Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[BatmanInc]

WB will always want to reboot Superman... a known and beloved property will always spike up and down in popularity.

They won't hit the reset button with Green Lantern quite so quickly.

The movie is finished... but the Green Lantern brand is hanging by a thread. Just...

Not even a thread. GL will be lucky to meet it's budget, let alone make a profit for a sequel.

 

[Showtime]

:Crickets:

:Tumbleweeds:

 

[CaptainCraig]

GL took in 408K on Wednesday to cross the 111 million mark.

Beat me to it but in addition the other news is Green Lantern's theater count decrease this week.

Last week it lost 1,300 screens but that only represented 1/3 of it's screen total.
This week it's losing 1,000 screens and that represents 51% (1/2) of it's screens.
Proof theaters are dumping this fast, very fast.

For 5th week comparison:
Thor lost 600 screens representing 21% of its screens
X-Men: First Class though lost 1,000 screens for 55% screen lost. However, it had already done way better by this point in it's run.
Super 8 lost 300 screens for a 20% screen change.

 

[super85]

I don't get what you're saying there. Are you saying with bad reception so far, there's still a chance to go above 200 million?

Yes. That is what I am saying. Wrote that earlier message at work in a hurry so the english isn't the best there.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

But getting over 200mil wordwide doesn't mean anything. Warners will still be in the hole and the movie will still be a huge bomb that most didn't like.

 

[Red Mask]

Romanians love Green Lantern like Germans love Hasselhoff. It'll make a killing!!!

In U.S. dollars or Romanian Leu? So far I don't see it making more than seven figures.

 

[superion]

This guy from Forbes thinks a sequel should not only be made but it should be given a bigger budget and Michel Bay should be brought on board. Hit a home run with GL or go down in flames trying seems to be his attitude.


Warner Bros Should Ask Michael Bay to Come Aboard “Green Lantern” Series
By MARK HUGHES

As Green Lantern appears headed for a final domestic tally in the $115 million range, fans wait nervously for the results of Warner Bros’ strategy of delaying the majority of foreign openings until after Tranformers: Dark of the Moon opened and made a run on overseas box office. If foreign enthusiasm for the newest Transformer film (which has already grossed $645 million worldwide and a whopping $384 million foreign after its second weekend in release) carries over to stronger reception for other Hollywood big-budget sci-fi fare, the 3D rollout of Green Lantern might still manage a surprise comeback of sorts that might still help it reach a global box office near the $300 million range after all.

The odds of that happening are low at this point, but the possibility remains and would help make it easier for Warner to formally make the call to move ahead with plans for sequels in the Green Lantern franchise. But as box office hopes dwindle to even lower than previous estimates imagined, there is a growing fear that the studio’s initial defiant tone was merely bravado that will give way to quiet decisions to shelve the franchise and reevaluate the WB/DC film future. At the very least, the common thinking in a lot of quarters is that WB should drop Green Lantern and move on to other characters with lower-budgets and more modest performances.

While I understand the concerns and agree that it would also be good to pursue some lower-budget films for certain other characters, I disagree wholeheartedly with the assertions that Green Lantern should be dropped.

Warner Bros should go bigger. And they should ask Michael Bay to do it.

Director Michael Bay apparently describing the size of the piles of cash he is capable of creating with his films

You’ve heard the phrase “go big or go home?” That’s the answer here, I believe. Don’t just talk about faith in the franchise, demonstrate it, and demonstrate a determination that you WILL turn this into a successful, profitable franchise. Besides the first film’s box office, there will be DVDs and Blu-rays, there has been a ton of toys and other merchandising lining the shelves, there is a new animated television show coming out, there are comics and video games and other items, and there are the DVD films doing great business as well. A Green Lantern franchise exists, and that makes it a property worth pursuing. The only thing necessary is to get it pointed in the best direction and in the best hands possible.

So call Michael Bay, and ask him, “Would you be interested in coming aboard a new franchise and saving it? Taking this character and creating a huge multi-film intergalactic sci-fi war where the stakes are the entire universe? Use whatever you need to do it, just say the word and you’ve got it, you’ll have total control.”

