BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - - - - Part 13

[Sithborg]

I blurted "20M" a few pages back as a guess for fun, but if Zootopia beats it, then...wow.

That just seems very extreme.

I can see the logic. Assuming the drop remains roughly the same, or increasing. While Zootopia's remains super strong. That just seems almost impossible. Drops do eventually get smaller, usually.

It is interesting. People think Disney should've had Jungle Book closer to BvS. I think Disney would rather Jungle Book further away from Zootopia.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

I can see the logic. Assuming the drop remains roughly the same, or increasing. While Zootopia's remains super strong. That just seems almost impossible. Drops do eventually get smaller, usually.

It is interesting. People think Disney should've had Jungle Book closer to BvS. I think Disney would rather Jungle Book further away from Zootopia.

Jungle Book being that close to Civil War is a problem, but yeah, they aren't living or dying on any of these box offices. Zooptopia, Jungle Book, Civil War, they are all making that paper.

 

[Iceman]

Is Jungle Book expected to be big? I didn't even know it was being made till I saw the trailer (before BvS).

 

[Poni_Boy]

Is Jungle Book expected to be big? I didn't even know it was being made till I saw the trailer (before BvS).

Yeah it's gonna kill

 

[antoineflemming]

EC Bluray ain't coming in July. I still think WB should drop it in IMAX theaters this weekend. It's their last chance before losing those screens.

Wouldnt that mean that they planned that by opening weekend at the latest, seeing as it takes time to distribute? Maybe I'm just overestimating how lon it takes to distribute copies of the movie, but I'd expect something like that to drop by the fourth weekend at the earliest, because I'd expect them to have only made such a decision on Monday. I also wouldnt be surprised if they re-release the film (extended cut) some months from now (maybe after Suicide Squad) in order to make more money (like other films have done). After all, the bo gross of the re-release counts towards that total BO gross.

 

[OtherwiseKnownAs]

Is Jungle Book expected to be big? I didn't even know it was being made till I saw the trailer (before BvS).

Oh yeah. It's got talent behind it, good WOM is already building, and it's a straight-forward adaptation of a beloved Disney animated classic (and my personal favorite of the Walt-era).

 

[Poni_Boy]

Wouldnt that mean that they planned that by opening weekend at the latest, seeing as it takes time to distribute? Maybe I'm just overestimating how lon it takes to distribute copies of the movie, but I'd expect something like that to drop by the fourth weekend at the earliest, because I'd expect them to have only made such a decision on Monday. I also wouldnt be surprised if they re-release the film (extended cut) some months from now (maybe after Suicide Squad) in order to make more money (like other films have done). After all, the bo gross of the re-release counts towards that total BO gross.

If we're talking a limited release in less than 50 screens across North America they can cut, print and distribute digital copies within a week (5 business days). Take no time at all nowadays.

But yes they already made the decision not to do that weeks ago. As far as a rerelease I don't see it as a possibility at this point either. Not with these numbers.

 

[Tymminator]

Any word on Monday's numbers?

I'm waiting for that as well.

I'll throw out a guess and say 10.5M

 

[Iceman]

Yeah it's gonna kill

Oh yeah. It's got talent behind it, good WOM is already building, and it's a straight-forward adaptation of a beloved Disney animated classic (and my personal favorite of the Walt-era).

Actually I've just realised I was thinking about the Tarzan film lol. I'm not even sure I knew about this Jungle Book film. Time to do some research. Loved the original, seen it a few hundred times. t:

 

[OtherwiseKnownAs]

I'm curious, what's the maximum that WB can realistically expect to make from home video sales?

 

[johnboy3434]

I'm waiting for that as well.

I'll throw out a guess and say 10.5M

My guess is $3.4 million.

 

[Poni_Boy]

I'm curious, what's the maximum that WB can realistically expect to make from home video sales?

I believe MOS did $60 mil over 7 months. Studio gets about 30% of that.

 

[Iceman]

I believe MOS did $60 mil over 7 months. Studio gets about 30% of that.

What's the typical range for blockbusters on home video? I've never looked at hose figures.

 

[Tymminator]

My guess is $3.4 million.

I think it will actually be closer to 7-8M, but I just felt that 10.5 was fun to write.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

What's the typical range for blockbusters on home video? I've never looked at hose figures.

