Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

Discussion in 'Captain America: The Winter Soldier' started by Mr. Dent, Apr 8, 2013.

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How do you think Captain America: The Winter Soldier will do?

  1. $1.5 billion

  2. $1 billion

  3. $900 million

  4. $800 million

  5. $700 million

  6. $600 million

  7. $500 million

  8. $400 million

  9. $300 million

  10. $200 million

  11. $1.5 billion

  12. $1 billion

  13. $900 million

  14. $800 million

  15. $700 million

  16. $600 million

  17. $500 million

  18. $400 million

  19. $300 million

  20. $200 million

  21. $1.5 billion

  22. $1 billion

  23. $900 million

  24. $800 million

  25. $700 million

  26. $600 million

  27. $500 million

  28. $400 million

  29. $300 million

  30. $200 million

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  1. Mr. Dent

    Mr. Dent Well-Known Member

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    Really eager to discuss this. No trailer yet and what not, but we have Redford on the cast and tons of other info. For now I'm predicting:

    OW: $85m
    DOM: $235m
    INT: $310m
    WW: $545m
     
    #1
  2. metaphysician

    metaphysician Not a Side-Kick

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    I'll be conservative, and predict about 500M WW. Comfortably ahead of what the first movie did, but not vastly so.
     
    #2
  3. DN91

    DN91 SSR Agent

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    500 million worldwide at least, maybe 600-650 million at most.
     
    #3
  4. JB-the-Hunter

    JB-the-Hunter Booty hunter

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    Opening Weekend: It really depends on how well Iron Man 3/Thor 2 are received. I'm gonna say $85M
    Domestic: $270
    Oversees: $350
    Worldwide: $620M
     
    #4
  5. Superhero 101

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    I'd say 200 M Dom
    and maybe 300 Over

    500 WW
     
    #5
  6. Duran Man

    Duran Man The Seventh Stranger

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  7. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark Armored Avenger!

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    If it can make that, it's a huge success.
     
    #7
  8. T"Challa

    T"Challa Well-Known Member

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    510m ww
     
    #8
  9. Bren

    Bren Forevernoob

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    495m ww.
     
    #9
  10. flickchick85

    flickchick85 Loose Seal

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    Right now, without having seen how any post-Avengers solo flicks perform OR any footage from the film, I'm gonna say...

    Opening Weekend: $80M

    Domestic Take: $230m

    International Take: $260m

    Worldwide: $490m

    And I predict this prediction will change quite a bit by the time we get to next year, lol.
     
    #10
  11. psylockolussus

    psylockolussus Well-Known Mutant

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    Opening Weekend - $60 to $70 million
    Domestic - $140 to $180 million
    Worldwide - $425 to $500 million

    I think this movie will earn more money if it comes out in summer.
     
    #11
  12. BullMcGiveny

    BullMcGiveny Probably Disagree

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    570-610 million.
     
    #12
  13. flickchick85

    flickchick85 Loose Seal

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    I think it's highly unlikely to do WORSE domestically than the first one. After the Avengers? With Black Widow, Nick Fury and SHIELD on board this time around? And being the first superhero movie out of the gate this time? No way it goes below $180m domestically.
     
    #13
  14. Repulsor Blast

    Repulsor Blast Walloping Websnappers

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    600 million. no less.

    :jabba
     
    #14
  15. JB-the-Hunter

    JB-the-Hunter Booty hunter

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    Yeah, it's all but guaranteed to make at LEAST $200M domestically.
     
    #15
  16. KyleStark

    KyleStark Member

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    I think Domestically 300 mill
     
    #16
  17. Xeno

    Xeno IRON MAN WAS RIGHT!

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    Marvel/Disney was very shrewd in choosing to release Captain America: The Winter Soldier in April instead during the much more crowded summer months. Other films have reached blockbuster status by releasing in late winter/spring when there is less competition. Although CA is facing a real contender in Denzel Washington's The Equalizer* in its second weekend, I think that it stands a great chance of opening big and then holding on for a less than 60% drop.

    Domestically, TWS could make $250 million or more if it is well received by the public and has the sort of marketing behind it that IM3 has had. In the overseas market it could easily do $400 million+ since TFA took in a better than expected $191M OS. With a boost from TA, Marvel's Chinese marketing partnership and the inclusion of Jackson, Johansson and Redford, this could break out in a big way. My prediction is $650M WW but I rounded up to $700M. In for a penny, in for a pound, right? :yay:

    * The Equalizer is a remake of the TV show from the 1980s that featured Edward Woodward as a mercenary who switched to protecting ordinary people who were being victimized by criminals. The production has been in some turmoil as the first director suddenly dropped it and filming was postponed. I haven't heard what the status is since then.
     
    #17
  18. Webfoot Hero

    Webfoot Hero West Coaster

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    I'm actually feeling that Rio 2 will be more of a challenger for TWS in its 2nd week than The Equalizer. Animated films always seem to open well.
     
    #18
  19. KDM1986

    KDM1986 Midnight Sons Founder

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    Of the 5 films releasing in phase 2 I think this one will make the least.

    1.The Avengers 2
    2.Iron Man 3
    3.Thor the dark world
    4. Guardians of the galaxy
    5.Captain America The winter soldier
     
    #19
  20. Webfoot Hero

    Webfoot Hero West Coaster

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    I don't think GotG is going to beat TWS due to it being a new franchise and it being relatively obscure. TWS would have to look really bad for it not to at least beat TFA's box office total.
     
    #20
  21. Mr. Dent

    Mr. Dent Well-Known Member

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    I think the only reason they did that is because Spider-Man comes out in May, X-Men in July, and Guardians in August. I doubt it's some masterplan to maximize Cap 2's profits.

    It's not going to be obscure by the time it comes out. As for it being a new franchise, that shouldn't really be held against it. Pixar and Disney release new franchise movies every year that make $500m+ worldwide. Hell, forget Disney, just look at Inception. If a new franchise is pushed by the studio hard and it is really good then it can blow up.
     
    #21
    Last edited: Apr 24, 2013
  22. psylockolussus

    psylockolussus Well-Known Mutant

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    I think it will perform like G.I. Joe Retaliation but about 30 to 50% better because its part of Marvel Cinematic Universe. But the April release date isn't gonna help it cross the $200 million mark at the domestic box-office. The only movie that was released in April to gross more than $200 million (domestically) is Fast Five.

    Well Inception was directed by Christopher Nolan and Leonardo DiCaprio was the lead actor. I don't think you can compare that to Guardians of the Galaxy.
     
    #22
    Last edited: Apr 25, 2013
  23. Mr. Dent

    Mr. Dent Well-Known Member

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    Guardians in some ways is in even better position than Inception. It doesn't have to rely on big name actors and directors. I'm just saying being a new franchise doesn't inherently mean a film can't do extremely well. And obviously Inception isn't the only example of this.
     
    #23
  24. JB-the-Hunter

    JB-the-Hunter Booty hunter

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    I think the April release date is going to help it more than hurt it. April '14 is essentially going to be the month of Captain America, and if it ends up getting good word of mouth, it'll steamroll everything in its path until TASM 2 comes out in May. I mean Iron Man 3 has The Great Gatsby and Star Trek Into Darkness to worry about. Thor 2 has Catching Fire to worry about. The only thing Cap 2 has to worry about is Rio 2. April 4th 2014 is a very favorable release date.
     
    #24
  25. Mr. Dent

    Mr. Dent Well-Known Member

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    Yeah Cap really will suck up all the movie hype in that month. That may boost its gross more than I'm giving it credit for.
     
    #25
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