The Sinestro Corps versus the Green Lanterns

Make the offer. Show him the Sinestro Corps potential, the idea of making a trilogy that’s a three-part story like Star Wars, in 3D and with the best possible effects artists and technicians and everything else he could possibly want. Tell him, “The story will mix the Star Wars intergalactic civil war with 2012 or Independence Day disaster-on-Earth sequences, plus the dramatic heroic world-saving multi-part character arc of The Lord of the Rings series.” Imagine that mash-up in 3D for a moment, and then imagine what Michael Bay could do with it.

A Michael Bay sci-fi superhero trilogy of this sort would grab the box office and shake the last dime out of its pants. It would be the space epic saga everyone hopes for, it would create a scale unseen so far in the superhero film genre, and it would establish Green Lantern as exactly the sort of big franchise Warner Bros needs now.

Yes, many people will read this and think it’s crazy to suggest, in the aftermath of the first Green Lantern film’s box office performance, that Warner should invest heavily to go bigger and badder. Except this isn’t even a risk — we’re talking about a Michael Bay franchise here, something on par with Star Wars in scope and with Transformers: Dark of the Moon action and effects except MORE and spread through an entire UNIVERSE at war. This isn’t a risk, it’s like investing in your own printing press to print money as fast as you can.

The end of the Harry Potter franchise looms on the horizon

As I’ve written previously, the coming end of the Harry Potter franchise with Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II means Warner Bros has to replace a revenue stream that’s been unheard of anywhere else in cinema. The only way to do that is to build big new franchises, and I don’t think they can simply go from one new first-film to another and hope something sticks. They just invested heavily to build the Green Lantern property, it was a good film regardless of what the echo chamber of bad reviews tried to say, and it established the character on film and can serve as the launching pad for a blockbuster series now. The only thing left to do is make the choice to be a success now.

And that choice is easy when you consider Michael Bay as the obvious go-to name to do what’s necessary for success here. I think the right pitch, the right offer, and the right encouragement — including from his loyal and dedicated fanbase — could persuade him to take the project and deliver the box office home run Warner needs for this series.

This is a sci-fi epic series, and it now needs a big name in sci-fi epics to come take the helm and bring the eye for big summer blockbuster success, the fanbase and sheer power of personality, and the mindset that there is no option other than victory. Michael Bay can deliver that, in spades. DC Entertainment President Diane Nelson — responsible for shepherding the Harry Potter franchise to the screen with great success, resulting in her appointment to oversee development of DC Comics’ stable of characters to the big screen — should move ahead with their plan to continue this franchise, letting Michael Bay help them build it.

If you’re curious as to the rest of my personal short-list of directors who could take over Green Lantern, it includes James Cameron, Steven Spielberg, J.J. Abrams, Roland Emmerich, and Peter Jackson. All big names, all big personalities with big visions.

Because it’s time to go big or go home, and going home should not be an option here.

 

[KalMart]

This guy from Forbes thinks a sequel should not only be made but it should be given a bigger budget and Michel Bay should be brought on board. Hit a home run with GL or go down in flames trying seems to be his attitude.


Warner Bros Should Ask Michael Bay to Come Aboard “Green Lantern” Series
By MARK HUGHES

As Green Lantern appears headed for a final domestic tally in the $115 million range, fans wait nervously for the results of Warner Bros’ strategy of delaying the majority of foreign openings until after Tranformers: Dark of the Moon opened and made a run on overseas box office. If foreign enthusiasm for the newest Transformer film (which has already grossed $645 million worldwide and a whopping $384 million foreign after its second weekend in release) carries over to stronger reception for other Hollywood big-budget sci-fi fare, the 3D rollout of Green Lantern might still manage a surprise comeback of sorts that might still help it reach a global box office near the $300 million range after all.

