Rogue One Rogue One Box Office Prediction Thread

[MurkeNyou]

It's Star Wars. I think anything under $120 is insulting. I'm thinking $185 is a modest.

 

[Sithborg]

It is highly unlikely to break $200 opening weekend. Personally, I feel $150 is a respectable prediction.

But, let's see how many sites go down Mon when tickets go on sale.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Anything over 100m would be a big success in December. People need to realize TFA was a bit of a one off, the same way TPM and Star Wars were.

 

[Mandon Knight]

$190 m WW, opening weekend

 

[mariajoycemerry]

Just saw the new trailer. Waiting anxiously to watch it. Hopefully that it stands beyond my expectation.

 

[mariajoycemerry]

I think Star wars hits $150M in a week or maybe $200M looks like the movie will highlight some outclass performance.

 

[Sithborg]

So, I've got 6000 people ahead of me on Alamo's website queue.

I think this film will open all right.

 

[MrSpyder]

Another year of Fandango crashing, but I finally got tickets opening night @ 7pm. TCL Chinese Theater. Should be a lot of fun.

 

[JB33]

Anything over 100m would be a big success in December. People need to realize TFA was a bit of a one off, the same way TPM and Star Wars were.

I guarantee the domestic OW will be well over $100M. Guaranteed. I'm thinking $150M+.

 

[Blitzkrieg]

http://deadline.com/2016/11/rogue-one-advance-ticket-sales-fandango-movietickets-1201860419/

Since becoming available 24 hours ago on Movietickets.com, Rogue One has dominated 76% of the site’s sales, with Moana now trailing at 5%.

Meanwhile, over at Fandango, the company reports “extraordinary demand for tickets to Rogue One: A Star Wars Story. Within minutes of going on sale, we sold hundreds of thousands of tickets.”

Reports in the media have stated that Fandango crashed due to the demand, requiring wait times of 20-30 minutes. Technically speaking, the site never ever crashed.

Fandango’s report continued, “Similar to ticketing for a highly popular concert event, a ‘waiting room’ in the checkout process was established to accommodate customers as quickly as possible. We were able to continuously serve a record number of customers throughout the night, despite some intermittent slowdowns — and in order to meet the incredible consumer demand, our exhibition partners continue to add new showtimes for opening weekend.”

Buzz is that Disney insiders are giddy about the results, with a number of folks in exhibition surprised at the high sales. No word yet about Rogue One breaking Force Awakens records, however, that was never expected to happen. The J.J. Abrams-directed Episode VII set the bar rather high: it had been 10 years since the last Star Wars movie, and 32 years since Return of the Jedi. Force Awakens’ first day sales last October set a record for both Imax ($6.5M) and Movietickets’ which saw its best first day ever with 95% tickets sold. Ultimately, Force Awakens was the best advance seller for Fandango, and in total generated $100M (in all advance sales) before the title even opened to its all-time record of $247.96M over Dec. 18-20 last year.

Tracking has Rogue One opening between $100M-$140M stateside, which would make it the second best December debut after Force Awakens.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

We're still pretending this might only make 100-130 m OW.

That's cute.

 

[Erzengel]

It's weird my usual theater has only one theater strictly for Rogue One.

Usually there's like 3D, regular and usually 2 theaters for each for a release like this. I went ahead and did the 3D.

 

[Blitzkrieg]

Rogue One will notch up about 30 million from previews only and with that in mind the OW should be at least 145 million. That's the floor tho. I see the range for the OW between (145-165) million right now.

 

[Erzengel]

Even with only 17 days in December, I think Disney/Buena Vista will still have the top 5 grossing movies of 2016. Amazing.

 

[JB33]

Right now I'm only seeing UltraAVX 3D showtimes for Rogue One at my local theatre. No non 3D ones. Hopefully they post non 3D showtimes closer to the release because I want to preserve the classic Star Wars experience and for me that means no 3D.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Even with only 17 days in December, I think Disney/Buena Vista will still have the top 5 grossing movies of 2016. Amazing.

The year the movie is released is what counts, so the money Rogue One makes in 2017 still counts.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

We're still pretending this might only make 100-130 m OW.

That's cute.

I don't like to pull a DC fan and overestimate the quality of a film before it is released.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

I don't like to pull a DC fan and overestimate the quality of a film before it is released.

LucasFilm has already shown better quality control than WB.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

LucasFilm has already shown better quality control than WB.

No egg on the face for underestimating.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

No egg on the face for underestimating.

There should be.

 

[OtherwiseKnownAs]

'Rogue One' Leads Biggest Ticket Presales Day of 2016

 

[Loden Greatstorm]

'Rogue One' Leads Biggest Ticket Presales Day of 2016

Not suprised in the slightest.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

There should be.

True. But while there isn't, I am totally taking advantage of it. t:

 

[Sithborg]

I totally got egg on my face over Deadpool.

 

[Erzengel]

The year the movie is released is what counts, so the money Rogue One makes in 2017 still counts.

I'm aware. Still it's interesting.