BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - - - - - - Part 15

Status
Not open for further replies.
It should? do around 13 mill dom this weekend.
The ones from sites I check regularly:
BoxOfficeMojo: $11.45 M
BoxOffice.com: $9.8 M
The-Numbers.com: $11

Well it will be in the top 10, possibly even top 5 for a few weeks yet. So it will be interesting to see, 320 domestic is a certainty though IMO. So 330 certainly isn't out of the realms of possibility.

If it stays as long as F7 on theathers, and keeps similar multipliers, it can reach 330 in a month, get close to 340 at the end. Sadly, it's dropping way faster than F7 each day, so much that I don't even think it's a fair reference anymore.
 
AoU was a mild disappointment at the most, but I never expected it to outgross the original Avengers. Back in May 2012 when the box office numbers started coming in I used to say how doubtful I was that any Marvel movie, or any superhero movie for that matter, in the near future would be able to match those numbers, including a sequel.
BvS was never even going to come close to TA or AoU's numbers, but I definitely expected a billion.

When a film becomes a true phenomenon of that level, it almost always becomes impossible the replicate for the sequel. In large part because the demand is driven in part for some specific reason that can't be replicated (ex. first time iconic character is on screen, first massive team up between popular characters, first film in popular franchise in years/decades, some sort of new original gimmick, is released on some major anniversary for the franchise such as the 50th, etc.).

I don't expect the next Jurassic Park, Star Wars, or Fast and Furious sequels to be able to match their predecessors either because of how inflated those grosses were.

And this is a problem going forward for Justice League. BvS did have an advantage in that it was the first time Batman and Superman (and Wonder Woman) were on-screen together. That gets the novelty crowd. There is nothing Justice League can do to match that level of excitement, unless Ben Affleck dies and it ends up being his final film or something of that magnitude. That BvS had this advantage and still did so relatively poorly speaks volumes about how poorly received the film was.
 
When a film becomes a true phenomenon of that level, it almost always becomes impossible the replicate for the sequel. In large part because the demand is driven in part for some specific reason that can't be replicated (ex. first time iconic character is on screen, first massive team up between popular characters, first film in popular franchise in years/decades, some sort of new original gimmick, is released on some major anniversary for the franchise such as the 50th, etc.).

I don't expect the next Jurassic Park, Star Wars, or Fast and Furious sequels to be able to match their predecessors either because of how inflated those grosses were.

And this is a problem going forward for Justice League. BvS did have an advantage in that it was the first time Batman and Superman (and Wonder Woman) were on-screen together. That gets the novelty crowd. There is nothing Justice League can do to match that level of excitement, unless Ben Affleck dies and it ends up being his final film or something of that magnitude. That BvS had this advantage and still did so relatively poorly speaks volumes about how poorly received the film was.

Agreed. BvS had a great opportunity to really hook people into the DCEU, the huge opening weekend shows how much of an appetite there was for a Batman v Superman film, but pretty much pissed away all the goodwill from everyone other than the most hardcore of fans.
 
Yeah. There is a very big chance Episode 8 will make less than Episode 7 at the box offcie domestically, even if it's a vastly superior film.
 
When a film becomes a true phenomenon of that level, it almost always becomes impossible the replicate for the sequel. In large part because the demand is driven in part for some specific reason that can't be replicated (ex. first time iconic character is on screen, first massive team up between popular characters, first film in popular franchise in years/decades, some sort of new original gimmick, is released on some major anniversary for the franchise such as the 50th, etc.).

I don't expect the next Jurassic Park, Star Wars, or Fast and Furious sequels to be able to match their predecessors either because of how inflated those grosses were.

And this is a problem going forward for Justice League. BvS did have an advantage in that it was the first time Batman and Superman (and Wonder Woman) were on-screen together. That gets the novelty crowd. There is nothing Justice League can do to match that level of excitement, unless Ben Affleck dies and it ends up being his final film or something of that magnitude. That BvS had this advantage and still did so relatively poorly speaks volumes about how poorly received the film was.


This is a great point that goes overlooked when discussing the boxoffice.

This kind of logic would lead us to believe that the first time seeing the DC trinity on the big screen for the first time would count. It did initially but then the product itself was not well produced and well received.

That also asks the question will Spider Man and Black Panther have a similar effect and drive a similar reaction? Only time will tell

I think the number from boxofficepro 9.8M is on the money.
 
A Batman and Superman movie should not have to barely break even to succeed. A success for this kind of film is it should have broken nearly every record.
 
