BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 2

[brandeezy89]

People say actors don't draw numbers anymore but that obviously isn't the case nowadays
Chris Pratt and RDJ are box office draws
They make even the most mediocre film a must see
Henry Cavill just isn't big enough to push this movie to a huge record breaking weekend. I mean hell it took Batman quite a few tries and positive word of mouth before it topped a billion with TDK and TDKR. You could even say Christian Bale wasn't the draw of those movies but the villains were.

Its gonna be hard for Affleck to carry a huge tentpole movie like this it can't just be all Batman and Superman carrying the film since we saw how Man of Steel performed in spite of a lot of hype on it breaking a billion.

I'm somewhere between 800-900mil right now
There just isn't quite an Avengers level hype for this film.

Lol, i'm pretty sure the majority of people who saw GOTG and JW weren't there to see Chris Pratt. Also, this movie is beyond Avenger level hype. Automatic billion+ just based off the trinity alone

 

[Knight-Tale]

Lol, i'm pretty sure the majority of people who saw GOTG and JW weren't there to see Chris Pratt. Also, this movie is beyond Avenger level hype. Automatic billion+ just based off the trinity alone

I'll give you GOTG since that had marvel branding going for it but JWs success is being laid at the feet of Chris Pratt by Hollywood. The Jurassic Park franchise was dead and gone and had no lasting hype attached to it. Chris Pratt was the only bright spot in that film and it worked big for the studio

 

[jokesonm3]

I'm pretty sure people wanted to watch JW mainly to see dinosaurs causing rampage and being awesome not star-lord taming and riding with velociraptors and his one-line jokes

 

[mclay18]

I'm pretty sure people wanted to watch JW mainly to see dinosaurs causing rampage and being awesome not star-lord taming and riding with velociraptors and his one-line jokes

This. Pratt's star has been rising, but as much as his agent likes to think otherwise, he wasn't the main draw for JW. The dinosaurs were. And it wasn't just the nostalgia factor, the movie held well due to great word-of-mouth from audiences. It was a well-done blockbuster.

The novelty factor will work in BVS's favor, but it has to tick all the boxes (as jmc said) in order to be a phenomenon.

 

[fake]

This. Pratt's star has been rising, but as much as his agent likes to think otherwise, he wasn't the main draw for JW. The dinosaurs were. And it wasn't just the nostalgia factor, the movie held well due to great word-of-mouth from audiences. It was a well-done blockbuster.

The novelty factor will work in BVS's favor, but it has to tick all the boxes (as jmc said) in order to be a phenomenon.

In the lead up to the release of Jurassic World, everyone forgot that Jurassic Park and The Lost World both broke the OW record, and JP3 would have had a 110M adjusted OW as well if it opened on a Friday. It wasn't so much as the movie exploding, it just went back to the old opening levels for Jurassic Park.

It also really helped that there was literally no major adventure movie featuring dinosaurs as a main attraction since Jurassic Park 3.

 

[sf2]

You couldn't be more wrong.

just saying suicide squad trailer has a higher viewing number that BvS in youtube.
we never known.

 

[fake]

just saying suicide squad trailer has a higher viewing number that BvS in youtube.
we never known.

Suicide Squad's first trailer has more views than BvS's second trailer... and BvS's first trailer has more views than Suicide Squad's first trailer on youtube (combined official and movieclips). In fact, BvS's first teaser has more views than AOU's first teaser, Jurassic World's first teaser and slightly less than Star Wars's first teaser.

Teaser and trailer views always reduce from the first teaser to subsequent teasers.

In terms of first teaser views BvS is in the same league as the big record breakers, and in terms of second trailer views, it has overtaken AOU, JW and is slightly behind Star Wars second trailer. Comparing apples to apples, BvS is doing way better than most of the big movies over the past 3 years. Suicide Squad first teaser views are amazing, but still behind BvS, AOU, JW and Star Wars.

Movieclips + Main channel trailer views for the big movies:
Star Wars teaser 1: 88M
BvS teaser 1 (3 months post release): 75M
JW teaser 1 (4 months after release): 65M
AOU teaser 1 (4 months after release): 64M
Suicide Squad teaser 1: 62M currently

Star Wars trailer 2: 64M
BvS trailer 2: 53M
AoU trailer 2: 50M
JW trailer 2: 51M

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

You couldn't be more wrong.

Warner Bros has no 4 year build up which was substantial.

They should've just bit off Marvel.

No one would care if the movies turned out really good.

We'll see if they're true trail blazers like Marvel Studios.

 

[jokesonm3]

You know what's interesting?

When Batman v Superman releases on good Friday during Easter weekend and families are off work/school and want to spend time together and head to the theatres, you know why they'll watch BvS even if they don't like it? because there is literally nothing else good on opening near it for a couple of weeks, major competition like Warcraft, kung fu panda and others moved away.

So BvS is literally the only good thing to watch on Easter 2016, so you know cinemas around the world are gonna play this film on every screen they got!

 

[DlAMONDZ]

Suicide Squad's first trailer has more views than BvS's second trailer... and BvS's first trailer has more views than Suicide Squad's first trailer on youtube (combined official and movieclips). In fact, BvS's first teaser has more views than AOU's first teaser, Jurassic World's first teaser and slightly less than Star Wars's first teaser.

Teaser and trailer views always reduce from the first teaser to subsequent teasers.

In terms of first teaser views BvS is in the same league as the big record breakers, and in terms of second trailer views, it has overtaken AOU, JW and is slightly behind Star Wars second trailer. Comparing apples to apples, BvS is doing way better than most of the big movies over the past 3 years. Suicide Squad first teaser views are amazing, but still behind BvS, AOU, JW and Star Wars.

