BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 2

[moviefreak]

MOS:
Domestic -- $291m
Foreign -- $377m
(China opening weekend --$26m total $64m
UK ow --$17.5m total $46m
Aus ow --$8m total $22m
France ow --$8m total $21m
Mexico ow --$9.6m total $21m
Brazil ow --$4m total $16m)

Total -- $668m

Don't remember exactly but I believe that I had MOS pegged at about 700m, movie just fell short by about 100m of what it should be.

As for BvS, the inclusion of Batman and lately Wonder Woman (due to audience reactions to the trailer), the long delay and lack of competitions in March-April will likely push the film close to or over 1b.

I could see a domestic opening weekend record for March falling to BvS (currently held by The Hunger Games with $152m) as MOS's opening weekend was $117 so BvS should make more than this. Let say about $200m. This will probably push domestic to about 350m. Foreign gross will likewise increase due to expanded market especially in China, so let's say about about $100m for China, $60 for UK. Let's say a slight increase in all foreign territory, this should push the foreign gross to about $650, and this will carry BvS into $1b territory.

 

[miltonh]

We definitely have no clue how much they spent on the movie, so let's not pretend like we do.

Check Deadline's 2013 Most Valuable Blockbuster. They claim Man of Steel finished with 42.742.000 profit. Also mentioned: Our experts peg the budget at $258 million (plus $149.3 million domestic+international releasing cost), and add another $58 million in participations gravity that went to everyone from producer Chris Nolan to Kevin Costner, Russell Crowe, Amy Adams, producer Charles Roven, Zack Snyder and Cavill, DC Comics and Jon Peters.

 

[ernesth100]

No possible way they make under a bill. So regardless of whether they spent. 100 mill or 500 mill. They're still gonna make the money they spent back.

 

[Marz69]

Does WB get any of the profits from the merchandise

 

[miltonh]

Does WB get any of the profits from the merchandise

Well, WB and DC have the same owner so yeah but we don't know how it works on the paper...

 

[jokesonm3]

Still cant believe that in this day an age some folks here are are saying that Batman vs Superman wont reach a billion, all because of MoS....

 

[Flint Marko]

Still cant believe that in this day an age some folks here are are saying that Batman vs Superman wont reach a billion, all because of MoS....

Who is saying that? This is the only 2016 movie that I know of other than Star Wars that I feel is a shoe-in for a billion.

 

[jokesonm3]

Just a few, this film has so many factors supporting it that it has to be downright bad to not cross the billion dollar mark.

And Man of Steel is not and will not be a hindrance to the overall Box Office of Batman v Superman.

 

[Flint Marko]

And Man of Steel is not and will not be a hindrance to the overall Box Office of Batman v Superman.

I'm pretty open about my distaste for MoS, but this seems pretty obvious even to me.

 

[JOE]

Absolutely not, MOS will have nothing to do with this movie's success/failure critically or in the box office.

 

[mclay18]

Absolutely not, MOS will have nothing to do with this movie's success/failure critically or in the box office.

While this doesn't have much bearing in the long run, some people did not like MOS. Some are skeptical and snarky about BvS (especially Affleck), and think the basic plot is a gimmick to draw people in. Those people might reconsider if the reviews are better and their friends recommend it.

 

[Kanye West]

I think it might not hit a billion worldwide, but still don't believe it is the film that has too. I think JL needs to do the billion but coming off of MOS, anything approaching 900 million should be more than considered a huge success.

absolutely crazy

 

[jokesonm3]

absolutely crazy

Agreed.

 

[Spider-jedi]

Can someone explain to me when 1billion became the benchmark for this movie? i personally dont believe it has to make that much to be a hit but most people seem to think so. i dont understand.

 

[Val_Zod]

Can someone explain to me when 1billion became the benchmark for this movie? i personally dont believe it has to make that much to be a hit but most people seem to think so. i dont understand.

Since WB decided to put Batman in the film, and are marketing the hell out of it to be their Avengers. Its silly to suggest WB wants anything less than a billion.

 

[Spider-jedi]

Since WB decided to put Batman in the film, and are marketing the hell out of it to be their Avengers. Its silly to suggest WB wants anything less than a billion.

so if BVS makes less than a billion, WB wont move forward with the other movies in the franchise and close it all down. thats seem hard to believe.

