BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - - - - - Part 14

[Tacit Ronin]

The teaser is getting people talking, and they still have their ace-in-the-hole

Vader?

 

[Aejej]

Master Vader.

 

[DKDetective]

A few jokes here and there doesn't change the fact that Zack doesn't seem to either get or respect the characters

Weren't you a Snyder defender like a week ago (defending the artistry of style over substance or something)?

Back on topic, I can definitely see Rogue One mopping the floor with BvS at the box office. If RO lives up to its promise, it could do Avengers-numbers in my opinion. It looks like the best of the old EU brought to life. BvS if it had lived up to its promise could have done the same, so I guess there are no guarantees, but the people behind RO have a much better track record behind them already.

 

[kalelvis]

The main complaints about BvS are tone, structure/editing and characterization. By the end of the movie it is made pretty clear that Batman has seen the error in his brutal ways, and in every interview Cavill and Snyder have stressed that the Superman everyone knows and loves will finally have developed by JL.

So, the tone is easily fixed at the Screenplay level, structure/editing is easily fixed in post and the characterization should be more fan friendly just given what happened by the end of BvS.

There is the stylistic concerns that a lot of people have with Snyder, but there are a lot of people even in the negative reviews who acknowledge that the film is "beautiful."

I think there is room for some optimism about the box office for JL.

 

[The Endless]

We've had two movies with The Sentry... ooops i mean Superman.

Why should we give them another chance?

 

[Tacit Ronin]

So, the tone is easily fixed at the Screenplay level, structure/editing is easily fixed in post and the characterization should be more fan friendly just given what happened by the end of BvS.

If it was so 'easy' they would've done it by now.

And tone has just as much to do with direction as it does the writing. A director is more than just his visuals.

And a lot of things 'should've' been fixed from MOS too. Whatever happened to that?

 

[wobbly]

$2.84mil actual for Wed.

 

[Kanon]

$2.84mil actual for Wed.

Again, right below F7.

 

[wobbly]

Again, right below F7.

Yup. Assuming Jungle Book does well Bvs likely tops out under F7.

 

[Kanon]

I say we are heading to a $26M weekend, and falling short of reaching $300M by Sunday

Similar prediction

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya
$2.84M WED for #BatmanvSuperman. Shd end 1st 2 weeks w/ $273M, $296M by SUN, on its way to about $345M domestic final.

https://***********/GiteshPandya/status/718146470302650368

I say it will end the weekend with $299M, and the final gross might be lower (around 330M)

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Per Rentrak UK BvS fell behind Zootopia on Wednesday.In South Korea it now trails Zootopia, 10 Cloverfield Lane and Eddie the Eagle (!!!). Looks like it's headed for another 75%+ drop in China this weekend too.

 

[wobbly]

Per Rentrak UK BvS fell behind Zootopia on Wednesday.In South Korea it now trails Zootopia, 10 Cloverfield Lane and Eddie the Eagle (!!!). Looks like it's headed for another 75%+ drop in China this weekend too.

Probably gonna be a steeper drop overseas than domestic this weekend.

 

[InCali]

I say we are heading to a $26M weekend, and falling short of reaching $300M by Sunday

Similar prediction


https://***********/GiteshPandya/status/718146470302650368

I say it will end the weekend with $299M, and the final gross might be lower (around 330M)

A 50% drop (your estimate) would not be a bad drop. It looks like it's maybe hit the bottom of that cliff it fell off week 2. The other prediction would be more in the range of 56% if I'm reading this right. That's pretty significant following an almost 70% drop week 2.

 

[InCali]

Per Rentrak UK BvS fell behind Zootopia on Wednesday.In South Korea it now trails Zootopia, 10 Cloverfield Lane and Eddie the Eagle (!!!). Looks like it's headed for another 75%+ drop in China this weekend too.

Remember when Shaun the Sheep was getting better numbers than FFINO? BvS at least had a big opening.

 

[jokesonm3]

That big opening is the only thing going right for BvS at the Box Office.

Smart move for WB to front load the hell out of this film, because it would definitely crash in new markets if they opened now.

 

[johnboy3434]

Well, I wasn't as far off on today's gross as yesterday's. Revised predictions:

Thursday: $2.8 million (-1.55%)
SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $64.3 million (-64.6% sans Thursday previews)

Friday: $7.49 million (+168%)
Saturday: $11.6 million (+54.7%)
Sunday: $6.98 million (-39.7%)
THIRD WEEKEND TOTAL: $26.1 million (-49.2%)

TOTAL PROJECTED DOMESTIC GROSS: $337 million

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Remember when Shaun the Sheep was getting better numbers than FFINO? BvS at least had a big opening.

Ah, good times, good times! t:

 

[gerrym51]

That big opening is the only thing going right for BvS at the Box Office.

Smart move for WB to front load the hell out of this film, because it would definitely crash in new markets if they opened now.

although in hindsight that could be correct I believe it was rolled out like this because of piracy.

 

[InCali]

Well, I wasn't as far off on today's gross as yesterday's. Revised predictions:

Thursday: $2.8 million (-1.55%)
SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $64.3 million (-64.6% sans Thursday previews)

Friday: $7.49 million (+168%)
Saturday: $11.6 million (+54.7%)
Sunday: $6.98 million (-39.7%)
THIRD WEEKEND TOTAL: $26.1 million (-49.2%)

TOTAL PROJECTED DOMESTIC GROSS: $337 million

Whose predictions are those?

 

[db85usa]

I'm expecting $18-$22M in its 3rd weekend which will put it roughly on or around Man of Steel's final domestic haul $291-$295M. By next week we'll probably see its daily receipts fall below $2M each day.

 

[InCali]

I'm expecting $18-$22M in its 3rd weekend which will put it roughly on or around Man of Steel's final domestic haul $291-$295M. By next week we'll probably see its daily receipts fall below $2M each day.

The low side of that would put it roughly at the same percentage drop as it had from week 1 to 2. That would be very bad. It may be that it's leveled off. We'll see. I'd say anything in the 26M range would be rather good news all things considered. I agree about the dailies next week (with the "possible" exception of Tuesday). I think it will take a back alley hammering next weekend. Maybe dropping below 10M and 1M weekdays??? I don't know that much about Criminal (it's got a VERY intriguing cast), but between it and Jungle Book, a lot of demographics are covered. Jungle Book is getting RAVES.

 

[johnboy3434]

Whose predictions are those?

Mine, based on a time series model built around the movie's performance thus far and how that compares with the performance of two other movies (Clash of the Titans and Furious 7). I revise it every day after the totals come in and post the new predictions here.

 

[Stark Bauer]

$20M 3rd weekend

$320M domestic total (revised from $330M)

Sinking much faster than I thought.

I had it projected to $330M and that was with it making $20M from Monday to Thursday this week which clearly isn't going to be happening.

Looks like Deadpool is going to come out on top.

 

[Joeyjojo72]

Interesting article from 538(nate silvers site):

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features...nd-superman-also-needed-a-vampire-or-a-heist/

and for jebus sake, read the article before commenting. im mobile so cant sum up.

 

[Doctor Jones]

I'm going to say $20 million. I thought Jungle Book was coming out this week but who knows, I'm hoping The Boss exceeds expectations.

Next week BVS will be dying domestically, crawling towards its short end.