BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 1

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I had a feeling Warcraft was going to move, but I thought it was going to move to April. Damn. And yeah, I can see Divergent moving to February or June.
 
With Warcraft and Kung Fu Panda 2 moving, the box office from Valentine's day through Easter looks ******, maybe Zootopia can open biggish but literally nothing else looks like it will even touch 40M OW. It can potentially create a situation where people are looking for something, anything to watch on the big screen with friends and family.
 
With Warcraft and Kung Fu Panda 2 moving, the box office from Valentine's day through Easter looks ******, maybe Zootopia can open biggish but literally nothing else looks like it will even touch 40M OW. It can potentially create a situation where people are looking for something, anything to watch on the big screen with friends and family.

I imagine Allegiant will move forward a week and something will fill the March 18th slot.
 
I imagine Allegiant will move forward a week and something will fill the March 18th slot.

Won't help Allegiant any. Insurgent will finish with less than 90% of the first movie's gross and the exact same WW gross, despite adding IMAX and 3D. That means that almost a fourth or more of the people who watched the first one didn't even bother showing up for the second movie.

To add to that, Allegiant is a "part 1" which means a further decrease is coming. I am thinking around a 40M OW for Allegiant P1 and a sub-100M finish domestically.
 
I imagine Allegiant will move forward a week and something will fill the March 18th slot.

I think it's possible BVS will be the one to move up, perhaps to Warcraft's old spot. Or it could swap places with Allegiant.
 
I think it's possible BVS will be the one to move up, perhaps to Warcraft's old spot. Or it could swap places with Allegiant.

And leave the Easter weekend release spot? I guess it is possible as Easter week is a holiday in Europe, but that can be handled by just releasing the movie on a Wednesday in most of Europe like Furious 7 did.
 
One of the biggest lessons from the Jim Cameron paradigm is that of avoiding competition. The wider the window for BvS the higher it will end up imo.
Glad to see Warcraft move, finally things working out for WB in this regard. Feel bad for that moving and it's constant moving though. this movie may have been a reaction to the BvS buzz spike though. They moved out of the way of star wars for the same reason.

I am not asking for a Batman individual movie yet, everybody knows who Batman is, but characters like Wonder Women, Flash, Aquaman need their own movie to establish them before being shoehorned into a Justice League movie, this would have not only made their characterization great but would have built great anticipation for JL and would have saved that movie ample time

Do you think TA would have been as good if it had to take 15 minutes each to explain Captain America and Thor's origins and back story?
You're asking the wrong person, I wasn't particularly taken, nor do I think the TFA film was all that impressive. TWS's performance however seems far more worthy of that description. Now do I think said latter film would have been better if they didn't take the 15 minutes it took to feature and explain all of it's big players....it did fine.

Earlier you described MOS as a moderate success financially. I don't really follow that. In the same breath, stuff like TWS is called a big hit for it's studio, even things like Begins. Ignoring the in flux and rarely consistent foreign(asian) markets, MoS handed both of these films their asses domestically and with literally twice as much comp as TWS had. I just don't follow how one is a moderate success financially and the other is seen as something else. Surely it's not because of a handful of critics and some vocal fanboys here and there..
I get how one would want to compare it to IM1, but given DC is doing things 'backwards' it would make just as much sense to compare it as a DC phase one film to any one of the mcu phase one films. Often times, it's when sequels hit that things really take off(see Cap himself for this imo).

Lastly, I personally find this new school of doing things the avengers way to be kinda contrived and reactionary. For years films have done/introduced multiple main characters in all sorts of formats in one film. From LOTR to Xmen to even the Fast Films, as well as things like Goodfellas and stuff like that. One thing I agree about marvel's way is that it ensures novelty and people showing up to every movie to see what happens next. IM3 was a master class in this. But really, when it comes to quality, I think there are all sorts of ways to yield quality.
 
I had a feeling Warcraft was going to move, but I thought it was going to move to April. Damn. And yeah, I can see Divergent moving to February or June.

I don't even think Insurgent has turned a profit yet. Lionsgate isn't going to want the next one to take a 75% second weekend dip just a matter of time before they move it.
 
And leave the Easter weekend release spot? I guess it is possible as Easter week is a holiday in Europe, but that can be handled by just releasing the movie on a Wednesday in most of Europe like Furious 7 did.

I agree, it worked brilliantly for Fast 7 so I think BvS will stay put. I imagine most will be mid week or Thursday in Europe and OS but WB tends to be day and date with a few exceptions.
 
I have a strong feeling WB won't go for the friday release.
 
I don't even think Insurgent has turned a profit yet. Lionsgate isn't going to want the next one to take a 75% second weekend dip just a matter of time before they move it.

I haven't heard zilch about casting for Allegiant, because if they're going to continue -- filming has to start next month. I think Lionsgate/Summit is reconsidering their plans for a 2-part finale.
 
