BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 2

[GreenKToo]

That statement makes me sad cuz it does seem like something WB would do if the movies dont meet their expectation.

My first hope is that the movie is good. i honestly dont mind if we get a great movie but it falls short of a billion than to get a mediocre movie and it make a billion

Batman Begins 374 mill WW.
Superman Returns 391 mill WW.

One was loved by critics and fans and got a sequel despite its ho hum BO.
It's sequel got over a billion.

The other was loved by critics but divided the fans and the interest in a sequel wasn't really there.

 

[Legendver2]

Batman Begins 374 mill WW.
Superman Returns 391 mill WW.

One was loved by critics and fans and got a sequel despite its ho hum BO.
It's sequel got over a billion.

The other was loved by critics but divided the fans and the interest in a sequel wasn't really there.

So another words, Fans > Critics.

 

[Jekecy]

So another words, Fans > Critics.

Fans are a drop in the bucket. I'd say crowd reception is what pushes the edge if studios are stuck in the middle over what to do.

Look at all the love Mad Max is getting. Its somewhat disappointing box office numbers have been drowned out completely by the praise and award nominations.

 

[jokesonm3]

What i think is that it goes like this.

Hype = Opening Weekend

GA & WOM = box office legs

 

[GreenKToo]

What i think is that it goes like this.

Hype = Opening Weekend

GA & WOM = box office legs

Exactly.
You can call them fans or just casual movie goers, but either way THEY decide what gets a sequel and what doesn't.
A film can get a 99% on RT but if the public doesn't show up to see it, it doesn't mean a thing.

 

[Bruce Malone]

I know this is the BvS thread but the release of JL is going to be on Nov 17th 2017 exactly one month before Star Wars ep 8.

Do you think that's going to go affect its box office? It really is going to have to make most of its money in its first month although it seems like most blockbusters do I believe?

 

[brandeezy89]

I know this is the BvS thread but the release of JL is going to be on Nov 17th 2017 exactly one month before Star Wars ep 8.

Do you think that's going to go affect its box office? It really is going to have to make most of its money in its first month although it seems like most blockbusters do I believe?

I think WB is betting on the success of BvS, SS, & WW to push JL pt. 1 to a must see event for the GA. If that happens then I think they'll be fine

 

[jokesonm3]

Yep, just like BvS a month is a great amount of time for films to make most of their money.

AOU: 24 days to $1B

F7: 17 days to $1B

JW: 13 days to $1B

SW7: 12 days to $1B

 

[Bruce Malone]

Yep, just like BvS a month is a great amount of time for films to make most of their money.

AOU: 24 days to $1B

F7: 17 days to $1B

JW: 13 days to $1B

SW7: 12 days to $1B

I'm thinking JL will probably fall more into the time frame of AoU, so a billion in its first 30 days seems relatively possible.

We'll have to see how BvS does of course, so much is riding on this film for DC/WB right now.

 

[jokesonm3]

Agreed, the entirety of the DCEU's future relies on the success of Batman v Superman.

 

[Jekecy]

Agreed, the entirety of the DCEU's future relies on the success of Batman v Superman.

Not if Suicide Squad is shaping up to be the wild card success that it looks to be. If BvS disappoints, which I think is the worst case scenario as a bomb is impossible at this point, we'll have both Ayer and Affleck as trusted directors who can take over the creative process.

 

[jokesonm3]

That's true, SS is like DC's second chance on a rare 'just-in-case' situation.

 

[metaphysician]

if man of steel broke 1 B, B v S will do too

. . .but Man of Steel *didn't* break 1B.

 

[jokesonm3]

Yeah i didn't get that either so i ignored it.

 

[Bruce Malone]

. . .but Man of Steel *didn't* break 1B.

If Man of Steel grossed 1 billion we'd be in the "Man of Steel 2 Box Office Thread" right now instead...

 

[False Prophet]

We'll get a MoS 2. It just won't be for a while. MoS wasn't a bomb, and the audience ratings seem to be pretty good. I'm guessing with a new director since Snyder will have already completed JL2 and I'd imagine he'd want a break.

 

[jokesonm3]

MoS was far from a bomb, for a Superman film it did fantastic numbers at the Box Office albeit high competition.

As will BvS.

 

[Marvin]

I know this is the BvS thread but the release of JL is going to be on Nov 17th 2017 exactly one month before Star Wars ep 8.

Do you think that's going to go affect its box office? It really is going to have to make most of its money in its first month although it seems like most blockbusters do I believe?

TFA has been out for about a month...A big movie now destroying it's chances at doing big business doesn't seem likely.

 

[jokesonm3]

First opening weekend tracking reports for Deadpool released today from the THR exactly three weeks from release.

Expect Batman v Superman's Box Office opening weekend tracking to start on the same time difference too, so most likely March 4th.

 

[Joeyjojo72]

If Man of Steel grossed 1 billion we'd be in the "Man of Steel 2 Box Office Thread" right now instead...

Without a doubt.

And only in your mind did MoS do "fantastic numbers". Sheesh.

On topic , I think if BvS is perceived to have MoS level quality, it will settle around 1.2B. If its good to great, skies the limit. Anything but a total train wreck means big bucks for WB.

 

[brandeezy89]

First opening weekend tracking reports for Deadpool released today from the THR exactly three weeks from release.

Expect Batman v Superman's Box Office opening weekend tracking to start on the same time difference too, so most likely March 4th.

I thought that was based off of ticket pre sales so far and estimates

 

[jokesonm3]

Well according to the article it's based on hype and interest to see.

 

[metaphysician]

If Man of Steel grossed 1 billion we'd be in the "Man of Steel 2 Box Office Thread" right now instead...

Indeed. I suspect there'd still be *some* Batman in the movie, but it'd be more in the sense of "Iron Man stinger" or thereabouts. Which, I'll be fair, if they dropped that as a complete surprise? I'd probably mark out *almost* as much as I did for the Iron Man stinger. *cough*

 

[Legendver2]

MoS was far from a bomb, for a Superman film it did fantastic numbers at the Box Office albeit high competition.

As will BvS.

Somehow I don't understand why some would consider MoS a disappointment. They speak about it like it bombed, despite it out grossing all of Marvel's non-Avengers Phase 1 films. Like all of a sudden, because Avengers broke a billion, somehow Superman, being the first film of the DCEU, and coming off a damaged rep from SR, is expected to make a billion for it to be considered a success. Either fanboys are just using that to bring down Superman, or Superman's iconic status somehow warrants that extremely high (but unrealistic) expectation. $670m is nothing to laugh at. For comparison, IM, the first film in MCU, made $585m.

 

[jokesonm3]

Somehow I don't understand why some would consider MoS a disappointment. They speak about it like it bombed, despite it out grossing all of Marvel's non-Avengers Phase 1 films. Like all of a sudden, because Avengers broke a billion, somehow Superman, being the first film of the DCEU, and coming off a damaged rep from SR, is expected to make a billion for it to be considered a success. Either fanboys are just using that to bring down Superman, or Superman's iconic status somehow warrants that extremely high (but unrealistic) expectation. $670m is nothing to laugh at. For comparison, IM, the first film in MCU, made $585m.

Bitterness of not reaching the $700M mark or god forbid the billion dollar mark is the best reason i could think of honestly.