Movieclips + Main channel trailer views for the big movies:
Star Wars teaser 1: 88M
BvS teaser 1 (3 months post release): 75M
JW teaser 1 (4 months after release): 65M
AOU teaser 1 (4 months after release): 64M
Suicide Squad teaser 1: 62M currently

Star Wars trailer 2: 64M
BvS trailer 2: 53M
AoU trailer 2: 50M
JW trailer 2: 51M

Yea, the trailer views for this movie are off the charts. 2nd trailers usually don't rack up over 50M views after a month. If not for Star Wars it would be #1 right now and it wouldn't even be close


Like I said before, if WB plays it's cards right marketing wise, this could very well challenge that OW record

 

[Val_Zod]

Warner Bros has no 4 year build up which was substantial.

They should've just bit off Marvel.

No one would care if the movies turned out really good.

We'll see if they're true trail blazers like Marvel Studios.

Nor did Jurassic World, yet it dethroned Avengers in almost every conceivable way.

Besides, BvS, while didn't have 5 films worth of build up, has a century of build up of seeing these characters on the big screen.

 

[G.Godfrey]

just saying suicide squad trailer has a higher viewing number that BvS in youtube.
we never known.

It will soon have a higher number of views that JW's first trailer. So I guess that means SS = OW, record, third highest grossing film of all time. Try (troll) harder.

 

[G.Godfrey]

There just isn't quite an Avengers level hype for this film.

I agree, at this point from release it has a much bigger level of hype than Avengers had. Whether or not it holds on to it or not remains to be seen. But WB's marketing machine can do genius work with properties like this...and show the whole damn movie in trailers/TV spots in the process (like a lot of other studios).

 

[JOE]

To do Avengers and Jurassic World numbers this movie needs to have "rewatchability". Legs of steel. A ton of people I know saw the Avengers several times. They went with their friends, they took their kids, they went with their friends again. I can definitely see that happening with BvS, especially with two HUGE fight scenes. (Batman v Superman plus Trinity v Big Bad) Great for generating positive WOM as long as the scenes live up to the hype.

However... If this movie gets panned by the critics the way MOS did, I could see this movie having very weak legs. That's what worries me. Snyder's MOS looked like the movie of the year from the trailers, but when I watched it the tone seemed completely different. Hoping that's not the case.

 

[GreenKToo]

I'm sorry, but batman and superman together, plus ww, trumps the anticipation of any previous cb film.
That said, it will have to be good first to get the billion plus b.o. numbers, ie, numbers like 1.2 or 1.5 billion that i've heard thrown around.

 

[Last Of Krypton]

Still can't believe how much money Jurassic Park made at the Box office. The film was OK. The acting was supbar and the plot was nothing special.

 

[rockandrollsoul]

Warner Bros has no 4 year build up which was substantial.

They should've just bit off Marvel.

No one would care if the movies turned out really good.

We'll see if they're true trail blazers like Marvel Studios.

Since its announcement in 2013, BvS has received hordes of media attention. Any morsel of info or rumor has been featured on Yahoo's main page and generated countless clickbait articles. Why? Because the hype for this movie is through the roof and unlike anything I have ever seen.

Would that level of hype have been possible if not for The Avengers? Probably not. Will that hype translate to a record breaking BO? It's definitely possible. A huge OW is all but guaranteed, but good WOM is essential to it matching (or exceeding) Avengers numbers. Either way, I think the movie would have to be straight up bad to fall short of a billion.

Also, in regards to Marvel's "build-up", they needed it to establish their characters in the public consciousness. Batman and Superman need no establishing.

 

[jokesonm3]

I'm hoping that this film has legs and that it's second weekend doesnt more then 50% from its OW.

 

[jokesonm3]

Still can't believe how much money Jurassic Park made at the Box office. The film was OK. The acting was supbar and the plot was nothing special.

That is true it was an ok movie at best, but i think its to do with the fact that there was a serious need for kids of this new generation and families to experience watching dinosaurs causing rampage on the big screen.

 

[Marz69]

I think having the raptors as potential allies was huge. The trailer shot of Pratt on the motorcycle with them had me pumped

 

[DlAMONDZ]

Still can't believe how much money Jurassic Park made at the Box office. The film was OK. The acting was supbar and the plot was nothing special.

It's not a great film by any means but it's entertaining af

 

[Aejej]

I'm sorry, but batman and superman together, plus ww, trumps the anticipation of any previous cb film.

This, many times this.

 

[Spaz]

When I see comments about BvS not having a certain level of hype I have to wonder what world these people are living in? This BATMAN and SUPERMAN and the cinematic debut of WONDER WOMAN on screen together for the first time. This is not just another CBM. This is a POPULAR CULTURE EVENT. By the time this movie releases you will literally have to be dead to escape the hype.

 

[Zoom]

When I see comments about BvS not having a certain level of hype I have to wonder what world these people are living in? This BATMAN and SUPERMAN and the cinematic debut of WONDER WOMAN on screen together for the first time. This is not just another CBM. This is a POPULAR CULTURE EVENT. By the time this movie releases you will literally have to be dead to escape the hype.

Yeah, I can't understand that kind of comments too.

 

[Snakewise]

Hype enough that when I saw Ant-Man,

Spoiler

which has the Spider-Man reference near the end

, the first thing people started talking about in the theater after the movie ended was the BvS trailer before the other part.