Hard to tell these days with how digital works. Lets just say, this won't be doing Batman Begins or TDK numbers.

 

[Poni_Boy]

What's the typical range for blockbusters on home video? I've never looked at hose figures.

It's a wide range. I'd say anything around $35 mil is good. Over $50 mil is great. A lot of people buy Digital HD codes now.

 

[Iceman]

Hard to tell these days with how digital works. Lets just say, this won't be doing Batman Begins or TDK numbers.

True. Ha, I'd be interested to see the numbers, especially for films like MoS where the numbers aren't necessarily in line with the theatrical run.

It's a wide range. I'd say anything around $35 mil is good. Over $50 mil is great. A lot of people buy Digital HD codes now.

Oh right thanks.

 

[kalelvis]

BvS is still the top selling movie on movietickets.com though at a much lower percentage, and is holding spots 1 and 3 on fandango pulse. I think with the crash at box this weekend there is a chance it may stabilize this week. My guess is just north of 20m for m-th and the 25+ for next weekend. The boss isn't showing up in any pre sales data that I can find so I don't think it is a given for it to beat BvS this weekend.

From the online polls at comic book sites (including the on on this forum) there are more people who think the movie is Okay or better, than people who hated it. We might start seeing that WOM bring people in on the third and forth weeks. With march madness, the final four and the walking dead season finale out of the way, watching BvS might be the best option for some people who have been putting off watching it.

 

[kalhawj]

I'll leave this here for all of those that keeps saying BvS is a failure. Spin it how you like John has a point.

 

[KBX]

^^ Failure might not be the right word, more like disappointment.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

BvS is still the top selling movie on movietickets.com though at a much lower percentage, and is holding spots 1 and 3 on fandango pulse. I think with the crash at box this weekend there is a chance it may stabilize this week. My guess is just north of 20m for m-th and the 25+ for next weekend. The boss isn't showing up in any pre sales data that I can find so I don't think it is a given for it to beat BvS this weekend.

From the online polls at comic book sites (including the on on this forum) there are more people who think the movie is Okay or better, than people who hated it. We might start seeing that WOM bring people in on the third and forth weeks. With march madness, the final four and the walking dead season finale out of the way, watching BvS might be the best option for some people who have been putting off watching it.

Walk up money > Pre-sales.

BvS did fine in pre-sales last week. But that makes up a small percentage of people who show up, especially after the first weekend.

 

[Sithborg]

BvS is still the top selling movie on movietickets.com though at a much lower percentage, and is holding spots 1 and 3 on fandango pulse. I think with the crash at box this weekend there is a chance it may stabilize this week. My guess is just north of 20m for m-th and the 25+ for next weekend. The boss isn't showing up in any pre sales data that I can find so I don't think it is a given for it to beat BvS this weekend.

From the online polls at comic book sites (including the on on this forum) there are more people who think the movie is Okay or better, than people who hated it. We might start seeing that WOM bring people in on the third and forth weeks. With march madness, the final four and the walking dead season finale out of the way, watching BvS might be the best option for some people who have been putting off watching it.

Without hard numbers, pre-sale placement or percentage is worthless. I mean, there those touting the pre-sale numbers last weekend. Of course it was still number one with a high percentage last weekend, because nothing else was coming out.

It will be interesting to see how it faces some competition this weekend.

 

[DorkyFresh]

I'll leave this here for all of those that keeps saying BvS is a failure. Spin it how you like John has a point.

Campea is spinning it how he likes.

 

[kalelvis]

Walk up money > Pre-sales.

BvS did fine in pre-sales last week. But that makes up a small percentage of people who show up, especially after the first weekend.

While pre sales aren't relective of sales numbers they usually pretty much in line with what us being sold in walk up tickets. For instance when BvS accounted for 70% of online tickets sales it also accounted for 70 % of the walk up tickets and the box. So walk up and online sales usually are fairly representative of public interest.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

While pre sales aren't relective of sales numbers they usually pretty much in line with what us being sold in walk up tickets. For instance when BvS accounted for 70% of online tickets sales it also accounted for 70 % of the walk up tickets and the box. So walk up and online sales usually are fairly representative of public interest.

Yes, but it is all about the amount of business. 70% of 100m, is way different then the same percentage of 50m or 200m.