MCU Fantastic Four Box Office Predictions

[psylockolussus]

I think like Thunderbolts/Brave New World, most of the numbers would come from North America. Worldwide is harder to predict. I don't see it performing as well as Jurassic World and Superman globally.

I also think these early ticket sales might be frontloaded. But if they are saying its the "best first day ticket pre-seller", then it should show up in the opening weekend and gross over $100 million, which is only $12 million higher than Brave New World's 3 day weekend.

 

[lenz]

It won't perform as well globally as JW or Superman, but it doesn't need to for it to qualify as a success or a good film.

Ticket sales for genre films are generally front-loaded.

 

[psylockolussus]

It won't perform as well globally as JW or Superman, but it doesn't need to for it to qualify as a success or a good film.

Ticket sales for genre films are generally front-loaded.

The point is Jurassic World and Superman are direct competition, how many families are still gonna watch Fantastic 4 after they just watched those 2 movies in July? Their release gap of 2 to 3 weeks isn't that wide.

We won't be bringing up those two if they were released/being released in a month like May or September.

 

[lenz]

The point is Jurassic World and Superman are direct competition, how many families are still gonna watch Fantastic 4 after they just watched those 2 movies in July? Their release gap of 2 to 3 weeks isn't that wide.

We won't be bringing up those two if they were released/being released in a month like May or September.

I agree with you on the terrible release slot and have criticized that decision many times on this forum. It's negligent management by Disney/Marvel and just another example of these studios being driven by factors outside of basic logic and common sense.

 

[psylockolussus]

I agree with you on the terrible release slot and have criticized that decision many times on this forum. It's negligent management by Disney/Marvel and just another example of these studios being driven by factors outside of basic logic and common sense.

The good news is The Smurfs and I Know What You Did Last Summer aren't likely going to take a hit on Fantastic 4.

 

[Spider-Fan]

The point is Jurassic World and Superman are direct competition, how many families are still gonna watch Fantastic 4 after they just watched those 2 movies in July? Their release gap of 2 to 3 weeks isn't that wide.

We won't be bringing up those two if they were released/being released in a month like May or September.

Based on Fandango sales, plenty

 

[Detective Conan]

 

[psylockolussus]

Wow that would be huge!

Instantly outgrossing Fant4stic and Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer in 3 days!

The Fantastic 4: Second Steps confirmed!

 

[FlareKnight]

Wow that would be huge!

Instantly outgrossing Fant4stic and Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer in 3 days!

The Fantastic 4: Second Steps confirmed!

It'd be horrifying flop territory if it didn't at least immediately blow away those disasters.

If it hits this that's a decent opening weekend. How high it climbs will be what determines if it's a one and done thing with the Fantastic Four or if they do get more solo movies. Hopefully it does since the MCU really needs some hits.

 

[psylockolussus]

It'd be horrifying flop territory if it didn't at least immediately blow away those disasters.

If it hits this that's a decent opening weekend. How high it climbs will be what determines if it's a one and done thing with the Fantastic Four or if they do get more solo movies. Hopefully it does since the MCU really needs some hits.

Not solo, but team movies.

 

[psylockolussus]

D

Post in thread 'Fantastic Four: First Steps General News & Discussion Thread (TAG SPOILERS)'

Jun 13, 2025

• Detective Conan

• 

Fantastico! All the worrying I had regarding box office, seem pointless now. This should definitely encourage Disney bosses to greenlit Second Steps asap!

 

[psylockolussus]

New box office predictions for the upcoming Fantastic Four 2025 movie are now between $125 million and $155 million, with overall domestic sales sitting in a range from $277 million and $395 million. That’s about a 14% increase for its maximum projection.

Update: The Fantastic Four First Steps Box Office Projections Have Increased - Comic Book Movies and Superhero Movie News - SuperHeroHype

Good news! The Fantastic Four: First Steps have had its box office predictions raised, putting it in a dead heat against Superman 2025.

www.superherohype.com

It would outgross all previous Fantastic Four and X-Men films in North America.

 

[Lightning Strykez!]

^ Wow, that's quite a surge in sales. This is an interesting indicator of advance ticket sales right now, and we're still 24 days out from release. People are definitely waiting for this film. If critical reviews and word of mouth are positive, I honestly could see this topping a billion worldwide. I know it seems crazy to even contemplate those kinds of ticket sales considering how poorly the previous F4 films have performed, but those FOX properties were released 15, 20 years ago and under a regime that has since completely evaporated. This movie's marketing has been packaged differently (and brilliantly--in my humble opinion), with a huge star leading man (Pascal), and it has a flair that's very different from anything else we've seen from the MCU.

Marvel--for all of its missteps--still enjoys a strong measure of goodwill with general audiences, and the Fantastic Four are its royalty--the true First Family of this brand. They are as beloved as The Avengers and the X-Men, and they just need a chance to prove themselves.

