11/8/02
5 	The Matrix 3 	WB 	$48,475,154 	34.8% 	3,502 	$13,842 	$139,313,948 	11/5/03
6 	Troy 	WB 	$46,865,412 	35.1% 	3,411 	$13,739 	$133,378,256 	5/14/04
7 	Bad Boys II 	Sony 	$46,522,560 	33.6% 	3,186 	$14,602 	$138,608,444 	7/18/03
8 	American Pie 2 	Uni. 	$45,117,985 	31.1% 	3,063 	$14,729 	$145,103,595 	8/10/01
9 	Terminator 3 	WB 	$44,041,440 	29.3% 	3,504 	$12,568 	$150,371,112 	7/2/03
10 	Scary Movie 	Mira. 	$42,346,669 	27.0% 	2,912 	$14,542 	$157,019,771 	7/7/00

11 	Air Force One 	Sony 	$37,132,505 	21.5% 	2,919 	$12,720 	$172,956,409 	7/25/97
12 	Red Dragon 	Uni. 	$36,540,945 	39.2% 	3,357 	$10,885 	$93,149,898 	10/4/02
13 	Freddy vs. Jason 	NL 	$36,428,066 	44.1% 	3,014 	$12,086 	$82,622,655 	8/15/03
14 	Interview w/Vampire 	WB 	$36,389,705 	34.6% 	2,604 	$13,974 	$105,264,608 	11/11/94
15 	Gladiator 	DW 	$34,819,017 	18.5% 	2,938 	$11,851 	$187,705,427 	5/5/00
16 	Scream 3 	Dim. 	$34,713,342 	38.9% 	3,467 	$10,012 	$89,143,175 	2/4/00
17 	Ransom 	BV 	$34,216,088 	25.1% 	2,676 	$12,786 	$136,492,681 	11/8/96
18 	Lethal Weapon 4 	WB 	$34,048,124 	26.1% 	3,117 	$10,923 	$130,444,603 	7/10/98
19 	Wedding Crashers 	NL 	$33,900,720 	16.2% 	2,925 	$11,589 	$209,255,921 	7/15/05
20 	Saw III 	LGF 	$33,610,391 	41.9% 	3,167 	$10,612 	$80,238,724 	10/27/06

 

[Kasady]

Hope 300 makes it high on that list. Looks like WB is king of the rated R movies, so make some more. t:

 

[Fanticon]

I usually check boxofficeguru.com The predictions are up...and I think its just a little too safe. 38m? Seems low to me.

 

[xwolverine2]

i know tons of people who are DTING to see this movie....

im voting around 60mil

 

[SlushyFrog]

Yeah I think the college crowd will provide a big showing. I don't know about other demographics tho.

 

[DieSmiling]

Maybe my opinion is skewed because I'm on a college campus, but everyone I know is going to see this. I think it'll be close to $50 million, probably like $46 million, something like that.

I'm seeing it tomorrow in imax.

 

[LostSon88]

There's quite a lot of buzz goin' around so i'm gon' say 40-50mil opening weekend.

 

[Fanticon]

I got the same "vibe" for this movie as I did for X3. X3 proved to have a huge opening and then died out because it was dissapointing. But this movie...I think it will have a huge (not X3 huge) opening and the difference is that it won't dissapoint. On a larger scope, the only thing really hurting its box-office take at this point is its rating of course...and its not Summer nor is it a holiday weekend. If websites are betting safe as if they actually are betting money on the opening...then I understand the low predictions...but my gut tells me its gonna blow those expectations away...50-60 OW sounds about right to me.