BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 2

[Iceman]

Definitely, until JL 1 & 2. Hopefully they can go even bigger.

 

[JOE]

This movie doing AOU numbers would be fantastic.

 

[jokesonm3]

The domestic box office is all but secured to be big, it all depends on the foreign box office.

 

[Val_Zod]

Definitely, until JL 1 & 2. Hopefully they can go even bigger.

I'd say this is their biggest film. This will be DC first Batman and Superman cross over film ever, first appearance of WW, and they are striking while the Superhero iron is still red hot. There is no guarantee on how much bigger the genre will be by 2017. This is a rapidly changing market and with many comic book movie releases between this and JL1, on top of JL similar premise to Avengers, I think WB sees more potential in this being their biggest film ever.

 

[Iceman]

I'd say this is their biggest film. This will be DC first Batman and Superman cross over film ever, first appearance of WW, and they are striking while the Superhero iron is still red hot. There is no guarantee on how much bigger the genre will be by 2017. This is a rapidly changing market and with many comic book movie releases between this and JL1, on top of JL similar premise to Avengers, I think WB sees more potential in this being their biggest film ever.

Some fair points there, but if BvS turns out to be an unbelievable film maybe that will boost the coffers for JL1. I think there will be some more casual viewers who are on the fence at the time of BvS who would all turn up to JL if BvS blew them away.

 

[Jekecy]

I have to believe JL would be the bigger film, given BvS doesn't disappoint.

The League has been a consistent presence in pop culture that never got the big-screen treatment. Half the team presents a fresh mix of new superheroes with unique abilities and backgrounds that would look spectacular if the budget backs it up.

I don't want to oversell it, but it should be more appealing than even the likes of Avengers.

 

[jaymes_e06]

I think it will be big numbers as long as the film itself is pretty lauded.

 

[Val_Zod]

If Batman v Superman is great, that will aid it, and it will aid the drop off from JL to not be a steep one, but I highly doubt JL stands a better chance at being a bigger film box office wise. Justice League to us is a bigger concept, but for the average joe its all about Batman, Superman and to an extent, Wonder Woman. Its a momentous occasion that has been on demand for decades. I don't know how big the film will ultimately be, but most films have a particular ceilling, and reaching certain high milestones is hard to repeat let alone top. BvS could just be a 1b flat earner, and JL stands a strong chance of outdoing that. But with this being the first team up of these characters on film I have to think it will be pushed further due to the novelty factor that will be lessened by Justice League. I guess we should wait and see how BvS performs and less how it's received to get a good gauge, because I don't see it being as clear cut with JL being a bigger film than BvS.

 

[fake]

From the South Korea box office thread on BOF

http://movie.naver.com/movie/running/premovie.nhn - A good reference for films coming out in Korea.

judging purely on the number of thumbs ups, these are the most anticipated (Hollywood) films of the coming year or so: (most films have up to about 2-300 or so thumbs up for reference)

1. Civil war 10690
2. Batman Vs Superman 8074
3. Warcraft - 6095
4. Kung Fu Panda 4968
5. Suicide Squad 4404

6. Deadpool 4373
7. Hotel Transylavania 2 3940
8. Xmen Apocalypse - 3273
9. Peanuts 2750
10. Resident Evil: The final Chapter 2263

11. Revenant 1909
12. Danish Girl 1358

This is surprising since MoS was not that strong in South Korea and Avengers/AOU both held the OW record and Civil War is pretty much the sequel to them, and also South Korea will potentially be Warcraft's biggest market. This is a good sign for Asia currently.

 

[metaphysician]

If BvS doesn't do grand numbers we may have passed the genre's peak in box office dominance. Even Avengers 2 did a whopping 100 million LESS (domestically) and was surpassed by other blockbusters in a surprisingly easy fashion. That would've been considered absurd a year ago.

Why the assumption that, if BvS doesn't do amazing, its somehow indicative of problems with the genre, as opposed to. . . problems with BvS?

 

[metaphysician]

This is a conservative but reasonable projection.

I can't agree with that. Not with the only prior movie in the franchise doing well under half that, and with *deeply* divisive reaction and reviews. I'd peg that a generous upper limit, if anything.

