BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 1

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I see American Sniper mentioned and people seem to be ignoring that American Sniper was a Warner Brothers movie not a Fox movie. Warners came in a stole the 2014 domestic title from LionsGate and Disney.

Fox are going to have to stop being lazy domestically and put on a way better marketing show if they want Deadpool to hit. I still say the best case scenario for Deadpool are Kingsman numbers. Sorry guys but it's not going to be another American Sniper. I wouldn't be shocked if it were yet another Ryan Reynolds disappointment.

 

[mclay18]

I thought about BvS after looking at Furious 7's early numbers. 130-140million is huge and it's especially huge for April.

Idiots who were questioning WB's decision just continue to look stupid. Alice in Wonderland, The Hunger Games, Fast Five, Captain America and now Furious 7 didn't need a summer release date to pull in the cash. March and April are not dumping grounds for anticipated blockbusters. I've said it before and I'll say it again, BvS's release date is smart scheduling by Warner Brothers.

Some folks just have this notion that certain movies belong in the summertime... and cry foul when the studios opt for a springtime release. Hell, you have some fans complaining about Disney scheduling Episode VII and Rogue One for Decembers 2015 and 2016 instead of the usual Memorial Day weekend. ("Star Wars belongs in the summertime blah blah!") The brand name alone will bring in a big box office weekend.

I remember a lot of people being skeptical when WB moved BVS to Easter weekend 2016 -- but Furious 7 pretty much solidified it as a good alternate spot.

 

[Marvin]

Sometimes when your movie does it's thing early...may even, by the time you are mid way through the summer the moment is forgotten. Fast 7 for example will probably experience this to some degree.
Of course if you have a mega event that helps, but I think Suicide Squad coming out that same summer is going to do good things for keeping the discussion and relevance going that year. Another marvel tactic that should work well for the dc schedule.

 

[The Riddler]

$155m opening weekend is the floor for BvS.

 

[Jonwo]

April has become more lucrative as a tentpole month thanks to successful films like TWS and three Fast and Furious films. Disney has scheduled The Jungle Book for April 2016 as well as Dreamworks Ghost in the Shell for April 2017 while Universal has the Huntsman April 22nd 2016, Pacific Rim 2 and a Universal Monster film for April 2017.

I think WB should move Wonder Woman to Spring 2017 since its sandwiched between two animated sequels which will likely be hits, maybe April 7th or 14th or perhaps March 31st

 

[Iceman]

I've never thought the month itself should matter much regardless of school holidays as most people have enough time to rewatch your film as many times as they would at any other time of year during the entire run even if they are occupied on the weekdays. The distribution of returns would be significantly affected but not necessarily the final total. The main thing I think is staying as far away from all competition from similar genre films and big films in general.

 

[Noctis]

Anyone know if a rotten tomato score affects a box office? opening week to WW gross etc.

 

[Juha Bach]

Those furious 7 numbers bode well for BvS. 135-145mil OW without 3D? Unbelievable.

 

[mclay18]

April has become more lucrative as a tentpole month thanks to successful films like TWS and three Fast and Furious films. Disney has scheduled The Jungle Book for April 2016 as well as Dreamworks Ghost in the Shell for April 2017 while Universal has the Huntsman April 22nd 2016, Pacific Rim 2 and a Universal Monster film for April 2017.

I think WB should move Wonder Woman to Spring 2017 since its sandwiched between two animated sequels which will likely be hits, maybe April 7th or 14th or perhaps March 31st

April 14, 2017 is Ghost in the Shell, which will appeal to the similar demographic that will go see Wonder Woman. If WB moves WW to spring 2017, it'll likely be late March (March 31).

I do think if WW is one of the highly praised elements of BVS, then WB can move it up and rivals will move out of the way.

 

[dalonewolf]

Those furious 7 numbers bode well for BvS. 135-145mil OW without 3D? Unbelievable.

Which is why I say 190 will be the floor for BVS but 205-210 SEEMS very likely

 

[Nemeres]

I see it getting close to Avengers' OW. 180 million, my bet.... for now.

