MCU Fantastic Four Box Office Predictions

[psylockolussus]

You mean top 10 grossing for the year? Or this week’s box office chart?

Daily top ten (Sep16/17).

Its currently #6 for 2025 (domestically) and #9 worldwide.

 

[lenz]

I will be interested to see how it performs on the app beyond the first week.

 

[psylockolussus]

It should be a streaming hit!

 

[psylockolussus]

Grosses
• Domestic
$273,048,891

• Worldwide
$519,416,336 (outgrossed Ant-Man)

 

[Stark Bauer]

I know this is speculation but if they only had a meaningful cameo in the movie like Spider Man or Hulk that would have pushed the movie over $300 million guaranteed. Hopefully for the sequel there is a cameo like this

 

[donuts]

Both this and Superman are successes for Marvel and DC. Anyone saying otherwise is either overly dramatic or at least partially acting in bad faith.

 

[psylockolussus]

I know this is speculation but if they only had a meaningful cameo in the movie like Spider Man or Hulk that would have pushed the movie over $300 million guaranteed. Hopefully for the sequel there is a cameo like this

I think if there fewer Marvel movies in the last 12 months, it would have helped.

Given how Fant4stic flopped 10 years ago, its amazing to see Fantastic 4 outgrossing Venom 3, Kraven, Captain America 4 and Thunderbolts.

 

[psylockolussus]

Domestic
$273,485,891

Worldwide
$519,853,336

9th weekend domestic gross
$582,000

9th weekend drop
56.7% (630 theaters)

 

[kguillou]

In my book finishing with $520 million worldwide, which is better than a lot of cbms released over the past couple of years is a win for Marvel, especially for a tainted brand. Its built goodwill for the sequel.

 

[psylockolussus]

In my book finishing with $520 million worldwide, which is better than a lot of cbms released over the past couple of years is a win for Marvel, especially for a tainted brand. Its built goodwill for the sequel.

Disney should greenlit Second Steps now.

 

[Lightning Strykez!]

Disney should greenlit Second Steps now.

Hmmm. I dunno. That studio green-lighting anything right now might not be received too well with some people. Disney’s executives have found themselves in their own Target-ish political firestorm. They better figure out how to resolve this Jimmy Kimmel situation quickly: they are losing millions of Disney+ subscribers right now via a boycott.

 

[Tyawn]

I agree. Very bad timing. You can download the movie now.
Howard Stern even broke his "not gonna be political" to address the Kimmel situation and him and his crew aside from discussing the obvious, all said they cancelled their Disney + sub over it.
Whatever you think of Stern, there's a reason he's still around and influential to the culture, never got up in the "cancel culture" movement (despite futile efforts by some).
Disney shot themselves in the foot at a time Marvel needs to rebuild.
Between box office, reviews and the Kimmel issue, why would Marvel announce a sequel or speak on anything they haven't already told us til this is a non issue?

 

[Lightning Strykez!]

I agree. Very bad timing. You can download the movie now.
Howard Stern even broke his "not gonna be political" to address the Kimmel situation and him and his crew aside from discussing the obvious, all said they cancelled their Disney + sub over it.
Whatever you think of Stern, there's a reason he's still around and influential to the culture, never got up in the "cancel culture" movement (despite futile efforts by some).
Disney shot themselves in the foot at a time Marvel needs to rebuild.
Between box office, reviews and the Kimmel issue, why would Marvel announce a sequel or speak on anything they haven't already told us til this is a non issue?

Well, apparently there are people at Disney that have forgotten that a sizable majority of their customers believe in “living and let live.” This is especially true with Marvel fans, who often identify with Marvel because of its long-standing mission to embrace everyone in their storylines—no matter their gender, race, sexuality or walk of life. Stan Lee, Kirby, etc., all of these great artists were liberal-minded creators. The X-Men themselves stood for equality, diversity, and freeness of speech. So the idea that Disney would bend to the whims of an authoritarian American President and suspend a comedian for shallow reasons is simply not going to resonate well with its consumer base.

And they are about to learn these lessons in this FAFO era. People boycott with their dollars. The optics are really bad and if I were Disney I wouldn’t release anything about Fantastic Four until this Kimmel thing is resolved.

 

[Frodo]

It seems ,for the time being , Iger has come to his senses, and Kimmel is back tomorrow after the backlash.

It seems Pedro Pascal, in addition to Mark Rufflo, were among the Marvel voices to voice their opposition to what ABC did .

 

[mace1]

Domestic (52.5%)
$273,522,134

International (47.5%)
$247,067,424

Worldwide
$520,589,558

 

[psylockolussus]

Hmmm. I dunno. That studio green-lighting anything right now might not be received too well with some people. Disney’s executives have found themselves in their own Target-ish political firestorm. They better figure out how to resolve this Jimmy Kimmel situation quickly: they are losing millions of Disney+ subscribers right now via a boycott.

Even if they announce it this week or the other day, the movie isn't coming out till two to three years ago, and by then the issue with Kimmel wouldn't be associated with the film.

 

[Willie Lumpkin]

'Fantastic Four: First Steps' Redeems Its Weak Box Office on Streaming

It's been a strange year for Marvel.

movieweb.com

This is what I’ve been saying. The model has changed and Box Office is a smaller and less important factor regarding the money and audience for a film now that streaming is a thing, and people stay home rather than going out.

I only saw it once in the theater, but I bought it last Tuesday and have watched it twice since then.

And since there’s no theater to split it with and very little cost for Disney, nearly all of the $30 I spent to buy it is profit.

