Captain America 3: Box Office Prediction Thread

Discussion in 'Captain America: Civil War' started by JOE, Oct 21, 2014.

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Predict Captain America 3's Worldwide Box Office!

  1. $1.5 Billion +

  2. $1.4 - 1.3 Billion

  3. $1.2 - 1.3 Billion

  4. $1.1 - 1.2 Billion

  5. $1 - 1.1 Billion

  6. $925 - 1 Billion

  7. $850 - 925 Million

  8. $775 - 850 Million

  9. $700 - 775 Million

  10. $625 - 700 Million

  11. $550 - 625 Million

  12. Under $550 Million

  13. $1.5 Billion +

  14. $1.4 - 1.3 Billion

  15. $1.2 - 1.3 Billion

  16. $1.1 - 1.2 Billion

  17. $1 - 1.1 Billion

  18. $925 - 1 Billion

  19. $850 - 925 Million

  20. $775 - 850 Million

  21. $700 - 775 Million

  22. $625 - 700 Million

  23. $550 - 625 Million

  24. Under $550 Million

  25. $1.5 Billion +

  26. $1.4 - 1.3 Billion

  27. $1.2 - 1.3 Billion

  28. $1.1 - 1.2 Billion

  29. $1 - 1.1 Billion

  30. $925 - 1 Billion

  31. $850 - 925 Million

  32. $775 - 850 Million

  33. $700 - 775 Million

  34. $625 - 700 Million

  35. $550 - 625 Million

  36. Under $550 Million

  37. $1.5 Billion +

  38. $1.4 - 1.3 Billion

  39. $1.2 - 1.3 Billion

  40. $1.1 - 1.2 Billion

  41. $1 - 1.1 Billion

  42. $925 - 1 Billion

  43. $850 - 925 Million

  44. $775 - 850 Million

  45. $700 - 775 Million

  46. $625 - 700 Million

  47. $550 - 625 Million

  48. Under $550 Million

Multiple votes are allowed.
Results are only viewable after voting.
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  1. Joeyjojo72 Registered

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    I think people are underestimating the Spidey factor here because they are overestimating the negative effect of his last two movies.
     
  2. InCali I got a pUpgrade!

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    I think the MCU brand is starting to sink in and people can differentiate between MCU and non-MCU movies. I think Spidey is a pretty big deal and I also think the extraordinarily strong reviews are going to give it a big push. It's still only gotten that one bad review and is at about 60 reviews total. I'd go and see it pretty much no matter what, but I'm not the GA. People pay attention to reviews and the WOM seems to be sky high. I think the OW BO is on a definite upswing. I think it easily does AoU numbers and if it really does crack 190M OW, who knows what follows?
     
  3. spiderman2 Registered

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    WW I am going to say it does between 1.6 and 1.8 billion.
     
  4. Doctor Octopus Registered

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    Agreed. Everyone know this is Mcu not Sony.
     
  5. Filmfan93 The Man in Black

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    You have no idea how many people (mostly general audience) still don't know that there is MS, Fox, Sony, etc.
     
  6. Nicko-Ray Madness

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    True that.
     
  7. Filmfan93 The Man in Black

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    And it is worse when I have to explain to a friend of mine (who is pumped for Civil War) all about Thanos, the Infinity Stones and everything that was set up in the previous 11 films. He still hasn't watched some of them and he will go to see Civil War without doing so. IMO, it is OK to go without strictly having seen all of them, but somehow it isn't the same. It is like going to see characters that you haven't been invested in for 8 years, like most of us have done. The magic just won't be the same for him.
     
  8. Chesterfield Registered

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    After seeing the awesomeness of this movie, this movie will clear 1.2 billion at least!
     
  9. Knight_SV Registered

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    It will pass 1 billion
     
  10. Spiderdevil Registered

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    Well because they haven't been advertising him enought, a sneak peak in the final trailer and a glimpse in a couple of TV spots, that's all!

    No posters, no featurettes, no interviews, none. Even the team posters revealed don't have Spidey, I mean, Warmachine, Barton and Vision are in those, and I am sure Spidey's role is equivalent to their's
     
  11. Spiderdevil Registered

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    The sky is blue
     
  12. InCali I got a pUpgrade!

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    Oh for sure there are people out there who think "Marvel is Marvel is Marvel. It says it right before the movie starts." I was probably a little bit sloppy with my wording after I said I think the MCU brand it starting to sink in. More and more people are (I think) becoming aware of the diff between MCU and Fox. The FFINO fiasco, for example, heightened awareness; not to the extent that everyone just knows Marvel didn't put it out, but it was so bad that it raised the issue outside of our little group.

    If the GA lumped FFINO in with CA:CW, the latter's BO #s would stink. That's obviously not going to happen and I like the comment that CW's BO will look more like Avengers BO than CA BO #s. I think that's spot on.

    In fact, I think the MCU brand is strong enough that they could resurrect FF if they had the property. We'd have to wait a few years, but I firmly believe they could do it. I think even if Fox DID put out a good FF, that the ship has already sailed for them.
     
  13. JOE _________________________

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    Any updated tracking numbers for the DOM OW?
     
  14. SomeOldGuy Registered

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  15. CaptainWagner Not Today

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    Honestly, that's a good point. Introducing Spidey here is a big boost, because they get to raise confidence in the character back up BEFORE his next solo film.
     
  16. FunkMiller Failed Experiment

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    The word of mouth on Spidey will be tremendous. He's the stand-out of the movie.
     
  17. InCali I got a pUpgrade!

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    Wow. A month ago, I don't think I would have thought that possible. I had this pegged around 1.4M (Why is it that there always seems to be an empty spot where there's no place to vote?), but thought I was shooting a shade high. Now, I'm thinking I'm way too low. Yet another feather in my cap for being completely clueless when it comes to BO #s.
     
  18. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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  19. Mysteryman Registered

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    What does Box Office Mojo predict for CW?
     
  20. Jordanstine Registered

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    So far overseas, I've read that it's performing under AOU and more like IM3-ish... is it the Capt America title perhaps?
     
  21. WilliamK99 Registered

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    Too early to tell, not all territories have reported yet.
     
  22. Joeyjojo72 Registered

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    Yeah there's no way to compare them at this point because we don't have all the data. Within a week we should have a clearer picture.
     
  23. take3 Registered

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    Box Office: 'Captain America: Civil War' Hits $38.7 Million Overseas in Two Days

     
  24. TalismanRing Cyclone Cookie Tosser

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    http://deadline.com/2016/04/captain...ice-opening-international-results-1201746587/


    *
    After Friday CW is up to $12.6m in Korea with its Friday almost matching AOU in terms of admissions even though it opened a day earlier on Wed. On pace to do at least $26-27m over the 5 days
     
    #974 TalismanRing, Apr 29, 2016
    Last edited: Apr 29, 2016
  25. JOE _________________________

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    Really anxious to see China's numbers roll in.

    Age of Ultron: 240M
    Ant-Man: 105M
    Guardians of the Galaxy:96M
    The Winter Soldier: 115M
    Thor 2: 55M
    Iron Man3: 121M
    The Avengers: 86M
    Captain America: ?
    Thor: ?
    Iron Man 2: 8M
    The Incredible Hulk: 9M
    Iron Man: 15M
     
    #975 JOE, Apr 29, 2016
    Last edited: Apr 29, 2016
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