The odds of that happening are low at this point, but the possibility remains and would help make it easier for Warner to formally make the call to move ahead with plans for sequels in the Green Lantern franchise. But as box office hopes dwindle to even lower than previous estimates imagined, there is a growing fear that the studio’s initial defiant tone was merely bravado that will give way to quiet decisions to shelve the franchise and reevaluate the WB/DC film future. At the very least, the common thinking in a lot of quarters is that WB should drop Green Lantern and move on to other characters with lower-budgets and more modest performances.

While I understand the concerns and agree that it would also be good to pursue some lower-budget films for certain other characters, I disagree wholeheartedly with the assertions that Green Lantern should be dropped.

Warner Bros should go bigger. And they should ask Michael Bay to do it.

Director Michael Bay apparently describing the size of the piles of cash he is capable of creating with his films

You’ve heard the phrase “go big or go home?” That’s the answer here, I believe. Don’t just talk about faith in the franchise, demonstrate it, and demonstrate a determination that you WILL turn this into a successful, profitable franchise. Besides the first film’s box office, there will be DVDs and Blu-rays, there has been a ton of toys and other merchandising lining the shelves, there is a new animated television show coming out, there are comics and video games and other items, and there are the DVD films doing great business as well. A Green Lantern franchise exists, and that makes it a property worth pursuing. The only thing necessary is to get it pointed in the best direction and in the best hands possible.

So call Michael Bay, and ask him, “Would you be interested in coming aboard a new franchise and saving it? Taking this character and creating a huge multi-film intergalactic sci-fi war where the stakes are the entire universe? Use whatever you need to do it, just say the word and you’ve got it, you’ll have total control.”

The Sinestro Corps versus the Green Lanterns

Make the offer. Show him the Sinestro Corps potential, the idea of making a trilogy that’s a three-part story like Star Wars, in 3D and with the best possible effects artists and technicians and everything else he could possibly want. Tell him, “The story will mix the Star Wars intergalactic civil war with 2012 or Independence Day disaster-on-Earth sequences, plus the dramatic heroic world-saving multi-part character arc of The Lord of the Rings series.” Imagine that mash-up in 3D for a moment, and then imagine what Michael Bay could do with it.

A Michael Bay sci-fi superhero trilogy of this sort would grab the box office and shake the last dime out of its pants. It would be the space epic saga everyone hopes for, it would create a scale unseen so far in the superhero film genre, and it would establish Green Lantern as exactly the sort of big franchise Warner Bros needs now.

Yes, many people will read this and think it’s crazy to suggest, in the aftermath of the first Green Lantern film’s box office performance, that Warner should invest heavily to go bigger and badder. Except this isn’t even a risk — we’re talking about a Michael Bay franchise here, something on par with Star Wars in scope and with Transformers: Dark of the Moon action and effects except MORE and spread through an entire UNIVERSE at war. This isn’t a risk, it’s like investing in your own printing press to print money as fast as you can.

The end of the Harry Potter franchise looms on the horizon

As I’ve written previously, the coming end of the Harry Potter franchise with Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II means Warner Bros has to replace a revenue stream that’s been unheard of anywhere else in cinema. The only way to do that is to build big new franchises, and I don’t think they can simply go from one new first-film to another and hope something sticks. They just invested heavily to build the Green Lantern property, it was a good film regardless of what the echo chamber of bad reviews tried to say, and it established the character on film and can serve as the launching pad for a blockbuster series now. The only thing left to do is make the choice to be a success now.

And that choice is easy when you consider Michael Bay as the obvious go-to name to do what’s necessary for success here. I think the right pitch, the right offer, and the right encouragement — including from his loyal and dedicated fanbase — could persuade him to take the project and deliver the box office home run Warner needs for this series.

This is a sci-fi epic series, and it now needs a big name in sci-fi epics to come take the helm and bring the eye for big summer blockbuster success, the fanbase and sheer power of personality, and the mindset that there is no option other than victory. Michael Bay can deliver that, in spades. DC Entertainment President Diane Nelson — responsible for shepherding the Harry Potter franchise to the screen with great success, resulting in her appointment to oversee development of DC Comics’ stable of characters to the big screen — should move ahead with their plan to continue this franchise, letting Michael Bay help them build it.