I haven't heard zilch about casting for Allegiant, because if they're going to continue -- filming has to start next month. I think Lionsgate/Summit is reconsidering their plans for a 2-part finale.

I do think if Allegiant ends up being one film, it does mean March 24th 2017 becomes available, Universal has The Mummy reboot there but if WB moved Wonder Woman there, you can bet that would move again although BATB is only the week before so perhaps WB might opt for March 31st instead unless they want to stay in summer and stay put on June 23rd or if Fantastic Four, Suicide Squad and to an extent The Man from U.N.C.L.E are successful in August, they might consider August 11th since it's two weeks after Spider-Man and Pacific Rim 2 isn't likely to make a dent.

I imagine WB is going to do a bit of shuffling for their 2017 slate.
 
And the difference between DC and Marvel is that Marvel takes every character to its merit and assigns him a tone while DC has thrown everything Superman stands for, out the window and is trying to ape Nolan

Your claim is trouble by two considerations.

1) Marvel's films thus far have been action comedies, with the note worthy exceptions of Winter Solider, which took cues from the Bourne films more so than its peers in the superhero genre, and The Incredible Hulk, which Edward Norton did his best to steer closer to the more pathos filled 70s show. Aside from those two entries into the MCU, every other Marvel film features heroes that are all adept at bantering and quips, which are traits often associated with Spider-Man. As such, I am not certain that Marvel truly creates films that intended to establish "the appropriate" or "best suited" tone for each character.

2) And what does Superman stand for? Is this a complaint about Superman killing Zod in the Man of Steel movie? Such complaints are why I criticize the hypocrisy that is often directed toward the Man of Steel film.


In Superman II, Superman knowingly breaks Zod's hand, even though he depowered Zod, and then proceeds to throw him down a chasm within the Fortress of Solitude. Superman then allows Non to fall to his death, and fails to stop Lois Lane from knocking Ursa down a chasm. The thing is, in that situation, Superman had already won by the time he stepped out of the chamber. The other three Kryptonians had no powers and could have been placed in prison. Instead, Superman opted to satiate his need for retribution and then needlessly killed defenselessness enemies.

Superman II: Superman Kills Zod
[YT]/watch?v=jUORL-bvwA0[/YT]


In the comics, Superman intentionally killed Mxyptlk, albeit with remorse, but still intentional.

Screen-Shot-2013-06-17-at-8.31.14-AM-590x232.png


Superman has even killed Zod in the comics. Again, it was with remorse, but Superman still did the deed.

3114466-superman22.png


I feel compelled to believe that people are simply reluctant to accept knowledge that will deconstruct the narrative they have crafted and grown comfortable with. Superman isn't Superman because he never kills. Superman is Superman because killing is the option he likes least and does his best to avoid. However it is indeed hypocritical to heap derision upon the Man of Steel, and label it as misrepresenting Superman's character, when the character has done far more egregious things in previous films, and has an established record of killing foes within the pages of his own comics. I stand by my previous argument from the previous page.
 
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1) Marvel's films thus far have been action comedies, with the note worthy exceptions of Winter Solider, which took cues from the Bourne films more so than its peers in the superhero genre, and The Incredible Hulk, which Edward Norton did his best to steer closer to the more pathos filled 70s show. Aside from those two entries into the MCU, every other Marvel film features heroes that are all adept at bantering and quips, which are traits often associated with Spider-Man. As such, I am not certain that Marvel truly creates films that intended to establish "the appropriate" or "best suited" tone for each character.
Lets see
Iron Man 1-2- Sci-fi action/comedies
Iron Man 3- Buddy Cop/Action/Comedy
TIH-Fugitive take on a superhero
Avengers movies-Ensemble movie/comedy
TFA-World War 2 period piece
TWS-Political thriller
GoGT- Space Adventure/Comedy
Thor- Shakespeareesque outwordly
Daredevil-Dark,Gritty and realistic
Ant-Man- Heist Action/Comedy
Doctor Strange- Supernatural

Why I agree that fun/comedy is common in most of these movies, they are tonically quite different, ranging from sharply realistic (IM1, TIH, TWS) to sci-fi (Ironman 2,3) to plane fantastical (Avengers, GoTG) to now Supernatural (Doctor Strange)

Even if you disagree on that, you will agree that they were indeed best suited. Iron Man though was a complete reinvention from the comics and they continued that way, they know nobody would take a Space Raccoon, A talking tree or a superhero named 'Ant-man' seriously so they made them comedies. Hulk's story is tragic and they try to make him that way. A human superhero like Cap deserves a grounded approach for his individual movie so they went for a thriller, Thor was Shakespeare like so they got Branagh to direct it and went for a 'Fish out of pond' angle to make him relatable

Watch Feige's interview in 'Marvel-Making a universe', he goes into detail about how they don't believe superhero movies to be a seperate genre on to itself, they believe in making sub-genres within the universe

