BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 2

[Zur-en-Arrh]

319 mil? Lol...it will have that in it's second weekend...after seeing what TFA is doing with it's run I think it's ok to think big for BvS...BvS is the next big EVENT movie on deck...200 million opening weekend and 550-600 mil domestic tally plus over seas where it's trending very well I think a total 1.5 billion is possible.

like i said, box office ain't my field of expertise (trying to think of what in this wild world is and im drawing blanks), but b narc's post got me to google some comic films and 319 mil just felt right... guardians did like 330 mil, avengers was like 450(?) so i think 319 would be pretty solid. i'm basing that in part off the fact there seems to be built in hate towards it/snyder, so i don't expect it to do too well on rt. hope i'm way off, i hope it makes 600 mil or whatever.

 

[RadioSha]

I think the movie makes 210 mil opening weekend

 

[jokesonm3]

like i said, box office ain't my field of expertise (trying to think of what in this wild world is and im drawing blanks), but b narc's post got me to google some comic films and 319 mil just felt right... guardians did like 330 mil, avengers was like 450(?) so i think 319 would be pretty solid. i'm basing that in part off the fact there seems to be built in hate towards it/snyder, so i don't expect it to do too well on rt. hope i'm way off, i hope it makes 600 mil or whatever.

There's always been hate for Snyder by fanboys and MoS had a mixed rt score yet still made $291M with two major films opening against it, and a lot of the GA love Snyder films like 300, DOTD and MoS.

So BvS with no competition for literally weeks and has a holiday release date when families spend time together and has far more hype than MoS and has a good chance to have a higher RT score then MoS.

With all these factors supporting BvS you say that it'll only make just $28M more??

 

[Black Narcissus]

My current predictions are:

OW: $200M
DOM: $600M
INT: $900M

WW: $1.5 Billion.

The hype this film has is unbelievable, but more importantly, the sheer curiosity BvS has is unheard of.

Whether you like, hate or haven't even heard of this film, spending time with your family on Easter and going out as a family to the theatres and seeing a film called Batman vs Superman playing right now.

This movie's way to big to be small.

Plus with the current expansion of the Chinese film market especially being the main reason we had 5 billion dollar films in 2015, BvS will do big there.

I'll smoke yo stuff.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

That list looks like horse **** to me.

Based on? Apparently it is a list crafted from a Fandango survey. I think Bourne being ahead of Civil War is weird, but I could see it competing domestically based on anticipation. Hasn't been a real Bourne flick for a while and it went out on a high.

The top three, in that order, doesn't seem strange at all outside of Rogue One already being that hyped. Finding Dory is going to destroy the world.

 

[jokesonm3]

I'll smoke yo stuff.

Its got so many factors supporting that it will tho lol.

 

[Zur-en-Arrh]

With all these factors supporting BvS you say that it'll only make just $28M more??

i gotta stay a mil below b narc's guess to win by price is right rules, so, yeah.

in all seriousness, i see winter soldier made 258 mil and i remember that being a big deal, and, correct me if i'm wrong, also came out in the spring. if bvs was coming out in the summer with no competition, sure, maybe it'd really haul it in, but march? i'm sticking with my 319.

 

[Black Narcissus]

i gotta stay a mil below b narc's guess to win by price is right rules, so, yeah.

in all seriousness, i see winter soldier made 258 mil and i remember that being a big deal, and, correct me if i'm wrong, also came out in the spring. if bvs was coming out in the summer with no competition, sure, maybe it'd really haul it in, but march? i'm sticking with my 319.

Jokes is just obsessed.

BvS will make bank to be successful, but it ain't breaking records or making 600m domestic. I'm also not staying at 320 tho. I said between 320-400+.

 

[jokesonm3]

i gotta stay a mil below b narc's guess to win by price is right rules, so, yeah.

in all seriousness, i see winter soldier made 258 mil and i remember that being a big deal, and, correct me if i'm wrong, also came out in the spring. if bvs was coming out in the summer with no competition, sure, maybe it'd really haul it in, but march? i'm sticking with my 319.

Well it's coming out on easter 2016, you know what came out on easter 2015?

Furious 7, and that made $1.5 billion at the box office.

Back in 2010 the Alice movie with Johnny Depp opened on March and made more than a billion.

The first ever Hunger Games had an OW of $152M on March.

So believe me March is really big.

 

[jokesonm3]

Jokes is just obsessed.

BvS will make bank to be successful, but it ain't breaking records or making 600m domestic. I'm also not staying at 320 tho. I said between 320-400+.

It's gonna break records like the March opening weekend record, the easter record, the spring record, the current DC record etc. believe me it'll break a ton of stuff.

And aren't you glad that im not just goofing around as usual and being serious about something.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Jokes is just obsessed.