 

[Willie Lumpkin]

I also bought Superman last week, but I had waited and paid ($12-$15?) rather than the $30 I paid for FF.

 

[psylockolussus]

Grosses
Domestic (52.5%)
$273,986,511

International (47.5%)
$247,397,911

Worldwide
$521,384,422

 

[Crimz]

'Fantastic Four: First Steps' Redeems Its Weak Box Office on Streaming

It's been a strange year for Marvel.

movieweb.com

This is what I’ve been saying. The model has changed and Box Office is a smaller and less important factor regarding the money and audience for a film now that streaming is a thing, and people stay home rather than going out.

I only saw it once in the theater, but I bought it last Tuesday and have watched it twice since then.

And since there’s no theater to split it with and very little cost for Disney, nearly all of the $30 I spent to buy it is profit.

We have to wait and see how those in charge view this. I hope they look positively at how the film did. There was a lot of things going against the film and it still did really well all things considered.

I hope they still push the property because one thing the film did was get people who watched it on board with the team, and that's fundamental to the future of the franchise.

 

[psylockolussus]

The film performed good in North America. Its the international markets that brought it down.

$500 million for a Fantastic 4 movie reboot sounds good to me.

 

[Willie Lumpkin]

We have to wait and see how those in charge view this. I hope they look positively at how the film did. There was a lot of things going against the film and it still did really well all things considered.

I hope they still push the property because one thing the film did was get people who watched it on board with the team, and that's fundamental to the future of the franchise.

I feel like, in the years since Endgame, Marvel has made very few films that had the combination of:

1. Quality film
2. Featuring characters audiences wanted to see

Spider-man and FF are probably the two biggest exceptions to that.

But FF’s ability to pop was held back by the studio’s poor recent track record.

People haven’t been anxiously awaiting the next Marvel release for a long time, and they’ve lost that spark.

I think that, more than anything, is what prevented FF from crossing the line from good to great in terms of Box Office.

And it will require a lot more films like FF before viewers start to feel confident the Marvel Logo guarantees a film worth seeing again.

Unfortunately, I don’t see anything changing dramatically before Doomsday, so Marvel may be paying the price for Eternals, Love and Thunder, The Marvels etc. for a long time to come.

 

[Crimz]

I feel like, in the years since Endgame, Marvel has made very few films that had the combination of:

1. Quality film
2. Featuring characters audiences wanted to see

Spider-man and FF are probably the two biggest exceptions to that.

But FF’s ability to pop was held back by the studio’s poor recent track record.

People haven’t been anxiously awaiting the next Marvel release for a long time, and they’ve lost that spark.

I think that, more than anything, is what prevented FF from crossing the line from good to great in terms of Box Office.

And it will require a lot more films like FF before viewers start to feel confident the Marvel Logo guarantees a film worth seeing again.

Unfortunately, I don’t see anything changing dramatically before Doomsday, so Marvel may be paying the price for Eternals, Love and Thunder, The Marvels etc. for a long time to come.

I think that played a part, but also it was the history of prior FF films and a bad release date.

Putting it at the end of a stacked July was foolish. It's no longer the 2010s and people can't afford to see several films in theaters anymore.

I think a lot was going against this film and that it did this well is pretty good in the long run. I think/hope it at least restored some faith in the Fantastic Four property with general audiences.

 

[Frodo]

I think the film's streaming performance is a good sign , and if the next generation of children embrace the property , and will want to see more adventures of the first family, that's ultimately what matters at the end of the day.

I suspect alot of the negative discourse surrounding the film in fandom, will fall by the waste side ,if Marvel Studios is able to pull of Doomsday and Secret Wars .

And I think alot of fans will take a second look at the film, the further it's removed from the Marvel vs DC nonsense, and the fixation on all of these films making a Billion Dollars.

I think Fantastic Four : First Steps and Superman have both gone along way in redeem their damaged film franchises with The GA, so that's good news , as far as I'm concerned.

 

[lenz]

I feel like, in the years since Endgame, Marvel has made very few films that had the combination of:

1. Quality film
2. Featuring characters audiences wanted to see

Spider-man and FF are probably the two biggest exceptions to that.

But FF’s ability to pop was held back by the studio’s poor recent track record.

People haven’t been anxiously awaiting the next Marvel release for a long time, and they’ve lost that spark.

I think that, more than anything, is what prevented FF from crossing the line from good to great in terms of Box Office.

And it will require a lot more films like FF before viewers start to feel confident the Marvel Logo guarantees a film worth seeing again.

Unfortunately, I don’t see anything changing dramatically before Doomsday, so Marvel may be paying the price for Eternals, Love and Thunder, The Marvels etc. for a long time to come.

I think Disney have been shooting themselves in the foot the last 5+ years by getting much too involved in politics, making terrible casting choices, failing to deal with obvious problems in a timely matter (for whatever reason), and at the end of the day forgetting/rejecting/alienating who their audience is and has traditionally been for various properties. Marvel's decisions are basically a symptom of that overall mindset of the company. On top of taking audiences intelligence and loyalty for granted, I just don't think the relationship Hollywood has had with it's customers the last 100 years will ever go back to what it was before the pandemic and hyper-politicisation of everything under the sun. It's hard to see a return to normalcy any time soon and I think culture and these properties down stream will only become more balkanized in the future. People are never going to be influenced by Hollywood like they once were. Now add into this the crazy inflation and dramatic technological advances that are shaking the core of the industry. The future is much less certain from my POV.