Another thing I admire about Marvel, they have such a wide group of people who have encyclopedic knowledge of comics and are passionate about the universe- Feige, Whedon, Goddard, Russos, Deknight, Wright previosly. That part is seriously lacking in DCCU

2) And what does Superman stand for? Is this a complaint about Superman killing Zod in the Man of Steel movie? Such complaints are why I criticize the hypocrisy that is often directed toward the Man of Steel film
*facepalm*
Did I ever say I have problems with him killing? I for one had no problems with it
I meant Superman was totally different and uninteresting- Dark, Brooding with no charisma or hope, and I think Cavill didn't do a good enough job with him (apart from his built)
 
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You're asking the wrong person, I wasn't particularly taken, nor do I think the TFA film was all that impressive. TWS's performance however seems far more worthy of that description. Now do I think said latter film would have been better if they didn't take the 15 minutes it took to feature and explain all of it's big players....it did fine.
I agree TFA wasn't all that great, but that and Thor did introduce the characters which saved TA vital time

Earlier you described MOS as a moderate success financially. I don't really follow that. In the same breath, stuff like TWS is called a big hit for it's studio, even things like Begins.
For Starters TWS had a budget of 170M to MOS's 230M and it grossed almost 50M more
And I consider Begins a moderate success too, I think its DVD sales are blown out of proportion. Spider-man for example, made 430M from combined DVD and VHS sales compared to BB's 167M, hell even X3 made 145M an year later

I consider TASM2 a failure despite having 25M lesser budget than MOS and earning 40M more (though admittedly a lot lesser domestic)

Ignoring the in flux and rarely consistent foreign(asian) markets, MoS handed both of these films their asses domestically and with literally twice as much comp as TWS had. I just don't follow how one is a moderate success financially and the other is seen as something else. Surely it's not because of a handful of critics and some vocal fanboys here and there..
I don't think it handed anybody anything(260M to 290M)(Bigger budget, more marketing), Superman is THE most iconic superhero of all times, they plastered Nolan's name all over the marketing and went for the TDK vibe, hence it had a great opening, but terrible,terrible legs to say the least (almost a 70% drop in its second week)

And How easily you ignore the Overseas market, given that they arrived within 1 year of each other, the overseas box-office can be compared and its clear who was the greater success

I get how one would want to compare it to IM1, but given DC is doing things 'backwards' it would make just as much sense to compare it as a DC phase one film to any one of the mcu phase one films. Often times, it's when sequels hit that things really take off(see Cap himself for this imo).
Critically all phase 1 Marvel movies (except TIH) did a lot better than MOS
Financially it isn't a comparison at all, it is the Goddamn Superman vs unknown puny Thor and Captain America

From LOTR to Xmen to even the Fast Films, as well as things like Goodfellas and stuff like that. One thing I agree about marvel's way is that it ensures novelty and people showing up to every movie to see what happens next. IM3 was a master class in this. But really, when it comes to quality, I think there are all sorts of ways to yield quality.
X-men has Wolverine as a central character in every movie, with cyclops getting the short end of the stick, little on Jean Grey for the first two movies, none on the other characters, some don't even have dialogues (Sunspot, Hurricane guy in FC, Azazel)- Is that the way you want to go with characters like Superman, Wonderwoman, Aquaman?

As for Goodfellas and Fast movies, they have humans, they don't need origins!
 
Why I agree that fun/comedy is common in most of these movies, they are tonically quite different, ranging from sharply realistic (IM1, TIH, TWS) to sci-fi (Ironman 2,3) to plane fantastical (Avengers, GoTG) to now Supernatural (Doctor Strange)

What you are referring to is style/genre, which are distinct from tone. Yes, Marvel has sci-fi movies...that are comedies. Marvel has fantasy movies...that are comedies. The tone for Marvel is "light-hearted comedy", which is okay, but such a formula does not contribute to a diverse tonality among its properties or convey the idea that Marvel strives to strike a unique tone with each of its properties.



*facepalm*
Did I ever say I have problems with him killing? I for one had no problems with it. I meant Superman was totally different and uninteresting- Dark, Brooding with no charisma or hope, and I think Cavill didn't do a good enough job with him (apart from his built)

And what makes Superman "dark and brooding" and "without hope"? Is it the scene where he saves the oil rig workers? Is it all of the scenes where Jor-El talks about how Kal-El will bring hope to Kryptonians and humans alike? Is it the scene where Jor-El tells Kal-El that he can save all of earth? Maybe it's that part where Kal stops those drunks at the bar from sexually harassing his co-worker?

I am not sure that Superman as a film, or a character were portrayed as dark and brooding. If you expect an orphaned foster child to be happy about his bizarre circumstance, then perhaps your expectations are unrealistic? Superman came from a dying world, feels alone on his new world, and is making sense of himself. It isn't as if he is entirely devoid of joy however, as we do see him having fun with discovering the extent of his powers. But come on, he was facing grim odds and a lot of introspection, and none of it was unreasonable for the character in general or the plot of MOS specifically.
 