The Grim Reaper of BvS arrives today; Jungle Book
 
Last edited:
And this is a problem going forward for Justice League. BvS did have an advantage in that it was the first time Batman and Superman (and Wonder Woman) were on-screen together. That gets the novelty crowd. There is nothing Justice League can do to match that level of excitement, unless Ben Affleck dies and it ends up being his final film or something of that magnitude. That BvS had this advantage and still did so relatively poorly speaks volumes about how poorly received the film was.

i think you overestimate "characters" being the draw. People just want to see good movies, no one knows who deadpool is outside of fans but it drew people in because of word of mouth. JL will bring in a lot of initial viewers based on fans of the material, if its good it will bring in more.
 
i think you overestimate "characters" being the draw. People just want to see good movies, no one knows who deadpool is outside of fans but it drew people in because of word of mouth. JL will bring in a lot of initial viewers based on fans of the material, if its good it will bring in more.
One thing does not negate the other. Yes, quality is what matters, but the popularity of the IP is a huge help, that WB just flushed down the drain.
 
A Batman and Superman movie should not have to barely break even to succeed. A success for this kind of film is it should have broken nearly every record.

That is the kind of thinking that leads to these kind of issues.
 
When a film becomes a true phenomenon of that level, it almost always becomes impossible the replicate for the sequel. In large part because the demand is driven in part for some specific reason that can't be replicated (ex. first time iconic character is on screen, first massive team up between popular characters, first film in popular franchise in years/decades, some sort of new original gimmick, is released on some major anniversary for the franchise such as the 50th, etc.).

I don't expect the next Jurassic Park, Star Wars, or Fast and Furious sequels to be able to match their predecessors either because of how inflated those grosses were.

And this is a problem going forward for Justice League. BvS did have an advantage in that it was the first time Batman and Superman (and Wonder Woman) were on-screen together. That gets the novelty crowd. There is nothing Justice League can do to match that level of excitement, unless Ben Affleck dies and it ends up being his final film or something of that magnitude. That BvS had this advantage and still did so relatively poorly speaks volumes about how poorly received the film was.
Which makes it baffling that there are people equating this to Ironman 2. This wasn't a standard MOS sequel, WB made BvS to try and get close to that Avengers money, and now its only going to barely outgross Deadpool WW, let alone not even beat it domestically.
 
BoxOffice @BoxOffice

BATMAN V SUPERMAN took in $1.10M on Thursday and has grossed $302.30M to date domestically. #BatmanVSuperman
https://***********/BoxOffice/status/721042623088238596
 
So how much of a drop do we think we'll see for this weekend?
 
The estimates are around the $10M for the weekend, some have over, some under. So should be over 50% drop but just where we will have to see.
 
Yeah. There is a very big chance Episode 8 will make less than Episode 7 at the box offcie domestically, even if it's a vastly superior film.

SW: ANH and ESB is a good example of this. I don't think anyone could say ESB was a disappointment at the BO and, IMO, it was the "best" SW we've gotten to date; with the exception of The Phantom Menace. :o
 
If its box office trend from last week (against Boss) stays the same going up against JB this weekend, it will make just under 9.5M. On one hand, movies tend to hold better after a few weeks, but, on the other hand, this week it has some serious competition.
 
Guardians of the Galaxy is one of my favorite comic book movies ever, but the fact that BATMAN and SUPERMAN might not outperform GoTG on the domestic market is indicative of an absolute worst case scenario for this film going back two months ago. This is truly shocking.
 
Guardians of the Galaxy is one of my favorite comic book movies ever, but the fact that BATMAN and SUPERMAN might not outperform GoTG on the domestic market is indicative of an absolute worst case scenario for this film going back two months ago. This is truly shocking.

It's only "shocking" for people who aren't very realistic. If you play close attention to the cinematic history of these characters and some other factors, you will see that this movie always had a very high chance of making quite less than 1B. Even if it had been better received critically.
 
The cinematic history of the last two Batman movies making a billion dollars each? Uh, okay.
 
It's only "shocking" for people who aren't very realistic. If you play close attention to the cinematic history of these characters and some other factors, you will see that this movie always had a very high chance of making quite less than 1B. Even if it had been better received critically.

The Dark Knight: $1,004,558,444
The Dark Knight Rises: $1,084,939,099

Truly, a box office of $1B was just always out of their grasp.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Users who are viewing this thread

Staff online

Members online

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
202,355
Messages
22,090,500
Members
45,886
Latest member
Elchido
Back
Top
monitoring_string = "afb8e5d7348ab9e99f73cba908f10802"