If you’re curious as to the rest of my personal short-list of directors who could take over Green Lantern, it includes James Cameron, Steven Spielberg, J.J. Abrams, Roland Emmerich, and Peter Jackson. All big names, all big personalities with big visions.

Because it’s time to go big or go home, and going home should not be an option here.

"You don't have to go home, but you can't stay here."

 

[merced]

WB will always want to reboot Superman... a known and beloved property will always spike up and down in popularity.

They won't hit the reset button with Green Lantern quite so quickly.

The movie is finished... but the Green Lantern brand is hanging by a thread. Just...

I dunno about Superman. DC and WB have been moving past the character for a while now.Thee is a discussion about this in the MOS thread.

The DC reboot will see Superman dropped from 4 to 2 monthly books while Batman and GL are upped to 5/6 a month each.

GL was hoped to be the replacement franchise for Superman. WB expected Ironman numbers.

Oh well - DC and WB are, to be sure, regrouping as we post.

But Superman IMO is a fading DC/WB franchise.

What that means for GL after it's disappointing box office numbers is anyone's guess.

 

[Shadowlord X]

This Mark Hughes guy has to be the most desperate GL fan ever.

One for the Guiness book of world records.

 

[Rock Sexton]

This Mark Hughes guy has to be the most desperate GL fan ever.

One for the Guiness book of world records.

LOL ..... loved his denial about the criticism of this film.

 

[solidsnake86]

But getting over 200mil wordwide doesn't mean anything. Warners will still be in the hole and the movie will still be a huge bomb that most didn't like.

I was reading a report on harry potter on deadline hollywood and apparently one of the harry potter movies is still in the negative according to the wb accounting department by about 160 million and it made 930 or something (don't quote me on that just doing it from memory). This movie will never recoup what they lost or at least the way they do there accounting they wont. But something tells me these studios make money off these movies somehow because if harry potter is in the red no movie would be profitable and they would all be bankrupt. Just a side note I found interesting.

 

[Rock Sexton]

I was reading a report on harry potter on deadline hollywood and apparently one of the harry potter movies is still in the negative according to the wb accounting department by about 160 million and it made 930 or something (don't quote me on that just doing it from memory).

..... Ya, and Michael Bay likes substance.

 

[solidsnake86]

I dunno about Superman. DC and WB have been moving past the character for a while now.Thee is a discussion about this in the MOS thread.

The DC reboot will see Superman dropped from 4 to 2 monthly books while Batman and GL are upped to 5/6 a month each.

GL was hoped to be the replacement franchise for Superman. WB expected Ironman numbers.

Oh well - DC and WB are, to be sure, regrouping as we post.

But Superman IMO is a fading DC/WB franchise.

What that means for GL after it's disappointing box office numbers is anyone's guess.

You keep on bringing this up, but you're not telling the whole story. GL doesn't have Hal Jordan in all five books. Batman also doesn't have bruce wayne in all six. If your going to do that then you should also count supergirl and superboy in supermans count. Stop changing facts to suit your own needs.

 

[The Sage]

I dunno about Superman. DC and WB have been moving past the character for a while now.Thee is a discussion about this in the MOS thread.

The DC reboot will see Superman dropped from 4 to 2 monthly books while Batman and GL are upped to 5/6 a month each.

GL was hoped to be the replacement franchise for Superman. WB expected Ironman numbers.

Oh well - DC and WB are, to be sure, regrouping as we post.

But Superman IMO is a fading DC/WB franchise.

What that means for GL after it's disappointing box office numbers is anyone's guess.

No, Green Lantern was hoped to be the replacement franchise for Harry Potter. Superman is up in the air, though I doubt his fading despite the number of comic book series getting reduced.