 

[Jekecy]

Why the assumption that, if BvS doesn't do amazing, its somehow indicative of problems with the genre, as opposed to. . . problems with BvS?

I said nothing of problems. Just that we might have past the genre's prime in box office performance.

There's not much moving forward which would be considered as hyped up as what Avengers and BvS have garnered.

 

[Iceman]

I have to believe JL would be the bigger film, given BvS doesn't disappoint.

The League has been a consistent presence in pop culture that never got the big-screen treatment. Half the team presents a fresh mix of new superheroes with unique abilities and backgrounds that would look spectacular if the budget backs it up.

I don't want to oversell it, but it should be more appealing than even the likes of Avengers.

I expect BvS to succeed and create that much more hype for the first ever JL film. I'm expecting a great final scene that sets it up and builds some crazy excitement for what comes next when they all team up.

 

[jokesonm3]

From the South Korea box office thread on BOF



This is surprising since MoS was not that strong in South Korea and Avengers/AOU both held the OW record and Civil War is pretty much the sequel to them, and also South Korea will potentially be Warcraft's biggest market. This is a good sign for Asia currently.

It's great to see that BvS is really anticipated in South Korea, MoS's biggest box office issue was its foreign total since it did relatively well domestically especially under heavy competition.

 

[Superchan]

MOS opened quite well in SK (almost 9 million) but it dropped like a rock in it's subsequent weeks and that was pretty much the pattern for a big portion of it's foreign market releases. When comparing the film's opening weekend no. with it's multiplier one could conclude that it was highly anticipated but it didn't deliver.

 

[Black Narcissus]

TDkR= Worldwide-$1,084,939,099

Runtime: 2 hrs. 45 min. No 3D.

You gotta give Nolan props.

 

[Marvin]

This movie doing AOU numbers would be fantastic.

given this is 'batman and superman' and aou was about a bunch of 'b list' characters, I remain curious to see how well this film needs to do for detractors to concede successful numbers. MOS's near 300 mill was lesson enough.

 

[Val_Zod]

given this is 'batman and superman' and aou was about a bunch of 'b list' characters, I remain curious to see how well this film needs to do for detractors to concede successful numbers. MOS's near 300 mill was lesson enough.

1.4 billion is a great number. The only sour spot about Aou numbers was it's much lower domestic haul from the first, but other than that, great. If BvS sees a split of say 600m domestic, and 800m international, I think it would be hard to argue against those numbers, but detractors will find a way.

 

[SoNicRaDiATioN]

given this is 'batman and superman' and aou was about a bunch of 'b list' characters, I remain curious to see how well this film needs to do for detractors to concede successful numbers. MOS's near 300 mill was lesson enough.

Well if people or "detractors" follow this thread of logic(?) and deem AoU a bunch of 'b' listers, then I would assume more then 1.4 billion? But both both statements are utter bullshi3, so...I think the film will do 1.8 billion, but like you, I may as well be talking out of my butt. I don't know.

I think WB would consider a billion dollars a success.

 

[Black Narcissus]

North of 1.2 billion.

 

[L33CHem]

If below average critical and just decent word of mouth it may fall below a billion. If decent critical and really good word of mouth it will go over billion.

 

[rockandrollsoul]

If below average critical and just decent word of mouth it may fall below a billion. If decent critical and really good word of mouth it will go over billion.

I think it would have to be Terminator Genysis terrible to make less than a billion. I mean Jurassic World broke all kinds of records and it was god awful.

 

[Silliminite]

Jurassic World wouldn't have broken all kinds of records if it was god aweful.

 

[Black Narcissus]

Jurassic World wouldn't have broken all kinds of records if it was god aweful.

Brand name and nostalgia is a hell of a thang. My granny knows about BvS and she old af.

 

[Silliminite]

Catwoman, B&R, Transformers 4 etc are god aweful. Putting JW in that same bracket is kind of bizarre.

Would it have still grossed highly with crappy reviews? Probably, since the nostalgia effect was definitely in play. But, if it was a god aweful film, to climb as highly as it did? Doubtful.