 

[BatmanVSuperman]

I don't know what some of the hardcore Marvel fans would do if BvS ever surpassed either of the Avenger films in box office numbers. I personally have never envisioned BvS even hitting a billion. That's just my gut feeling. Maybe if it knocks every possible aspect out of the park it could happen I suppose.

 

[InJustice]

April 14, 2017 is Ghost in the Shell, which will appeal to the similar demographic that will go see Wonder Woman. If WB moves WW to spring 2017, it'll likely be late March (March 31).

I disagree that GiTS is going to appeal to the same demographic as Wonder Woman. It's a lazy comparison to be honest. The demographic at stake are the anime and hardcore GiTS fans seeing how they know about GiTS compared the general population who very likely have no idea what GiTS is.

That being said, yes, the anime has a strong female lead just like Wonder Woman, but that relies entirely on how Dreamworks decide to frame the story. GiTS doesn't have the brand recognition that Wonder Woman has, which means that if the GA is not sold on the concept, the movie is not going to do well in selling people in beyond the anime/GiTS fans.

 

[dnno1]

Yeah, Ghost in the Shell is an anime fan fave and it's questionable whether or not there are enough of them to even make that film pay for itself. I am pretty sure they are relying heavily on the popularity of ScarJo to get it at least to $400 million.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Lucy made 459million worldwide, don't count out Scar Jo in action mode, people like her when she is in action mode.

 

[Vonter-Voman]

How much do you think WB expects from BvS?

 

[Mrs. Wayne]

If I was them, i'd expect a billion considering how iconic and recognizable the characters are.

 

[dnno1]

How much do you think WB expects from BvS?

I think they expect to do a better than just getting their money back on the film (which could be more than $457 million) and probably more than what Man of steel made.

 

[mithravishnu]

WB surely expects $1B. even if it is $999mn they will be disappointed. BvS only needs to be an "okay" movie to reach 1B

 

[Vonter-Voman]

Some people say WB expected $1 billion from MoS, so I'd say that if they are optimistic, they would expect around $1.2 or $1.3 billion... but they would expect just $1 billion if they aren't so hopeful after MoS. Taking into consideration they really expected $1 billion from MoS.

 

[kendalag]

Some people say WB expected $1 billion from MoS, so I'd say that if they are optimistic, they would expect around $1.2 or $1.3 billion... but they would expect just $1 billion if they aren't so hopeful after MoS. Taking into consideration they really expected $1 billion from MoS.

Jeff Robinov said it would be the biggest film in WB history. Yes, the moron thought it would make more than Harry Potter 8 which did 1.3 billion.

It's comments and thinking like that which led to him no longer being in charge of WB. Now we have based Kevin Tsujihara.

 

[TheNextNolan22]

Jeff Robinov said it would be the biggest film in WB history. Yes, the moron thought it would make more than Harry Potter 8 which did 1.3 billion.

It's moronic comments and thinking like that which led to him no longer being in charge of WB. Now we have based Kevin Tsujihara.

That was actually one of Robinov's last statements before he left Warner Bros.

 

[Black Narcissus]

I see American Sniper mentioned and people seem to be ignoring that American Sniper was a Warner Brothers movie not a Fox movie. Warners came in a stole the 2014 domestic title from LionsGate and Disney.

Fox are going to have to stop being lazy domestically and put on a way better marketing show if they want Deadpool to hit. I still say the best case scenario for Deadpool are Kingsman numbers. Sorry guys but it's not going to be another American Sniper. I wouldn't be shocked if it were yet another Ryan Reynolds disappointment.

And the team who did the promo for that is working on BvS.

 

[GreenKToo]

I never thought mos would hit a billion. I did think it would reach 750 mill tho.

As for BvS, I have no freaking idea, anywhere from 750 mill to 1.2 bill.
We all will have a better idea on the BO once we FINALLY see some footage other than the con stuff.

 

[Juha Bach]

Its difficult for me to predict a billion because of the very unpredictable nature of the overseas market. I for example was surprised by MOS BO performance in south korea and mexico which was below par but then again perhaps i was expecting too much.