95th Annual Academy Awards

Who will win?

  • "Avatar: The Way of Water" - Best Picture

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • "The Banshees of Inisherin" - Best Picture

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • "Elvis" - Best Picture

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • "Women Talking" - Best Picture

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Andrea Riseborough ("To Leslie") - Best Actress

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Paul Mescal ("Aftersun") - Best Actor

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Bill Nighy ("Living") - Best Actor

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    25
  • Poll closed .
Which is absolutely delightful. With Parasite winning just a few years back, it's nice to see the Academy showing such support for more esoteric films.

I'd throw in Moonlight and The Shape of Water, too.

That's surely the result of the membership being increasingly diverse. #OscarsSoWhite changed the game.
 
Probably because it's on streaming but that was a damn good awards show.

The Oscars should take note.
 
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Shout out to Paul Walter Hauser for this power move

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Probably because it's on streaming but that was a damn good awards show.

The Oscars should take note.
I genuinely loved it. Curious to see what numbers it did on Netflix and YouTube. I hope it was a success. Getting those little clip segments from previous ceremonies was absolutely wonderful. If Hollywood could check its ego a little bit, I'd say that holding these types of shows on streaming services is the way forward. No commercials = more time to celebrate film. Oh, and no language censor. Thank you, Michelle Yeoh. :funny:
 
Supporting Actor seems to be the only one that’s a lock. The other categories are an open field now.
I still think Bassett's a lock for Supporting Actress. I think JLC pulled off the win last night because the Screen Actor's Guild really loved EEAAO.
 
I still think Bassett's a lock for Supporting Actress. I think JLC pulled off the win last night because the Screen Actor's Guild really loved EEAAO.

When Bassett first won at the Globes for BP2, I was like really? I wanted the one actress from Triangle of Sadness to win. But then I saw BP2 on Disney+…and I get it. She definitely deserves it.
 
I still think Bassett's a lock for Supporting Actress. I think JLC pulled off the win last night because the Screen Actor's Guild really loved EEAAO.

I would be very happy with Bassett but the SAG should be a no-brainer for her. It makes me worry for her Oscar chances. BAFTA members are not in her favour already, she really needed SAG. Our queen is vulnerble.
 
I would be very happy with Bassett but the SAG should be a no-brainer for her. It makes me worry for her Oscar chances. BAFTA members are not in her favour already, she really needed SAG. Our queen is vulnerble.
The way I see it, since the Academy voters are more broad than the Screen Actors Guild I think that boosts her chances. I love JLC and she was great in EEAAO but she didn't elevate the entire movie the way Bassett did.
 
So there isn’t a huge overlap between Academy voters and SAG voters? Are the qualifications for an Academy voter (for say any of the acting categories) looser than SAG qualifications?
 
For SAG, the voters are the actors who has a SAG card. With the Academy you have to be an Academy member to vote and you vote for your peers. (IE Actors, Producers, ect ect)
 
...all of the Garfield/Field interactions are adorable.
 
Don't get what I'm doing wrong - log into ESPN with my credentials and when I try joining group it says pw is wrong, yet won't let me use the pw you stated.
 
I think it's case sensitive, but let me check again.

Also try using "kane"
 
I still think Bassett's a lock for Supporting Actress. I think JLC pulled off the win last night because the Screen Actor's Guild really loved EEAAO.

Bsssett lost out on the Bafta too. Between that and her SAG loss, winning the Oscar is a longshot.
 
Bsssett lost out on the Bafta too. Between that and her SAG loss, winning the Oscar is a longshot.
I wouldn't count her out because of that either. The BAFTAs leaned pretty heavy toward The Banshees of Inisherin. Case in point, Barry Keoghan won over Ke Huy Quan and he clearly isn't the favorite there.
 
I wouldn't count her out because of that either. The BAFTAs leaned pretty heavy toward The Banshees of Inisherin. Case in point, Barry Keoghan won over Ke Huy Quan and he clearly isn't the favorite there.

What has she won that makes you think she's a lock to win? She lost out on two prominent awards. The odds of her taking the Oscar are against her.
 
What has she won that makes you think she's a lock to win? She lost out on two prominent awards. The odds of her taking the Oscar are against her.
The Golden Globe primarily, the Critic's Choice Award, the Hollywood Critics Association Award but the first two are bigger awards than the HCA. Curtis and Condon only have one prominent award each and I'm fairly sure it's because the SAG gravitated towards EEAAO and the BAFTAS gravitated more towards Banshees. Maybe she's not quite a lock but I think she has more momentum than Jamie Lee Curtis or Kerry Condon. No point in debating it now, let's check back in two weeks.
 
The Golden Globe primarily, the Critic's Choice Award, the Hollywood Critics Association Award but the first two are bigger awards than the HCA. Curtis and Condon only have one prominent award each and I'm fairly sure it's because the SAG gravitated towards EEAAO and the BAFTAS gravitated more towards Banshees. Maybe she's not quite a lock but I think she has more momentum than Jamie Lee Curtis or Kerry Condon. No point in debating it now, let's check back in two weeks.

Golden Globes are worthless dude. Come on. :funny:

Neither of your examples have any real overlap with Academy.

The guild winners have always been our best indicators of how the Oscars will go. It's not 100% but it makes you the frontrunner.

That's how it goes.
 
Golden Globes are worthless dude. Come on. :funny:

Neither of your examples have any real overlap with Academy.

The guild winners have always been our best indicators of how the Oscars will go. It's not 100% but it makes you the frontrunner.

That's how it goes.
We'll see. As you said, it's not 100%. Last time that happened was in 2019 when Emily Blunt won the SAG for Supporting Actress while Regina King won the Oscar for Best Supporting Actress. However, that was an interesting case because Emily Blunt wasn't nominated for the Oscar and Regina King wasn't nominated for the SAG award that year.

Also the Globes are trash but for the most part it's usually a good Oscar indicator of whoever wins in the Supporting Actor/Actress categories.
 
While Angela owns those two scenes, she has so many better full forced roles in her career. Anything surrounding this campaign just feel like legacy noms/wins.

This isn't like the Heath situation, where he was a chameleon in the makeup. Joker pretty much stole that film. Heath's Joker is legendary.

Ramonda serves her purpose, but once her character exits the film... you don't feel her character's weight throughout the rest of the film.

For me, I can easily blame Wright's capability to sell that and honestly Namor stole any repercussion of Ramonda (or even T'Challa) for me.
 
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