One of the biggest lessons from the Jim Cameron paradigm is that of avoiding competition. The wider the window for BvS the higher it will end up imo.
Agreed, competition is an absolutely crucial factor. I was surprised to see some think BvS & Civil War opening on the same weekend was ok for either party. It would have been a disaster for both. As would even a smaller but similar type of film opening on the same weekend.
 
For Starters TWS had a budget of 170M to MOS's 230M and it grossed almost 50M more
And I consider Begins a moderate success too, I think its DVD sales are blown out of proportion. Spider-man for example, made 430M from combined DVD and VHS sales compared to BB's 167M, hell even X3 made 145M an year later
No one ever get's this right. If you want to actually talk about revenue you have to take the conversation further than most fans on here do. You talk about the entire production budget(excluding marketing cost though and for some reason..), then you weigh that against it's theatrical run alone? Even if the theatrical is maybe half the actual revenue stream generated by Snyders work? From merchandise to home video to promotional tie ins...all going to WB and all dependent on the films 'success' (see guardians toy sales).
Sure that seems excessive but then again, you are the one that mentioned the entire production budget, why not the entire revenue of the film that budget paid for as well. These conversations are always confusing in that people mention how much it entirely costs to produce, say a music album, but stop counting it's gross at itunes singles sales alone.

Moreover, I was talking about domestic gross(gross in particular), for international revenue is a can of worms. For example, taking into a account just what little percentage a studio get's for every dollar earned in china. If you make all your money over seas there is a good chance you may have made less than a domestic race horse. Which is why the TWS vs MOS numbers are skewed in a way the GOTG numbers aren't(save for that films lack of competition for months), because the latter made a good amount domestically. You have to ask yourself if TDK actually made less money for the studio than TDKR looking at it this way. Same applies for the present situation.

Speaking more on over seas market, those latter mcu films were marketed over there as avengers this and that, something that is hot overseas in spite of the particular film in question. Superman was marketed over there as another superman film, and the last of him audiences have seen of him there wasn't pretty(in spite of mos), before SR it was 2 decades of unappealing Reeve esque doctorine that may work for domestic fans but that's not for everyone, especially in a post spidey world. As for the nolan name, sure that helped to some degree. The Cameron and Speilberg names help too, but it only goes so far. Just look up every film those names have a producer credit on and notice the actual numbers. There is a big difference between being listed as a producer vs a director imo.

And please tell me you aren't one of these people that is going to willingly ignore the issue of competition during theatrical run? I hope not but it seems you are. MOS' second weekend drop was significant yes, but can you name for me some other big films that has faced ~150mill of box office competition in their second weekends(and moving forward into more) and done better than mos? Honest question because I honestly can't think of any off the top of my head. TA and TWS(the film you are comparing it to) being an example of the very opposite btw.
People often talk about perfect storms, MOS is an example of that but not in the same way. It wasn't just 150mill of direct competition, it was split between two other films at that. That means if people weren't feeling one film, there were still two other alternatives that weekend. Again, I need some examples if you don't mind.

As for critical praise,
again, I'm not the person for that conversation. I find it borderline stupid that the opinion of a few, sometimes hundreds can be the or a weighted authority of any sort on whether a film experience is good/fun..etc or not. Just look at how divided people are on IM3, millions of us can't say whether the film is crap or awesome to any official degree, because it speaks to us in different ways, now take that million(s) and pool it down to 50 or so, and have them come up with the definitive answer. Hopefully you picked the right 50...
Stupid imo.

As for financials,
it really doesn't matter what the brand's name is in most cases. That didn't help the last superman film from pulling in what it did, rather didn't, and that didn't stop Avatar(a brand far smaller than even puny Thor) by definition from killing everything. There are other things at play, such as being tied to something bigger with alot of modern momentum. Things outside of a particular films quality. Just look at Batman Begins, and the explanation as to why that film about the GODDAMN batman made as little as it did. I'm sure you'll find the answer lies in elements beyond Nolan's film and film making.

Secondly, I am curious what Thor and Hulk and such would have made had they been stand alone movies instead of being sold as tie ins to a legit hit. I wonder what the ratings on AoS would be had it not been sold as it is(find out what happened to coulson after that hit film...boom thor hammer boom green monster..etc), right down to another ratings bump when they sold it as a tie in to TWS...
I find myself curious what Green Lantern would have made had it featured a post credit scene with Ledger at the time. This is how the game is played today and dc seems to have finally caught on. Now that all their films have this buffer, I suppose we'll see how that goes. Until then however, I find these comparisons somewhat slanted for not all films these days are working under that handicap that buffer interest and such.