 

[Bruce Malone]

This guy from Forbes thinks a sequel should not only be made but it should be given a bigger budget and Michel Bay should be brought on board. Hit a home run with GL or go down in flames trying seems to be his attitude.


Warner Bros Should Ask Michael Bay to Come Aboard “Green Lantern” Series
By MARK HUGHES

As Green Lantern appears headed for a final domestic tally in the $115 million range, fans wait nervously for the results of Warner Bros’ strategy of delaying the majority of foreign openings until after Tranformers: Dark of the Moon opened and made a run on overseas box office. If foreign enthusiasm for the newest Transformer film (which has already grossed $645 million worldwide and a whopping $384 million foreign after its second weekend in release) carries over to stronger reception for other Hollywood big-budget sci-fi fare, the 3D rollout of Green Lantern might still manage a surprise comeback of sorts that might still help it reach a global box office near the $300 million range after all.

The odds of that happening are low at this point, but the possibility remains and would help make it easier for Warner to formally make the call to move ahead with plans for sequels in the Green Lantern franchise. But as box office hopes dwindle to even lower than previous estimates imagined, there is a growing fear that the studio’s initial defiant tone was merely bravado that will give way to quiet decisions to shelve the franchise and reevaluate the WB/DC film future. At the very least, the common thinking in a lot of quarters is that WB should drop Green Lantern and move on to other characters with lower-budgets and more modest performances.

While I understand the concerns and agree that it would also be good to pursue some lower-budget films for certain other characters, I disagree wholeheartedly with the assertions that Green Lantern should be dropped.

Warner Bros should go bigger. And they should ask Michael Bay to do it.

Director Michael Bay apparently describing the size of the piles of cash he is capable of creating with his films

You’ve heard the phrase “go big or go home?” That’s the answer here, I believe. Don’t just talk about faith in the franchise, demonstrate it, and demonstrate a determination that you WILL turn this into a successful, profitable franchise. Besides the first film’s box office, there will be DVDs and Blu-rays, there has been a ton of toys and other merchandising lining the shelves, there is a new animated television show coming out, there are comics and video games and other items, and there are the DVD films doing great business as well. A Green Lantern franchise exists, and that makes it a property worth pursuing. The only thing necessary is to get it pointed in the best direction and in the best hands possible.

So call Michael Bay, and ask him, “Would you be interested in coming aboard a new franchise and saving it? Taking this character and creating a huge multi-film intergalactic sci-fi war where the stakes are the entire universe? Use whatever you need to do it, just say the word and you’ve got it, you’ll have total control.”

The Sinestro Corps versus the Green Lanterns

Make the offer. Show him the Sinestro Corps potential, the idea of making a trilogy that’s a three-part story like Star Wars, in 3D and with the best possible effects artists and technicians and everything else he could possibly want. Tell him, “The story will mix the Star Wars intergalactic civil war with 2012 or Independence Day disaster-on-Earth sequences, plus the dramatic heroic world-saving multi-part character arc of The Lord of the Rings series.” Imagine that mash-up in 3D for a moment, and then imagine what Michael Bay could do with it.

A Michael Bay sci-fi superhero trilogy of this sort would grab the box office and shake the last dime out of its pants. It would be the space epic saga everyone hopes for, it would create a scale unseen so far in the superhero film genre, and it would establish Green Lantern as exactly the sort of big franchise Warner Bros needs now.

Yes, many people will read this and think it’s crazy to suggest, in the aftermath of the first Green Lantern film’s box office performance, that Warner should invest heavily to go bigger and badder. Except this isn’t even a risk — we’re talking about a Michael Bay franchise here, something on par with Star Wars in scope and with Transformers: Dark of the Moon action and effects except MORE and spread through an entire UNIVERSE at war. This isn’t a risk, it’s like investing in your own printing press to print money as fast as you can.