 

[GreenKToo]

My only question is, how much over a billion will it go?
It would have to be Superman III, Catwoman, I.M 2, or blade 3 bad to not hit a billion.

This is one of the most anticipated films in recent memory. It's right up there in anticipation with the likes of the first AV film, lotr's, and SWTFA. It's Batman and superman together for the very first time, the king daddies of all CB characters. Throw in WW, AM, cyborg, and probably the flash, and there you go.

And No, I don't think it will sniff TFA's B.O., but 1.1, to 1.4 billion is very doable for this film.

 

[jokesonm3]

As long as it's over a billion then all camps will be happy, from WB suits too fans, anything more is adding gravy to the meal.

But in all honestly i'm expecting this film to make the same amount as F7, AOU & JW did in their run, somewhere in that range.

 

[metaphysician]

so if BVS makes less than a billion, WB wont move forward with the other movies in the franchise and close it all down. thats seem hard to believe.

Oh, they'll certainly move forward ( barring a true disaster, BO <500M ). What they won't be is *confident*, which means anything not absolutely locked down will be subject to revision again, in a desperate attempt to "fix" things.

Or, if BvS fails to break 1B, JL will still happen, and WW will still happen. However, there's a good chance Snyder might get bumped as director for JL, and some of the later undefined releases like Green Lantern and Cyborg will get bumped for a Batman movie.

 

[Serban]

if man of steel broke 1 B, B v S will do too

 

[Spider-jedi]

Oh, they'll certainly move forward ( barring a true disaster, BO <500M ). What they won't be is *confident*, which means anything not absolutely locked down will be subject to revision again, in a desperate attempt to "fix" things.

Or, if BvS fails to break 1B, JL will still happen, and WW will still happen. However, there's a good chance Snyder might get bumped as director for JL, and some of the later undefined releases like Green Lantern and Cyborg will get bumped for a Batman movie.

That statement makes me sad cuz it does seem like something WB would do if the movies dont meet their expectation.

My first hope is that the movie is good. i honestly dont mind if we get a great movie but it falls short of a billion than to get a mediocre movie and it make a billion

 

[JOE]

Does anyone know when tickets go on sale? They should follow TFA's footsteps and sell them early.

 

[jokesonm3]

Does anyone know when tickets go on sale? They should follow TFA's footsteps and sell them early.

Well in 5 days marks the 2 months left date so expect it late January to early February, more on the latter.

 

[rogbngp]

if man of steel broke 1 B, B v S will do too

For world-wide box office receipts it made $668M.

But, actually, when you add in revenue from product placement, home viewing market (DVD, blu ray, streaming), and toys and other aftermarket merchandise, then MoS easily pulled in over a billion. I was able to calculate that from figures that are posted for product placement and home market sales alone, which combined with movie theater box office put profits at just shy of a billion. Couldn't find sales figures for MoS toys and other merchandise (lunch boxes, book bags, tee-shirts, you name it). But I would imagine that they were pretty respectable.

Worldwide movie theater box office: $668,045,518 (source)

Product placement: $170,000,000 (source)

Domestic video sales (DVD and blu ray): $106,556,320 (source)

= $944,601,838

So with home streaming, toy, and other merchandise as well it has to be over $1 billlion.

 

[Zarex]

agine that they were pretty respectable.


Product placement: $170,000,000 (source)[/B]

Domestic video sales (DVD and blu ray): $106,556,320 (source)

I remember about that product placement $ amount when the movie was released - the film has already paid for itself! - but I don't think that info is correct.

From what I understand the $170M from these advertising partnerships doesn't actually end up in WBs corporate coffers, but rather subsidizes the existing advertising budget. WB gets $170M in advertising, the corporations have their product associated with a blockbuster release, and no cash exchanges hands.

This happened on a much larger scale with Episode VII - it was reported that the marketing budget for the film was small compared to most blockbuster films and Disney/Lucasfilm largely relied on advertisements from corporate sponsorships to get the word out.

And I am one of the completely insane individuals that thinks BvS could come in under $1 Billion (Gasp!). I think it will end up somewhere between $900m to $1.1 billion