I thought your humans don't need origins bit at the end was another interesting rule of yours, I personally don't agree of course.
Lastly, your example of xmen is skewed. Sure Scott summers is shafted in those movies, but if you actually look at something like first class, just how many of the actual main characters are shafted? How many of the actual main characters in DOFP are shafted? I say main because you seem to be confusing cyclops with such a thing. Secondly I don't expect to see many origins in this BvS movie, superman in particular.
I also hear tell avengers has 11 main characters? I suppose that works because they (all of them) all have solo films and such. I personally don't really care if someone has an origin or not these movies, as seen in watchmen or even the antagonists in mos, a strong, memorable and contributive presence seems to work for most fans. They have plenty of time to expand later in solos and such.
 
What you are referring to is style/genre, which are distinct from tone. Yes, Marvel has sci-fi movies...that are comedies. Marvel has fantasy movies...that are comedies. The tone for Marvel is "light-hearted comedy", which is okay, but such a formula does not contribute to a diverse tonality among its properties or convey the idea that Marvel strives to strike a unique tone with each of its properties.

Because most of its characters are actually light hearted, they used the serious tone with CapAm in his two movies, and with Hulk. Apart from these two characters who are the other characters who could have given a different tone/ or a serious tone? They had an opportunity with Daredevil and did it

I will frame it better, Do you think Marvel messed up with any of its 11 movies in terms of tone? I don't think so, maybe one could expect IM3 to be a little more serious and less comedy but apart from that every movie's tone was near perfect. Unfortunately the same cannot be said about DCCU

I am all for change, but not change for the sake of change, not like DCCU 'Hmm, Marvel is going the fun/comedy way, we need to be different so less make everything dark and serious'

And what makes Superman "dark and brooding" and "without hope"? Is it the scene where he saves the oil rig workers? Is it all of the scenes where Jor-El talks about how Kal-El will bring hope to Kryptonians and humans alike? Is it the scene where Jor-El tells Kal-El that he can save all of earth? Maybe it's that part where Kal stops those drunks at the bar from sexually harassing his co-worker?
\
For both the two Dad's speech felt flat and was uninspiring, despite it sounding awesome in the trailers, like I bolded, its all talk and nothing else, apart from the oil rig scene (which was awesome), and Kal ended up trashing that guys truck so that scene wasn't good, like I said it was all talk and we never got to see anything which inspired hope

To put it shortly, I left the theater feeling depressed

I am not sure that Superman as a film, or a character were portrayed as dark and brooding. If you expect an orphaned foster child to be happy about his bizarre circumstance, then perhaps your expectations are unrealistic? Superman came from a dying world, feels alone on his new world, and is making sense of himself. It isn't as if he is entirely devoid of joy however, as we do see him having fun with discovering the extent of his powers. But come on, he was facing grim odds and a lot of introspection, and none of it was unreasonable for the character in general or the plot of MOS specifically.

There is a wide gap between 'Dark and brooding' and be 'happy'
I am not asking him to cracking Jokes all the time, just be a little more hopeful and charismatic in his talks and a little less brooding

Watch IM1 for reference, Tony was all serious after his return from Afghanistan, but the movie still had its fun moments and Tony was very charismatic and fun character, despite not cracking many Jokes
 
No one ever get's this right. If you want to actually talk about revenue you have to take the conversation further than most fans on here do. You talk about the entire production budget(excluding marketing cost though and for some reason..), then you weigh that against it's theatrical run alone? Even if the theatrical is maybe half the actual revenue stream generated by Snyders work? From merchandise to home video to promotional tie ins...all going to WB and all dependent on the films 'success' (see guardians toy sales).
Sure that seems excessive but then again, you are the one that mentioned the entire production budget, why not the entire revenue of the film that budget paid for as well. These conversations are always confusing in that people mention how much it entirely costs to produce, say a music album, but stop counting it's gross at itunes singles sales alone.
I understand your queries
1. The Marketing budget is rarely revealed, how am I supposed to take it into consideration

2.Again the production tie-ins,toy and merchandise sales profit isn't revealed either

How am I supposed to talk about the entire revenue when all I know are the box office numbers? I just made an assumption that both these movies earned around the same from Toys,merchandise and advertisement

Moreover, I was talking about domestic gross(gross in particular), for international revenue is a can of worms. For example, taking into a account just what little percentage a studio get's for every dollar earned in china. If you make all your money over seas there is a good chance you may have made less than a domestic race horse. Which is why the TWS vs MOS numbers are skewed in a way the GOTG numbers aren't(save for that films lack of competition for months), because the latter made a good amount domestically. You have to ask yourself if TDK actually made less money for the studio than TDKR looking at it this way. Same applies for the present situation.
1.It becomes incomparable and a 'can of worms' if the movies compared and wide apart in terms of release, say comparing SM1 and TA. But both MOS and TWS released only 8 months apart, hence no

