Civil War Captain America 3: Box Office Prediction Thread

[MessiahDecoy123]

They must have been reading the spoiler thread lol.

The predictions will keep rising.

It will probably be over 195 m OW the day before it opens.

 

[Iceman]

The predictions will keep rising.

It will probably be over 195 m OW the day before it opens.

$200m and I won't ask for another cent, I promise. t:

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

$200m and I won't ask for another cent, I promise. t:

We need to beat JW.

Payback for taking TA's OW record.

 

[flickchick85]

So before these reviews, my prediction was a $180-190m domestic opening weekend. Now I'm gonna say $210-215m.

 

[KBX]

Im gonna stay in the $180-$190 range. I really don't see this movie passing the $200 mil mark.

 

[spiderman2]

I am going to say 200 OW. 600m USA by the end and 1 billion OS for 1.6 billion WW.​

 

[Bruce Malone]

Im gonna stay in the $180-$190 range. I really don't see this movie passing the $200 mil mark.

200 million is still super rare territory.

TFA had more pre-release hype than any movie in history with a huge built-in fan base and it "only" grossed 247 million OW. Meaning just getting over 200 takes so much.

190 range is where I think this will land.

 

[KangConquers]

I know this is "in name only", but after years of hearing people call Captain America "A B-lister", it's so rich to see him set to have the most successful "Solo" movie of all time.

 

[JeetKuneDo]

I know this is "in name only", but after years of hearing people call Captain America "A B-lister", it's so rich to see him set to have the most successful "Solo" movie of all time.

There is some merit to it. I've seen many reviews mentioning that it is a Captain America movie, plot-wise. Kinda like how the Daredevil TV show is still about DD even though Electra and Punisher are there.

 

[Jeight]

It's definitely NOT in Name Only. This is the third Captain America movie. There is no doubt about it. If Iron Man guests star in a Spider-man comic that doesn't make it the title Iron Man/Spider-man, it's still The Amazing Spider-man.

 

[KangConquers]

There is some merit to it. I've seen many reviews mentioning that it is a Captain America movie, plot-wise. Kinda like how the Daredevil TV show is still about DD even though Electra and Punisher are there.

I think any way you look at it, little kids today will grow up seeing no difference between The Big 4 Avengers and Batman and Superman, which is a huge feather in the cap of Marvel.

 

[Johnglen]

Based on what?

Hype, reviews, marketing .

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

I have a feeling AOU would've crossed 200 m OW without the Mayweather fight.

Civil War is a perfect storm: event film, better marketing, fantastic reviews, positive buzz, Spider-man, emotional crowd pleaser, etc

 

[JOE]

I have a feeling AOU would've crossed 200 m OW without the Mayweather fight.

Civil War is a perfect storm: event film, better marketing, fantastic reviews, positive buzz, Spider-man, emotional crowd pleaser, etc

That's why Civil War will be in the top 2 grossing movies of the year. Maybe the top spot. I need to see more from Rogue One first! t:

 

[TalismanRing]

200 million is still super rare territory.

TFA had more pre-release hype than any movie in history with a huge built-in fan base and it "only" grossed 247 million OW. Meaning just getting over 200 takes so much.

190 range is where I think this will land.

TFAs opening weekend was actually muted by the holiday and still it opened about three times bigger than any other movie did in December. If it had a summer opening it probably would have hit $300m+ o/w.

 

[DJ_KiDDvIcIOUs]

I'm confident this breaks $200m on OW for DOM. I know me going to see 3 times that weekend will help as well.

 

[JOE]

What are you guys predicting for the 2nd weekend? From the reviews I've read the Russos certainly didn't skip leg day!

 

[Iceman]

We need to beat JW.

Payback for taking TA's OW record.

I would love CW to beat it, and IW1 & 2 take an even bigger dump on it.

 

[Gerontophobe]

What are you guys predicting for the 2nd weekend? From the reviews I've read the Russos certainly didn't skip leg day!

The very best scenario is probably a 45% drop but no MCU flick has managed that and a huge OW lends itself to steeper drops. I'm guessing a 50% drop based on the glowing early reviews, which is about the same as The Avengers.

If it opens to only $185M (which seems unlikely) that would be $92M for the second weekend; a $210M OW would be a $105M second weekend. The top second weekend is out of reach (TFA with $149M) but second place is possible (JW with $106M).

 

[LucDisfilm19]

Box Office Pro updated their Civil War DOW box office prediction to $200M: http://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-forecast-finding-dory-central-intelligence/

 

[Docker2.0]

Box Office Pro updated their Civil War DOW box office prediction to $200M: http://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-forecast-finding-dory-central-intelligence/

I hope CA: CW does really well but no way does it do $550M DOM. That is just way to much optimism right there. And also having Finding Dory opening to only $108M is laughable. That movie is going to be huge.

 

[Mysteryman]

Has Box Office Pro overestimated and been wrong before?

 

[Webfoot Hero]

I hope CA: CW does really well but no way does it do $550M DOM. That is just way to much optimism right there. And also having Finding Dory opening to only $108M is laughable. That movie is going to be huge.

Finding Dory is over a month out so the tracking data for that will likely increase as its release date nears and buzz builds over it.

 

[Solaire]

I don't really care about box office numbers but I hope this one explodes and exceeds all our expectations. The movie was fantastic, there wasn't a second where I was bored or disappointed. I can't wait to spend some money on it.

 

[YJ1]

What if BvS had never ran away from the May 6th date?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTvBQE6cvVg

Watching this now is truly laughable. I'm surprised that idiot hasn't deleted it.