BvS will make bank to be successful, but it ain't breaking records or making 600m domestic. I'm also not staying at 320 tho. I said between 320-400+.

Depends on reviews. I think it will start high enough that 400m shouldn't be too difficult. If it is reviews well and is considered a very good film, 500m is easily on the table imo.

 

[jokesonm3]

Depends on reviews. I think it will start high enough that 400m shouldn't be too difficult. If it is reviews well and is considered a very good film, 500m is easily on the table imo.

If a film like Jurassic World can make some killer domestic box office with just 71% on RT then i say all BvS needs critical wise is about 70%+

http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/jurassic_world/?search=jur

 

[Black Narcissus]

Well it's coming out on easter 2016, you know what came out on easter 2015?

Furious 7, and that made $1.5 billion at the box office.

Back in 2010 the Alice movie with Johnny Depp opened on March and made more than a billion.

The first ever Hunger Games had an OW of $152M on March.

So believe me March is really big.

Were you really surprised Fast 7 made that much? Two good previous flicks with bo and critical receipts to its name. And I did not include Paul Walker.

Fast 7 made that much, but it doesn't mean BvS is going to do the same.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

If a film like Jurassic World can make some killer domestic box office with just 71% on RT then i say all BvS needs critical wise is about 70%+

http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/jurassic_world/?search=jur

Jurassic Park is cinema royalty that played beautifully in terms of nostalgia. I love MoS but it wasn't all that well received. We are now about to find out how much people really care about JL and Batman in general.

I honestly have no idea how this film is going to do. I think it will start brilliantly and that should give it the ability to come in relatively high no matter what. Like how MoS started in a way that allowed it to finish high without a big multiplier. 600m would not shock me if it is really good.

 

[Black Narcissus]

Depends on reviews. I think it will start high enough that 400m shouldn't be too difficult. If it is reviews well and is considered a very good film, 500m is easily on the table imo.

That doesn't scream Snyder to me. And I love Snyder. I would consider 70rt to be the equivalent to a 90 for a Snyder film. This flick will make money regardless, but some are asking too much. lol

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Were you really surprised Fast 7 made that much? Two good previous flicks with bo and critical receipts to its name. And I did not include Paul Walker.

Fast 7 made that much, but it doesn't mean BvS is going to do the same.

I'd also point out, Fast 7 did not make it to 400m domestically even though it opened with 147m.

 

[jokesonm3]

Were you really surprised Fast 7 made that much? Two good previous flicks with bo and critical receipts to its name. And I did not include Paul Walker.

Fast 7 made that much, but it doesn't mean BvS is going to do the same.

Yes i was, we all knew that F7 was gonna do good since both the franchise is getting better and to honor Paul Walker, but believe me no box office analyst would've predicted that Furious 7 would make $1.5 billion at the Box Office, that is insane, especially compared to their previous numbers, i mean if you told anyone back in 2014 or earlier that Furious 7 will make more than the Avengers then that would've been considered crazy.

Plus by comparing both social media traction and trailer views, BvS is more hyped than both F7 and JW.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

That doesn't scream Snyder to me. And I love Snyder. I would consider 70rt to be the equivalent to a 90 for a Snyder film. This flick will make money regardless, but some are asking too much. lol

Snyder is hit and miss for me. I think he handles more simple subject matter well. I also think he is a terrible writer, but can respond well to good material. So if the script from Terrio is strong, we might get a positive reaction from critics and the general public alike.

The thing about this film is that WB is asking for the world as well. They have spent a lot of money and have the DCCU riding on this film. This movie needs to do at least a billion and some change for it to be a success.

 

[Black Narcissus]

I'd also point out, Fast 7 did not make it to 400m domestically even though it opened with 147m.

Correctomundo! My main thing here is domestic. 600m domestic just seems like a dream, but a nice one at that. t:

 

[rockandrollsoul]

I think 400 million is pretty realistic.

 

[jokesonm3]

Well it all depends on the Opening weekend.

If it's above $170M then $600M domestic.

If it's below $170M then $400M domestic.

 

[jokesonm3]

Plus let's not forget that thanks to Star Wars 7, interest in going to the movie theatres is higher than ever, especially to see the next big film after Star Wars 7 which is BvS.

 

[I Am The Knight]

Well it all depends on the Opening weekend.

If it's above $170M then $600M domestic.

If it's below $170M then $400M domestic.

wut

 

[jokesonm3]

wut

Well that's reasonable!

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Well it all depends on the Opening weekend.

If it's above $170M then $600M domestic.

If it's below $170M then $400M domestic.

169m = 400m
171m = 600m



Also, you are expecting a fantastic multiplier if it makes 170m.