2.I think its 55% of the Domestic gross, 45% of the OS gross (except China) and 15% of China's gross. Whatever the percentage be, its the same for both the movies, so it can be taken out the equation

3.Why do you keep talking like MOS made a whole lot more domestically than TWS? Its only 30M more. And even if we are talking about just the domestic gross, TWS made just 30M less than MOS domestically despite having a 60M lesser budget, that clear things up
That gap widens if you take into consideration the marketing budget, MOS had 150M marketing budget, I doubt TWS had anywhere near that considering TA had a marketing budget of 100M

Speaking more on over seas market, those latter mcu films were marketed over there as avengers this and that, something that is hot overseas in spite of the particular film in question. Superman was marketed over there as another superman film, and the last of him audiences have seen of him there wasn't pretty(in spite of mos), before SR it was 2 decades of unappealing Reeve esque doctorine that may work for domestic fans but that's not for everyone, especially in a post spidey world. As for the nolan name, sure that helped to some degree. The Cameron and Speilberg names help too, but it only goes so far. Just look up every film those names have a producer credit on and notice the actual numbers. There is a big difference between being listed as a producer vs a director imo.
They just use 'From the Studios that bought you... Avengers, Iron man, Thor', and even that type of line was mostly used with GoGT and less with TWS, they don't market it as an avenger follow up or anything

And for crying out loud, TWS had Captain America in its name, having a single countries name in the movie's title is a serious disadvantage, are you seriously gonna argue Superman's iconic appeal over the world against a hero which is supposedly for a seperate country?

And please tell me you aren't one of these people that is going to willingly ignore the issue of competition during theatrical run? I hope not but it seems you are. MOS' second weekend drop was significant yes, but can you name for me some other big films that has faced ~150mill of box office competition in their second weekends(and moving forward into more) and done better than mos? Honest question because I honestly can't think of any off the top of my head. TA and TWS(the film you are comparing it to) being an example of the very opposite btw.
People often talk about perfect storms, MOS is an example of that but not in the same way. It wasn't just 150mill of direct competition, it was split between two other films at that. That means if people weren't feeling one film, there were still two other alternatives that weekend. Again, I need some examples if you don't mind.
I don't talk about it for one reason alone, its the studios fault, they had the whole year to put it on but they chose July because they thought Summer would make more money, Marvel also took a risk and put it in a less-money making March with less competition. It was studios decision, we don't need to make it an excuse now, TASM release between TA and TDKR, the most anticipated two superhero movies of the decade, yet I never bring up the release date when talking about its box office gross

As for critical praise,
again, I'm not the person for that conversation. I find it borderline stupid that the opinion of a few, sometimes hundreds can be the or a weighted authority of any sort on whether a film experience is good/fun..etc or not. Just look at how divided people are on IM3, millions of us can't say whether the film is crap or awesome to any official degree, because it speaks to us in different ways, now take that million(s) and pool it down to 50 or so, and have them come up with the definitive answer. Hopefully you picked the right 50...
For the large part the views of the critics more or less parallel the views of the GA, except some exceptions like Transformers and Pirates, that's usually the case

As for IM3, the only place where the opinion is divided is hardcore comic book fans like us, especially because of the Mandarin twist, and hardcore comic book fans make up less than 0.1% of the total people actually watching the movie. Among the GA, IM3 is almost universally loved, I have never met anyone in real life who didn't like that movie

As for financials,
it really doesn't matter what the brand's name is in most cases. That didn't help the last superman film from pulling in what it did, rather didn't, and that didn't stop Avatar(a brand far smaller than even puny Thor) by definition from killing everything. There are other things at play, such as being tied to something bigger with alot of modern momentum. Things outside of a particular films quality. Just look at Batman Begins, and the explanation as to why that film about the GODDAMN batman made as little as it did. I'm sure you'll find the answer lies in elements beyond Nolan's film and film making.

All said and done, at the end of the day, I have a few numbers in front of me, Production Budget, Box office sales
And looking at that I can call it a movie a great success, a moderate one or a failure
And another thing that comes into the equation is 'expectations'
MOS and TASM2 were thought to be legitimate movies to hit a billion, people expected that, and both failed by 300 and 340M respectively, while most people didn't expect either of TWS or GoTG to make more than 500-600M and both made 115M to 180M more, hence they are called great success

Secondly, I am curious what Thor and Hulk and such would have made had they been stand alone movies instead of being sold as tie ins to a legit hit.
For one, Avengers was never a 'Legit hit', it could have been a hit and a miss and was still a tough job to do in 2008 or 2009

Secondly Hulk and Thor were actually standalone movies, and I don't think the Avenger's name came up anywhere in the marketing, especially for Hulk, even Marvel wasn't sure of its plans then

