88th Annual Academy Awards

[jokesonm3]

Congratulations to Christian Bale and Tom Hardy on their Academy Award nominations!

 

[runawayboulder]

I think they got a lot of the nominations right.

IMO, there were plenty of snubs to go around. Star Wars is too big a franchise and got too many things right to not have received a best picture nod. Sicario should have been there too. I won't say they're bonafide best picture winners but deserved to be recognized.

Steve Carell should have gotten a supporting actor nom but they seem to not like to pit people from the same movie against each other. Hateful Eight should have received a writing nom. Ridley Scott not getting nominated for best director is totally baffling. He had a lot going on in that movie and kept everything running smoothly.


Here's my predictions:

Best Picture - The Revenant
who should win - The Martian
my dream pick because I loved it so much - Mad Max: Fury Road

Directing - Alejandro Inarritu, The Revenant

Best Actor - Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Eddie Redmayne is Leo's only threat here standing between him and his first Oscar.

Best Actress - Brie Larson, Room

Best Supporting Actor - Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Christian Bale possible threat to win.

Best Supporting Actress - Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

 

[Doctor Jones]

Spotlight can be seen as the definition of the "Best" categories. It truly did have some of the best directing, writing, even editing of the year. There was nothing wrong with that movie whatsoever. It was impeccably made. I'm glad people remember just how valuable low key filmmaking is.

 

[Schlosser85]

I think Redmayne is Leo's main competition. But I see Leo taking it this time.

 

[SuperT]

Last year was slightly more understandable. There weren't really many options, just Selma, which really wasn't all that great beyond Olyewo's performance. This year you've got Compton, Creed, Beasts of No Nation, and Benico del Toro all getting painfully snubbed.

Mya Taylor and Kitana Kiki Rodriguez for Tangerine as well.

 

[dark_b]

 

[Doctor Jones]

I realized Depp wasn't nominated. Goddammit.

 

[samsnee]

I think the surest bet is Stallone winning for Creed. It's like what they did with Return of the King. Kinda lifetime achievement award.

I'm not 100% certain. Look at what happened to Michael Keaton. He won the Golden Globe for Birdman but then lost to Eddie Redmayne.

Plus I think Stallone has rubbed voters the wrong way with his more conservative views compared to most of Hollywood. I wouldn't be surprised if he won, but I wouldn't be shocked if he didn't either.

 

[jmc]

Stallone is the 6th actor to be nominated twice for playing the same character.

 

[kvz5]

I'd replace Ruffalo with Elba or Del Toro. I generaly love him but he's the weakest IMO in Spotlight. If anyone should get in there, it's Liev or even Keaton (who should've been campaigned in Lead instead of Supporting). I'm surprised that Elba was snubbed because after Rylance and Bale (who have safely secured their spots), he hit most of the precursors so I thought he was safe and everyone else was fighting for the last two open spots (which ended up going to Ruffalo and Hardy).

I haven't seen Trumbo yet but I don't consider Cranston stealing any spot since he's been hitting athe precursors. Damon was the one most in danger of being snubbed. I'm happy he got it though since IMO I'd take Damon over Smith or Depp. #SorryNotSorry

And then of course the category fraud of Mara and Vikander took 2 Supporting Actress spots that could've gone to someone else and freed up the Lead Actress space which of course they had to give to Lawrence. Would've been nice to see a spot open for Blunt.

 

[jmc]

There has to be a rule officially written which clearly defines the difference Lead and Supporting Roles.

 

[SuperT]

Vikander definitely shouldn't be nominated for anything other than Ex Machina.

 

[kvz5]

There has to be a rule officially written which clearly defines the difference Lead and Supporting Roles.

Yeah like the minimum or maximum time or something. I like it though when awards bodies (like the BAFTA or *gasps* Golden Globes) don't listen to the studios and just go with their gut.

 

[jmc]

Yeah like the minimum or maximum time or something. I like it though when awards bodies (like the BAFTA or *gasps* Golden Globes) don't listen to the studios and just go with their gut.

I think it has to be more about the story. If a character is driving the narrative it's a Lead, if it's someone who the story isn't specifically about it's Supporting. If the story is about two people then they are both Leads.

 

[Fallen Angel]

Category fraud happens every year and every year we the audience complains but nothing ever get's done. Rooney Mara in no way in heck was a supporting character in Carol. She was Lead.

 

[jmc]

Interesting to note for Mad Max, it becomes the first time the fourth film in a franchise has been nominated for Best Picture, and only the second time a sequel has be nominated without any of it's predecessors also getting a Best Picture nomination.

 

[kvz5]

I think it has to be more about the story. If a character is driving the narrative it's a Lead, if it's someone who the story isn't specifically about it's Supporting. If the story is about two people then they are both Leads.

I don't disagree but I think the problem there is that it could get subjective and arguable whereas something like the screen time can be quantified without any question.