The end of the Harry Potter franchise looms on the horizon

As I’ve written previously, the coming end of the Harry Potter franchise with Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II means Warner Bros has to replace a revenue stream that’s been unheard of anywhere else in cinema. The only way to do that is to build big new franchises, and I don’t think they can simply go from one new first-film to another and hope something sticks. They just invested heavily to build the Green Lantern property, it was a good film regardless of what the echo chamber of bad reviews tried to say, and it established the character on film and can serve as the launching pad for a blockbuster series now. The only thing left to do is make the choice to be a success now.

And that choice is easy when you consider Michael Bay as the obvious go-to name to do what’s necessary for success here. I think the right pitch, the right offer, and the right encouragement — including from his loyal and dedicated fanbase — could persuade him to take the project and deliver the box office home run Warner needs for this series.

This is a sci-fi epic series, and it now needs a big name in sci-fi epics to come take the helm and bring the eye for big summer blockbuster success, the fanbase and sheer power of personality, and the mindset that there is no option other than victory. Michael Bay can deliver that, in spades. DC Entertainment President Diane Nelson — responsible for shepherding the Harry Potter franchise to the screen with great success, resulting in her appointment to oversee development of DC Comics’ stable of characters to the big screen — should move ahead with their plan to continue this franchise, letting Michael Bay help them build it.

If you’re curious as to the rest of my personal short-list of directors who could take over Green Lantern, it includes James Cameron, Steven Spielberg, J.J. Abrams, Roland Emmerich, and Peter Jackson. All big names, all big personalities with big visions.

Because it’s time to go big or go home, and going home should not be an option here.

Great article. GL's 200 million dollar budget and 100 million dollar marketing blitz was not nearly big enough. I say give Michael Bay 500 million and have him blow up the real Great wall of china as some sort of promotion. There's you money maker there.

 

[Silver Surfer]

I'm never one to call for another mans job but there is really no objectivity at all in that article, dude sounds worse than Skip Bayless. No way should he be paid to write that ****.

 

[Gamma Burst]

This Mark Hughes guy has to be the most desperate GL fan ever.

One for the Guiness book of world records.

He's dnno1 in disguise.

 

[biolumen]

So I guess this is going to top out closer to $115 Mil rather than $120 Mil domestic. Pathetic.

 

[KRIM]

Great article. GL's 200 million dollar budget and 100 million dollar marketing blitz was not nearly big enough. I say give Michael Bay 500 million and have him blow up the real Great wall of china as some sort of promotion. There's you money maker there.

Pure BS. That's roughly the same amount of money the Transformers movies had, and it provided a whole lot more for audiences to willingly sustain it for a trilogy, to the tune of billions.

This proposed franchise lacked a script and directorial vision to properly carry the brand to great heights. Period.

I will only concede that there is no other director like Bay that can put spectacle on the screen in such a grand and unique fashion. However, there is little he offers to bring the lore to life in any other way. I do enjoy the TF series, but at the end of the day it was never a deep narrative. GL is. So the bar should be a lot higher. Plus, it is never a good idea to approach creative talent based on their successes of a different property. It is uninspired and is by no means a guarantee of repeated success.

 

[Man in the Suit]

So I guess this is going to top out closer to $115 Mil rather than $120 Mil domestic. Pathetic.

It's not that pathetic since people seem to be making the right choice.

 

[Octoberist]

burrn

 

[jmc]

This Mark Hughes guy has to be the most desperate GL fan ever.

One for the Guiness book of world records.

The dude writes good articles but his blind affection for GL has clouded his recent posts, Michael Bay for GL? Really? I said in response to that article on Facebook that Green Lantern is in need but he's not that ****ing desperate.

 

[Shadowlord X]

What's really funny to me is that people like Mark Hughes are a lot of talk. The real deal is putting your money where your mouth is. I wonder if it was his hard earned $100 million whether he would invest it in this franchise. The same goes for other GL fans who are saying that this movie should get a sequel.

 

[GreenKToo]

wow...how much money does he want thrown at GL?? It just had 200 mill + thrown at it. How bout just getting a script worth a damn, a director that can do this sorta thing, and an actor who actually makes us think thats Hal Jordan, not Van Wilder.