If you said the same thing about sequels I would understand

I wonder what the ratings on AoS would be had it not been sold as it is(find out what happened to coulson after that hit film...boom thor hammer boom green monster..etc), right down to another ratings bump when they sold it as a tie in to TWS...
I don't what you are trying to prove here but Daredevil never referenced the MCU apart from just three occasions, it was even marketed separately , yet it is critically acclaimed

I thought your humans don't need origins bit at the end was another interesting rule of yours, I personally don't agree of course.
A throwaway line establishes the character, and its upto the actor to build him on, look at Joker for example, he had no origin, or Hawkeye or Black Widow

Lastly, your example of xmen is skewed. Sure Scott summers is shafted in those movies, but if you actually look at something like first class, just how many of the actual main characters are shafted? How many of the actual main characters in DOFP are shafted? I say main because you seem to be confusing cyclops with such a thing.
I don't use them as examples because FC and DOFP are 4th and 5th movie in its franchise (not counting solo wolverine movies), most ,if not all, the characters are already established by then
Hence X1 and X2 are more valid comparison to BvS and JL than FC or DOFP
How many characters are given focus in those two movies? Wolverine, Rogue, Xavier and Magneto, and last one is the villain. Characters like Cyclops, Strom, Jean Grey, Sabretooth , Toad are just window dressing

I also hear tell avengers has 11 main characters? I suppose that works because they (all of them) all have solo films and such. I personally don't really care if someone has an origin or not these movies, as seen in watchmen or even the antagonists in mos, a strong, memorable and contributive presence seems to work for most fans. They have plenty of time to expand later in solos and such.

I would disagree that MOS 'worked' in the villain department but whatever floats your boat
I am not asking for an origin about a villain, but Heroes sure deserve an origin, especially when they are characters as complex as Aquaman, Wonderwoman and Flash
What are they gonna do, 'Hey this guy controls the oceans, this here lady is an amazon princess with a truckload of superpowers, this dude is a robot and this little felow runs really fast'
Won't that be too much to swallow for the GA
Before you bring in the X-men, in a universe that established that Mutants exist and are born with powers, its easy to do that but in the DCCU's forced realistic world, I find it bewildering
 
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How am I supposed to talk about the entire revenue when all I know are the box office numbers? I just made an assumption that both these movies earned around the same from Toys,merchandise and advertisement.....

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1.It becomes incomparable and a 'can of worms' if the movies compared and wide apart in terms of release, say comparing SM1 and TA. But both MOS and TWS released only 8 months apart, hence no

2.I think its 55% of the Domestic gross, 45% of the OS gross (except China) and 15% of China's gross. Whatever the percentage be, its the same for both the movies, so it can be taken out the equation
There in lies the problem. You can't and yet you still...

Actually the foreign market has been jumping alot every year recently. But that was beside the point. When I said it was a can of worms to compare WW numbers, I specifically meant that unless you take into account the fact that they make less on the dollar with intl money(with the actual percentages and not these guess you tossed over here) you won't come anywhere close to the actual revenues generated for the studio. It's why I ask if TDK or TDKR actually made more for the studio for one clearly has more intl money but one has more 'valuable' domestic money. It's the same with MOS vs most MCU films. Especially when their ww totals are as close as these last few.
This would be where we speculate about cost right? marketing costs in particular....but then if you understand the above then you might agree that we just start speculating in circles about all sorts of things picking and choosing as well as ignoring all the other revenue streams we don't have enough effort to actually investigate and lock down. MOS made 200mill back on promotional tie ins before movie was even released(if memory serves), that counts for nothing around here), how much did tws make? maybe more maybe less, maybe none...I'm not cool with this game of half knowledge is my point. A crap shoot and one like I said at the start, is something we fanboys always get wrong at the end of the day.

I also don't get where you assume MOS was supposed to hit a billion? Have you seen the performance of prior films based on this property, the last one in particular? Next people will be saying BvS is some sort of failure for not hitting 1.5 to 2bill simply because it's 'supposed' to. How's about speaking to the inaccuracy of the prediction as opposed to the films failure to do so.
As for TWS and GOTG, here's the thing, if people(box office mojo included) are going to call all of this mcu stuff one giant franchise then they should take into account all that comes with that acknowledgement! If films of this franchise are hitting a billion and beyond, then I'm not sure why they all aren't. Period. But then again that wouldn't be fair because there are other things to consider. Well there should be other things to consider in the 'superman brand' circumstance including the term reboot and all that comes with that(see begins), yet here we are.