 

[CaptainWagner]

My slightly cynical predictions:

Best Picture
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight

I hate the fact that in such a crowded year, only 8 of the 10 spots are actually filled. Especially when the snubs of Straight Outta Compton and Creed just add to the "#OscarsSoWhite" narrative. If I were to pick, it would be between Spotlight or The Martian. But the cynic in me says they'll go with The Revenant.

Best Actor
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Matt Damon, The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Micheal Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Everyone said all year this was Leo's award to lose, but he's only lost steam since the movie turned out to be pretty divisive. Again, though, my inner cynic says not to worry, the Acadamy will choose the most newsworthy choice. I hope I'm wrong, because if he wins, it will be nothing but a consolation prize. My pick would be Fassbender.

Best Actress
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

I think this is probably the most cut and dried of the various contests. Not much really to say about it.

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Big Short
Tom Hardy, The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge Of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed

This is the category where snubs were most painfully felt. I loved The Big Short, but Bale was far from the best cast member. Hardy is just getting a consolation nom. Elba and Benico del Toro should be in their spots. But ultimately I say it goes to Stallone. Sure, it's more of a "Lifetime Achievement Award", which by all rights I should hate the thought of, but I'm honestly okay with it.

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

I absolutely hate that the Academy bought into the category fraud here. None of the true Supporting Actresses stand a chance between Mara and Vikander. I think Vikander has a slight edge with her Ex Machina role helping out, but the award should be going to Leigh, hands down.

Directing
The Big Short, Adam McKay
Mad Max: Fury Road, George Miller
The Revenant, Alejandro G. Iñárritu
Room, Lenny Abrahamson
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

Coogler missing out was bad enough, but at least he wasn't expected. Ridley Scott getting snubbed, however, is just outrageous. With him gone, I think it's up in the air. The cynic says Inarritu, but then again, I don't think the Academy will give it out 2 years in a row to him. I think Miller has a good chance, and I'd certainly be fine with that. McKay is personally near-tied with him, but I don't think he has a chance realistically.

Original Score
Bridge of Spies-Thomas Newman
Carol-Carter Burwell
The Hateful Eight-Ennio Morricone
Sicario-Jóhann Jóhannsson
Star Wars: The Force Awakens-John Williams

Tough call but I think the Academy will go with Morricone. And he deserves it.

Adapted Screenplay
The Big Short
Brooklyn
Carol
Martian
Room

Original Screenplay
Bridge Of Spies
Ex Machina
Inside Out
Spotlight
Straight Outta Compton

No Sorkin is another huge snub for the scripts. I think Spotlight has Original locked in. Adapted is up in the air, Carol may have an edge as a consolation for falling short everywhere else.

Animated Feature Film
Anomalisa
Boy And The World
Inside Out
Shaun The Sheep Movie
When Marnie Was There

It's the only one on the list I've seen, but I'd be shocked if it doesn't win. Peanuts not making the cut is disappointing, but not nearly as bad as last year's debacle.


I don't have time for the rest of the awards. Maybe I'll do them later, who knows...

 

[Dr. Evil]

So if Stallone wins, will he gloat about it when he gets ready to shoot Expendables 4?

 

[dude stannis]

1) Ridley got snubbed.
2) Lets nip thie white guilt bull **** in the bud right now. Creed and Straight Outta Compton where no where near the best films of the year. Go watch Beasts of No Nation if you want to complain about snubs for POC based films being snubbed.

 

[CaptainWagner]

1) Ridley got snubbed.
2) Lets nip thie white guilt bull **** in the bud right now. Creed and Straight Outta Compton where no where near the best films of the year. Go watch Beasts of No Nation if you want to complain about snubs for POC based films being snubbed.

You can call it white guilt or whatever you want. I call it three "POC-based films + Benico del Toro getting snubbed". And when those films and professionals get snubbed while the 90% white Academy names a list of 100% white nominations, I think it's entirely within reason to think there may be a problem.

 

[Fallen Angel]

All he's saying is Beast's of No Nation is a bigger snub that Straight Out of Compton. Which I agree with. 'Beast's' was a fantastic movie and Elba and the kid were great.

 

[CaptainWagner]

All he's saying is Beast's of No Nation is a bigger snub that Straight Out of Compton. Which I agree with. 'Beast's' was a fantastic movie and Elba and the kid were great.

I'd definitely agree that Elba was the biggest snub of the bunch. He hit all the other big award noms. But Dude Stannis was literally saying that Creed and Compton did not deserve to be nominated and referred to the talk of potential bias as "white guilt bull****".

 

[dude stannis]

They literally didn't deserve it. Beats of No Nation literally did and no one saw it.

 

[Sawyer]

They may or may not have deserved Best Picture noms, but do you really believe they deserved nothing?