I don't believe $800K to $1 Billion globally is out of reach.

 

[psylockolussus]

Above $500 million is already win for me.

Given Marvel Studios' handful of critical misfires and box office disappointments post Endgame, Fantastic 4 pulling big numbers is a nice turn of events. I just hope the critical reception is as good as these box office projections.

 

[lenz]

I can see anywhere between 550m and 750m for this. If the move is great and audiences embrace it, I see 750 million as the absolute high end.

Recent history and the studios reputation is an issue, but just as big, if not bigger an issue, is the inflation that has reduced consumer demand in general, which makes them more selective. Another obstacle is the Chinese market being more hostile/isolationist towards American films in general vs the past.

 

[Willie Lumpkin]

In the simplest of terms, all I care about is getting a sequel.

If this film does what I hope it will, it will make a sh**-ton at the box office.

If it doesn’t do what I hope it will… well maybe I don’t want a sequel - at least not without a course-correction.

… though, like it or not, we’re already getting a sequel of sorts with Doomsday.

 

[psylockolussus]

In the simplest of terms, all I care about is getting a sequel.

If this film does what I hope it will, it will make a sh**-ton at the box office.

If it doesn’t do what I hope it will… well maybe I don’t want a sequel - at least not without a course-correction.

… though, like it or not, we’re already getting a sequel of sorts with Doomsday.

Yeah. A sequel being made is what I care about the most, when it comes to box office. Though I always check to see how high or low the number for these movies compare to its peers.

 

[lenz]

Obviously a sequel is the biggest win (assuming we like the film).

EmpireCity Box Office is suggesting on X that people should temper their expectations on Fantastic Four and Superman regarding the Box Office Theory projections. In terms of the ticket sales, he is stating "They were never that huge or even all that big to begin with. They are fine for now. The general public has shown no indication of real interest yet, it needs (specifically talking about Superman here but could certainly apply to FF as well) great reviews."

 

[psylockolussus]

I always thought Fantastic 4 were always behind the X-Men and Spider-Man in terms of popularity. But above the likes of Blade, Hulk, Punisher and Daredevil, box office wise. Then Mcu/Deadpool came, pushed the Fantastic Four films lower in Marvel box office rankings. So its nice to see, they are about to bring bigger numbers than the previous Fox movies and even some of the MCU films like Brave New World, Eternals, Thunderbolts, Ant-Man and Shang-Chi. The success of this, also makes me excited for what Marvel Studios would do to elevate the X-Men in the future.

 

[lenz]

I go by decade, but the two biggest constants are Spider-Man and the X-Men. The last 12 years it's the Avengers and Spider-Man.

 

[psylockolussus]

I hope Marvel Studios is already envisioning a trilogy, a sequel every 3 years.

2025-2028-2031

 

[Lightning Strykez!]

Well, Phase 5 is over. The Multiverse phase started off on the wrong foot with Quantumania and ended in a similar position (even though Thunderbolts was critically acclaimed and well-received by fans). So, in one sense, it's inappropriate to compare Fantastic Four: First Steps to Thunderbolts or Brave New World. Same release year of course, but we are officially starting a different saga now. It's a new beginning. Even Marvel's logo has been changed on the marketing for this film.

First Steps is in a position to restart the MCU's engines in a completely new direction. I believe that if it's successful financially and critically, people will begin mapping out MCU's next chapter on its own merits, versus comparing it to past films of Phase 5.

 

[LoganPool]

Well, Phase 5 is over. The Multiverse phase started off on the wrong foot with Quantumania and ended in a similar position (even though Thunderbolts was critically acclaimed and well-received by fans). So, in one sense, it's inappropriate to compare Fantastic Four: First Steps to Thunderbolts or Brave New World. Same release year of course, but we are officially starting a different saga now. It's a new beginning. Even Marvel's logo has been changed on the marketing for this film.

First Steps is in a position to restart the MCU's engines in a completely new direction. I believe that if it's successful financially and critically, people will begin mapping out MCU's next chapter on its own merits, versus comparing it to past films of Phase 5.

The multiverse isn't a phase. It's a Saga, consisting of phases 4, 5, and 6. The Multiverse Saga will end with Secret Wars.

The Infinity Saga:
Phase 1
Phase 2
Phase 3

The Multiverse Saga:
Phase 4
Phase 5
Phase 6

The Mutant Saga:
Phase 7
Phase 8
Phase 9

 

[Mysteryman]

Based on Fandango sales, plenty

FINGERS CROSSED!

 

[Ctfxcwatcher]

I can no longer accurately predict an MCU film anymore when it comes to box office but i will say this is doing much better than Thunderbolts and Cap 4 at the theaters around me. I believe the 100m+ OW predictions.