They just use 'From the Studios that bought you... Avengers, Iron man, Thor', and even that type of line was mostly used with GoGT and less with TWS, they don't market it as an avenger follow up or anything
First of all, the GOTG marketing had Thanos in it the big bad pulling the strings sold at the end of Avengers(the 3rd biggest film etc), secondly the thor2 movie ended with a send off to GotG, this isn't snow piercer here. You are kidding if you think these things are standing alone in the way other films traditionally do. As for TWS being sold as an avengers sequel, I'd argue the fact that all it's promotional stuff featured that shield hardware(flying ships) and Nick Fury and Black widow and Cap himself, in a format where audience's are told it's all connected in this way, this is the simple circumstance, we saw alot of this same exact imagery, and photography in the avengers movie. Want to know what happens just after avengers? Well this Ironman(3) movie comes out right after, so that fever people usually have to know what happens next(see Terminator 2 ending and people wanting to know) is present. If avatar was sold as what happens immediately after and in the same universe as Titanic you would see this same phenomena. Bringing it back however, TWS was selling more avengers stuff to me personally, as is the the AOS show, which is the only reason I stuck with it as long as I did whereas in another format I personally wouldn't give a show like that 2 seconds, especially on it's own merit.
As for the disadvantage of the America in the title, I think that's hogwash outside of a cold war. If anything american products and media are 'A list' in a way that German stuff and celebrities aren't.
I agree that a movie called caption china in would do better in china but being called america does little against stuff like guardians imo.

I don't talk about it for one reason alone, its the studios fault, they had the whole year to put it on but they chose July because they thought Summer would make more money, Marvel also took a risk and put it in a less-money making March with less competition...
That's great and all but now you are admitting to ignoring the circumstance affecting the actual film(and Snyder and the Actors) in favor of a studio call. It's the reason the terms; a bad date, a great spot exists in the first place. If AOU was released on the same date as a predicted meteor strike(that was expected to do damage but not take out a small continent) than instead of taking into account how that circumstance affected the films performance you are going to ignore all of that and simply say well the studio...
I think this is kinda crazy but I get it in the greater context of judging a studio's performance. HOWEVER, when it comes down to threads like this in which people are comparing one film against another, it's fickle. One film did solid against what turned out to be massive competition, this other film did solid against what turned out to be lacking(big time). Whatever risks the studios took exists outside of that basic comparison are circumstantial because it's the after the fact that we are talking about. Better example would be if a studio releases a film in a packed summer, that's a gamble, but if a year later we are talking about how half of those other films straight up bombed and the other half were cancelled or pushed back, and the film had an unprecedented wide open season to itself literally...sorry but it has to be taken into account after the fact, regardless of the studio gamble.
I have never met anyone in real life who didn't like that movie
I've met plenty, but that's just anecdotal. The point was that you are leaning on a small group of people to validate an opinion on an piece of art. I find it pointless. Especially when you look at the evolving face of art over the times and how wrong critics have got it again and again, it's not science. If they think abstract art sucks upon release and we now know/think it's awesome..I just say that's what happens when you get the opinion of some small group of humans to do the thinking for you.
Then you look at the idea that this pool of grown critics had no baring on my or my young friends enjoyment of power rangers the movie...I find it all rather pointless. The masses and how they receive art is a deeply complex thing, alot of which boils down to artistic intent(was I trying to simply make something funny as oppose to 'good'), the state of mind of the audience member at the time(of day/of their life) and many other things. Lastly there is the idea of agenda, how many people in hollywood want comic book movies to lose steam, how many think film should be this or that and how many are like Faraci with all his agendas and feelings, to think of how many of these people contribute to that score.... As a visual artist myself I find establishment of critics beyond annoying but again, that's just me and I'm the wrong person to use their score to prove a point with.
My favorite movie ever is a testament to that artists ability to speak with me during that time of my life. That means forever, this artist has accomplished something incredible with someone in his intended audience. I feel that's the entire point.

When I used the term 'legit hit'
Who said anything about Avengers? I was talking about the 'legit hit' those films followed and were tied into(IM1). From RDJ himself showing up in TIH(again, imagine Bale/Heath himself showing up in GL or MOS), to Thor getting a cue in through the Ironman sequel as well as all the talk of stark and coulson in the thor movie itself....This is what I'm talking about. Something those films had that GL simply didn't and would have no doubt benefited from in the interest and financial dept. Marvel(and all due business credit aside) has implemented this into everything they've done since the start. It requires some form of success to build off no doubt, but it's still worth pointing out regardless. These things aren't stand alone and that's my point. Half the phase two trailers talking about 'new york'...
As for DD, whether they mention things or not in the marketing(and trust me they have), it's already there and helping drive up the interest. Again, good on marvel but I for one won't ignore it.
My friend yesterday was talking about Antman and said, at the very least he's going to see it so he doesn't miss out on the evolving mcu story and book end to phase two. It's like missing an episode of a tv show...Genius.

I would disagree that MOS 'worked' in the villain department but whatever floats your boat
You would. As for the rest, sorry I'm going to pass and try to focus less on mos and xmen character stuff and more on financials and marketing circumstance and such. You understand.
We can only derail this thread so far.
 
Do you think that Avengers: AoU's OW coming in well under the original's OW bodes well or poorly (or neither) for BvS's OW?
 
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